The 2019 NFL season is almost underway, and as I do every year, I talk about my Seahawks. The Seahawks go into 2019 after coming off a season in which they made the playoffs but failed to win a playoff game. That's the first time in the Russell Wilson era that after making the playoffs the Hawks failed to win a playoff game. I will go game by game predicting the outcome as I always do. This time, however, I am going to do something new. At the end, I'm going to go position by position and compare 2019's starters to 2018's. This will show how much the team has improved or regressed from last year, and should hold up to my comparison for the Hawks Win/Loss record. Here we go!
Week 1 vs. Cincinnati Bengals: Win 24-13 (1-0)
First off, if there is any game that you can pencil in as a victory on the Hawk's schedule, it is this one. The Bengals are expected to be one of the worst teams in the AFC and will be without their star wide receiver (and perhaps best player) in A.J. Green. Now the reason this isn't more of a blowout is because the Seahawks usually get off to a slow start offensively when the season begins. But the defense should shine.
Week 2 at Pittsburgh Steelers: Loss, 28-20 (1-1)
The Hawks have never scored a single point at Heinz Field... ever. Since the stadium opened in 2001, the Hawks have played two games there and were shut out both times. I think it's a safe bet to say the Hawks score in this one. However, I still think the Hawks remain winless there and fall in a fairly close one. The Hawks almost always lose to an AFC team every year, and this will be the one AFC loss this year.
Week 3 vs. New Orleans Saints: Win, 31-21 (2-1)
The Hawks have always played the Saints well at Century Link Field, and it remains that way. I also expect a bit of a down season from the Saints so that should help the Hawks' chances. I think it'll be a close game til late when Chris Carson pulls off Beastquake 2.0 (or 3.0?) and gives the Hawks a two-score lead for good.
Week 4 at Arizona Cardinals: Loss, 24-23 (2-2)
I hate playing in Arizona. That field has given our players so many injuries. Arizona, even though they haven't been that great in recent years, has always been a thorn in our side and will continue to be. The Hawks barely lose to a Cardinals team they probably should've beaten, and Kyler Murray gets his first signature win in the NFL.
Week 5 vs. Los Angeles Rams: Win, 35-31 (3-2)
We need to beat the Rams at home and by golly we will. Having the short week can be both a positive and negative but it works in the Hawks favor this time, as well as having the 12th Man for a prime time game. Russ goes off and the Hawks avoid having a losing record five weeks in.
Week 6 at Cleveland Browns: Win, 27-16 (4-2)
It almost isn't fair this week. The Hawks come off 10 days rest having last played two Thursdays ago. Meanwhile, the Browns come off of only 6 days rest thanks to playing on Monday Night Football the previous week. The Hawks use that to their advantage and beat the Brownies. We see OBJ yell at someone on the sidelines (probably Mayfield). Could this be the start of the Browns demise? If it's at the hands of the Seahawks, I wouldn't mind that at all.
Week 7 vs. Baltimore Ravens: Win, 22-17 (5-2)
In the Earl Thomas revenge game, the Hawks do indeed get revenge. Earl doesn't even factor into the game much and the Hawks take care of the Ravens. Lamar Jackson struggles throwing the ball and has to resort to screens and running the ball himself. And in a game where both teams are known for running more than passing, that's exactly what we get. We don't see a ton of punts or possessions thanks to all the running causing the clock to keep going.
Week 8 at Atlanta Falcons: Loss, 30-26 (5-3)
Alas, the Hawks three game winning streak comes to an end. The Hawks hang with the Falcons for most of the game, but the Falcons get the ball down 26-23, and while a FG does tie it, they go for the win and get a go ahead score, and the Hawks are unable to match it. I predict the Falcons to be a better team in 2019, so if that is the case, this will be a very tough game to win. Doable, but tough.
Week 9 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Win, 28-19 (6-3)
In a game that'll probably feature a Gay (TB) and a Dickson (SEA), we see a mostly uneventful game. The Hawks offense does just enough and Tampa Bay makes too many mistakes. Perhaps this is the game Jameis gets benched during. Or perhaps he's already been benched.
Week 10 at San Francisco 49ers: Loss, 30-28 (6-4)
Even more than losing to the Cardinals, I hate losing to the 49ers. Last year the 49ers won a game the Hawks definitely should've won, and we see the same thing again this year. The 49ers win thanks to a controversial official ruling that leaves Hawks fans steaming.
Week 11 BYE
Week 12 at Philadelphia Eagles: Loss, 34-24 (6-5)
The Eagles hand the Hawks their most lopsided loss of 2019. The Hawks compete and are in it in the 4th quarter down just 27-24, but a late pick-six thrown by Russ seals the game for the Eagles. The Hawks go into Week 13 worrying about their playoff hopes.
Week 13 vs. Minnesota Vikings: Win, 17-14 (7-5)
In a tough, defensive battle, the Hawks come out on top barely. This is the lone Monday night game, and I feel like we usually have one of our primetime games being a low-scoring tight game. This will be it in 2019. Jason Myers kicks a game winning field goal to put the Hawks at 7-5.
Week 14 at Los Angeles Rams: Loss, 29-20 (7-6)
In the final game the Hawks ever play at the Coliseum, the Hawks still cannot win there (again). In a game needed by both teams the Rams come out on top and pretty much clinch the NFC West with this victory.
Week 15 at Carolina Panthers: Win, 23-16 (8-6)
The Hawks have done well at Bank of America stadium, excluding that one playoff game... grr... This time is no different as the Hawks win a semi-low scoring game. The Panthers leave wondering what they have to do to beat the Hawks at home in the regular season.
Week 16 vs. Arizona Cardinals: Win, 34-14 (9-6)
In what may end up being the most pivotal game for the Hawks this season, they easily take care of the Cardinals to better their playoff chances. Russ goes off for close to 400 yards and the defense stymies Murray for the most part.
Week 17 vs. San Francisco 49ers: Win, 28-21 (10-6)
I'm not gonna lie, this game could determine which of these teams makes the playoffs. If my NFL predictions end up being what they are, that means going into this game the Hawks would be 9-6 and the 49ers 8-7. A victory for the 49ers would give them the tiebreaker over the Hawks because they would've beaten them twice. But the Hawks take care of business and secure a playoff spot for the seventh time in eight years.
Well, you know how the Hawks do if you read the other post. If not, I'll spoil it here. The Hawks win in the wild card round at Philly and get revenge for that week 12 loss, but then lose in the divisional round to the Rams. I know, I hate it. But I'm going for accuracy, not what I want. But the Hawks can again use this season to build off of to try to improve for 2020.
And now, to compare the position groups from last year to this year. If most of the players remain the same, I give it an even or a "push". I also will use small improvements and small regressions vs. big improvements and big regressions. Big results have an effect of 2 points, and small 1.
QB: Push
The only difference being the backup. We go from Hundley to either Smith or Lynch. Either way, they're not expected to see any significant time. Easy push.
RB: Push
We lost Mike Davis, so why the push? Rashaad Penny is going into his second year and I think he'll be even better than last year. Plus, Davis was not a featured back. Whoever our 3rd guy is shouldn't be much of a drop off, if at all.
WR: Small regression (-1, Score: -1)
Losing a leader in Baldwin hurts. I'll admit that. But we drafted three different wide receivers, one of whom in D.K. Metcalf could be a star. Because of the lack of experience I say a small regression.
TE: Push
Yet another push. We get Dissly back from injury so if he can stay healthy that'll be a bonus. Also added Jacob Hollister. But it's not a significant enough of an improvement.
OL: Small improvement (+1, Score: 0)
It's not that I didn't like Sweezy, but he just struggled at times last year, especially for a veteran. I like Mike Iupati, and for the first time in a while I can say our line should be very solid from left to right. Ifedi hopefully will keep making strides. The main key, as with any offensive line, is staying healthy. If they can stay healthy, they'll be a top 10 line for sure.
DL: Big regression (-2, Score: -2)
Frank Clark is not easily replaced. I hate that we had to trade him, but it made sense. His "replacement" in L.J. Collier just got hurt and might get off to a slow start thanks to missing training camp/preseason. On top of that, we lost our best nose tackle Jarran Reed six games to suspension. We're relying on guys like Green and Martin and Ford, and hopefully at least one can step up.
LB: Small improvement (+1, Score: -1)
We have a 99 overall player according to Madden in our linebacking crew. That's awesome. K.J. and Kendricks should solidify the outsides. But the reason for improvement is the depth added by drafting Cody Barton and Ben Burr-Kirven. I think Barton at least is a stud. I don't recall having such great depth like this at the linebacking position ever.
DB: Small improvement (+1, Score: 0)
Shaquill Griffin is determined to rebound from a mediocre at best 2018 performance. He was constantly rated towards the bottom of cornerbacks by Pro Football Focus. But that's not the reason for improvement. Drafting Blair and Abadi should add depth we need. I think we'll see improvements from both Flowers and Thompson, and let's not forget perhaps the most underrated safety in the NFL in Bradley McDougald. These guys should benefit from another year together.
Special Teams: Large improvement (+2, Score: 2)
Replacing Janikowski with Myers is reason for +1 points alone. If only we had just gone with Myers last year in training camp. Oh well, hindsight is 20/20. We also drafted a bunch of guys who will probably excel on special teams coverage like the aforementioned linebackers and Travis Homer. I really expect special teams to be one of the Hawks strengths in 2019.
So overall, I have the Hawks better by 2 points. I have them improved at 4 positions and worse at only 2. Yet I predicted the same record they had last year. In other words, I expect the Seahawks to go at least 10-6. Anything less for me would be a disappointment. Some say the Hawks have a difficult schedule. I think it's doable. I am not only hoping but predicting the two divisions (outside of their own) the Seahawks have to play (The NFC South and AFC North) aren't that strong. I am actually predicting a total of three winning teams between the two divisions.
Oh, and before I forget, I might as well predict who I think will lead the Seahawks in categories that aren't a given (Passing TD's for example is a given: Russ)
Rushing Yards: Carson
Rushing TD's: Penny
Receiving TD's: Dissly
Receiving Yards: Lockett
Receptions: Lockett
Tackles: Wagner
Sacks: Ansah
Interceptions: Griffin
Gum chewed: Pete Carroll
Pep Talks given to teammates: Wilson
Here's to a successful 2019 season and as always, GO HAWKS!!!
Showing posts with label Hawks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Hawks. Show all posts
Wednesday, August 7, 2019
Saturday, April 27, 2019
My Thoughts on the Seahawks 2019 Draft
I haven't done one of these in a while: A review and recap of the Seahawks draft. The reason I'm doing it is because I'm pretty stoked about this draft class. I'll go through each of the picks and give them a letter grade. The letter grade will be based on when the Seahawks selected the player, and how well I think he fits our team. Let's go!
Round 1: LJ Collier, DE, TCU
Grade: C
The reason the grade is a C is because he was yet another first round reach for the Hawks. He could've been taken in the 2nd or maybe even 3rd round. Nevertheless, he's been described as a Michael Bennett-type D-lineman, able to move along the D-line wherever, depending on the down and distance. Bruce Irvin was also a first round reach and he didn't turn out half bad. If LJ is anywhere near Michael Bennett's capability, I'll call this a win. But for now, I stand pat with a C grade.
Round 2: Marquise Blair, S, Utah
Grade: C+
This was also called a reach. But Marquise has some upside, many see him as a Kam Chancellor-lite. He'll probably end up backing up McDougald for the time being and playing special teams. Hopefully he'll blossom and become a starter for years to come.
Round 2: D.K. Metcalf, WR, Ole Miss
Grade: B+
The first draft pick the Hawks made that I was legitimately excited for. He's a big-bodied and strong receiver like a Terrell Owens or Josh Gordon, but has speed that beats both of them. He has the potential to be an elite #1 receiver. However, he has injury concerns (who doesn't?) and he ran slower cone drills at the combine than Tom Brady. I kid you not. So he's not an agile receiver. But if the Hawks can use him effectively and he stays healthy, he's going to be an elite receiver.
Round 3: Cody Barton, LB, Utah
Grade: B
The Hawks drafted two defensive players from Utah in their first four picks, so Blair and Barton should be able to help each other out and pull for each other in training camp. Barton will be an excellent special teamer, but could he possibly start if need be? Time will tell.
Round 4: Gary Jennings Jr., WR, West Virginia
Grade: A-
I just found out Gary Jennings Jr. has known Russell Wilson since childhood as Russ coached him at the YMCA he went to. That's awesome. Russ will instantly have a rapport with this guy. Not only that, but Gary has very few if any glaring weaknesses and has less bust potential than Metcalf. If I had to pick who has the longer and more consistent career right now (between Metcalf and Jennings), I'd say Jennings.
Round 4: Phil Haynes, G, Wake Forest
Grade: B+
Solid pick who will most likely be groomed to play guard. With Iupati and Fluker as the current starters, it works out perfectly to have Haynes sit behind them and learn and take over in case of an injury. Keep in mind we still have Roos, Simmons, and Pocic. This is the first time in a while I can say I am happy with our O-Line depth.
Round 4: Ugo Amadi, S, Oregon
Grade: C+
He's a bit undersized, but will be used on special teams and in some nickel packages. Also... he's a Duck... Nevertheless, he's a decent mid-round selection, but my gut says I don't think we'll see him on the team in 3 years.
Round 5: Ben Burr-Kirven, LB, Washington
Grade: B-
Don't think we really needed to draft two middle linebackers, but it certainly doesn't hurt. And it's a local kid from UW! I'm excited to see who will do better between Barton and Burr-Kirven, both were Pac-12 middle linebackers. Good to have depth in case something happens to Bobby *knock on wood*.
Round 6: Travis Homer, RB, Miami
Grade: B+
This kid has the fight and tenacity that Schneider and Carroll love. He's an-all around back, too, can block, catch passes, can even play special teams. I would like to see him in the preseason get a bunch of carries to see how he does there. Could be a dark horse pick that gets some carries in the regular season (Think Phillip Lindsay of Denver last year).
Round 6: DeMarcus Christmas, DT, Florida State
Grade: C+
It's Christmas in Seattle! Literally. I'm going to be honest, it could be fairly tough for him to make the roster, but with Shamar Stephen gone there's a chance. He's like Poona Ford a bit, not quite as short though. I could see him backing up Ford and Reed when they need a breather on rushing downs.
Round 7: John Ursua, WR, Hawaii
Grade: C+
Good-looking kid, but he'll find it tough making the roster, even if Doug isn't able to play. Ahead of him are Lockett, Brown, Moore, and the two other Wide Receivers we drafted in Metcalf and Jennings. If he's able to excel on special teams, he could make the roster, but as a fairly-undersized wide receiver that'll be tough to do.
Overall GPA: 2.77 (+.5) = 3.27 or B+
I gave John and Pete an extra .5 because they started with only four picks (before trading Frank Clark) and ended up with 11. Wow. Just the way they were able to trade down and not lose much value was impressive. So I give their draft a B+ as a whole. They did well for the most part, but time will tell how well they did based on the careers of these young men. Hopefully this'll be a draft class like 2011 or 2012 where we can look back on it and say they hit it out of the park.
Round 1: LJ Collier, DE, TCU
Grade: C
The reason the grade is a C is because he was yet another first round reach for the Hawks. He could've been taken in the 2nd or maybe even 3rd round. Nevertheless, he's been described as a Michael Bennett-type D-lineman, able to move along the D-line wherever, depending on the down and distance. Bruce Irvin was also a first round reach and he didn't turn out half bad. If LJ is anywhere near Michael Bennett's capability, I'll call this a win. But for now, I stand pat with a C grade.
Round 2: Marquise Blair, S, Utah
Grade: C+
This was also called a reach. But Marquise has some upside, many see him as a Kam Chancellor-lite. He'll probably end up backing up McDougald for the time being and playing special teams. Hopefully he'll blossom and become a starter for years to come.
Round 2: D.K. Metcalf, WR, Ole Miss
Grade: B+
The first draft pick the Hawks made that I was legitimately excited for. He's a big-bodied and strong receiver like a Terrell Owens or Josh Gordon, but has speed that beats both of them. He has the potential to be an elite #1 receiver. However, he has injury concerns (who doesn't?) and he ran slower cone drills at the combine than Tom Brady. I kid you not. So he's not an agile receiver. But if the Hawks can use him effectively and he stays healthy, he's going to be an elite receiver.
Round 3: Cody Barton, LB, Utah
Grade: B
The Hawks drafted two defensive players from Utah in their first four picks, so Blair and Barton should be able to help each other out and pull for each other in training camp. Barton will be an excellent special teamer, but could he possibly start if need be? Time will tell.
Round 4: Gary Jennings Jr., WR, West Virginia
Grade: A-
I just found out Gary Jennings Jr. has known Russell Wilson since childhood as Russ coached him at the YMCA he went to. That's awesome. Russ will instantly have a rapport with this guy. Not only that, but Gary has very few if any glaring weaknesses and has less bust potential than Metcalf. If I had to pick who has the longer and more consistent career right now (between Metcalf and Jennings), I'd say Jennings.
Round 4: Phil Haynes, G, Wake Forest
Grade: B+
Solid pick who will most likely be groomed to play guard. With Iupati and Fluker as the current starters, it works out perfectly to have Haynes sit behind them and learn and take over in case of an injury. Keep in mind we still have Roos, Simmons, and Pocic. This is the first time in a while I can say I am happy with our O-Line depth.
Round 4: Ugo Amadi, S, Oregon
Grade: C+
He's a bit undersized, but will be used on special teams and in some nickel packages. Also... he's a Duck... Nevertheless, he's a decent mid-round selection, but my gut says I don't think we'll see him on the team in 3 years.
Round 5: Ben Burr-Kirven, LB, Washington
Grade: B-
Don't think we really needed to draft two middle linebackers, but it certainly doesn't hurt. And it's a local kid from UW! I'm excited to see who will do better between Barton and Burr-Kirven, both were Pac-12 middle linebackers. Good to have depth in case something happens to Bobby *knock on wood*.
Round 6: Travis Homer, RB, Miami
Grade: B+
This kid has the fight and tenacity that Schneider and Carroll love. He's an-all around back, too, can block, catch passes, can even play special teams. I would like to see him in the preseason get a bunch of carries to see how he does there. Could be a dark horse pick that gets some carries in the regular season (Think Phillip Lindsay of Denver last year).
Round 6: DeMarcus Christmas, DT, Florida State
Grade: C+
It's Christmas in Seattle! Literally. I'm going to be honest, it could be fairly tough for him to make the roster, but with Shamar Stephen gone there's a chance. He's like Poona Ford a bit, not quite as short though. I could see him backing up Ford and Reed when they need a breather on rushing downs.
Round 7: John Ursua, WR, Hawaii
Grade: C+
Good-looking kid, but he'll find it tough making the roster, even if Doug isn't able to play. Ahead of him are Lockett, Brown, Moore, and the two other Wide Receivers we drafted in Metcalf and Jennings. If he's able to excel on special teams, he could make the roster, but as a fairly-undersized wide receiver that'll be tough to do.
Overall GPA: 2.77 (+.5) = 3.27 or B+
I gave John and Pete an extra .5 because they started with only four picks (before trading Frank Clark) and ended up with 11. Wow. Just the way they were able to trade down and not lose much value was impressive. So I give their draft a B+ as a whole. They did well for the most part, but time will tell how well they did based on the careers of these young men. Hopefully this'll be a draft class like 2011 or 2012 where we can look back on it and say they hit it out of the park.
Monday, September 3, 2018
My Extensive 2018 NFL Predictions!
For me, it’s hard to believe, but the 2018 NFL season is almost here. It feels like just recently the Philadelphia
Eagles won their first Super Bowl. With
a new season brings optimism to every club.
Heck, even the Browns have reasons to be optimistic. I honestly cannot remember a season where
nearly every team had some reason to be hopeful, a reason to think their season
could be a success. And in doing these
predictions for the first time, I made sure all the team records add up to
256-256. It was not easy, I tell
you. I really wanted to say a lot of
teams would do well, but unfortunately for a lot of teams, their season ends in
disappointment because of injuries, bad chemistry, or lack of execution.
I have divided this up into FOUR parts. First part is Ten Surprising predictions. These are predictions I like to make each year that only have a small chance of happening in hindsight, but last year I got 4/10 right. The one I was most proud of getting was the Seahawks having a better road record than home record. I also got right that a well-respected coach got fired before season’s end, that every division winner would have a better record than every wild card team, and that the AFC South would have a wild card team.
The second part will be my predicted records for each NFL team. Again, I made sure that all team records add up to a total of 256-256. The third part is my predictions for each Seahawk’s game, and what I expect to happen in each one. And lastly, I will predict the NFL playoffs, predict my Super Bowl matchup and ultimate Super Bowl Champion, as well as hand out the end-of-the-year awards.
Firstly, though, is my ten surprising predictions for the 2018 season:
1. The San Francisco 49ers will NOT have the rousing success everyone thinks they will this year, and they will lose more than they win.
The 49ers are everyone’s dark horse team for 2018, but I don’t think they will be much, if it all better this year. One, I don’t think Jimmy Garoppolo is as good as everyone thinks. He was a second round and not a first round pick for a reason. He also is dating a porn star and has already signed his lucrative contract, so he doesn’t have too much more to play for. Also, aside from Richard Sherman, the 49ers didn’t add a whole lot in the offseason. I think expectations will be too high and they will go 7-9 at best.
Well, I was right. But it wasn't all because they weren't ready. Most blame could be pointed to the Jimmy Garoppolo season-ending injury. However, I was right, so that's one.
2. No team will lose 13 or more games in 2018
The Browns have been the worst team the last two seasons, but with most expecting them to improve greatly and win a handful of games, there may not be THAT bad of a team this year. I predict the worst team will go 4-12 in a very competitive league.
I was SOOO close on this one! Only one team lost 13 or more games, and it was the Arizona Cardinals, and they lost 13.
3. The team that finishes with the worst record (or tied for worst record) in 2018 will have had a winning record in 2017.
Speaking of the worst record in the NFL, I’m not going to say who (you’ll have to see below), but the team that finishes with the worst record (and thus gets the #1 overall pick) will be a team that had a winning record in 2017. That is always a surprise to see. It doesn’t have to be the team I picked for this to be right, just a team that had a winning record in the 2017 season.
Again, SO CLOSE. The Cardinals, who had the worst record in 2018, went 8-8 in 2017. Figures.
4. The AFC representative in the Super Bowl won’t be the Patriots. Or the Steelers. In fact, it will be a team who hasn’t made it to the Super Bowl this millennium.
I think the AFC is due for a new Super Bowl contender. They haven’t had a team represent their conference minus Peyton Manning and Tom Brady since the Ravens made it in 2012. And they haven’t had a team win the Super Bowl that hadn’t already this millennium since the Colts in 2007.
Welp. I may have predicted the Patriots demise too early. For a while my prediction looked good as the Kansas City Chiefs would've made this prediction correct, but they came up so close in the AFC Championship.
5. The Seahawks AGAIN finish with a better road record than home record
I can make the same prediction two years in a row, can’t I? It’s my predictions. Just looking at the Seahawks schedule, I’ve noticed most of their tough non-divisional opponents (Dallas, GB, Minnesota, Kansas City) are at home while they face their easier divisional counterparts on the road (Oakland, Denver, Detroit, Chicago). It would be surprising for this anomaly to happen two years in a row for the Seahawks, but I think it will indeed happen again.
Not this time. The Seahawks lost winnable road games (San Francisco, Denver) and won some home games against decent opponents (Minnesota, Kansas City, Green Bay).
6. Neither team in the Super Bowl will have multiple Super Bowl wins
I think we’re going to see a Super Bowl with semi-inexperienced teams. There are plenty of teams with one or no Super Bowl titles (20 to be exact), but it’s not too likely that both Super Bowl participants will be like that. So that means no Patriots, no Steelers, no Packers.
If it was any matchup from the conference championship games OTHER than the Patriots, this would have been correct. The Rams, Saints, and Chiefs all have one Championship. Damn Patriots.
7. Among QB’s in their rookie or sophomore seasons, Mitch Trubisky will have the best (or tied for best) record
There are a lot of new and young faces at QB in the NFL. There were five rookie QB’s taken in the first round of this year’s draft, plus Mahomes in KC and Trubisky in Chicago will be playing their first full seasons. I expect Trubisky among all of those QB’s to have the best record as a starter or tied for the best.
Second one correct! He tied with Mahomes of the Chiefs for best record among first or second year QB's. I didn't foresee Mahomes's success but I saw the Bears making a run.
8. The AFC will have multiple divisions with only one team with a winning record.
Anyone paying attention to the NFL the past few years may have noticed most of the talent resides in the NFC. The NFC has more talented QB’s and better defenses. Therefore, I think there will be a couple divisions in the AFC with only one winning team. There will be a lot of sub-par AFC teams.
Only one division, I'm afraid. The AFC East only had one. The next closest was the AFC North, where the Steelers were second best at 9-6-1.
9. The Offensive Rookie of the Year won’t be one of the five QB’s drafted in the first round. It won’t even be Saquon Barkley.
I’m not positive on who it is, but I don’t see any of the first-round QB’s having rousing success in their first season (at least not enough to win Offensive ROY). I also don’t see a ton of success for Saquon Barkley, the first running back drafted. It will either be a QB drafted in the 2nd round or later, a different running back, or a different position altogether. Usually the OROY is a top QB chosen or the best running back, but it won’t be this year.
It was Saquon Barkley. I knew I was going out on a limb. The runner up was Baker Mayfield and he wouldn't have made my prediction correct, either.
10. No team will win more than 12 games, and there won’t be more than one team per conference with 12 wins.
There is a ton of parity in the NFL (especially the NFC), and I expect a lot of competitiveness, few blowouts, and a lot of upsets in the league this season. Therefore, there won’t be a team that runs away with its conference, and the most any team will win is 12 games, and there won’t even be two teams that do that in a conference. Maybe one per.
Oops. The Saints AND Rams both won 13, and they are both in the NFC. The Chiefs also won 12 in the AFC. Oh wells.
So after those ten bold predictions, you might have some idea as to how the divisions and records shape up. Here we go, with some comments on each division:
* = Wild Card
AFC EAST
1. Patriots: 10-6
2. Jets: 8-8
3. Dolphins: 6-10
4. Bills: 5-11
Comment: The Patriots have a rebuilt offensive line and very inexperienced receivers, so they’ll take a minor step back more than likely. But in a weak division, they’ll recapture the AFC East crown barring major injuries. The Jets should be competitive even though they are starting a 21-year-old rookie in Sam Darnold. The Fins, however, keep losing stars and Tannehill has a huge uphill climb to make coming back from injury. The Bills have decided to start Nathan Peterman Week 1, and there’s little chance that goes well.
AFC NORTH
1. Steelers: 12-4
2. Ravens: 8-8
3. Browns: 6-10
4. Bengals: 5-11
Comment: The Steelers beat up on their division, which frankly, I don’t see much competitiveness in outside of the Steel City. The Ravens do OK but may not play well enough for their head coach to keep his job. The Browns get off to a decent start and hover around .500 but suffer many losses in late November and December. The Bengals crash and burn, not being able to play complete and disciplined football.
AFC SOUTH
1. Houston Texans: 10-6
2. Jacksonville Jaguars: 10-6*
3. Indianapolis Colts: 9-7*
4. Tennessee Titans: 4-12
Comment: This should be one of the more competitive divisions in football and in my opinion, one of the most entertaining. The Texans get Watson back and he’ll be out to prove he’s no fluke. The Jags are out to prove last year was not a fluke themselves, and they should still be hungry after last year’s AFC Championship loss. The Colts get Luck on their side and become more competitive, but Luck will take some time readjusting to NFL game speed. The Titans have some new cool uni’s and a new coach, but I don’t like Derrick Henry as the sole featured back, and I have a bad feeling last year isn’t a fluke for Mariota and it will constantly be lingering in the back of his mind.
AFC WEST
1. Los Angeles Chargers: 11-5
2. Kansas City Chiefs: 9-7
3. Oakland Raiders: 6-10
4. Denver Broncos: 6-10
Comment: The Chargers boast one of the best all-around rosters in the NFL and had a great offseason. The Chiefs still have a great roster themselves, but made a major QB change, and with Mahomes in his first season as a starter, they will have some hiccups along the way. The Raiders will compete but their defense and run game will struggle at times; Beast Mode will show his age. The Broncos will realize Case Keenum was a one-year wonder and must go in search of their future franchise signal caller.
NFC EAST
1. Dallas Cowboys: 10-6
2. Philadelphia Eagles: 8-8
3. Washington Redskins: 7-9
4. New York Giants: 6-10
Comment: The Cowboys play well and capitalize by winning a lot of games in-division. The Eagles, who struggled in the preseason, have a letdown season and Carson Wentz has a setback with his injury. They also struggle with too many players with big egos, such as Michael Bennett. The Skins will do moderately well with Alex Smith at QB, but struggle against the better NFC teams. The G-Men will realize Eli Manning needs to be replaced sooner rather than later.
NFC NORTH
1. Green Bay Packers: 10-6
2. Minnesota Vikings: 10-6*
3. Chicago Bears: 9-7
4. Detroit Lions: 6-10
Comment: The Vikings and Packers should be in a battle all season long for the NFC North crown, and I wouldn’t be surprised if the lead changed in the last couple weeks. Aaron Rodgers, fresh off signing the largest contract in NFL history, leads the Pack and has an MVP type season. The Vikings just have too much talent to not win a bunch of games. The Bears and their new pass rusher Khalil Mack have a breakthrough season, but still ultimately miss the playoffs, but are optimistic going into 2019. The Lions become the odd man out in the division, as former Belichick assistants don’t tend to do well as head coaches (See Josh McDaniels, Romeo Crennel).
NFC SOUTH
1. New Orleans Saints: 12-4
2. Atlanta Falcons: 10-6*
3. Carolina Panthers: 7-9
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 4-12
Comment: The Saints, perhaps more than anyone, should be seething after how last season ended, so I expect them to play their hearts out. The Falcons still have a good roster all around, and many expect them to make a playoff run again. The Panthers, however, don’t have a real reliable running back, and a defense that is slowly losing pieces, and they usually don’t have back-to-back playoff seasons, and I still don’t expect them to. The Bucs aren’t going to have Jameis Winston for their first four games, and even when he gets back they won’t be much better.
NFC WEST
1. Los Angeles Rams: 11-5
2. Seattle Seahawks: ????
3. San Francisco 49ers: 7-9
4. Arizona Cardinals: 6-10
Comment: The Rams may have acquired some headache players like Suh and Marcus Peters but have too much talent to not win the division. As for the Seahawks, you’ll have to wait until my game-by-game predictions for them below. You know they’ll do at least 7-9 but no better than 11-5, based on their positioning above. The 49ers won’t be as good as many people think because teams that are this hyped usually don’t live up to the hype, and they have a QB, roster, and coach that haven’t proven anything yet. The Cardinals should compete, regardless of their quarterback, but their talent just doesn’t match up to most teams in the NFC.
So there you have it for the regular season! Now on to the Seahawks game by game predictions. How will they do? Find out below.
I’m not doing scores, because there’s a very very slim chance they’ll end up correct.
At Denver Broncos: Win (1-0)
The Hawks come out fighting. The Broncos show they’re not quite there and Case Keenum struggles at times. The last time the Hawks won in Denver, it was 2006. So they are due.
At Bears: Loss (1-1)
I originally had this game as a win, but I changed it after the Bears traded for Khalil Mack. I don’t think the Hawks will have too much success against him and the resurgent Bears D. It’ll be a close and tough defeat. Possibly low-scoring as well.
Vs. Cowboys: Loss (1-2)
The 12th Man can’t help the Hawks overcome the Cowboys in their home opener. The defense has trouble containing Ezekiel Elliott and the running game never gets going against Dallas’ tough front seven, leaving fans worrying about how bad this season will end up being.
At Cardinals: Win (2-2)
Hard to say which QB will start this game for the Cards, but I don’t think it matters too much. Again, could be a low-scoring game.
Vs. Rams: Loss (2-3)
The Hawks start the year with two straight home losses, and people start to wonder if the 12th Man is losing its touch. The Hawks go into this game seeking revenge for last year’s embarrassment at home, and while they do succeed in making it a closer game, still ultimately end up falling.
At Raiders in London: Win (3-3)
First game outside of North America for the Seahawks results in a W. Seahawks fans show up in droves as there appears to be many members of the 12th Man in the UK.
At Lions: Win (4-3)
The Hawks, well-rested after their bye, air it out in a shootout against Detroit and come out on top. Matt Patricia and Pete Carroll, two defensive coaches, end up wishing their D’s had done better.
Vs. Chargers: Win (5-3)
This will be a tough matchup, but the Hawks will have gone into November without a home win. They won’t allow it to continue. This will be like the Texans game last year: close, exciting, and the Hawks come out on top at home.
At Rams: Loss (5-4)
The Hawks fail to get 3 games above .500. They always play the Rams tough in L.A., and after last year’s lucky win I don’t think luck is in their favor this time, as the Rams end up sweeping the Hawks in 2018.
vs. Packers: Loss (5-5)
Aaron Rodgers has too many bad memories at Century Link. The Fail Mary game where he got sacked at least a half dozen times. The loss in the NFC Championship game. He’ll be out to rid himself of those demons. The Hawks fall to 1-3 at home.
at Panthers: Win (6-5)
There was a period near the beginning of the Seahawks renaissance where the Hawks beat the Panthers three straight years, all games in Carolina. I think they recapture some of that old magic and win. I also expect the Panthers to disappoint in 2018.
vs. 49ers: Win (7-5)
This should be a loud and exciting game that I see the Hawks winning in close and dramatic fashion. Like I said earlier, I don’t expect the 49ers to be as good as a lot of people think.
vs. Vikings: Loss (7-6)
This might be the most important game on the Seahawks schedule, based on its position in the schedule and who they’re playing. But the Hawks offense does not get much going against the stout Vikings defense, and Janikowski misses a late field goal.
At 49ers: Loss (7-7)
This proves to be a devastating loss towards the Seahawks playoff hopes. But they can’t stop Jimmy Garoppolo this time. Not in Santa Clara.
vs. Chiefs: Loss (7-8)
Another devastating loss. Pat Mahomes airs it out and the Chiefs rack up points on a tired and weary Hawks defense. This knocks the Hawks out of the playoff race for the second straight year.
vs. Cardinals: Win (8-8)
In what is now a meaningless game, the Hawks come out on top. They provide some hope for next season, knowing they must fill holes on D and on the offensive line.
So the Seahawks finish 8-8, no playoffs for the 2nd straight year. A three game losing streak in December ultimately does them in. The defense is not bad, but they are inconsistent. The running game and offensive line shows marginal improvement. Luck just won’t be on their side this year. But how does the rest of the NFL do in the playoffs? Let’s find out!
AFC Wild Card Round:
(6) Colts at (3) Patriots: Patriots win
This was a common playoff matchup in the 2000’s between Manning and Brady. Now it is Brady and Luck (again) and again Brady comes out on top. And yes, the Patriots do NOT get a first round BYE.
(5) Jaguars at (4) Texans: Jaguars win
I really like Deshaun Watson and the Texans, but they are not the most complete team in the AFC. The Jags defense torments Watson relentlessly and secure a trip to the divisional round.
NFC Wild Card Round:
(6) Falcons at (3) Cowboys: Cowboys win
The ‘Boys finally shake off their playoff woes and give fans of “America’s Team” reason to be optimistic. They win on a bad call by the refs (let’s face it, the NFL wants the Cowboys in as many high-profile games as possible).
(5) Vikings at (4) Packers: Packers win
It's always exciting when these two meet in the regular season. Add that it’s a playoff game and… woah. The Pack come out on top in the frigid temps of Green Bay as the Minnesota offense can’t get anything going, while the Green Bay offense does enough.
AFC DIVISIONAL ROUND:
(5) Jaguars at (1) Steelers: Steelers win
The Steelers win the rematch of last year’s AFC divisional matchup. They will want the game more, simply.
(3) Patriots at (2) Chargers: Chargers win
The Chargers win, with Phillip Rivers having no flashbacks to the 2000’s when they lost to the Patriots in the playoffs. The Patriots just won’t have as good of a roster. Coaching and strategy can only get you so far.
NFC DIVISIONAL ROUND:
(4) Packers at (1) Saints: Saints win
The Saints win a close and exciting game between two of the game’s best QB’s.
(3) Cowboys at (2) Rams: Cowboys win
In a battle of Hollywood’s team vs. America’s team, the ‘Boys come out on top because they play slightly more disciplined and hard-nose football. The Rams start to wonder what it will take to get their team to win a single playoff game.
AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME: (2) Chargers at (1) Steelers: Chargers win
Like I said earlier, the AFC will be represented by someone new. That will be the Chargers. They stun the Steelers fans who go home again disappointed.
NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME: (3) Cowboys at (1) Saints: Saints win
In a battle of two underdog QB’s (Prescott vs. Brees), the wily veteran Brees comes out on top. The Saints crowd proves to be too much for the Cowboys. The Saints move on to their 2nd Super Bowl.
SUPER BOWL LIII: Chargers vs. Saints: Saints win, 37-34
In a Super Bowl matchup of two bad-luck franchises and two QB’s who used to be teammates, Brees comes out on top. This ends up being one of the most entertaining Super Bowls, with a late score or defensive stop in the final seconds. Your 2018 and Super Bowl LIII champions are the New Orleans Saints!
Finally, some awards to hand out:
NFL MVP: Drew Brees (finally!), Saints
Offensive Player of the Year: Aaron Rodgers, Packers
Defensive Player of the Year: Joey Bosa, Chargers
Offensive Rookie of the Year: Calvin Ridley, Falcons
Defensive Rookie of the Year: Derwin James, Chargers
Coach of the Year: Anthony Lynn, Chargers
Comeback Player of the Year: Aaron Rodgers, Packers
Thanks for reading all the way through if you did! I’m very excited for this upcoming season, even if I didn’t predict my Seahawks to make the playoffs. They still have the potential to surprise a lot of people and prove me wrong by making the playoffs for the 6th time in 7 seasons. Here’s to an awesome 2018 NFL season!
I have divided this up into FOUR parts. First part is Ten Surprising predictions. These are predictions I like to make each year that only have a small chance of happening in hindsight, but last year I got 4/10 right. The one I was most proud of getting was the Seahawks having a better road record than home record. I also got right that a well-respected coach got fired before season’s end, that every division winner would have a better record than every wild card team, and that the AFC South would have a wild card team.
The second part will be my predicted records for each NFL team. Again, I made sure that all team records add up to a total of 256-256. The third part is my predictions for each Seahawk’s game, and what I expect to happen in each one. And lastly, I will predict the NFL playoffs, predict my Super Bowl matchup and ultimate Super Bowl Champion, as well as hand out the end-of-the-year awards.
Firstly, though, is my ten surprising predictions for the 2018 season:
1. The San Francisco 49ers will NOT have the rousing success everyone thinks they will this year, and they will lose more than they win.
The 49ers are everyone’s dark horse team for 2018, but I don’t think they will be much, if it all better this year. One, I don’t think Jimmy Garoppolo is as good as everyone thinks. He was a second round and not a first round pick for a reason. He also is dating a porn star and has already signed his lucrative contract, so he doesn’t have too much more to play for. Also, aside from Richard Sherman, the 49ers didn’t add a whole lot in the offseason. I think expectations will be too high and they will go 7-9 at best.
Well, I was right. But it wasn't all because they weren't ready. Most blame could be pointed to the Jimmy Garoppolo season-ending injury. However, I was right, so that's one.
2. No team will lose 13 or more games in 2018
The Browns have been the worst team the last two seasons, but with most expecting them to improve greatly and win a handful of games, there may not be THAT bad of a team this year. I predict the worst team will go 4-12 in a very competitive league.
I was SOOO close on this one! Only one team lost 13 or more games, and it was the Arizona Cardinals, and they lost 13.
3. The team that finishes with the worst record (or tied for worst record) in 2018 will have had a winning record in 2017.
Speaking of the worst record in the NFL, I’m not going to say who (you’ll have to see below), but the team that finishes with the worst record (and thus gets the #1 overall pick) will be a team that had a winning record in 2017. That is always a surprise to see. It doesn’t have to be the team I picked for this to be right, just a team that had a winning record in the 2017 season.
Again, SO CLOSE. The Cardinals, who had the worst record in 2018, went 8-8 in 2017. Figures.
4. The AFC representative in the Super Bowl won’t be the Patriots. Or the Steelers. In fact, it will be a team who hasn’t made it to the Super Bowl this millennium.
I think the AFC is due for a new Super Bowl contender. They haven’t had a team represent their conference minus Peyton Manning and Tom Brady since the Ravens made it in 2012. And they haven’t had a team win the Super Bowl that hadn’t already this millennium since the Colts in 2007.
Welp. I may have predicted the Patriots demise too early. For a while my prediction looked good as the Kansas City Chiefs would've made this prediction correct, but they came up so close in the AFC Championship.
5. The Seahawks AGAIN finish with a better road record than home record
I can make the same prediction two years in a row, can’t I? It’s my predictions. Just looking at the Seahawks schedule, I’ve noticed most of their tough non-divisional opponents (Dallas, GB, Minnesota, Kansas City) are at home while they face their easier divisional counterparts on the road (Oakland, Denver, Detroit, Chicago). It would be surprising for this anomaly to happen two years in a row for the Seahawks, but I think it will indeed happen again.
Not this time. The Seahawks lost winnable road games (San Francisco, Denver) and won some home games against decent opponents (Minnesota, Kansas City, Green Bay).
6. Neither team in the Super Bowl will have multiple Super Bowl wins
I think we’re going to see a Super Bowl with semi-inexperienced teams. There are plenty of teams with one or no Super Bowl titles (20 to be exact), but it’s not too likely that both Super Bowl participants will be like that. So that means no Patriots, no Steelers, no Packers.
If it was any matchup from the conference championship games OTHER than the Patriots, this would have been correct. The Rams, Saints, and Chiefs all have one Championship. Damn Patriots.
7. Among QB’s in their rookie or sophomore seasons, Mitch Trubisky will have the best (or tied for best) record
There are a lot of new and young faces at QB in the NFL. There were five rookie QB’s taken in the first round of this year’s draft, plus Mahomes in KC and Trubisky in Chicago will be playing their first full seasons. I expect Trubisky among all of those QB’s to have the best record as a starter or tied for the best.
Second one correct! He tied with Mahomes of the Chiefs for best record among first or second year QB's. I didn't foresee Mahomes's success but I saw the Bears making a run.
8. The AFC will have multiple divisions with only one team with a winning record.
Anyone paying attention to the NFL the past few years may have noticed most of the talent resides in the NFC. The NFC has more talented QB’s and better defenses. Therefore, I think there will be a couple divisions in the AFC with only one winning team. There will be a lot of sub-par AFC teams.
Only one division, I'm afraid. The AFC East only had one. The next closest was the AFC North, where the Steelers were second best at 9-6-1.
9. The Offensive Rookie of the Year won’t be one of the five QB’s drafted in the first round. It won’t even be Saquon Barkley.
I’m not positive on who it is, but I don’t see any of the first-round QB’s having rousing success in their first season (at least not enough to win Offensive ROY). I also don’t see a ton of success for Saquon Barkley, the first running back drafted. It will either be a QB drafted in the 2nd round or later, a different running back, or a different position altogether. Usually the OROY is a top QB chosen or the best running back, but it won’t be this year.
It was Saquon Barkley. I knew I was going out on a limb. The runner up was Baker Mayfield and he wouldn't have made my prediction correct, either.
10. No team will win more than 12 games, and there won’t be more than one team per conference with 12 wins.
There is a ton of parity in the NFL (especially the NFC), and I expect a lot of competitiveness, few blowouts, and a lot of upsets in the league this season. Therefore, there won’t be a team that runs away with its conference, and the most any team will win is 12 games, and there won’t even be two teams that do that in a conference. Maybe one per.
Oops. The Saints AND Rams both won 13, and they are both in the NFC. The Chiefs also won 12 in the AFC. Oh wells.
So after those ten bold predictions, you might have some idea as to how the divisions and records shape up. Here we go, with some comments on each division:
* = Wild Card
AFC EAST
1. Patriots: 10-6
2. Jets: 8-8
3. Dolphins: 6-10
4. Bills: 5-11
Comment: The Patriots have a rebuilt offensive line and very inexperienced receivers, so they’ll take a minor step back more than likely. But in a weak division, they’ll recapture the AFC East crown barring major injuries. The Jets should be competitive even though they are starting a 21-year-old rookie in Sam Darnold. The Fins, however, keep losing stars and Tannehill has a huge uphill climb to make coming back from injury. The Bills have decided to start Nathan Peterman Week 1, and there’s little chance that goes well.
AFC NORTH
1. Steelers: 12-4
2. Ravens: 8-8
3. Browns: 6-10
4. Bengals: 5-11
Comment: The Steelers beat up on their division, which frankly, I don’t see much competitiveness in outside of the Steel City. The Ravens do OK but may not play well enough for their head coach to keep his job. The Browns get off to a decent start and hover around .500 but suffer many losses in late November and December. The Bengals crash and burn, not being able to play complete and disciplined football.
AFC SOUTH
1. Houston Texans: 10-6
2. Jacksonville Jaguars: 10-6*
3. Indianapolis Colts: 9-7*
4. Tennessee Titans: 4-12
Comment: This should be one of the more competitive divisions in football and in my opinion, one of the most entertaining. The Texans get Watson back and he’ll be out to prove he’s no fluke. The Jags are out to prove last year was not a fluke themselves, and they should still be hungry after last year’s AFC Championship loss. The Colts get Luck on their side and become more competitive, but Luck will take some time readjusting to NFL game speed. The Titans have some new cool uni’s and a new coach, but I don’t like Derrick Henry as the sole featured back, and I have a bad feeling last year isn’t a fluke for Mariota and it will constantly be lingering in the back of his mind.
AFC WEST
1. Los Angeles Chargers: 11-5
2. Kansas City Chiefs: 9-7
3. Oakland Raiders: 6-10
4. Denver Broncos: 6-10
Comment: The Chargers boast one of the best all-around rosters in the NFL and had a great offseason. The Chiefs still have a great roster themselves, but made a major QB change, and with Mahomes in his first season as a starter, they will have some hiccups along the way. The Raiders will compete but their defense and run game will struggle at times; Beast Mode will show his age. The Broncos will realize Case Keenum was a one-year wonder and must go in search of their future franchise signal caller.
NFC EAST
1. Dallas Cowboys: 10-6
2. Philadelphia Eagles: 8-8
3. Washington Redskins: 7-9
4. New York Giants: 6-10
Comment: The Cowboys play well and capitalize by winning a lot of games in-division. The Eagles, who struggled in the preseason, have a letdown season and Carson Wentz has a setback with his injury. They also struggle with too many players with big egos, such as Michael Bennett. The Skins will do moderately well with Alex Smith at QB, but struggle against the better NFC teams. The G-Men will realize Eli Manning needs to be replaced sooner rather than later.
NFC NORTH
1. Green Bay Packers: 10-6
2. Minnesota Vikings: 10-6*
3. Chicago Bears: 9-7
4. Detroit Lions: 6-10
Comment: The Vikings and Packers should be in a battle all season long for the NFC North crown, and I wouldn’t be surprised if the lead changed in the last couple weeks. Aaron Rodgers, fresh off signing the largest contract in NFL history, leads the Pack and has an MVP type season. The Vikings just have too much talent to not win a bunch of games. The Bears and their new pass rusher Khalil Mack have a breakthrough season, but still ultimately miss the playoffs, but are optimistic going into 2019. The Lions become the odd man out in the division, as former Belichick assistants don’t tend to do well as head coaches (See Josh McDaniels, Romeo Crennel).
NFC SOUTH
1. New Orleans Saints: 12-4
2. Atlanta Falcons: 10-6*
3. Carolina Panthers: 7-9
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 4-12
Comment: The Saints, perhaps more than anyone, should be seething after how last season ended, so I expect them to play their hearts out. The Falcons still have a good roster all around, and many expect them to make a playoff run again. The Panthers, however, don’t have a real reliable running back, and a defense that is slowly losing pieces, and they usually don’t have back-to-back playoff seasons, and I still don’t expect them to. The Bucs aren’t going to have Jameis Winston for their first four games, and even when he gets back they won’t be much better.
NFC WEST
1. Los Angeles Rams: 11-5
2. Seattle Seahawks: ????
3. San Francisco 49ers: 7-9
4. Arizona Cardinals: 6-10
Comment: The Rams may have acquired some headache players like Suh and Marcus Peters but have too much talent to not win the division. As for the Seahawks, you’ll have to wait until my game-by-game predictions for them below. You know they’ll do at least 7-9 but no better than 11-5, based on their positioning above. The 49ers won’t be as good as many people think because teams that are this hyped usually don’t live up to the hype, and they have a QB, roster, and coach that haven’t proven anything yet. The Cardinals should compete, regardless of their quarterback, but their talent just doesn’t match up to most teams in the NFC.
So there you have it for the regular season! Now on to the Seahawks game by game predictions. How will they do? Find out below.
I’m not doing scores, because there’s a very very slim chance they’ll end up correct.
At Denver Broncos: Win (1-0)
The Hawks come out fighting. The Broncos show they’re not quite there and Case Keenum struggles at times. The last time the Hawks won in Denver, it was 2006. So they are due.
At Bears: Loss (1-1)
I originally had this game as a win, but I changed it after the Bears traded for Khalil Mack. I don’t think the Hawks will have too much success against him and the resurgent Bears D. It’ll be a close and tough defeat. Possibly low-scoring as well.
Vs. Cowboys: Loss (1-2)
The 12th Man can’t help the Hawks overcome the Cowboys in their home opener. The defense has trouble containing Ezekiel Elliott and the running game never gets going against Dallas’ tough front seven, leaving fans worrying about how bad this season will end up being.
At Cardinals: Win (2-2)
Hard to say which QB will start this game for the Cards, but I don’t think it matters too much. Again, could be a low-scoring game.
Vs. Rams: Loss (2-3)
The Hawks start the year with two straight home losses, and people start to wonder if the 12th Man is losing its touch. The Hawks go into this game seeking revenge for last year’s embarrassment at home, and while they do succeed in making it a closer game, still ultimately end up falling.
At Raiders in London: Win (3-3)
First game outside of North America for the Seahawks results in a W. Seahawks fans show up in droves as there appears to be many members of the 12th Man in the UK.
At Lions: Win (4-3)
The Hawks, well-rested after their bye, air it out in a shootout against Detroit and come out on top. Matt Patricia and Pete Carroll, two defensive coaches, end up wishing their D’s had done better.
Vs. Chargers: Win (5-3)
This will be a tough matchup, but the Hawks will have gone into November without a home win. They won’t allow it to continue. This will be like the Texans game last year: close, exciting, and the Hawks come out on top at home.
At Rams: Loss (5-4)
The Hawks fail to get 3 games above .500. They always play the Rams tough in L.A., and after last year’s lucky win I don’t think luck is in their favor this time, as the Rams end up sweeping the Hawks in 2018.
vs. Packers: Loss (5-5)
Aaron Rodgers has too many bad memories at Century Link. The Fail Mary game where he got sacked at least a half dozen times. The loss in the NFC Championship game. He’ll be out to rid himself of those demons. The Hawks fall to 1-3 at home.
at Panthers: Win (6-5)
There was a period near the beginning of the Seahawks renaissance where the Hawks beat the Panthers three straight years, all games in Carolina. I think they recapture some of that old magic and win. I also expect the Panthers to disappoint in 2018.
vs. 49ers: Win (7-5)
This should be a loud and exciting game that I see the Hawks winning in close and dramatic fashion. Like I said earlier, I don’t expect the 49ers to be as good as a lot of people think.
vs. Vikings: Loss (7-6)
This might be the most important game on the Seahawks schedule, based on its position in the schedule and who they’re playing. But the Hawks offense does not get much going against the stout Vikings defense, and Janikowski misses a late field goal.
At 49ers: Loss (7-7)
This proves to be a devastating loss towards the Seahawks playoff hopes. But they can’t stop Jimmy Garoppolo this time. Not in Santa Clara.
vs. Chiefs: Loss (7-8)
Another devastating loss. Pat Mahomes airs it out and the Chiefs rack up points on a tired and weary Hawks defense. This knocks the Hawks out of the playoff race for the second straight year.
vs. Cardinals: Win (8-8)
In what is now a meaningless game, the Hawks come out on top. They provide some hope for next season, knowing they must fill holes on D and on the offensive line.
So the Seahawks finish 8-8, no playoffs for the 2nd straight year. A three game losing streak in December ultimately does them in. The defense is not bad, but they are inconsistent. The running game and offensive line shows marginal improvement. Luck just won’t be on their side this year. But how does the rest of the NFL do in the playoffs? Let’s find out!
AFC Wild Card Round:
(6) Colts at (3) Patriots: Patriots win
This was a common playoff matchup in the 2000’s between Manning and Brady. Now it is Brady and Luck (again) and again Brady comes out on top. And yes, the Patriots do NOT get a first round BYE.
(5) Jaguars at (4) Texans: Jaguars win
I really like Deshaun Watson and the Texans, but they are not the most complete team in the AFC. The Jags defense torments Watson relentlessly and secure a trip to the divisional round.
NFC Wild Card Round:
(6) Falcons at (3) Cowboys: Cowboys win
The ‘Boys finally shake off their playoff woes and give fans of “America’s Team” reason to be optimistic. They win on a bad call by the refs (let’s face it, the NFL wants the Cowboys in as many high-profile games as possible).
(5) Vikings at (4) Packers: Packers win
It's always exciting when these two meet in the regular season. Add that it’s a playoff game and… woah. The Pack come out on top in the frigid temps of Green Bay as the Minnesota offense can’t get anything going, while the Green Bay offense does enough.
AFC DIVISIONAL ROUND:
(5) Jaguars at (1) Steelers: Steelers win
The Steelers win the rematch of last year’s AFC divisional matchup. They will want the game more, simply.
(3) Patriots at (2) Chargers: Chargers win
The Chargers win, with Phillip Rivers having no flashbacks to the 2000’s when they lost to the Patriots in the playoffs. The Patriots just won’t have as good of a roster. Coaching and strategy can only get you so far.
NFC DIVISIONAL ROUND:
(4) Packers at (1) Saints: Saints win
The Saints win a close and exciting game between two of the game’s best QB’s.
(3) Cowboys at (2) Rams: Cowboys win
In a battle of Hollywood’s team vs. America’s team, the ‘Boys come out on top because they play slightly more disciplined and hard-nose football. The Rams start to wonder what it will take to get their team to win a single playoff game.
AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME: (2) Chargers at (1) Steelers: Chargers win
Like I said earlier, the AFC will be represented by someone new. That will be the Chargers. They stun the Steelers fans who go home again disappointed.
NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME: (3) Cowboys at (1) Saints: Saints win
In a battle of two underdog QB’s (Prescott vs. Brees), the wily veteran Brees comes out on top. The Saints crowd proves to be too much for the Cowboys. The Saints move on to their 2nd Super Bowl.
SUPER BOWL LIII: Chargers vs. Saints: Saints win, 37-34
In a Super Bowl matchup of two bad-luck franchises and two QB’s who used to be teammates, Brees comes out on top. This ends up being one of the most entertaining Super Bowls, with a late score or defensive stop in the final seconds. Your 2018 and Super Bowl LIII champions are the New Orleans Saints!
Finally, some awards to hand out:
NFL MVP: Drew Brees (finally!), Saints
Offensive Player of the Year: Aaron Rodgers, Packers
Defensive Player of the Year: Joey Bosa, Chargers
Offensive Rookie of the Year: Calvin Ridley, Falcons
Defensive Rookie of the Year: Derwin James, Chargers
Coach of the Year: Anthony Lynn, Chargers
Comeback Player of the Year: Aaron Rodgers, Packers
Thanks for reading all the way through if you did! I’m very excited for this upcoming season, even if I didn’t predict my Seahawks to make the playoffs. They still have the potential to surprise a lot of people and prove me wrong by making the playoffs for the 6th time in 7 seasons. Here’s to an awesome 2018 NFL season!
Sunday, August 17, 2014
Seahawks Predictions (NFL Preview Part 2 of 3)
For the first time ever, the Seahawks return to play as
DEFENDING SUPER BOWL CHAMPIONS. Boy does
that sound good to say. The Seahawks
open their season with tough opponents and finish with tough opponents, with a
relatively easy middle part of their schedule.
How do I see them doing in each game?
Let's find out. I'll go game by
game, predicting the score for each contest.
Let's get to it!
Week 1 - Vs. Green Bay Packers: Win, 24-21
Hawks Record: 1-0
Opening night of the season, the Hawks fall behind early due to jitters and excitement and trail at the half 14-10. But in the 2nd half the defense steps up and the Seahawks score two unanswered touchdowns to make it 24-14. The Packers score in the 4th to make it close, and they are able to get the ball back, but the D stops them. Should be close and hard fought, I don't see them possibly scoring more than the combined 45 points I predicted.
Week 2 - At San Diego Chargers: Win, 28-13
Hawks Record: 2-0
San Diego was a playoff team a year ago, so this won't be too easy of a contest... you'd think. But Philip Rivers will struggle against the LoB, not having seen them at their current playing ability. Expect the D to make some big plays (turnovers, sacks) and the offense to only be ordinary at best in this one, which should be plenty enough.
Week 3 - Vs. Denver Broncos: Win, 31-24
Hawks Record: 3-0
In the rematch of Super Bowl XLVIII, the Hawks again get the upper hand and win. Peyton Manning will struggle at first with the noise but will eventually settle down. Broncos will get stopped on a last minute try to tie the game.
Week 5 - At Washington Redskins: Win, 28-10
Hawks Record: 4-0
The Seahawks are even better than the 2012 team that made the playoffs, but the same cannot be said for the team from Washington. Predicting easy wins on the first two road games is risky, I'll admit, but the team will be well rested after a Bye Week and should be hungry in this one to keep things going.
Week 6 - Vs. Dallas Cowboys: Win, 34-16
Hawks Record: 5-0
Tony Romo has nightmares about Century Link Field. I don't think he's ever won in Seattle, and that won't change. This should be similar to the 2012 home opener in which the Hawks won handily. This should also be one of the offense's better games of the season.
Week 7 - At St. Louis Rams: Loss, 20-19
Hawks Record: 5-1
Hard to do... but I can't see the Hawks going perfect. And I see the Rams as a much improved team. Should be close and hard fought, but the Hawks haven't done too well in recent years in St. Louis. If the Rams don't improve much in 2014 then I wouldn't be surprised if this was a win. But I think the Hawks may underestimate them.
Week 8 - At Carolina Panthers: Win, 10-7
Hawks Record: 6-1
How come the Seahawks have had to play IN Carolina for THREE straight years? I'd understand two years in a row, but THREE? That should not be allowed. But no matter, the Hawks should win a defensive bruiser of a contest, with both QB's not getting to 200 yards passing.
Week 9 - Vs. Oakland Raiders: Win, 34-9
Hawks Record: 7-1
A part of me thinks the Raiders will be an improved team, but even so, this is a game everyone circles as a win in their predictions. A loss to the Raiders at home would be inexcusable. Matt Schaub will have flashbacks to last season when he through a game-blowing pick to Richard Sherman, and so he'll likely throw a couple INT's here.
Week 10 - Vs. New York Giants: Win, 24-15
Hawks Record: 8-1
Whenever I pick the Giants to do poorly, they do well, and whenever I pick them to do well, they do poorly, so I give up. Regardless, Eli Manning's never had much success in Seattle, and while this may be a closer contest than what we'd like, it should still be a relatively easy win.
Week 11 - At Kansas City Chiefs: Loss, 28-20
Hawks Record: 8-2
Funny thing is, I don't see the Chiefs being as good as last year. But the Hawks, having played in their seventh straight game without an off week at a stadium that's always hard for the visitors, I think, will struggle. Jamaal Charles might have a big game. If he does, and Alex Smith takes care of the football, this will be a tough game to win. It's not too bad losing to a team on the road when they're in the other conference, because that doesn't factor into tiebreakers.
Week 12 - Vs. Arizona Cardinals: Win, 19-17
Hawks Record: 9-2
Two years ago in Seattle, the Hawks thwomped the Cardinals 58-0. Last year, the Cardinals got their revenge and stole a win from the Hawks in Seattle, the first home loss in quite some time. This time around, the Hawks are the ones getting revenge in what should be a tight contest again.
Week 13 - At San Francisco 49ers: Win, 21-16
Hawks Record: 10-2
It's about damn time we win in San Francisco. It's not a long flight, their fans aren't particularly loud, and the weather never plays a factor. Since this game is being played in the newly constructed Levi's Stadium, the Hawks might think of this as a neutral site game (especially since there WILL be some Hawk fans there) and forget that it's a road game. The Hawks know this is one of the most important games on their schedule, and their failure to win in San Francisco should fuel their desire for this win. Hawks in an upset.
Week 14 - At Philadelphia Eagles: Loss, 28-20.
Hawks Record: 10-3
The Eagles are more than likely the best team in the NFC East, and while I see this game going either way, I think the banged up Hawks (from the Niner game) struggle to contain Nick Foles and LeSean McCoy. This game would have some playoff implications, but it's not the end of the world if the Hawks lose. With two road contests in a row against NFC playoff teams from a year ago, the Hawks would probably be ok with going 1-1 in these contests.
Week 15 - Vs. San Francisco 49ers: Win, 27-13
Hawks Record: 11-3
The 49ers will be seeking revenge yet shall find none. Colin Kaepernick (if he's healthy) will struggle and the Hawks will put themselves in great position with this win. I expect it to be a close game for the most part, with the Hawks pulling away with a late score to make it a two-score game.
Week 16 - At Arizona Cardinals: Win, 24-14
Hawks Record: 12-3
Last season, the Hawks had a pretty resounding win against the Cardinals in Arizona, and I see a similar result here. For the 2nd straight year at the end of the season, the Hawks play at the site of the upcoming Super Bowl, and like last year, they will win. They'll look at this game as a Super Bowl dress rehearsal.
Week 17 - vs. St. Louis Rams: Loss, 19-17
Hawks Record: 12-4
In their defense, I'm predicting the Hawks to not have to win this game to secure a playoff spot. Sure, they'll give the Rams a good effort, but without 100% effort, expect the hungry Rams to take advantage. They haven't won in Seattle in quite some time, and that's due to change. But don't worry Hawk fans, this game won't matter to the Hawks at all.
Well, that's it. What? No post-season? Of course the Seahawks make the post-season. They're way too talented to miss them. But guess what? You're going to have to wait until part 3 of my NFL Predictions to see how they do in the playoffs. Sorry! Don't want to spoil too much. I'll give you a sneak peak. The first game the Hawks will play will be against...
THE RAMS.
"WHAT?!"
That's right. The Rams.
"So if the Rams make the playoffs, does that mean the 49ers miss them?"
You're going to have to wait and see.
Update:
Here is who I think will lead the Seahawks in each of the following categories. Passing and rushing leaders will obviously be Wilson and Lynch, respectively, but what about the other categories?
Receptions: Baldwin
Receiving Yards: Baldwin
Receiving TD's: Kearse
Sacks: Avril
Tackles: Thomas
Interceptions: Thomas
Week 1 - Vs. Green Bay Packers: Win, 24-21
Hawks Record: 1-0
Opening night of the season, the Hawks fall behind early due to jitters and excitement and trail at the half 14-10. But in the 2nd half the defense steps up and the Seahawks score two unanswered touchdowns to make it 24-14. The Packers score in the 4th to make it close, and they are able to get the ball back, but the D stops them. Should be close and hard fought, I don't see them possibly scoring more than the combined 45 points I predicted.
Week 2 - At San Diego Chargers: Win, 28-13
Hawks Record: 2-0
San Diego was a playoff team a year ago, so this won't be too easy of a contest... you'd think. But Philip Rivers will struggle against the LoB, not having seen them at their current playing ability. Expect the D to make some big plays (turnovers, sacks) and the offense to only be ordinary at best in this one, which should be plenty enough.
Week 3 - Vs. Denver Broncos: Win, 31-24
Hawks Record: 3-0
In the rematch of Super Bowl XLVIII, the Hawks again get the upper hand and win. Peyton Manning will struggle at first with the noise but will eventually settle down. Broncos will get stopped on a last minute try to tie the game.
Week 5 - At Washington Redskins: Win, 28-10
Hawks Record: 4-0
The Seahawks are even better than the 2012 team that made the playoffs, but the same cannot be said for the team from Washington. Predicting easy wins on the first two road games is risky, I'll admit, but the team will be well rested after a Bye Week and should be hungry in this one to keep things going.
Week 6 - Vs. Dallas Cowboys: Win, 34-16
Hawks Record: 5-0
Tony Romo has nightmares about Century Link Field. I don't think he's ever won in Seattle, and that won't change. This should be similar to the 2012 home opener in which the Hawks won handily. This should also be one of the offense's better games of the season.
Week 7 - At St. Louis Rams: Loss, 20-19
Hawks Record: 5-1
Hard to do... but I can't see the Hawks going perfect. And I see the Rams as a much improved team. Should be close and hard fought, but the Hawks haven't done too well in recent years in St. Louis. If the Rams don't improve much in 2014 then I wouldn't be surprised if this was a win. But I think the Hawks may underestimate them.
Week 8 - At Carolina Panthers: Win, 10-7
Hawks Record: 6-1
How come the Seahawks have had to play IN Carolina for THREE straight years? I'd understand two years in a row, but THREE? That should not be allowed. But no matter, the Hawks should win a defensive bruiser of a contest, with both QB's not getting to 200 yards passing.
Week 9 - Vs. Oakland Raiders: Win, 34-9
Hawks Record: 7-1
A part of me thinks the Raiders will be an improved team, but even so, this is a game everyone circles as a win in their predictions. A loss to the Raiders at home would be inexcusable. Matt Schaub will have flashbacks to last season when he through a game-blowing pick to Richard Sherman, and so he'll likely throw a couple INT's here.
Week 10 - Vs. New York Giants: Win, 24-15
Hawks Record: 8-1
Whenever I pick the Giants to do poorly, they do well, and whenever I pick them to do well, they do poorly, so I give up. Regardless, Eli Manning's never had much success in Seattle, and while this may be a closer contest than what we'd like, it should still be a relatively easy win.
Week 11 - At Kansas City Chiefs: Loss, 28-20
Hawks Record: 8-2
Funny thing is, I don't see the Chiefs being as good as last year. But the Hawks, having played in their seventh straight game without an off week at a stadium that's always hard for the visitors, I think, will struggle. Jamaal Charles might have a big game. If he does, and Alex Smith takes care of the football, this will be a tough game to win. It's not too bad losing to a team on the road when they're in the other conference, because that doesn't factor into tiebreakers.
Week 12 - Vs. Arizona Cardinals: Win, 19-17
Hawks Record: 9-2
Two years ago in Seattle, the Hawks thwomped the Cardinals 58-0. Last year, the Cardinals got their revenge and stole a win from the Hawks in Seattle, the first home loss in quite some time. This time around, the Hawks are the ones getting revenge in what should be a tight contest again.
Week 13 - At San Francisco 49ers: Win, 21-16
Hawks Record: 10-2
It's about damn time we win in San Francisco. It's not a long flight, their fans aren't particularly loud, and the weather never plays a factor. Since this game is being played in the newly constructed Levi's Stadium, the Hawks might think of this as a neutral site game (especially since there WILL be some Hawk fans there) and forget that it's a road game. The Hawks know this is one of the most important games on their schedule, and their failure to win in San Francisco should fuel their desire for this win. Hawks in an upset.
Week 14 - At Philadelphia Eagles: Loss, 28-20.
Hawks Record: 10-3
The Eagles are more than likely the best team in the NFC East, and while I see this game going either way, I think the banged up Hawks (from the Niner game) struggle to contain Nick Foles and LeSean McCoy. This game would have some playoff implications, but it's not the end of the world if the Hawks lose. With two road contests in a row against NFC playoff teams from a year ago, the Hawks would probably be ok with going 1-1 in these contests.
Week 15 - Vs. San Francisco 49ers: Win, 27-13
Hawks Record: 11-3
The 49ers will be seeking revenge yet shall find none. Colin Kaepernick (if he's healthy) will struggle and the Hawks will put themselves in great position with this win. I expect it to be a close game for the most part, with the Hawks pulling away with a late score to make it a two-score game.
Week 16 - At Arizona Cardinals: Win, 24-14
Hawks Record: 12-3
Last season, the Hawks had a pretty resounding win against the Cardinals in Arizona, and I see a similar result here. For the 2nd straight year at the end of the season, the Hawks play at the site of the upcoming Super Bowl, and like last year, they will win. They'll look at this game as a Super Bowl dress rehearsal.
Week 17 - vs. St. Louis Rams: Loss, 19-17
Hawks Record: 12-4
In their defense, I'm predicting the Hawks to not have to win this game to secure a playoff spot. Sure, they'll give the Rams a good effort, but without 100% effort, expect the hungry Rams to take advantage. They haven't won in Seattle in quite some time, and that's due to change. But don't worry Hawk fans, this game won't matter to the Hawks at all.
Well, that's it. What? No post-season? Of course the Seahawks make the post-season. They're way too talented to miss them. But guess what? You're going to have to wait until part 3 of my NFL Predictions to see how they do in the playoffs. Sorry! Don't want to spoil too much. I'll give you a sneak peak. The first game the Hawks will play will be against...
THE RAMS.
"WHAT?!"
That's right. The Rams.
"So if the Rams make the playoffs, does that mean the 49ers miss them?"
You're going to have to wait and see.
Update:
Here is who I think will lead the Seahawks in each of the following categories. Passing and rushing leaders will obviously be Wilson and Lynch, respectively, but what about the other categories?
Receptions: Baldwin
Receiving Yards: Baldwin
Receiving TD's: Kearse
Sacks: Avril
Tackles: Thomas
Interceptions: Thomas
Friday, January 24, 2014
My Seahawks Journey and Extensive Super Bowl Prediction
Hey guys, I first want to start out by apologizing for the long delay in
between blog posts. I've been busy and
really haven't felt the need or want to write about something. Anyway, here we are in 2014 and the Seahawks
have made it to their second ever Super Bowl.
What a great season they have had, and hopefully it ends on a high
note. I'm going to talk about my life as
a Seahawk fan for a bit, how I became a Seahawks fan and certain notable games
I remember, and then it will all lead up to my predictions for the Super Bowl,
which will include an interesting analogy.
The first Seahawks season that I can remember was 1999, the last season in the Kingdome. The Seahawks went 9-7 that year, winning the AFC West Division Championship and earning their first playoff trip since 1988. I got into the Seahawks around that time because I had just gotten into watching sports (including the Mariners and Sonics), but also because of my dad. Before I was born, my dad would record every Seahawks game on VHS, but had to stop once me and my sister were born. I remember watching one of the games he recorded. He eventually gave the tapes of the games to Seahawks and Seattle sports super fan, Lorin Sandretzky, also known as "Big Lo".
I even went to a few games in Husky Stadium while Seahawks Stadium (which eventually became Qwest Field which became CenturyLink Field) was being built. I saw the Seahawks lose to the Broncos, but I also saw the Hawks cream the Raiders on Sunday Night Football, in which Shaun Alexander got a team record 266 yards rushing. I feel after that game I really fell in love with the Seahawks.
After 1999, the Seahawks still remained in mediocrity until 2003, when they made the playoffs again. I remember watching that playoff game against the Packers in the freezing cold, when the game went into overtime. Matt Hasselbeck infamously declared, "We want the ball, we're gonna score". He then proceeded to throw a pick six to Al Harris to seal the win for the Packers. The Seahawks made the playoffs the following year, but lost to the Rams at home in the playoffs, which also happens to be the last time the Seahawks lost a home playoff game.
The following year, of course, was the Seahawks Super Bowl season. I was so hung up on every game that every loss left me devastated and depressed for the next week. After the Super Bowl loss to the Steelers, I was so upset that I smashed every one of my Steelers miniature helmets I had at the time.
The remaining Seahawks players made the playoffs a few more times, but never mustered any real playoff run. Then the Seahawks had a few bad seasons, which eventually led to them hiring Pete Carroll. Pete and John Schneider, the GM, have put together arguably the best roster in Seahawks history. Now they are one win away from the team's first ever Super Bowl title.
I haven't let myself get hung up on games this year like in years past. Just last season, when the Seahawks playoff run ended in a loss to the Falcons, I remember feeling so hopeless for the team, thinking that was our only shot. But now, the following season, the Seahawks have gotten to the final game. But for this game, I'm not going to let it affect me as much as others if we lose. It helps to have a team and quarterback as opposition that I'm both a fan of. I can never hate the Broncos or Peyton Manning, because they're both a big reason why I became a bigger fan of football than anything else. If the Seahawks lose, it's not the end of the world, nor is it the end of their run.
Now, for predictions. At the start of the football season, way back in August, I predicted a Super Bowl matchup between the Broncos and Seahawks, and look how right I was. Sure, I missed on a few playoff teams (Oops on Texans, Ravens, Falcons, Giants, and Rams), but I got the end result correct. Now, I predicted a final score of 27-24 Broncos. But that was when I thought our defense would have a bit of a down year with a new defensive coordinator. So, let's go over what I think will really happen:
First quarter:
Seahawks win toss--defer to second half
-Manning and Broncos slowed by weather, punt on first possession.
-Wilson and Seahawks go 3 and out, which is something we've grown used to seeing over the past couple months.
-Broncos get decent field position thanks to a good punt return by Decker, but settle for a field goal.
- Seahawks get ball and are driving as quarter ends.
After one quarter: DEN-3, SEA-0
Second quarter:
- Seahawks drive to red zone, but a fumbled exchange between Lynch and Wilson gives the ball to the Broncos.
- Peyton Manning finds Demaryius Thomas for a long bomb, scoring the game's first TD.
- Seahawks drive again, thanks to some good runs by Lynch, but have to settle for a field goal.
- Broncos get stopped on some pass deflections by the Legion of Boom.
- Seahawks get ball back, but have to settle for a sizeable field goal try, which Hauschka misses to end the half.
After two quarters: DEN-10, SEA-3
Third quarter:
- Seahawks go 3 and out to start the half.
- Broncos drive to the red zone, but Manning is stripped by Cliff Avril and the Seahawks recover.
- Wilson finds Golden Tate on a 40 yard strike, which eventually sets up a Lynch touchdown to tie the game.
- On Manning's first pass of the next drive, Byron Maxwell steps in front of a pass and returns it for a TD.
After three quarters: DEN-10, SEA-17
Fourth quarter:
- Manning and the Broncos go on a methodical drive, getting chunks of short passes and eventually get a Julius Thomas TD.
- Seahawks get to 40 yard line, go for it on 4th down, but can't convert.
- Broncos drive and get to a 4th and 1, but with the conditions and without a strong running game they have to kick a field goal, which Matt Prater does.
- Seahawks get the ball back, but are stopped on 3rd down near midfield. Carroll decides to punt and Jon Ryan is able to pin the Broncos at the 10, with about 3 minutes to go.
- Manning and the offense is stuffed, but they take the time down to 2 minutes. They punt it away to Tate, who muffs it at first but then recovers and gets a few yards.
- Seahawks get a clutch pass to Doug Baldwin, which is a tiptoe sideline catch on third down, which many people will then say is one of the best Super Bowl catches ever. The Seahawks run out of downs, however, and settle for a game tying field goal. Broncos take their remaining timeouts to keep time on the clock, but once they get the ball decide to just kneel.
After four quarters: DEN-20, SEA-20
That's right, the first ever Super Bowl to go into overtime!
Overtime:
- Seahawks lose the toss, which is fine with them because of their D.
- Broncos get the ball, and a pass is tipped and intercepted by Earl Thomas, who returns it to the Broncos 40!
- Seahawks get a first down with a few Lynch runs, and set up a game winning field goal try from the 22. Hauschka makes it, and the Seahawks win one of the most dramatic Super Bowls in history.
FINAL SCORE: DEN-20, SEA-23
MVP: Marshawn Lynch, 21-105, 1 TD
I think if the above were to happen many Seahawks fans would die of heart failure. Anything's possible, though. Before I wrap up, an analogy like I promised:
Their once was a team with a great defense. Maybe even better than great. They had talent at every level on the defense. Their offense was above average and usually good enough to get them enough points to win. Sound familiar? No, this isn't the Seahawks. This team I'm talking about had a good running game as well, and some receivers that weren't All-Pro but made the big catches when it mattered. Their quarterback wasn't even a Pro Bowler, but he was good enough.
This team made it all the way to the Super Bowl as a representative for the NFC. They had the best defense in the league, and maybe, one of the best defenses ever, with two already having gone to the Hall of Fame. In the Super Bowl, they faced the team with the #1 offense and the League MVP at Quarterback. But in the Super Bowl, they stopped this #1 offense by getting FIVE interceptions, two of which were returned for touchdowns. This team? The 2002-2003 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. They beat the #1 offense of the Raiders and MVP Rich Gannon in Super Bowl XXXVII by a score of 48-21. All I'm saying is that if the Buccaneers can do it, so can the Seahawks. Sure, Peyton Manning might be a step or two above Rich Gannon, but now is the time to shine as a defense, just like the Buccaneers did. This was also the last time the #1 offense and #1 defense met in the Super Bowl.
So, let's hope the Seahawks can repeat what the Buccaneers did. Let's hope for the first major sports championship in this city in 35 years. Let's hope for a Seahawks Super Bowl Title! GO HAWKS!!!
The first Seahawks season that I can remember was 1999, the last season in the Kingdome. The Seahawks went 9-7 that year, winning the AFC West Division Championship and earning their first playoff trip since 1988. I got into the Seahawks around that time because I had just gotten into watching sports (including the Mariners and Sonics), but also because of my dad. Before I was born, my dad would record every Seahawks game on VHS, but had to stop once me and my sister were born. I remember watching one of the games he recorded. He eventually gave the tapes of the games to Seahawks and Seattle sports super fan, Lorin Sandretzky, also known as "Big Lo".
I even went to a few games in Husky Stadium while Seahawks Stadium (which eventually became Qwest Field which became CenturyLink Field) was being built. I saw the Seahawks lose to the Broncos, but I also saw the Hawks cream the Raiders on Sunday Night Football, in which Shaun Alexander got a team record 266 yards rushing. I feel after that game I really fell in love with the Seahawks.
After 1999, the Seahawks still remained in mediocrity until 2003, when they made the playoffs again. I remember watching that playoff game against the Packers in the freezing cold, when the game went into overtime. Matt Hasselbeck infamously declared, "We want the ball, we're gonna score". He then proceeded to throw a pick six to Al Harris to seal the win for the Packers. The Seahawks made the playoffs the following year, but lost to the Rams at home in the playoffs, which also happens to be the last time the Seahawks lost a home playoff game.
The following year, of course, was the Seahawks Super Bowl season. I was so hung up on every game that every loss left me devastated and depressed for the next week. After the Super Bowl loss to the Steelers, I was so upset that I smashed every one of my Steelers miniature helmets I had at the time.
The remaining Seahawks players made the playoffs a few more times, but never mustered any real playoff run. Then the Seahawks had a few bad seasons, which eventually led to them hiring Pete Carroll. Pete and John Schneider, the GM, have put together arguably the best roster in Seahawks history. Now they are one win away from the team's first ever Super Bowl title.
I haven't let myself get hung up on games this year like in years past. Just last season, when the Seahawks playoff run ended in a loss to the Falcons, I remember feeling so hopeless for the team, thinking that was our only shot. But now, the following season, the Seahawks have gotten to the final game. But for this game, I'm not going to let it affect me as much as others if we lose. It helps to have a team and quarterback as opposition that I'm both a fan of. I can never hate the Broncos or Peyton Manning, because they're both a big reason why I became a bigger fan of football than anything else. If the Seahawks lose, it's not the end of the world, nor is it the end of their run.
Now, for predictions. At the start of the football season, way back in August, I predicted a Super Bowl matchup between the Broncos and Seahawks, and look how right I was. Sure, I missed on a few playoff teams (Oops on Texans, Ravens, Falcons, Giants, and Rams), but I got the end result correct. Now, I predicted a final score of 27-24 Broncos. But that was when I thought our defense would have a bit of a down year with a new defensive coordinator. So, let's go over what I think will really happen:
First quarter:
Seahawks win toss--defer to second half
-Manning and Broncos slowed by weather, punt on first possession.
-Wilson and Seahawks go 3 and out, which is something we've grown used to seeing over the past couple months.
-Broncos get decent field position thanks to a good punt return by Decker, but settle for a field goal.
- Seahawks get ball and are driving as quarter ends.
After one quarter: DEN-3, SEA-0
Second quarter:
- Seahawks drive to red zone, but a fumbled exchange between Lynch and Wilson gives the ball to the Broncos.
- Peyton Manning finds Demaryius Thomas for a long bomb, scoring the game's first TD.
- Seahawks drive again, thanks to some good runs by Lynch, but have to settle for a field goal.
- Broncos get stopped on some pass deflections by the Legion of Boom.
- Seahawks get ball back, but have to settle for a sizeable field goal try, which Hauschka misses to end the half.
After two quarters: DEN-10, SEA-3
Third quarter:
- Seahawks go 3 and out to start the half.
- Broncos drive to the red zone, but Manning is stripped by Cliff Avril and the Seahawks recover.
- Wilson finds Golden Tate on a 40 yard strike, which eventually sets up a Lynch touchdown to tie the game.
- On Manning's first pass of the next drive, Byron Maxwell steps in front of a pass and returns it for a TD.
After three quarters: DEN-10, SEA-17
Fourth quarter:
- Manning and the Broncos go on a methodical drive, getting chunks of short passes and eventually get a Julius Thomas TD.
- Seahawks get to 40 yard line, go for it on 4th down, but can't convert.
- Broncos drive and get to a 4th and 1, but with the conditions and without a strong running game they have to kick a field goal, which Matt Prater does.
- Seahawks get the ball back, but are stopped on 3rd down near midfield. Carroll decides to punt and Jon Ryan is able to pin the Broncos at the 10, with about 3 minutes to go.
- Manning and the offense is stuffed, but they take the time down to 2 minutes. They punt it away to Tate, who muffs it at first but then recovers and gets a few yards.
- Seahawks get a clutch pass to Doug Baldwin, which is a tiptoe sideline catch on third down, which many people will then say is one of the best Super Bowl catches ever. The Seahawks run out of downs, however, and settle for a game tying field goal. Broncos take their remaining timeouts to keep time on the clock, but once they get the ball decide to just kneel.
After four quarters: DEN-20, SEA-20
That's right, the first ever Super Bowl to go into overtime!
Overtime:
- Seahawks lose the toss, which is fine with them because of their D.
- Broncos get the ball, and a pass is tipped and intercepted by Earl Thomas, who returns it to the Broncos 40!
- Seahawks get a first down with a few Lynch runs, and set up a game winning field goal try from the 22. Hauschka makes it, and the Seahawks win one of the most dramatic Super Bowls in history.
FINAL SCORE: DEN-20, SEA-23
MVP: Marshawn Lynch, 21-105, 1 TD
I think if the above were to happen many Seahawks fans would die of heart failure. Anything's possible, though. Before I wrap up, an analogy like I promised:
Their once was a team with a great defense. Maybe even better than great. They had talent at every level on the defense. Their offense was above average and usually good enough to get them enough points to win. Sound familiar? No, this isn't the Seahawks. This team I'm talking about had a good running game as well, and some receivers that weren't All-Pro but made the big catches when it mattered. Their quarterback wasn't even a Pro Bowler, but he was good enough.
This team made it all the way to the Super Bowl as a representative for the NFC. They had the best defense in the league, and maybe, one of the best defenses ever, with two already having gone to the Hall of Fame. In the Super Bowl, they faced the team with the #1 offense and the League MVP at Quarterback. But in the Super Bowl, they stopped this #1 offense by getting FIVE interceptions, two of which were returned for touchdowns. This team? The 2002-2003 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. They beat the #1 offense of the Raiders and MVP Rich Gannon in Super Bowl XXXVII by a score of 48-21. All I'm saying is that if the Buccaneers can do it, so can the Seahawks. Sure, Peyton Manning might be a step or two above Rich Gannon, but now is the time to shine as a defense, just like the Buccaneers did. This was also the last time the #1 offense and #1 defense met in the Super Bowl.
So, let's hope the Seahawks can repeat what the Buccaneers did. Let's hope for the first major sports championship in this city in 35 years. Let's hope for a Seahawks Super Bowl Title! GO HAWKS!!!
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