Survivor 48 has had its premiere, and what an interesting cast we have so far. Like past seasons, I'm going to give each player remaining in the game (and the booted player) four words to describe the current state of their game, what they need to do, what I noticed, and anything that might stand out about them to me. I'll then elaborate a tiny bit on that, especially early on considering I have a lot of players to get through.
As always, I'll be starting with my lowest-ranked player, then going sequentially to my highest ranked player. This first week is based off of my pre-season rankings from my other Survivor 48 post. Let's go!EPISODE 1 FOUR WORD GAME
Thomas: Not an early boot
Thomas bonding with the men and Bianca proves to me he's likely making the merge. In fact, one could argue he's one of the most insulated players in the game. I think I was very wrong on Thomas.
Shauhin: Male alliance should carry
The ironically named "California Girls" alliance should carry Shauhin for a while. It's good that Shauhin and Joe are cool with that.
Bianca: Alliance with men crucial
It may not be the best spot, but being the #4 in the California Girls alliance is better than nothing (although Bianca is from New Jersey). Trying to turn on them would be dumb. The men have the control on that tribe.
Cedrek: Must turn if necessary
Cedrek formed an alliance with Sai, and a semi-alliance with Justin and Kevin. If Justin and Kevin propose it, Cedrek must be willing to turn on her or he'll go down with her.
Sai: Record setting aggressive machine
Sai is a record-setter as she broke the record for confessionals in one episode with 21! That largely had to do with her idol find, but wow. She's also playing very aggressively on a tribe that's likely going to tribal again. That's extremely risky. She would be wise to play her idol at the next tribal.
Mitch: Will be heartbreaking boot
I definitely have a different perception of Mitch now than I did preseason. Had I actually watched his video, I would've seen how bad his stutter is. So it'll be interesting to see how other players treat him. He doesn't seem to be in the best spot (a four-person alliance formed on his tribe without him in it), so it doesn't look great.
Joe: Sacrifices game for Eva?
That comment that he'd rather go home than turn on her spoke volumes, and I believe him. Joe seems like such a stand-up dude. He and Eva were definitely framed in a positive light. Plus, his physical nature is helping his tribe beast challenges so far. Also, I was very wrong about purple being the disaster tribe. It's green.
Kamilla: Oddball fitting in okay
Kamilla formed a bond and a four-person alliance with Kyle, David, and Chrissy. That was good to see for her. I think others might find her kooky, so while she's fitting in now, don't count on it all season.
Eva: Picked the right person
To confide in. I think we'll be looking back at that moment towards the end of this season as a huge point in the game. I think Eva and Joe both make it far. I don't see people gunning for Eva as a threat, and Joe will be around to protect her.
David: Rubbing people wrong way
He just comes off as one of those macho guys that people don't really get along with unless they too are a macho guy. The questions he asked were weird, but fortunately for him, he's in an alliance.
Mary: Bottom on bad tribe
The worst spot to be in. She voted incorrectly at the first tribal, and their tribe looks like they'll likely lose multiple challenges. Mary's got a lot of work to do to just make the merge. We could be looking at an Ua 2.0 here, when Shan and Ricard were the only two to make the merge from their tribe (in 41).
Charity: On outs and quiet
Not great. She wasn't included in the alliance, some things were said about her to make us think she's going soon, and we didn't get a ton of content from her, anyway. It's not looking great for Charity.
Justin: Let pizza analogies fly!
I may reference pizza in every one of his Four Word games, just FYI. Love the pizza analogies and love the pizza shirt. Unfortunately for Justin, he's on a bad tribe, so hopefully they recover. Fortunately, though, he and Kevin seem to be in the prime position to decide who goes.
Star: Clearly first to go
On Lagi, anyway. There's the California Girls (aka the men), and Thomas has a connection to Bianca while Joe has a connection to Eva. That leaves Star on the outs. Sucks for her.
Chrissy: Already see she's lasting
I can already tell from one episode that Chrissy is going to last a while. Orange likely won't go to too many pre-merge tribals, and if they do, Charity and Mitch are ahead of her in the pecking order. She could be yet another older lady that loses at the end.
Kyle: Good dude, deserves better
That was awesome of Kyle to help Kevin finish since he was essentially DQ'ed. Which, I gotta say, why not use less breakable glass? I hate when the challenge fails the contestant, which is what happened. I would've argued it so much. I wish nothing but the best for Kyle.
Kevin: Shaky situation, not doomed
It's a shaky situation since he's on such a bad tribe it seems, but he's in a good spot, and let's not forget, we've seen multiple winners emerge from bad tribes. Ricard almost did it, Yam-Yam did it, and Kenzie did it. Also, weird how they cut out medical looking at his shoulder, since it was in the promo for the season aired at the end of 47.
And to our departed player...
Stephanie: Drew the short straw
Talk about awful luck. Put on a terrible tribe. Each of the other tribes has a really buff dude. Kevin is fairly buff, but not that buff. Anyway, Steph just got really unlucky, and couldn't get her shot in the dark to hit. At least Mary stuck by her.
All right, first rankings of the season (after seeing at least one episode). The number in parentheses is how much they differ from my previous ranking of them, and in this case, that would be my pre-season ranking from my Survivor 48 Preview and Predictions post. Here is how I rank the remaining 17:
17. Mary (-9)
16. Charity (-9)
15. Sai (-1)
14. Star (-10)
13. Cedrek (+2)
12. Mitch (+1)
11. Justin (-6)
10. Kamilla (+1)
9. Bianca (+7)
8. David (+1)
7. Shauhin (+10)
6. Thomas (+12)
5. Kyle (-3)
4. Joe (+8)
3. Chrissy (0)
2. Eva (+8)
1. Kevin (0)
Biggest rise: Thomas (+12!) also Shauhin +10, Joe and Eva +8
Biggest fall: Star (-10), also Mary and Charity (-9)
Well, there's always going to be a ton of movement early, and this season is no exception. I am sticking with my winner pick for now, but I bet we'll get some really good content from someone else in the near future that'll make me pick a new #1. Crazy how the bottom 4 are women, but those are the four people most in danger of being voted out next episode.
AFTER EPISODE 2 FOUR WORD GAME
Side note: This is going to be a quicker one (less detailed) because I'm not a fan of how one tribe is getting decimated... plus my winner pick just got voted out early... again.
Mary: Still doomed, I'm sorry
On the worst tribe, they're almost for sure going to lose again after voting out Kevin.
Charity: Like Dee's big toes?
What is Survivor's weird fetish with feet? First Dee's big toes now Charity's weird foot? Hard to say. It's good to see she has a buddy in Mitch, but it's 2 against 4.
Sai: Female Rome this season
Chaotic, advantages, getting into arguments. She's a female Rome. That likely means she's not going very far. especially considering what tribe she's on.
Star: Had to include someone
On her beware advantage. But no one seems that inclined to help her. But she may have gained a little trust at least.
Cedrek: Low-key worst competitor
Cedrek sucks at challenges. He's bringing them down. Safe to say they do much better if they have Stephanie over him. But at least he has the Kevin move (which he didn't orchestrate).
Mitch: Incredibly wholesome likable dude
That's what Mitch is. He'll likely make the merge, but his likability will paint a target on his back.
Justin: Extremely risky move made
Turning on Kevin like that... sheesh. Now he has to hope they have a tribe swap or merge before he gets voted out, because they're likely not winning anything.
Kamilla: Brains behind her duo
Her and Kyle are quite the underrated duo, and Kamilla showed she's the brains.
Bianca: Not much content early
She has the fewest confessionals through two episodes with a total of 2, one each episode. Not great.
David: Play up goofball energy
Seriously. If he does, people won't take him seriously and he may slip by in this game.
Shauhin: Handled advantage situation well
Once Joe brought him in, I thought he handled it well, and he was wise to be suspicious of Thomas being sneaky.
Thomas: Evil side to him
Wanting Shauhin to lose the guide that would help Star find the idol. Not sure if that's allowed. But man, that shows Thomas is willing to do whatever it takes. I like that.
Kyle: Couldn't figure out puzzle?
He got the letters but needed Kamilla's help to solve the word puzzle? And this dude is a lawyer? It makes me think she's got much better chance to win than him.
Joe: Everyone goes to him
First Eva now Star. Shows Joe as being approachable, trustworthy, and likable. That's huge.
Chrissy: Not enough content yet
Like Bianca, Chrissy's getting not much. She had the whole deep belly button thing, but it was among Kyle's wart/callous and David's four nipples.
Eva: Needs connection to another
She has a good bond with Joe, but who else? She would be smart to warm up to Thomas, Bianca, or Shauhin and solidify their fivesome.
And to our departed player...
Kevin: Never run game early
Kevin thought that he was running the game early. Never think that. In fact, you can't even think that until like Final 6 or 5. Even if you're the only muscle on your tribe, your tribemates will turn on you. Shame.
New power rankings! Definitely going to be some shakeups. Can't believe my #1 got booted episode 2. Sigh. Well, here they are:
16. Sai (-1)
15. Mary (+2)
14. Cedrek (-1)
13. Justin (-2)
12. Star (+2)
11. Charity (+5)
10. Mitch (+2)
9. Chrissy (-6)
8. Bianca (+1)
7. Kyle (-2)
6. David (+2)
5. Thomas (+1)
4. Eva (-2)
3. Kamilla (+7)
2. Joe (+2)
1. Shauhin (+6)
Biggest rise: Kamilla (+7), also Shauhin (+6) and Charity (+5)
Biggest fall: Chrissy (-6)
Clearly had to choose a new #1, and it's Shauhin! I think he's the most insulated on his tribe. Well it's either him or Joe, and I think Joe may be more of a threat. Hard to say. I just really liked how Shauhin handled Star's advantage situation, and I liked how Joe felt the need to include him. Both males to have won in the New Era had big beards (Gabler and Yam-Yam), and Shauhin is no different. Kamilla rises for me as well, I think she's a dark horse and I'm liking her more. The entire Vula tribe is on the bottom for me, for obvious reasons. They literally could not have done worse in this game, outside of one thing. They've finished last in each tribe challenge, and Mary was the only one to lose on the journey. The only thing any of them ever won was when Kevin beat Kyle to get supplies, and even then, they only one because Kyle accidentally broke his jug. He likely wins if he doesn't. And the only guy that's ever won anything for them? They just voted him out.
12. Mitch (+1)
11. Justin (-6)
10. Kamilla (+1)
9. Bianca (+7)
8. David (+1)
7. Shauhin (+10)
6. Thomas (+12)
5. Kyle (-3)
4. Joe (+8)
3. Chrissy (0)
2. Eva (+8)
1. Kevin (0)
Biggest rise: Thomas (+12!) also Shauhin +10, Joe and Eva +8
Biggest fall: Star (-10), also Mary and Charity (-9)
Well, there's always going to be a ton of movement early, and this season is no exception. I am sticking with my winner pick for now, but I bet we'll get some really good content from someone else in the near future that'll make me pick a new #1. Crazy how the bottom 4 are women, but those are the four people most in danger of being voted out next episode.
AFTER EPISODE 2 FOUR WORD GAME
Side note: This is going to be a quicker one (less detailed) because I'm not a fan of how one tribe is getting decimated... plus my winner pick just got voted out early... again.
Mary: Still doomed, I'm sorry
On the worst tribe, they're almost for sure going to lose again after voting out Kevin.
Charity: Like Dee's big toes?
What is Survivor's weird fetish with feet? First Dee's big toes now Charity's weird foot? Hard to say. It's good to see she has a buddy in Mitch, but it's 2 against 4.
Sai: Female Rome this season
Chaotic, advantages, getting into arguments. She's a female Rome. That likely means she's not going very far. especially considering what tribe she's on.
Star: Had to include someone
On her beware advantage. But no one seems that inclined to help her. But she may have gained a little trust at least.
Cedrek: Low-key worst competitor
Cedrek sucks at challenges. He's bringing them down. Safe to say they do much better if they have Stephanie over him. But at least he has the Kevin move (which he didn't orchestrate).
Mitch: Incredibly wholesome likable dude
That's what Mitch is. He'll likely make the merge, but his likability will paint a target on his back.
Justin: Extremely risky move made
Turning on Kevin like that... sheesh. Now he has to hope they have a tribe swap or merge before he gets voted out, because they're likely not winning anything.
Kamilla: Brains behind her duo
Her and Kyle are quite the underrated duo, and Kamilla showed she's the brains.
Bianca: Not much content early
She has the fewest confessionals through two episodes with a total of 2, one each episode. Not great.
David: Play up goofball energy
Seriously. If he does, people won't take him seriously and he may slip by in this game.
Shauhin: Handled advantage situation well
Once Joe brought him in, I thought he handled it well, and he was wise to be suspicious of Thomas being sneaky.
Thomas: Evil side to him
Wanting Shauhin to lose the guide that would help Star find the idol. Not sure if that's allowed. But man, that shows Thomas is willing to do whatever it takes. I like that.
Kyle: Couldn't figure out puzzle?
He got the letters but needed Kamilla's help to solve the word puzzle? And this dude is a lawyer? It makes me think she's got much better chance to win than him.
Joe: Everyone goes to him
First Eva now Star. Shows Joe as being approachable, trustworthy, and likable. That's huge.
Chrissy: Not enough content yet
Like Bianca, Chrissy's getting not much. She had the whole deep belly button thing, but it was among Kyle's wart/callous and David's four nipples.
Eva: Needs connection to another
She has a good bond with Joe, but who else? She would be smart to warm up to Thomas, Bianca, or Shauhin and solidify their fivesome.
And to our departed player...
Kevin: Never run game early
Kevin thought that he was running the game early. Never think that. In fact, you can't even think that until like Final 6 or 5. Even if you're the only muscle on your tribe, your tribemates will turn on you. Shame.
New power rankings! Definitely going to be some shakeups. Can't believe my #1 got booted episode 2. Sigh. Well, here they are:
16. Sai (-1)
15. Mary (+2)
14. Cedrek (-1)
13. Justin (-2)
12. Star (+2)
11. Charity (+5)
10. Mitch (+2)
9. Chrissy (-6)
8. Bianca (+1)
7. Kyle (-2)
6. David (+2)
5. Thomas (+1)
4. Eva (-2)
3. Kamilla (+7)
2. Joe (+2)
1. Shauhin (+6)
Biggest rise: Kamilla (+7), also Shauhin (+6) and Charity (+5)
Biggest fall: Chrissy (-6)
Clearly had to choose a new #1, and it's Shauhin! I think he's the most insulated on his tribe. Well it's either him or Joe, and I think Joe may be more of a threat. Hard to say. I just really liked how Shauhin handled Star's advantage situation, and I liked how Joe felt the need to include him. Both males to have won in the New Era had big beards (Gabler and Yam-Yam), and Shauhin is no different. Kamilla rises for me as well, I think she's a dark horse and I'm liking her more. The entire Vula tribe is on the bottom for me, for obvious reasons. They literally could not have done worse in this game, outside of one thing. They've finished last in each tribe challenge, and Mary was the only one to lose on the journey. The only thing any of them ever won was when Kevin beat Kyle to get supplies, and even then, they only one because Kyle accidentally broke his jug. He likely wins if he doesn't. And the only guy that's ever won anything for them? They just voted him out.
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