Monday, January 6, 2020

Jadeveon Clowney's hit on Wentz was not dirty

In the 2020 NFC Wild Card Playoff Game between the Eagles and Seahawks, about halfway through the first quarter, Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz scrambled for some yards.  He dove forward, in the process of being tackled by Seahawks safety Bradley McDougald.  He then absorbed a helmet-to-helmet hit from Clowney on his way down.  The result of the hit caused his head to hit the ground hard, resulting in a concussion, and Wentz was unable to return to the game.  This hit by Clowney was reckless and borderline unnecessary, but it was not dirty.  Clowney was not intending to hurt Wentz on that play, but unfortunately he did.

The reason I am saying this is because I have seen on social media NFL and Eagles fans calling Jadeveon's hit dirty, saying he should be banned from the league, suspended, charged with assault, etc.  I have seen many comments saying "F*** Jadeveon Clowney" that get hundreds if not thousands of upvotes.  He does not deserve all of this ridicule.  I will admit I believe he deserves to be fined for being reckless and laying a borderline unnecessary hit on Wentz.  The hit was only borderline unnecessary because Wentz was lunging forward, and Clowney was trying to prevent him from gaining additional yardage.  In the NFL, every inch matters.  But Wentz was on his way down and close to the ground when he got hit.  Clowney definitely could have given him more of a glancing blow and not such a direct hit to the head/neck area.

When we watched this real time, it did not look so bad.  The commentators did not comment on the hit, and the first instance we saw of Wentz possibly being hurt was when he headed to the locker room.  Then, they showed the hit in slow-motion, and we saw how bad it looked in slow-mo.  But live and in real time, it didn't look that bad.  I've seen those kinds of hits on quarterbacks called for unnecessary roughness but also not called at all, and when a quarterback isn't giving himself up (sliding), they often don't get called.  When a quarterback acts like a runner (like any running back, wide receiver, etc.), they lose some of their protection from the referees.  I do think a penalty should have been called because it was helmet-to-helmet contact (and he was on his way down), but I have seen just as bad of hits not called.

I think the main reason for the anger on the part of Eagles and NFL fans is that Carson Wentz' playoff debut was cut short.  I mean, I'm upset too.  I wish the Hawks could have beaten the Eagles with Wentz playing all game.  He is still one of the best young talents in the NFL at the quarterback position, but due to injuries, he did not make his postseason debut until this game.  And not even all the way through the first quarter, and he suffers another injury, one that was caused by another player's reckless action.  I understand their anger, their need to blame someone, but I would not be cursing out another player if that happened to Russell Wilson.  I would not be saying he deserves to be banned or arrested.  I know a part of me would've wished Wilson had protected himself better and perhaps slid instead of diving head first.  NFL Football is a very rough and violent sport, and players put their bodies on the line each and every week.  NFL defensive players are commended for big hits and stopping players short of the goal line or line to gain, so in essence they are paid to deliver big hits.

Call me naive, but I believe a player when they say they weren't trying to hurt another player.  As I said, the NFL is a violent sport, and these guys are technically paid to hurt each other.  But I believe Clowney when he said he wasn't trying to injure anybody.  He said it was a bang-bang play, which it was.  You see a guy going for yards, and as a defensive player, your instinct is to get him stopped as quickly as possible.  Let's not forget that when these guys are interpreted as trying to hurt another player maliciously, they get fined tons of money and suspended many games, costing them game checks.  Why would a player taint his career to try to give his team an advantage by hurting another player?  It just isn't worth it. 

I also hate to hear how fans are wishing for us to get clobbered in the next game or our players to get hurt (including Wilson).  One player's split-second decision to be a little reckless should not make people feel this way.  And we live in a sad world where his split-second decision has resulted in him expecting death threats.  It's a game, people.  He was trying to make a play.  Don't hold malicious feelings toward someone that wasn't malicious to begin with.  Clowney will get a nice fine from the NFL, and it will go to a good cause, but he does not deserve a suspension or anything worse. 

Thursday, January 2, 2020

Outlook for Non-Playoff NFL Teams in 2020

We know the 12 teams that have made the playoffs in the 2019-2020 NFL season, but what about the 20 that didn’t?  We've seen a few coaching changes already, with one more still on the way (Come on, Cleveland!)  I’m going to go over each non-playoff team, and what I expect from them in 2020, especially with regards to their head coach and quarterback. 

Atlanta Falcons: I’m glad they held onto Dan Quinn.  He’s a very good coach, and he probably would’ve quickly been given another head coaching opportunity elsewhere had he been fired, much like Ron Rivera.  Their defense needs to improve greatly in 2020 as that is Quinn’s specialty.  Matt Ryan continues to put up numbers, but doesn’t seem quite capable of carrying a team when things are kind of going bad, like Aaron Rodgers and Russell Wilson can.  I do expect them to improve in 2020 because of how well-run they generally are.

Arizona Cardinals: Not a bad first year for Kyler and Kliff.  With a few more additions, they may avoid the NFC West basement in 2020.  Unfortunately, the Seahawks, Rams, and 49ers are all well-built teams with elite head coaches, so it will be tough to avoid 4th place no matter how much the Cards improve.  I like Kyler Murray a lot, and I wouldn’t be shocked to see him take a Lamar Jackson-type leap in 2020, although I don’t expect the Cardinals to be as good as the Ravens have been in 2019. 

Carolina Panthers: Firing Ron Rivera was a very questionable move, but I just think the new owner wanted a fresh change (and perhaps an offense-focused head coach).  I'd give David Tepper, the owner, a grade of B for hiring David Tepper.  He's a proven college coach, but will that translate to the pros?  It didn't for Nick Saban, that's for sure.  We'll see if Matt Rhule will want to work with Cam Newton at all, or find his own guy.  I don’t expect the Panthers to be awful in 2020, but it will take another year at least to get back to playoff contention… I think.

Chicago Bears: The way the last calendar year has gone for the Bears has not been pretty.  They lose in heartbreaking fashion in the playoffs and followed that up with a lackluster season.  Is Trubisky really their guy at QB?  Matt Nagy’s stubbornness to stick with him may cost him his job some day.  In a tough division, the Bears will have to improve at least slightly in 2020 or changes may be on the way.  I think Trubisky needs someone pushing him and someone Nagy could go to if he struggles.  Perhaps Marcus Mariota?  He would fit well in Matt Nagy's schemes.

Cincinnati Bengals: Having the number one pick can turn a franchise around pretty quickly (See Indianapolis in 2012).  Is Joe Burrow capable of doing that?  He’s not a sure-fire QB prospect like Andrew Luck, though.  I’d say he’s more in the mold of a Matthew Stafford/Matt Ryan, and he will probably get to being in the top half of QB’s in the league.  Don’t expect the Bengals to succeed right away, but I wouldn’t be shocked to see Zac Taylor work some magic with their new QB, especially in his first year or two.

Cleveland Browns: So, they fire their coach and general manager, after a season in which the players didn’t perform up to expectations… ok.  I understood firing Freddie Kitchens, but not Dorsey.  It would take a terrific hire at both spots in order for this team to compete in 2020.  They should be hopeful for an 8-8 or 9-7 season in 2020, with a legit shot at the playoffs maybe coming in 2021.  Whoever they hire as head coach is going to have his hands full and has to be able to discipline his players and keep them in check.  And Baker Mayfield has got to bounce back from his lackluster 2019 season, even though he will technically be on his fourth head coach in his third season in the NFL.

Dallas Cowboys: Hiring Mike McCarthy is a very "meh" move.  Yes, he's a proven winner as a coach, but he's very much like Jason Garrett and might not challenge his players or take risks when need be.  Meanwhile, Dak had his best statistical season and needs to be re-signed to a long-term contract.  I think things will work well in the first year because everything will be new to the players and they'll respond well to McCarthy at first.  But after that, we'll have to wait and see.  

Denver Broncos: Drew Lock is already the best young quarterback John Elway has found, although that is not saying much at all.  I think Lock has a fairly low ceiling, but I see the Broncos as a team that could surprise people in 2020 if they draft right and maybe fill a couple holes.  It will be interesting to see how Lock does in his first full season next year.  As for Vic Fangio, he is constantly lauded for being one of the best defensive minds in the game, and next year he needs to prove it, or he might go the route of Vance Joseph.

Detroit Lions: I’m pretty surprised they gave Matt Patricia another year, but the Lions were playing really competitive football before Stafford’s injury.  If not for a couple bad calls, they would have beaten the Packers in Green Bay, and they almost beat the Chiefs.  Next year, this Lions team, provided Stafford can stay heathy, needs to compete and get at least near .500, or Patricia will be gone.  I like their offensive weapons, and their defense isn’t bad, so if they can play inspired and healthy football, they will be a hard team to beat in 2020.

Indianapolis Colts: I’m sorry, but Jacoby Brissett is not a franchise quarterback.  I do, however, think he makes one of the best backup QBs in the game.  The Colts need to find someone to compete with Brissett for the starting QB job.  They would be wise to draft someone, and Brissett could start while they learn, or they could go after someone like Teddy Bridgewater or Philip Rivers.  The Colts were just instantly screwed in 2019 when Andrew Luck suddenly retired, and they still have a lot of good, young players.  Once that offense gets its franchise QB, these Colts will be back.

Jacksonville Jaguars: Doug Marrone was one of a few coaches I thought for sure was getting fired.  Nope.  Instead, they fired Executive VP Tom Coughlin.  They may forgive Marrone for this season because of the injury to Nick Foles, and he was the coach to lead them to the AFC Championship game just a couple seasons ago, but they can’t ignore how it seems the team quit on him in the second half of the season.  If I’m being honest, I think the Jags might be one of the worst teams in the NFL in 2020 and will get a top pick in the 2021 draft.  Then the rebuild can commence with a new coach and QB.

Los Angeles Chargers: They’re in a weird spot.  They have a lot of talent still, but an aging quarterback whose contract is up.  They had perhaps the worst luck of any team in 2019, losing a ton of games by one score.  If they are unable to find a legit QB for 2020, expect another 6-10/5-11 type season from them.  Anthony Lynn seems to be a decent coach, but may fall victim to being the coach of a team in the middle of a transition at QB. 

Los Angeles Rams: They were the only 9-7 team to not make the playoffs, so that’s something.  But it certainly was a disappointing follow up to a Super Bowl appearance.  Sean McVay and Jared Goff are safe for now, but what if they regress even more next year?  They do play in a very competitive division, with the Cardinals looking to improve in 2020.  Someone has got to be in last place.  There is a major problem lurking in the future with this team: They mortgaged a lot of their future by trading away some first-round picks, and they have a lot of money tied up to a few players, so there is a possibility this team could see a major collapse in the next couple seasons.

Miami Dolphins: Boy they sure turned their season around.  After starting out the year getting blown out by everyone, they finished the season with five wins, including beating the division champion Patriots in Foxborough.  They will need to find their future at QB in the draft, as it apparently isn’t Josh Rosen.  Fitzpatrick seems to be the starter in 2020 until their future starter takes over.  Brian Flores, meanwhile, will probably be given plenty of time to turn this team fully around after turning the 2019 season around for them.

New York Giants: Apparently Pat Shurmur is a really good offensive coordinator, but not a good coach.  They are struggling now to find a good coach since Tom Coughlin left.  It is very risky hiring Joe Judge, who had never been a head coach anywhere before.  Meanwhile, Daniel Jones started out great, but then kind of fizzled out.  We’ll see how he does with Joe Judge in 2020, but I expect something similar to what we saw from Sam Darnold in 2019: Just not enough talent around him, and the offensive mind not be enough help.  Their roster is also still lacking compared to their division rival Cowboys and Eagles.

New York Jets: Speaking of Sam Darnold, he looked good at times in 2019, but he is now third at best in terms of QB’s from his draft class, trailing Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson.  Hopefully he can get some help on the offensive side of the ball, mainly on the offensive line.  Perhaps Adam Gase isn’t that great of a coach as Peyton Manning says he is?  Ryan Tannehill on the Titans sure seems to be doing better without him.  I don’t have a ton of confidence in this team going into 2020 right now.

Oakland Raiders: For a brief stretch, the Raiders seemed to be playing some really good football.  Perhaps a new environment will be able to motivate them all season long?  I think they are headed in the right direction, but they certainly need to take a legit step forward in 2020.  Derek Carr is definitely an above average quarterback, but Jon Gruden may want something more.  I wouldn’t be shocked if they drafted a mid-round QB.  Next season is pivotal for them; a winning season would be huge.

Pittsburgh Steelers: Big Ben should be able to play in 2020, but they have to find his successor and soon.  In my “NFL Quarterbacks Who Will Get New Homes in 2020” post, I predicted they will draft Jacob Eason out of Washington.  They’re not at code red to find a new quarterback, but the sooner (and earlier in the draft) they draft one, the better.  Mike Tomlin did a great job in 2019 with what he had, and I expect them to return to form in 2020, as long as Big Ben stays healthy.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Either they need to replace Jameis or get him to make smarter throws.  That latter option may not be possible, however.  They may want to go after a QB who protects the ball better, someone like Teddy Bridgewater.  They’ve got a decent roster and a really good head coach, but it’s uncertain who the leader of this team is if not Jameis.  Bruce Arians has done well with veteran quarterbacks in the past (Big Ben, Carson Palmer), so perhaps the Bucs will go after a veteran, maybe Philip Rivers?

Washington Redskins: What’s this?  The Redskins making good decisions?!  They hired Ron Rivera to be head coach and Jack Del Rio for defensive coordinator.  That defense next year should be much better.  As for their offense, well, they’ve got some pieces.  They can’t rely on an aging Adrian Peterson anymore, and they need a legit QB.  I don’t think that’s Dwayne Haskins.  I predicted they might sign Jameis Winston, who I think could have success there, especially under Ron Rivera, who led Cam Newton to the playoffs many times (and to the Super Bowl once). 

Before I conclude, I want to pick my top 3 teams from this list and bottom 3 teams.  The top 3 teams are teams that I expect to bounce back and have good 2020 seasons and probably make the playoffs.  The bottom 3 teams are teams I expect to continue to struggle and probably even get worse.  First, the bottom 3, to get that out of the way:

3. Cleveland Browns
Unless they hire someone who is absolutely perfect (and let’s face it, we have no reason to believe they will), they will probably struggle again next year.  Baker Mayfield doesn’t seem capable of carrying a team, and there are too many undisciplined players on this team.  It could get ugly.  Cleveland has a bad track record of turning hopefulness into absolute despair.

2. New York Jets
I just don’t trust the Jets front office.  I don’t like Adam Gase as a head coach.  He is one of the coaches I predict to be fired next season.  And they play in a division with the Patriots, a good young Bills team, and a Dolphins team that’s slowly improving.  It could go either way, but my gut tells me it won’t go the way they want.

1. Jacksonville Jaguars
Number one pick incoming?  That’s my prediction, at least.  They just don’t seem like their old 2017 selves anymore.  They will regret bringing Doug Marrone back for another season.  However, if they do get that number one pick, it could result in drafting Trevor Lawrence if he declares for the draft in 2021.  Trevor Lawrence is talked about being the best quarterback prospect since Andrew Luck.

All right, and now for my top 3 teams to make a turnaround next season:

3. Pittsburgh Steelers
Whenever they have an off season, they always bounce back.  They are just too well-run of an organization to struggle for long.  If they have a legit QB in 2020 (Big Ben, probably), they will more than likely be a playoff team.  I think they could battle Baltimore for the division crown next year.

2. Atlanta Falcons
Hopefully Quinn can lead these guys back to playoff contention.  With Tampa and Carolina having uncertain futures, and New Orleans being due for a disappointing season, the division could be there for the taking.  The defense will be the biggest question.  They showed flashes in 2019 (stopping the Saints offense in New Orleans for one), but will need to play more consistently in 2020, and I think they will. 

1. Dallas Cowboys
I think the Cowboys players will be playing extremely motivated in 2020.  What Jason Garrett was telling them and coaching them about was probably getting old and stale.  But with a new head coach in Mike McCarthy, they could become one of the best teams in the NFL in 2020.  I see them having a year like the 2019 Packers; new head coach brings fresh and positive results.  They have a really good roster still, just needed the coach to match.  It will also be interesting to see how McCarthy uses Dak and Zeke next year.  He's never had a running back of Zeke's caliber.

Tuesday, December 31, 2019

My Hopes and Thoughts for 2020

The year 2019 was definitely interesting for me.  I got a new job, I helped my parents move out of my childhood home and into their new home, and our apartment complex underwent renovations (on the outside--roof, windows).  The last year of the 2010s was a memorable one for me, and I'm thinking 2020 will be just as memorable.  I will discuss my thoughts and hopes for the upcoming year, from my personal to professional life.

I cannot state this enough: I need to lose weight.  I don't consider myself obese, but overweight, yes.  I am not expecting this to happen overnight or even over just one month.  I think it may take close to all year.  But I am going to put my mind to it.  I need to find some way to work out fairly consistently, and start planning lighter and healthier meals.  I'd like to lose 50 pounds over the course of next year, which would be an incredible amount, but I'd even be happy with 20-30.  I do not have a set plan yet, but I am going to give myself goals and rewards for reaching weight milestones.  For example, I cannot eat one of my favorite (unhealthy) foods until I've lost 20 pounds.  I will continue to make choices which involve more exercise, such as taking the stairs instead of the escalator/elevator, and eating the healthier option if I eat out.  I just don't like my self-image very much right now; and I know if I got back to the shape I was in in my early 20's, I would be so much more confident and happier.

Professionally, I don't know if I necessarily want to change jobs (already), but I will keep my options open.  I will continue to look at jobs, and if one pops up that I think would be a really good fit for me, I may go for it.  I do like where I am now, but it's not a job that someone stays at for years and years.  I also want to make a bit more money.  I will probably go back on some of the job sites (Indeed, ZipRecruiter) and opt-in to the e-mails again so that I can see what's out there.

I want to travel in 2020 for sure.  It may not be until the summer or even Christmas season, but I don't think I've flown to California in three or four years.  I haven't seen Amanda's family in that long, either.  I will do my best to get some time off to go with her somewhere, whether that be in the summer or for Christmas.  Christmas falls on a Friday next year, so it would be a great opportunity to get a three day weekend and travel to see her family.  Which reminds me, I also will have to either get my first ever passport or an enhanced driver's license.  I also want to see a Seahawks game next year; I saw one in 2018 but not this year.  I want to take Amanda to one in 2020, as she's only seen one Seahawk game, and that was in 2011. 

Next year will also be big for news.  We're going to have a presidential election in November, and hopefully get a new president.  The 2020 Summer Olympics will happen in Tokyo.  There are other things, but let's not forget it's also the first year of a new decade.  Also, when before some people were starting the current year "Two thousand-", they now almost all will start calling the year "Twenty-Twenty".  Not many people are going to say "Year Two-Thousand Twenty".  They'll say "Twenty-Twenty".

There are a couple other things that might happen in 2020, but I am not entirely sure.  I may get a new car, but that could wait until 2021 or later.  I may get a new computer, as my current one is having issues, as it is pretty old (around a decade old) and runs Windows Vista.  But I also want to build up my savings next year after the hit it took this year.  There are a couple other big things that might happen in 2020, but are personal to me, and I'll share them on here if they do end up happening.

I am excited for 2020 and what it brings.  I'm very curious to see how much my life changes in the next year.  I am really hoping for an improved me by this time next year.  I know that sounds all very cliche, but it's very true for me.  I am going to be that 2020 will be a significant year in my life, even more so than 2019 was.

Monday, December 30, 2019

2019-2020 NFL Playoffs – Predictions and Top 10 Super Bowl Matchups!


The 2019 NFL regular season is over, and the playoffs start next weekend.  Who will be playing in Super Bowl LIV in Miami?  I’m going to predict the playoffs, even including scores, and then afterwards I will list my top 10 Super Bowl matchups. 

Wild Card Round
AFC:
(6) Titans at (3) Patriots: Titans 24, Patriots 20
Yup.  The Patriots get upset at home in the playoffs.  Tennessee is the more complete team and more physically imposing, and Derrick Henry has a great day.

(5) Bills at (4) Texans: Bills 19, Texans 17
The Bills defense is really good.  The Texans defense isn’t that good.  I see yet another upset here, with Josh Allen winning his first ever playoff game.

NFC:
(6) Vikings at (3) Saints: Saints 30, Vikings 23
No Minneapolis Miracle here, especially since the game is in New Orleans this time.  The Vikings claw back from a deficit but are unable to get another opportunity to score.

(5) Seahawks at (4) Eagles: Eagles 27, Seahawks 19
One and done for the Hawks.  The Seahawks are not the same team that played Philadelphia over a month ago, and the Eagles are playing better football since then.  Result: Eagles win. 

Divisional Round
AFC:
(6) Titans at (1) Ravens: Ravens 34, Titans 21
The Titans have trouble keeping up with a rested and efficient Ravens team. 

(5) Bills at (2) Chiefs: Chiefs 26, Bills 17
Arrowhead in January proves too much for these Bills.  The Chiefs won’t light up the scoreboard, but neither will the Bills. 

NFC:
(4) Eagles at (1) 49ers: 49ers 28, Eagles 13
The 49ers defense dominates, getting turnovers and sacks galore.  The 49ers have control of the game all game long and mostly run and kill the clock. 

(3) Saints at (2) Packers: Saints 27, Packers 20
The Saints upset the Packers in a cold game.  Normally indoor teams don’t do well in these environments, but the Saints are out to prove they are better than the Packers and deserved the higher seeding. 

Conference Championships
AFC:
(2) Chiefs at (1) Ravens: Chiefs 28, Ravens 26
The Ravens get a few field goals from Tucker, but the Chiefs have CC game experience which proves to be the difference.  Lamar Jackson has yet to beat the Chiefs and it remains that way, proving the Chiefs are his kryptonite.

(3) Saints at (1) 49ers: 49ers 28, Saints 24
As much as I’d like to say the Saints upset the 49ers in this one, I just don’t see it happening.  The 49ers beat them once before, they can do it again.  Also, the division most represented in the Super Bowl for the NFC in recent memory is the NFC West. 

Super Bowl LIV: Chiefs 35, 49ers 31
In a wildly exciting game, the Chiefs emerge victorious.  Mahomes gets the ball last, down 31-28, and instead of going for a field goal and overtime, connects with Mecole Hardman for a game-winning score.  Mahomes wins Super Bowl MVP.
Wow, not terribly far off!  The Chiefs won, as I predicted, but the score wasn't quite as high for either team.  I was right on predicting Mahomes for MVP, but he was a clear favorite to begin with.


My Top 10 Super Bowl Matchups:
#1 – What I predict: Chiefs vs. 49ers
Again, this is my Super Bowl prediction, the battle between Joe Montana’s two teams.
And this just so happened to be the matchup that happened!  Yet again, we have a Super Bowl with two teams who had first-round byes.  We'll see if my predicted score above holds true for the game.

#2 – The obvious choice of #1 seeds: Ravens vs. 49ers
The most likely Super Bowl matchup every year is the two #1 seeds meeting, and in this case would be the Ravens and 49ers.  It would also be a rematch of Super Bowl XLVII, in which the Ravens won.

#3 – The two hottest teams: Ravens vs. Packers
These are the two teams with the longest winning streaks in the NFL. 

#4 – My mid-season Super Bowl picks: Ravens vs. Saints
This was my mid-season pick for the Super Bowl, Charm City vs. the Big Easy.  New school vs. Old School.

#5 – The Super Bowl matchup I’ve wanted for YEARS: Patriots vs. Packers
Can we finally get a Brady vs. Rodgers matchup in the Super Bowl?  Probably not, but it doesn’t hurt to hope.  This, and the one below this, would tie for the matchup between the oldest franchises in the playoffs. 

#6 – A fitting rematch: Chiefs vs. Packers
A rematch of Super Bowl I in the NFL’s 100th season?  That would be very fitting.  It’s also a matchup of the two State Farm QB’s, which we were deprived of earlier in the season because Mahomes was hurt.

#7 – To pad the Hall of Fame Resume: Patriots vs. Saints
The next best thing to Rodgers vs. Brady to me would be Brees vs. Brady.  To some, this would be a better matchup.  This matchup would be legendary, with the winner padding his resume for Canton even more, not that either of them need it.

#8 – Battle of the Birds: Ravens vs. Seahawks
The NFL is due for a wild card team getting to the Super Bowl.  They’re due for a team winning three road games on their way to the Super Bowl.  The Seahawks, I believe, have the best shot at doing that of any 5 or 6 seed.  And to see Jackson vs. Wilson would be pretty awesome.

#9 – Rematch of an epic game: Patriots vs. Seahawks
If the Seahawks were to make it back to the Super Bowl, wouldn’t it be fitting for it to be against the Patriots?  Marshawn Lynch is on the roster again, and perhaps we could give him that opportunity he so deserves. 

#10 – Two of the biggest dynasties in NFL history: Patriots vs. 49ers
Arguably, the two biggest dynasties in NFL history would be the 49ers from the 80s to the mid-90s and the Patriots  from the 2000s to the 2010’s.  Would be fitting for the NFL’s 100th season.  Also this would pit Jimmy Garoppolo against his former mentor, Tom Brady. 

NFL Quarterbacks Who Will Get New Homes in 2020


I love talking about NFL Quarterbacks, and I also like making predictions.  I like to see how right or wrong I am.  I decided I am going to go through all of the quarterbacks in the NFL that could change teams in 2020, and also go over the QB prospects will get drafted in 2020 as well.  I know I’ll be wrong on many accounts, but I bet I’ll get one of these right. 

Retired: Eli Manning, Josh McCown, Matt Schaub, Cam Newton
Manning, McCown, and Schaub are no surprises.  But Newton?!  After the Panthers either cut him or tell him he won’t be starting in 2020, Cam decides to retire.  He explains that all the hits and injuries have taken a toll. 

Teddy Bridgewater – Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Bruce Arians and the Buccaneers decide they’ve had enough with Jameis’ turnover tendencies and they sign Teddy Bridgewater, a much more careful passer.  It would be interesting to see Bridgewater work with Arians and Leftwich. 

Andy Dalton – Dallas Cowboys
Dalton, a native Texan, decides he’s ok with settling for a backup role since it’s with the Dallas Cowboys.  They may even sign him before re-signing Dak Prescott.

Case Keenum – Cincinnati Bengals
Keenum goes to the Bengals to help mentor their young rookie QB.

Marcus Mariota – Chicago Bears
Mitch Trusbisky will remain the starter, but the Bears will sign Mariota to compete and push him.  Mariota fits well into Matt Nagy’s offensive scheme and could take over if Trubisky struggles.

Philip Rivers – Carolina Panthers
The Panthers are probably making a change, and Rivers could go there to compete for (and probably win) the starting job.  He’d be playing in the same state he went to college.  

Ryan Tannehill – Tennessee Titans
The Titans will re-sign Tannehill, but may also draft a QB after letting Mariota go. 

Josh Rosen – Los Angeles Chargers
Yep, his third team in his third year.  Rosen gets traded to the Bolts, where he competes with a rookie for the starting job.  He gets to play in his home state, too. 

Jameis Winston – Washington Redskins
Winston has more upside than Cam Newton, as he is a better pocket passer.  I see the new coach in Washington wanting to work with Jameis and see if he can get his interceptions down.  Jameis could be there with Haskins and “mentor” him, although he’s not much older than him.   Jameis would also be overpaid, as is the Redskins way.


Now, draft picks:
Joe Burrow – Cincinnati Bengals
He’s the strong favorite to be the #1 pick, and the Bengals have that pick.  It’s a no-brainer.

Justin Herbert – Los Angeles Chargers
After letting Rivers go, the Chargers trade for Rosen and draft Herbert, hoping one of them works out.

Tua Tagovailoa – Miami Dolphins
Tua gets drafted by the Fins and sits behind Fitzpatrick for a year.

Jake Fromm – New Orleans Saints
After losing Bridgewater and Brees being close to retirement, the Saints draft Jake Fromm out of Georgia.

Jacob Eason – Pittsburgh Steelers
The Steelers draft Eason to be Ben Roethlisberger’s heir apparent. 

Jamie Newman – Carolina Panthers
I don’t know much about Jamie Newman, but he would be learning from Philip Rivers in this scenario, and he’d be playing in the same state he went to college.

Khalil Tate – Tennessee Titans
After the Titans let Mariota go, they need to acquire a backup to Tannehill, and I think they’ll opt for someone with athleticism, and Tate fits that build.


That's all for now, I'll check in sometime after the draft to see how well I did!

Thursday, December 26, 2019

Rating the Seahawks Drafts, 2013-2018

The Seahawks have drafted fairly well in the Pete Carroll/John Schneider era, but that’s mostly counting the early part of this decade.  But how have they been since then?  I’m going to look at the six drafts from 2013-2018 and see how they have done.  It’s too soon on 2019, but I can go over the previous six drafts.  I’ll give each a letter grade, and a forewarning, I am not going to be easy on them.

2013: Something you’ll be hearing quite often: The Seahawks traded their first-round pick.  This time, it was for Percy Harvin.  I don’t think he was worth a first-round pick, especially since with that pick the Vikings selected future Pro Bowl cornerback Xavier Rhodes.  Yikes.  The Seahawks first selection, Christine Michael, was expected to succeed Marshawn Lynch but never could.  Guys like Jordan Hill, Chris Harper, Jesse Williams, and Tharold Simon are no longer in the league.  Luke Willson and Spencer Ware were drafted, but Ware has had most of his success with the Chiefs.  This was not a particularly good draft to follow 2012.
Grade: D+

2014: Again, the first-round pick was traded, this time for more picks.  The notable names taken in this class were Paul Richardson, Justin Britt, Cassius Marsh, and Kevin Pierre-Louis.  A very meh draft if there ever was one.  Britt is the only one still on the team.  He has developed into a borderline Pro Bowl center, so there is that.  But the rest have not really lived up to expectations, although KPL is doing well… in Chicago. 
Grade: C-

2015: Yet again the first-round pick was traded, this time it was included in the Unger/Graham deal.  I’d say that trade was not a particularly good one.  The Saints took Stephone Anthony with the pick, and he’s bounced around the league a bit and he’s back with the Saints.  Meanwhile, the Hawks took Frank Clark and Tyler Lockett with their first two picks, and also Mark Glowinski in the 4th round.  Everyone else is out of the league or on another team.  Glowinski has had more success in Indianapolis than he did here.  Good first two picks, but the trade hurt the Hawks and no one else contributed.
Grade: C+

2016: Hey the Hawks used a first-round pick!  On… Germain Ifedi.  He sure took a long time to develop, but he’s finally starting to limit the penalties and missed blocks.  He’s about average for a right tackle right now, I’d say.  But the Hawks also took Jarran Reed, CJ Prosise, Quinton Jefferson, and Joey Hunt, all who are still with the team.  Alex Collins did well… with Baltimore.  Rees Odhiambo struggled.  Not a bad draft, but the only real legit player taken was Reed.
Grade: C

2017: Ah yes, the Malik McDowell draft.  He wasn’t a first round-pick, but he was the Hawks’ first pick.  The Hawks traded their first-round pick for more picks.  The first pick still on the team is Ethan Pocic, who has been a backup offensive lineman only.  Shaquill Griffin and Tedric Thompson were taken, two guys who have been fairly decent starters in the secondary.  David Moore was also taken in the seventh round, and he’s been a fairly decent contributor.  And who could forget Chris Carson, who has now put together two separate 1,000-yard seasons?  The Carson pick was a steal, but no one else can really be considered a great pick.  The Carson pick basically cancels out the McDowell pick.
Grade: C

2018: A very mixed bag in this draft.  The first pick, Penny, has been a decent backup to Carson, but was a stretch as the first-round pick.  Rasheem Green, Shaquem Griffin, and Tre Flowers have been decent but unspectacular contributors on defense.  Will Dissly has been a nice find, if he could only stay healthy.  And Michael Dickson was actually a great pick as a fifth rounder as he could be the Hawks’ punter for many years.  Yet again a draft where there doesn’t seem to be any Pro Bowl caliber players.
Grade: C-

GPA: 1.83 (C-)

As you can tell, the Hawks haven’t drafted horribly because I didn’t give them an F grade, but they certainly haven’t drafted particularly well, either, because I didn’t even give out any B or A grades.  Pete and John draft a lot of just okay players.  They don’t seem to be able to find diamonds in the rough anymore.  When Pete first came to the Hawks in 2010, he was able to draft a lot of the guys he recruited and scouted while head coach at USC.  He knew their strengths and weaknesses better than perhaps anyone, and he knew who would fit into his system with the Hawks.  Now having been out of the college ranks for almost a decade, Pete is no longer quite as in touch with the college players and it’s a bit more of a guessing game for him.  And he and John aren’t guessing particularly well. 

Here’s something that ought to stand out.  From 2010 to 2012, Pete and John drafted eight players who have made a Pro Bowl.  From 2013 to 2018, in twice as many years, Pete and John drafted just two players who have made a Pro Bowl (Lockett and Dickson).  And each of those guys only made it once.  If you count Pro Bowl appearances, the numbers are TWENTY-EIGHT Pro Bowl appearances to just two.  Clearly, the drafts since then did not go quite as well.  They are relying on Wilson and Wagner to carry the team, but they are failing to support them with other Pro Bowl caliber players.  And that is why the Hawks will not get to another Super Bowl under Carroll and Schneider, unless they start drafting better.

    

Top 10 Guilty Pleasure Movies

I thought I'd go for a fun kind of post and I was thinking about what my favorite guilty pleasure movies are the other day.  I have come up with my Top 10 Guilty Pleasure Movies.  None of these are critically acclaimed, but every single one of them is entertaining and I have seen multiple times.  It's just something about these films; I just enjoy sitting back and turning my brain off and watching these every few years.  And, in order for a film to be on here, it has to have less than a 7.0 rating on IMDB, and the ratings on IMDB follow the titles of the films.  Here they are:


Honorable Mention: Smart House - 6.3
I had to give honorable mention to my favorite Disney Channel original movie growing up, Smart House.  It's only a TV Movie, so I couldn't quite count it.  But as a kid I wanted a smart house just like the one in the movie, one that would make me meals, instantly clean up messes, and play whatever I want to watch on the entire wall.  And I would know better than to disobey it and piss it off, unlike the family in this movie.

Second Honorable Mention: Rat Race - 6.4
I remember my parents taking me to see this in theaters, and yes, I was only 12 at the time, so a bit raunchy for 12-year-old me.  But I thought it was one of the funniest movies I had ever seen, and it still to this day makes me laugh.  I got it on DVD in the early 2000s and watched it every few years as I got older, each time understanding a new joke or two.  And the cast is just terrific, from Jon Lovitz to Cuba Gooding Jr. to Rowan Atkinson to Seth Green to Whoopi Goldberg.  


10. Jack Frost - 5.4
Another film with a hard-to-believe premise: A father dies, but his spirit/soul brings a snowman to life and he is able to interact and talk to his son a year after passing.  I liked this movie growing up, and it always made a great movie to watch around the winter holidays.  I particularly like the song "Hey Now Now" by Swirl 360 that plays when Charlie and his "dad" get away from the bullies.  It's so 1990's.

9. Like Mike - 5.2
A kid finds some of Michael Jordan's old sneakers and suddenly gains his basketball ability by wearing the shoes.  It's an interesting story, but I like that it has a basketball theme.  There's a sub-plot of the kid being at an orphanage and trying to get adopted, and eventually does.  Jesse Plemons is in this in the first role I saw him in, as a fellow kid/bully in the orphanage.  I also like the cameos by all the NBA players in this, although no Michael Jordan.

8. Jingle All the Way - 5.6
My favorite guilty pleasure Christmas Movie, Jingle All the Way is fun to watch even outside the Christmas season.  There are so many hard to believe things in this film, but there are so many classic scenes and lines such as "Put the cookie down, now!" and "I'm not a puh-vert!".  It's just a fun film and Arnie just kills it.  And this is not the only time a film Jake Lloyd acted in is on this list.

7. Bruce Almighty - 6.7
This is one of my favorite Jim Carrey roles.  Carrey, playing the titular role, gets the powers of God and uses them with hilarious results.  The casting of Morgan Freeman as God was absolutely perfect.  And Jim perfectly inserts some of his funny and quirky mannerisms into the role.  I'm surprised this doesn't have a bit higher rating, but there are times when the movie just tries too hard to be funny.  I like Jennifer Aniston in this, but she seems a bit out of Bruce's league. 

6. The Island - 6.8
Ewan McGregor in a sci-fi movie?  I'll always go for that. 😉  In this, he plays a clone that escapes his institution along side a very fine looking Scarlett Johansson who also plays a clone.  This movie has been out for a while now, so much so that when this film was shot and set "in the future", well that future is now the past.  I happened to watch The Island the day this was set, July 19, 2019.  This film was also made by Michael Bay, maybe the king of guilty pleasure directors, but he's only on this list once for me.  My favorite line(s): "I'm Tom Lincoln!" "No, I'm Tom Lincoln!"

5. Godzilla (1998) - 5.4
Yes, the 1998 Godzilla starring Matthew Broderick is one of my favorite guilty pleasure films.  I remember how hyped the movie was when it came out, and I even owned a Godzilla toy from that film that screamed like the movie version and stomped and "wagged" it's tail.  I remember seeing it as a kid and it scaring me a bit, but not anymore obviously.  As a sports fan, I loved how the climax was set at Madison Square Garden where the Knicks play.  They set up for a possible sequel with one of Godzilla's babies surviving in the end, but nothing came of it.  Oh well, the sequel probably would have been even worse.

4. Click - 6.4
This is my favorite Adam Sandler movie, believe it or not.  And I just found out, for the longest time this film had Adam Sandler's only death scene (until "Uncut Gems", I believe).  It's got such an interesting (but flawed) concept, but I love it.  He controls the universe with a remote, with unfortunate side effects.  I like how the film teaches us to enjoy moments in life we take for granted, such as time with our parents, working, and foreplay with the wife 🤣.  I also love all the actors in this and their connections to other things or people.  Adam Sandler's mom was played by Julie Kavner, who voices Marge Simpson.  We also see his kids played by Lorraine Nicholson and Jake Hoffman, the children of Jack Nicholson and Dustin Hoffman, respectively.  And we see a small role from Jonah Hill.

3. National Treasure: Book of Secrets - 6.5
You knew Nicolas Cage had to be on here at some point, right?  He's the king of guilty pleasure actors.  In this sequel, he "kidnaps the president" and goes to a secret cave inside Mount Rushmore.  I just love the two National Treasure films, and I wish they had made another.  By this point, a third National Treasure film would feel forced, irrelevant, and not as interesting.  However, a third one is listed on IMDB as "In Development", although I believe it has been that way for a few years.   I believe they are having trouble either writing the script or finding writers for it.

2. Star Wars Episode I: The Phantom Menace - 6.5
What, I can have a Star Wars film on here!  And there's no better example of a guilty pleasure Star Wars film than Episode I: The Phantom Menace.  I do enjoy watching this and I never skip over it when I watch the Star Wars films (or prequel trilogy).  I remember all the promotions for the film when it came out and each time I watch Episode I, it gives me that feeling of nostalgia.  Sometimes I even get the urge to watch just this film and not Episodes II or III.  Jar Jar doesn't annoy me quite as much as he annoys other Star Wars fans.

1. National Treasure - 6.8
Well, you knew if National Treasure 2 was on here, the first one would have to be on here as well.  I have lost count of the amount of times I have seen this.  I love the history they incorporated into this movie, even if it's not all true.  And, this was for the longest time the only thing I had seen Sean Bean in where he doesn't die.  And, I could be mistaken, but it might be the only film where he plays the villain but doesn't die.

Like I said, I just enjoy turning my brain off and watching any of these films.  I think the thing they have in common is that each one has something happen in it that is just never possible in the real world: A person coming back to life, a dog playing football, a universal remote that controls the universe, and stealing the Declaration of Independence.  Oh, and Star Wars.