Thursday, September 24, 2026

Survivor 51 Weekly Recap

New this season of Survivor (51), I am no longer doing my Four Word Game.  For this season and likely the foreseeable future, I will go over each player briefly in a sentence or two, I'll name an MVP of the episode, and I'll re-rank them.  It's fairly similar to what I've done recently, just no four-word game.  And the order I cover the players will always be in order of the ranking from the previous week, from lowest to highest.  And for this first week, it'll be based on my predicted boot order, which... I gotta say, already looks rough.  Woof.

21. Kristin - Seems to be in charge.  Like her chances a lot more after this first week.  

20th: Thien An - Not much focus.  All I can remember is her standing on Devin's shoulders.  

19th: Cristian - Was a part of the puzzle, so there's that.  I later saw he was the only person to get 1 confessional.  That can't be good for him.

18th: Eric - Overplaying early.  Got emotional over his wife.  Boy it'd be nice if they brought family visits back if Eric makes it far enough.

17th: Maggie - May have underestimated her.  She seems to be relating to younger players.

16th: Rob - A more chaotic Gabler.  Or something.  At least he found an idol, good for him.

15th: Mike - Some content, not too much, though.  I remember he didn't want to be outed as a good negotiator, so that's a good sign he's trying to play UTR.

14th: Patt - I think it was smart of her to inform Jenna of what people were saying about her.  Also, give the girl some sunscreen!

13th: Devin - Already emerging as this season's villain?  Love his personality.  Dude was made for TV.  Hope he lasts a while.

12th: Jenna - She was too obvious of a first boot.  Good of her to recover and work from the bottom out of it.

11th: Ori - Should be around a while.  Jelly likes him.  POC (people of color) need to bring in other people, as there are not enough POCs alone.

10th: Jelly - She got on my nerves, mainly with how hoarse her voice got at the end.

9th: Ana - Annoying voices already?  Wow, that did not take long.

8th: Carter - Seems to be fitting in well.  I think?

7th: Lewis - Dude has never chopped a tree before.  Bold of him to go off on his own.

6th: Kilby - No way he wins.  I think he's already looked at as a bit of a joke.

5th: Aaliyah - Can't believe I had her fifth.  Dang.  She didn't do much wrong.

4th: Sharonda - Got alliances with Kristin and Ori.  She seems well-insulated.

3rd: Brady - Dude is a hothead and meathead and all the "-heads".  Needs to play a more low-key game.

2nd: Linnea - Her flirtatious charm will definitely get her far.

1st: Alexis - Too quiet of a first episode.  I still like her, but I feel like most winners get better first episodes.

Now time for my player of the episode (or MVP).  And for Episode 1 we are going with....  Kristin!  She did well at negotiating for supplies, beat Kilby in the thumb war, started fire at camp, and formed a bond with at least Sharonda.  Good on her.

And now, my new rankings.  There are going to be quite a few changes.  
Note: I initially posted rankings Thurs 9/24, but I have updated them quite a bit.  I decided to base them more on how prominent they were in the edit, rather than their perceived potential imminent danger.

20th: Cristian (-1) 
19th: Maggie (-2)
18th: Ana (-9)
17th: Thien An (+3)
16th: Devin (-3)
15th: Kilby (-9)
14th: Lewis (-7)
13th: Brady (-10)
12th: Kristin (+9)
11th: Carter (-3)
10th: Linnea (-8)
9th: Rob (+7)
8th: Patt (+6)
7th: Alexis (-6)
6th: Jelly (+4)
5th: Ori (+6)
4th: Jenna (+8)
3rd: Eric (+15)
2nd: Sharonda (+2) 
1st: Mike (+14)

Obviously, it's way too early to really have serious winner contender rankings, but man, did mine shake up.  I will almost certainly move them around a bunch after next week's episode as well.  

AFTER EPISODE TWO: 

20th: Cristian - Zero confessionals, barely shown.  Not great, Bob!

19th: Maggie - Loved how they hoisted her up after the immunity win!  The oldest member of their tribe too, if I'm not mistaken.

18th: Ana - Sigh.  She just did too much and not enough at the same time.  And popcorn was really the best thing you could think of?

17th: Thien An - Like Cristian, zero confessionals and barely shown.  Not great for her chances, either.

16th: Devin - Good to see him making up with Brady.  I think they'll have a bit of a respected rivalry this season.  Should be a fun watch.

15th: Kilby - He... umm... had good reactions to Brady's thumb, I guess.

14th: Lewis - Not going to tribal right away with his new tribe will certainly help.  That way, the next time they go to tribal, he'll have 4 or 6 days with them compared to just 2.  

13th: Brady - How he could be more upset over potentially leaving over cutting off a LITERAL PIECE OF HIS BODY, I do not know..  

12th: Kristin - We already have a Missy 2.0.  I can see her potentially getting far as long as she can manage her foot injury, but (I know I'm getting way ahead of myself) would the jury want to send sympathy votes her way?  I can't see it.

11th: Carter - Somehow, he didn't get a confessional.  Huh?  He had the crab thing, at least.  But yikes, not great. 

10th: Linnea - I like how she's playing.  But it doesn't scream winner at this point.

9th: Rob - Dude...wtf.  Tried voting for himself.  I cannot wait to see what harebrained schemes Rob thinks of next.

8th: Patt - She definitely seems like an integral cog in her tribe's dynamics, at least.

7th: Alexis - Love that my winner pick was featured more and was barely a mention on anyone's lips.

6th: Jelly - She enjoyed the hammock?  That's all I got.

5th: Ori - He's not the greatest confessionalist, but he tries.

4th: Jenna - Much quieter episode for her after the premiere.  

3rd: Eric - I may have put him too high.  I'm sure he's still on his tribe's radar.

2nd: Sharonda - I was starting to get a little worried for her.  But she's smart.

1st: Mike - Haven't got quite enough from him.  Was hoping for a bigger episode two, and we didn't get it.

And now, my player of the episode is.... Maggie!  Screw it.  She won the immunity challenge for them.

New power rankings!  Like I predicted, another big shake up in store.  And for the first time, each one will have a brief comment afterward.  

19th: Cristian (+1) 0 confessionals.
18th: Thien An (-1) 0 confessionals.
17th: Rob (-8) He is wanting to leave.  He's likely going soon, even though he has an idol.
16th: Kristin (-4) Her foot may become a serious liability.
15th: Carter (-4) 0 confessionals.
14th: Devin (+2) Still on the outs on his tribe, although he does have the most confessional time this season so far.
13th: Maggie (+6) Made some progress!
12th: Brady (+1) His thumb injury scares me for him.
11th: Kilby (+4) Somehow he jumped up a bit.
10th: Ori (-5) Not gonna win, but he should stick around.
9th: Eric (-6) His tribe still doesn't like him much, but Rob's antics should keep him around.
8th: Linnea (+2) I do like how she is integrated on her tribe.
7th: Jelly (-1) Still technically on the bottom, so I can't rank her too high.
6th: Patt (+2) She and Linnea are in similar positions.
5th: Lewis (+9) Screw it!  He's likable.  Showed him talking about his wife.
4th: Alexis (+3) Gotta move my winner pick back up a bit.
3rd: Jenna (+1) Didn't do much, but didn't have to.
2nd: Mike (-1) He can't be my #1 at this point.
1st: Sharonda (+1) She's been sussed as being smart, but if that can die down...

AFTER EPISODE THREE: 

Yet again, I'm changing my format up.  Rather than have the clutter of two different rankings, I'm just going to re-rank everyone, then talk about them.  I will keep talking about the booted players.  And I will still keep doing my Player of the Week, which I will henceforth shorten to PotW.  

Past PotW: Kristin, Maggie

This week: Lewis!  There were a few considerations, such as both Kristin and Maggie again, but Lewis was successfully able to sway Carter and bring him in and control the vote and get out Patt.

19th: Rob - I get that he barely had any sleep and missed his family, but most people only get to play Survivor once.  Biggest exaggeration of a medical condition since Colton's "appendicitis".  He's not getting asked to play again.

18th: Patt - Wrong side of the votes, and man, it's unfortunate for her.  She was playing a solid UTR game.  At least she'll get pants now.  Also, that makes three voted out people now, ALL women.  

Now to the players remaining in the game:

17th: Cristian (+2) - Dude, are you even there, my guy?  He either does or says something that pisses off production/Jeff (unlikely, since he's head of HR and would know better) or he gets screwed by a twist.  Probably gets screwed by a twist.

16th: Carter (-1) - There's an upcoming swap, and he could be an easy target if he's not protected with allies.  He did have a 0 confessional episode, and we have often seen players get boons in their edits the episode before they get voted out.

15th: Thien An (+3) - She's also gotten a quiet edit, and while she was on the right side of the vote, a swap could mean she gets screwed.  Wouldn't surprise me.

14th: Kilby (-3) - Also on the right side of the vote and got his way, however, his name was dragged through the absolute mud by Kevin, and if he gets swapped to a bad spot, he's in huge trouble.

13th: Mike (-11) - I hate to say it, but he's gotten a bad edit.  He's been painted as the bland, boring, vanilla guy, and we clearly aren't supposed to be rooting for him too hard.

12th: Alexis (-8) - She hasn't gotten the best edit, either, and my pre-season winner pick might be in trouble with a bad swap.  Only women have gone so far, and Alexis doesn't have a ton of allies in this game.

11th: Devin (+3) - Not sure if a swap will be good or bad for Devin.  Either way, I think he's eventually going to receive a target from the majority due to his persistence in causing chaos.  Eventually, people get tired of it.

10th: Brady (+2) - Once players no longer need him for tribe challenges, he's likely going to be a target.  For players like Brady (think Jonathan), they either do too much strategically and get targeted for being a huge threat, or they don't do enough and get dragged to the end.

9th: Kristin (+7) - Her foot issue is cooling off, and I didn't notice any limping from her during the challenge.  Plus, she did very well at the puzzle.  I do think, however, she will be targeted post-merge for being a strategic or social threat.

8th: Sharonda (-7) - I believe Carter outed her as "running things" on Savu.  I do believe she will be a threat and target once she doesn't have the majority, which could be after a swap or at the latest, the merge.

7th: Linnea (+1) - She's got shields in Sharonda and Alexis, and if she can integrate post-swap and post-merge, she has a chance.  We need to see her using her feminine charm on some of the men (which she did she would do pre-season).  

6th: Ori (+4) - I don't think he quite has the strategic chops, but he's well-liked in the game.  At least Devin, Sharonda, and Jelly all love him.  Brady likely does too, seeming him as a fellow beefcake.  He's got an outside shot...

5th: Eric (+4) - The swap should help Eric, but he has to lay low and not put himself out there in any way.  Honestly, my biggest worry for him is the fact that his tribe, Savu, has gotten the worse edit so far.  Usually the winner's tribe gets the better edit, pre-merge.

4th: Maggie (+9) - Honestly, I'm surprised I have her this high, too!  But Maggie has really impressed and surprised me this season.  Her getting the extra vote even though Brady got it for her was impressive.  And I could see her winning a jury vote.

3rd: Lewis (+2) - Great episode, got on the right side of the votes, dragged in Carter who hopefully can be his second in command.  My biggest flaw with Lewis is that people will look at him too much like a Rizo-type figure, one that is perhaps a bit too young and not serious enough. 

2nd: Jelly (+5) - I know she was on the wrong side of the vote (again), but the swap is really gonna help her.  We see her back with Ori in the preview, so that will definitely help.  And Ori can bring in Kristin/Sharonda if need be.  

1st: Jenna (+2) - It's hard to explain, but Jenna has gotten a really good UTR edit.  We know she'll be able to use her divorce in a final tribal council speech.  I just have a feeling once she (or someone) gets Devin out, that is really going to boost her game and winning chances.

AFTER EPISODE FOUR: 

POTW: Ori
His tribe did lose the challenge, but he solidified himself with Devin and Jelly.  Worst case scenario if they go to tribal again, he can force a tie with Alexis.  Either that or he can pull Jelly to his side to target Devin.
Past POTW: Kristin, Maggie, Lewis

17th: Jenna - Yikes!  I just had her as my #1.  The show was framing her in a good light.  She just gets royally swap-screwed.  If she is put on Toka instead of, say, Tien An, then we are talking about Tien An being voted out, not Jenna.  Sucks.  

And to the players still in the game: 

16th: Cristian (+1) - He speaks!  Still, only two confessionals through 6.5 hours of the show is rough.  He must be getting voted out pre-merge (or screwed by a twist), right?  I'm going to keep him in last until/unless he gets a boon to his edit.

15th: Devin (-4) - Devin could've mended fences with Jenna and kept the Toka side strong, but instead, he continued his unnecessary vendetta against Jenna.  Now he's Jelly turning on him away from being voted out, which the preview did show hints of. 

14th: Mike (-1) - The little time Mike got, he was painted in a bad light, showing him playing too desperately.  And Maggie instantly sussed him out.  Mike is a likely candidate for the vote if they lose.

13th: Alexis (-1) - She survived this vote, but Ori could very easily turn on her if they lose again.  If she can survive this tribe, she may have a good path to the end.  But that's a HUGE "if".

12th: Thien An (+3) - She made in-roads with Carter and her new situation, so that's good.  Could we be getting a final boss type edit (Like Genevieve)?

11th: Carter (+5) - I'm on the fence with his game currently.  Loved him making a connection with Thien An, but he still pissed off a lot of Savu members.  

10th: Kilby (+4) - He's still on the outs, but Eric seems to want to protect him at all costs.  So he's in the middle for me.  Could go soon, could get fairly far.

9th: Brady (+1) - Eventually, people are going to get tired of his antics.  I'll be surprised if he makes the finale.  

8th: Linnea (-1) - I feel like we only see her on the periphery, like the secondary reactor to things.  I don't think she wins, but I think she'll make it fairly far.  

7th: Kristin (+2) - Wow, she came prepared!  But that can work against her.  I worry she might be viewed as a threat.  But she should be around for a while.

6th: Ori (0) - I like his ability to go with the flow.  He's like a cooler, chiller, Brady.  I'll be shocked if he goes before Brady.  

5th: Sharonda (+3) - I like her epic faces and reactions.  Classic.  However, she has been sussed as being very smart (and I believe they know she's a doctor), so she seems like a prime candidate to be the final boss this season, or a mid-merge boot.  

4th: Maggie (0) - I'm sticking with Maggie here.  One thing I noticed: In the intro/theme, right after Maggie is shown, they show a flint being struck real briefly.  Does this mean Maggie loses in fire?  If so, I'm keeping her right here.  

3rd: Eric (+2) - Somehow, crazy Eric moved up.  He got Kilby under his wing, so there's that.  But he seems more like a FTC loser at this point.  But his screentime screams him getting far.

2nd: Lewis (+1) - Lewis was sick and barely did anything, but he moves up.  I don't think they had much on him for this episode.  

1st: Jelly (+1) - My fifth different #1 this season, counting my pre-season winner pick of Alexis.  Wow.  Well, someone's gotta win!  She may be on a bad tribe, challenge-wise, but something tells me she'll emerge ok from it.  She needs to turn on Devin, though.

AFTER EPISODE FIVE: 

PotW: Kilby
Dude stuck to his guns and made a big move.  Now, this could turn all Savu against him for the remainder of the game, plus he won't have Devin, Jelly, Mike, or Brady.  But perhaps that'll be enough for him to survive the early merge, if he gets there.
Past PotW: Kristin, Maggie, Lewis, Ori

16th: Alexis - My winner pick, nooooo!  She totally got swap-screwed.  I don't know if Jelly's decision to take her out will benefit her game, but Alexis had no shot.  I guess she could've played her shot in the dark.  

15th: Linnea - Can't believe her tribe didn't want to stick their neck out for her on a rock draw.  Granted, they each had a 1 in 4 shot of going pre-merge if they do, but if I'm Ori or Kristin I am pissed off at them.  There was not a ton she could've done, other than warmed up more to Kilby.

And now to the players still in the game: 

14th: Cristian (+2) - Finally got multiple confessionals in an episode!  But he's not in a great spot despite having the majority.  His poor edit has to mean he's not long for the game, right?  And I couldn't have been the only one thinking he was going to get screwed in a rock draw.

13th: Mike (+1) - He keeps getting dunked on.  Sure, he did well in the challenge, but with how many numbers OG Toka has, it sure seems like they'll be willing to take out one of their own, which would be Mike.

12th: Devin (+3) - Got his way again, and the helicopter alliance stays strong, so to speak.  But once the merge hits, they are going to be lacking in numbers, and Devin is going to be target #1.

11th: Carter (0) - Got skunked (0 confessionals) again.  That can't be good for him.  Doesn't mean he's going too soon, but he's at the bottom of any Toka alliance due to him starting on Savu.

10th: Thien An (+2) - She's gotten some good quotes and quips recently, which I like.  But she still has a zero confessional mark on her record.

9th: Kristin (-2) - Still not in a great spot, and if they don't merge and Toka loses, she's still in big trouble.  

8th: Eric (-5) - I'm torn on Eric.  He's either going to be a final tribal council goat or taken out early merge.  So I'm putting him in between for now.  He isn't going to have a ton of allies come post merge, especially after that caving in with the potential rock draw.

7th: Brady (+2) - He's got some connections, but I can't see him winning a final tribal, unless he is sitting by two complete goats or people the jury despises.  He does go all out in challenges and the social/strategy aspect of the game, and I do feel a jury could respect that.

6th: Sharonda (-1) -  Wish she had stuck out her neck for Linnea, but I understand.  She's likely going to be a threat post-merge.  Likely on the jury, at least.

5th: Ori (+1) - He didn't stick his neck out for Alexis, and after Linnea is gone as well, they are down 2 members.  Of that 7 person Savu tribe (after Carter mutinied), only 5 remain.  Him getting far in this game will depend on how much of a threat he is seen as come post-merge.

4th: Kilby (+6) - Somehow, SOMEHOW, he's #4 for me.  Crazy.  I could see him navigating the Toka misfits, which would include him, Carter, Lewis, Thien An, and Maggie, and that group making it far.  We shall see.  I know he could be in a very precarious situation, so he may move back down next week for me.

3rd: Lewis (-1) - He survived by the skin of his teeth thanks to Kilby sticking his neck out for him, so I'm still worried for Lewis, but he's gotten a great edit so far.  

2nd: Jelly (-1) - She has to turn on Devin sooner or later.  The fact that she said she didn't want to continue the trend of women being voted out, but voted out a woman anyway, doesn't bode particularly well for her, which is why I dropped her one spot, but she still has some layers of protection.  

1st: Maggie (+3) - Yep, yet another new #1!  Maggie made an amazing move, giving away not one, but TWO extra votes (well, one of them she had to).  She's great at maneuvering conversations and getting her way, and I could see her winning a FTC.  Her edit is picking up, after all.

AFTER EPISODE SIX

PotW: Sharonda
She got Kristin to volunteer herself for exile.  She played it so smartly.  That's really all I can recall of Sharonda this past episode, but it was enough.
Past PotW: Kristin, Maggie, Lewis, Ori, Kilby

14th: Ori - Man, dude was screwed.  His tribe was doing fine in the challenge until the puzzle, but they had just voted out the last good puzzle maker in Alexis.  He probably should've stuck his neck out for Alexis more, possibly forcing a tie.  Oh well, hindsight is 20/20.

And to the players still in the game...

13th: Mike (0) - We finally saw a bit of positive content from Mike, but it wasn't enough for me to move him up.  There doesn't seem to be a single person wanting to stick their neck out for Mike.  Screams easy merge boot.  

12th: Cristian (+2) - I liked that he rigged the draw for the summit and he tried building connections with Lewis and Kilby.  Will come in handy come merge.  But with Cristian's terrible edit, he's bound to get screwed at some point.

11th: Brady (-4) - There is some increasing friction between him and Maggie, and I can't see it being good for either of them.  Brady may have been the more vocal one, but I think come merge, he's going to be a target and threat.

10th: Carter (+1) - His two episodes of confessionals really hurt his chances.  And keep in mind, he betrayed the Savu tribe and only has a few minor connections in the game (Lewis, Thien An).  He could be a casualty in the near future.

9th: Thien An (+1) - She also has had a zero confessional episode, but I like the humorous content we've gotten from her recently.  Hopefully she keeps it up.

8th: Kilby (-4) - I had to move Kilby back down.  Sure, Lewis will do what he can for Kilby, but I don't think there's quite enough on Kilby's side in this game.

7th: Devin (+5) - The fact that Jelly chose him over Ori says a lot about their bond.  Plus, we know he's fairly close to Brady and Mike.  I think Devin might skirt by a bit since he was on a final tribe that consisted of only 2 members.

6th: Maggie (-5) - I had to move her down a bit.  She came off as rubbing people the wrong way this episode.  I don't see myself moving her lower than this in future weeks, but we'll see.

5th: Sharonda (+1) - There are reasons to like her chances but also to not like them.  It's hard to say.  She needs to do her best come the merge to not appear as a threat.

4th: Kristin (+5) - She now has an idol and got a great package tonight about how she's been trying to get on Survivor for 25 years.  Wow.  That content was winner-coded.

3rd: Eric (+5) - How'd he get this high?  I think he's going to seek vengeance against Kilby, and I think he's gonna get it.  It appears he's toned down his annoying tendencies.

2nd: Lewis (+1) - Very likable, and sometimes, winners barely end up scraping by pre-merge.  

1st: Jelly (+1) - Made the right choice, since Devin is someone she could beat at the end.  But she has to be careful not to appear too close to him.  She could be a casualty in other players trying to weaken Devin.  Fortunately, she has an idol.