The Seahawks are coming to a crossroads regarding their starting quarterback, Geno Smith. He's about to enter the final year of his contract, and the team is going to have to make a tough decision regarding his future. They have to, first and foremost, look out for the team's best interests. I'm going to go over the possible scenarios and rank them from 1 to 5, with 1 being the best and 5 being the worst.
1. The Seahawks don't extend Geno, but find a different option to learn under him and possibly take over for him.
This is what I hope the Hawks will do. First off, as the team's starting quarterback and leader, he shouldn't hold out if they decide not to extend him. Even if he decides to hold out, the Hawks should try to find someone out there who can take over, worst-case scenario. They have Sam Howell, but they need to bring someone else in to compete with Howell, at least for the backup spot. It could be through the draft, or it could be a QB in free agency like Justin Fields or Daniel Jones. Clearly, it would depend on who they hire to be the new offensive coordinator, and who that OC likes.
2. The Hawks pull a Pittsburgh Steelers and bring in two new QB's
Last offseason, the Steelers jettisoned both Kenny Pickett and Mason Rudolph and got Russell Wilson and Justin Fields. Imagine if the Hawks did something like that. Who knows who the two QBs would be, but it would certainly inspire hope that the Hawks are trying to find the next franchise QB.
3. The Seahawks trade Geno Smith and have a QB competition with Howell and another QB brought in.
We have likely seen Geno's ceiling. He's not getting any younger, and his TD/INT ratio took a huge hit in 2024. Perhaps Macdonald and the new OC will want to start with someone new and build them up. Sure, there's Sam Howell, but he would need some competition for the starting job after trading Geno. It could be another trade like the Hawks did with Russell Wilson, where they got Drew Lock in return, among other players and picks. Possible teams the Hawks could look to trade Geno to: Raiders, Browns, Titans, or Giants.
4. The Seahawks stay with the same two QB's, possibly extending Geno
This wouldn't inspire much confidence in wanting to improve at the QB position. Could Geno win with a Super Bowl roster like the Hawks had in 2013-2014? Sure. But so could a lot of QBs. Also, extending him ties up our cap space a lot to our QB position. When you do that, unless you have a worldly talent like Mahomes, Allen, or Jackson, you're not winning too much. I mostly want some kind of change. But not any kind of change, as you'll see below.
5. The Hawks draft a QB at #18, regardless of who is currently on the roster
After Shedeur Sanders and Cam Ward, there's a bit of a drop-off, so I'd be surprised if the #18 pick was a QB, especially if Geno is still here. The next best options are Quinn Ewers and Jalen Milroe. The Seahawks haven't taken a QB in the first round since 1993 with Rick Mirer. I don't think that will change after the 2025 draft.
It'll be interesting to see what they do this off-season. I'll try to update here once it seems settled. My dad, for one, is tired of Geno Smith as the Seahawks quarterback. I can't say I blame him too much. Sure, Geno can help the Hawks to winning seasons, but it does not appear he will be able to lead them to a Super Bowl. It's time to start rebuilding at the position so the Hawks can hopefully, someday, have another star QB.
Brian's Blog
Wednesday, January 8, 2025
What the Seahawks should do at the QB Position
Monday, December 2, 2024
My Ten Personal Favorite Christmas Movies/TV Specials of All Time
With it being December and officially the Christmas season, I thought I'd go over my ten personal favorite Christmas movies or TV Specials. There are a few things I have to say about this, which I'll outline in bullets for organizational purposes:
- These are not what I consider to be the ten best Christmas movies ever. These are just ten movies (or Christmas specials) that I am very fond of and invoke nostalgia and childhood memories. These are the ten movies I'd personally pick to watch every Christmas season if I could only choose ten.
- I am allowing sequels as separate entries as some sequels I like while others I don't.
- These are ranked in order of how much I personally like them, not by how good of a movie I think they are.
- A few of these aren't your typical "theatrical release" style films, and more so TV specials or TV movies. To me, they're close enough to be considered a movie or film.
With that said, here are my personal 10 favorite Christmas movies, ranked:
10. 'Twas the Night
This is a DCOM (Disney Channel Original Movie), but it's still a movie about Christmas. Basically, an Uncle who's always getting into trouble (portrayed brilliantly by Bryan Cranston) has to watch over his niece and nephews on Christmas night while his brother and sister-in-law (their parents) have to work. They accidentally knock out Santa and decide to deliver toys for him. I won't get into it anymore, but it's a good family Christmas movie with a good message. You have to suspend disbelief during this film for some parts, and the technology in it has NOT aged well. But if you can get past those few things, it's really quite enjoyable.
9. Elf
Everyone else loves it, and yes, I have a certain fondness for it as well. It came out in 2003, and I didn't see it until several years after it came out. It might've been close to a decade later. It has rewatchability and it's one of the few roles I enjoy Will Ferrell in, so there's that. Perhaps I'll have this higher on my list as the years go on, but for now it's only #9 because I haven't seen it quite enough.
8. How the Grinch Stole Christmas (1966 TV special)
Don't get me wrong, I like the Jim Carrey version and the 2018 "The Grinch" film isn't bad, but this is the one that makes me feel all nostalgic. That classic animation style is just timeless, and I absolutely love the "You're the Mean One, Mr. Grinch" song performed admirably by the legendary Thurl Ravenscroft. This just never gets old.
7. Frosty the Snowman
This is one I watched as a small child and have seen it sporadically throughout the years. It always pulls at my heartstrings. The Frosty the Snowman song alone is enough to make me emotional. I also love the animation style and the voice acting is just classic. I have this on DVD so I can watch it anytime I want during the Christmas season, even if I can't find it on TV/streaming.
6. Home Alone 2: Lost in New York
This is the one Christmas movie sequel that worked. The Santa Clause 2 wasn't bad, but it still fell a bit short. But this one ups the stakes, changes the setting, and recreates the magic of the first. In some ways, I almost enjoy it more than the first one, but the first one is such a classic. It's too bad all the rest of the "Home Alones" were not even close to the first two.
5. Rudolph the Red-Nosed Reindeer
Another timeless classic is Rudolph the Red-Nosed Reindeer. It's another TV special, but at 52 minutes it almost feels like a film. My favorite thing about this is its songs. From "Silver and Gold" to "We are Santa's Elves" to "The Most Wonderful Day of the Year", there's a song in here for everybody. As a kid, I related to Rudolph, in being picked on for something you were born with and couldn't control (for me, it was my lack of height). I will never stop loving this TV special.
4. Jingle All the Way
The crazy thing is, I almost want to rank this higher. I've seen it at least a dozen times. I love Arnie in it. It's such a simple premise: A father trying to make something up to his son, goes on a hunt to find him a Christmas gift that's nearly impossible to find. I love all the hijinks and to me, it's entertaining from start to finish. Yes, a lot of it is a bit cringy and doesn't make logical sense, but you have to suspend belief when watching this.
3. Home Alone
Of course, it had to be here if Home Alone 2 was here. And the first just always slaps, as the kids say these days. I kind of wanted the same thing to happen to me as a kid--be able to eat as much junk as I wanted, stay up as late as I wanted, watch whatever I wanted. How Kevin learns about and later deals with the burglars is always my favorite part. And it includes some great Christmas songs from "Walking Around the Christmas Tree" to "Run Run Rudolph".
2. The Santa Clause
Similar to 'Twas the Night", Santa becomes incapacitated, and the family whose home where this happens has to take over his route. This one, however, does it a bit better, with Tim Allen assuming the title of Santa Claus because of "The Santa Clause". As a kid, this movie made me believe Santa Claus was spelled with an "E" at the end. I've never been the biggest fan of the custody battle between Scott and his ex-wife for Charlie, but it does add another layer to the plot. Nevertheless, I absolutely love this movie, and I have very fond memories of watching this on ABC with my family shortly after it came out.
1. A Christmas Story
It had to be, right? And the weirdest thing is that I didn't see this until near adulthood. I think I only watched it because I was told I resembled the kid (Ralphie) from the movie. And boy, I'm glad I did. It's the perfect Christmas movie. Anyone who's ever wanted that super special Christmas gift can relate to Ralphie's quest for the Red Ryder BB gun. I sure look forward to watching this each Christmas season.
Tuesday, November 12, 2024
Good and Bad Things About our New Apartment #2
Four and a half years ago, I did a post on Good and Bad Things About Our New Apartment, and we moved out of that apartment 5 months ago and I still have yet to go over the good and bad things about our current apartment. I'll be comparing our current to our previous apartment a bit. I'll start with the bad to get that out of the way.
Bad:
- Less storage space
It's unfortunate, but the way we looked at it, it forced us to get rid of a lot of crap that we didn't need. I took 2 or 3 trips to Value Village with stuff to get rid of shortly after we moved. I still have another trip to eventually make. I'm waiting for Christmas so that I can go through the Christmas things and decide which of those things to get rid of. But both our outdoor storage and bedroom closet are smaller than our last place. But fortunately for me, I'm very good at making things fit.
- Farther commute for myself
I have a part-time job that I work every so often, and our move made my commute a bit further. I'm ok with it, though, since I don't work 5 times a week there like my girlfriend does at her job (see below). And there are multiple routes I can take, depending on traffic and if I'm making a stop for gas or groceries on the way home.
- Less free parking
Most of the parking is in the building's underground garage (see below) which is assigned, so outdoor spaces are limited and fill up fast. Fortunately, we've only encountered one time so far where there were zero free spots available outside at our building when we got home. But it's bound to happen again someday.
- Nearby street we can hear
Our last two places have been far away from busy streets, so there was no hearing passing traffic, even with windows open. But here, we can hear traffic. Fortunately, it's a 25 MPH road, so it's mostly quiet traffic, kind of like a white noise. This isn't much of a negative, but if I could get rid of it, I probably would.
- Higher floor
Yet again, we do not get a unit on the ground floor. And the funny thing is, when we were picking our unit, we had it narrowed down to two units at this place, and one of them was the ground floor and we didn't pick it. I think it had to do with the timing of when it was available. Anyway, we have to go up another flight of stairs (3 rather than 2) to get to our unit, but fortunately we have an elevator. Also, going up stairs is good exercise.
- Package locker/leasing office further away
Again, I can look at this as a good thing as it forces us to get more exercise, but if the weather's bad or it's too dark, it just forces us to drive. I wish the leasing office and package lockers were closer, but it's still not that far.
And now for the good things:
- Quieter, don't hear neighbors as much
Sure, we still hear them, but it's less than our last place. There is a neighbor a few doors down that has one of those small dogs that barks... a lot... but when that dog isn't yapping its little face off, it's a very quiet building. Well insulated.
- Shorter commute for my girlfriend
I don't commute too much as stated above, but my girlfriend works a typical 9-5 job Monday through Friday, so she commutes five days a week. One of the biggest reasons for our move was to get her a shorter commute, since she was often getting home over an hour after she got off, even though it wasn't that far of a drive.
- More open layout and a kitchen island
I've kinda combined two in one, but they go together, I think. I like our open layout more, which the kitchen connects to the living room, and we have our bedroom and bathroom to the sides of them. I like how our bathroom has two entrances to it, one from the bedroom and one from the entryway/kitchen. And we have a kitchen island, which I've used in many different ways already, from holding cooking appliances, preparing foods, and holding our diffuser or record player. When I start doing puzzles again, I'm going to do them on the island.
- More secure, indoors, elevator
Not sure what the word is for our type of building, but you need a key fob to get in (or to be buzzed in from the call box), and the hallways are indoors. We also have smart locks that don't require a key, but a passcode. I'm still getting used to not using a physical key for our door (and understanding the security behind it). And we have an elevator for when we're tired or carrying something heavy. It sure came in handy with our move!
- Ceiling fans and lights in every room
One issue we've had with most of our places is not having ceiling lights in the living room and/or bedroom. We've had to rely upon lamps for lighting. Now, we have too much lighting (lol). Also, we have ceiling fans that work very well in keeping us cool on warmer days. Unfortunately, the pullstrings on them break OFTEN, which is quite a nuisance. But maintenance always fixes them fairly quickly.
- Garage for one of us
We have a garage below our building where people park their vehicles in addition to spaces outside. We have one spot, which we share. We decided my girlfriend would have it for the colder months (October-March) and I would have it for the warmer months (April-September). She doesn't like defrosting her car (I don't mind) and she's instantly indoors once she gets home on those dark and cold evenings. I also don't want my car out there for the pollination season, which starts around April.
- Just as good if not better of service for TV, internet
I'd say our internet signal, which we get wirelessly through Verizon, is just as good as our previous place. I think the TV antenna signal we get to watch basic channels is better. There are trees, but they're not as dense nor close. Haven't had major issues with either.
- Electric fireplace
We also have an electric fireplace for the first time. It provides a soothing ambience as well as warmth. I've already used it a little bit, but I can definitely see myself using it a lot more when it really cools down. It doesn't take long for the warmth to emanate from it, either.
Well, that's all I have about our new apartment for now, but if I add anything else, I'll be sure to put it in a different color.
Wednesday, November 6, 2024
Ten Reasons Why Kamala Harris and the Democrats Lost
It sucks that Donald Trump has seemingly won the 2024 Presidential Election, despite so many things working against him. I, for one, am surprised at the result. I thought if he were to win, it would have been by the narrowest of margins, but it ended up not being that close. We will just have to get through those four years as best we can. January 20, 2029 cannot come quick enough. But I was wondering why this happened. Why did Harris lose when it seemed she had momentum and experts picking her to win? I have my top ten reasons.
10. People got too comfortable
I don't know what demographic in particular, but I think a decent amount of voters felt 2024 would go the same way as 2020 and, therefore, stayed home or didn't mail their ballot. I really hope the people that fall under this category regret it, and I'm sure they will come 2028.
9. Some sympathy for Trump
There were 81 million anti-Trump votes in 2020. There won't be as many in 2024. I think a few of those people decided they didn't want to vote against him again, feeling perhaps sympathy for him, which could stem from his assassination attempt, his prosecution (which he claims is political), or something else. Also, in 2020, there was the recent COVID-19 pandemic that was fresh in people's minds and how Trump poorly handled it. This time, there wasn't anything like that.
8. Didn't debate Trump enough
At least Kamala didn't. Only one debate happened between her and Trump. Yes, she came off better in the one debate they had, but it wasn't enough to sway a large part of the undecided voters. I really feel like she could have benefited from a second debate against him, closer to the election. But I believe Trump refused. Smart of him, I guess.
7. No catchy campaign slogan
She had "We're Not Going Back" and "A New Way Forward", but they weren't catchy enough. They don't hook people. Honestly, they might be a bit too wordy for the American people. It's hard to compete with the popularity of the "MAGA" slogan. Obama ran on two words: "Hope" and "Change". That's all you need. And he won twice. Kamala really could've used a simple, catchy campaign slogan that would've possibly appealed to those of lesser intelligence (maybe).
6. Harris didn't distance herself enough from Biden
I touch on this in the next reason, but I really wanted to emphasize that I don't believe Kamala did enough to distinguish or distance herself from Biden. Biden didn't have the best approval rating, so while it may not have been easy to do, she should have explained how she would improve upon what Biden had done. She should've also explained better how her being president gives her powers she didn't have as Vice President and how she'd rally Congress and both parties to work together. I think too many voters saw that she was part of the Biden regime that they thought caused inflation and high prices, and they didn't want another term of that.
5. Didn't explain how they'd fix the economy well enough
One criticism I heard of Kamala Harris was that she didn't articulate well enough how she'd reduce the prices of things. She said she'd go after corporate price gouging, but not how. Trump's idea of imposing tariffs, while idiotic, at least was articulated and repeated to his voter base. I think too many people thought of Kamala as a continuation of Biden and that prices would remain high if she were to get elected. They obviously didn't do their research, but I hope this will be a learning lesson to future Democrats. You have to spell it out for voters like they're ten years old, because, unfortunately, a lot of American voters have that level of intelligence.
4. The change from Biden to Harris was poorly-timed
What the Democrats should have done was have Biden continue to run for re-election, then, if and when he wins, step down at some point in his second term for health concerns. He had beaten Trump once, and he could beat him again. Granted, I think it would've been a lot tougher, but it certainly would've been a better result than what we got. And I know, back then, we were calling for him to step down, but I think some voters saw the switch to Harris as like a "bait and switch" and didn't approve. Also, there just wasn't enough time for Harris to build momentum and a substantial voting base. If Biden had declined to run for reelection, that would've boded better for the Democrats as well.
3. More apathy in 2024 than 2020 from Independents/Moderates
I think too many people were apathetic towards the election. I believe there will be fewer votes in 2024 than 2020, which is saying something, since our country is growing like most other countries. People were more passionate about their vote in 2020 than they were this year. This reason may only be third, but it may be the largest reason why Harris lost.
2. Kamala Harris is a woman
I know many people in this country will always refuse to vote for a female president. Biden selecting her as his running mate may have been a mistake. It's not that she did a terrible job as VP. But her being Biden's successor was not the right call. When Biden stepped down in July, she was the logical replacement as his VP. But her gender alone could've been enough for a huge handful of voters to not vote for her. Hillary Clinton lost in 2016, and many point to her being a woman as a reason why she lost.
1. Americans are fucking stupid
We are. As a whole. Some of us are smart. But man, we have a LOT of dumb-dumbs in this country. Too many of those dumb-dumbs believe Trump's lies and believed he was being prosecuted for political reasons. And it's not just what they believe, either. It's the things they seem to forgive, like being a convicted felon, being a sexual abuser, being a morally awful human being. All because he's on their side of the political spectrum. I honestly believe if Satan himself ran for the presidency, he'd have a good chance as long as he was a Republican.
It looks like we've gone from the Democrats and Republicans alternating the presidency every four years rather than every 8 years. I guess I hope we continue that pattern in 2028, and get back to a Democrat in office. I believe we will, as I am predicting Trump will either A) Not finish his presidency, or B) Do something during his presidency to lose support. I feel like A is more likely, as he seems to be able to get away with anything with his supporters. Let's just hope we can get through the next four years without our country changing too much for the worse.
Monday, November 4, 2024
What's Wrong with the Seahawks?
The Seahawks are 4-5, which isn't too bad, but when you consider they started 3-0 and have lost 5 of 6, and four straight at home, you realize there are some problems with the team. Clearly, they were buoyed by their easy start, which involved facing: A rookie QB in his first game, a rebuilding Patriots team they barely beat, and a Dolphins team on their 3rd string QB. Most competent teams would go 3-0 in that stretch, just as the Seahawks did. But when they finally started facing teams built to win now, they started losing. They even lost to a Giants team at home that still only has one other win, over the struggling Browns.
So, what's the issue? On offense, it's pretty clear the offensive line is one of the worst in the NFL. Geno Smith has one of the highest pressure rates and total number of pressures in the NFL, and it's not because he's always holding onto the ball too long, although I will admit he does that on occasion. But I think the bigger issue is not being able to establish a running game. To establish a running game, you need four things: A good running back, an offensive line that can create holes, a run-blocking scheme and coaching that will allow this to happen, and an offensive coordinator who will not abandon the run too quickly. The Seahawks have the first one. But they are largely missing the other three. The offensive line has been unable to open holes in the A or B gaps. Most of Kenneth Walker's big runs have been outside the tackles, where he has used his speed to get around the edge. The run-blocking scheme also seems to be largely not there. The Seahawks recently faced a 4th and 1 in Overtime against the Rams and could not get one yard. And lastly, I'm not sure Ryan Grubb is the right fit for an offense that needs to be balanced in today's NFL. He does seem to abandon the run after it doesn't work in game.
But that's just the offense. The defense is actually not performing too poorly. They've certainly shown to be dominant at times. But they are inconsistent and lacking a bit of discipline. I think, with time, they can develop into a dominant unit more consistently. Perhaps not "Legion of Boom" dominant, but maybe close to it. The pass rush could be improved, but the run defense seems better. The pass defense is inconsistent, seemingly dependent on the aerial attack they face. The defense has some above-average players in Leonard Williams, Devon Witherspoon, Julian Love, and Ernest Jones, but that's about it. They could use a bit more talent.
I must also talk about starting quarterback Geno Smith. Geno has a lot of people calling him to be benched. I can see where they're coming from, but our other option is Sam Howell, who led the league in interceptions last season. Sure, a change at quarterback can spark an offense, but it can also cause division. Geno has a lot of close friends on the team, namely receivers Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf, and his benching would certainly upset them, especially if it's somewhat unwarranted. We'd also be asking a second-year quarterback to be successful when the Seahawks, as I stated above, have one of the worst pressure rates allowed in the NFL. It's very likely the people who are calling for Geno to be benched would then be calling for him to come back. I do not believe Geno will be our quarterback for too much longer, as his age will likely lead to us looking for a younger option soon. Just not this season.
Safe to say, coach Mike Macdonald has his work cut out for him. I hate that I'm hearing people calling him to be fired already. Like, come on, people. This was not a team ready to make a Super Bowl run when he took over. Pete was let go because there were struggles with the team that, unfortunately, still exist today. Therefore, I think the issues with this team are largely due to the construction of the roster by General Manager John Schneider. I could do an entirely separate post about him, but the point I want to make here is that he's likely been overvalued as a GM and should, therefore, be held accountable for the team's struggles. He's not been a good GM with trades, he's only had two or three good drafts out of 14, and he overvalues some positions (wide receiver) while undervaluing others (interior OL).
If the Seahawks really want to make a run at a Super Bowl in a few years, two things need to happen. One, they need to find the next franchise quarterback. Geno is a good holdover quarterback, but he will likely start declining soon (if he hasn't already), and the Hawks will need to find a younger option. The second thing the Hawks will need to do is either replace John Schneider, or he has to change his philosophy on roster construction. I don't see the latter happening, as people that high on teams don't tend to be malleable and are set in their ways. Yes, he put together a team that won us a Super Bowl in 2014. However, the NFL has changed in the last ten years, and I think he's failed to realize this. I still like Schneider as a team-builder more than Jerry Dipoto on the Mariners, but it's starting to get close. Like Dipoto, I feel a championship might not be possible under his reign.
The thing Seahawks fans most have to understand is this is a team in transition. We aren't going to make a Super Bowl run this year or even next. Some legitimate holes on this team still need to be filled, and Macdonald still has to install his system and way of doing things. This team still feels like it has remnants of Carroll's philosophy, so that needs to change. Nothing against Carroll, but he's not the coach anymore. This is Macdonald's team now, whether fans like it or not. Let's all be patient.
Thursday, October 24, 2024
My Top 10 Sitcoms, Dramas, and Animated TV Shows of All Time
I love TV. I've seen quite a few TV shows throughout my life. I have compiled a list of my Top 10 Sitcoms, Dramas, and Animated Shows. I have seen most of these to completion. I'll denote with an asterisk (*) if I haven't. And there are a few shows still airing that I haven't included here, but may someday. I might have to if I ever come back.
First up, my Top 10 Sitcoms/Comedic Shows. There are definitely a few that I haven't seen that a lot of people would include such as Seinfeld, Cheers, Frasier, and M*A*S*H. Perhaps someday I'll watch those. But for now, these are my top 10, ranked in order, from least favorite (but still like) to most favorite.
10. Rules of Engagement
I thoroughly enjoyed this show. I caught a few bits and pieces when it was airing and liked what I saw, so I gave it a try. I never really have been a fan of David Spade but I liked him in the role of Russell. But I most liked Patrick Warburton and Megyn Price's dynamic as the "main" couple. Bianca Kajlich and Oliver Hudson were good as well. I definitely want to watch this again someday.
9. Two and a Half Men
I'm with everyone else in the thought that it was not the same once Charlie Sheen left the show. But it was still decent and watchable. It just didn't have the same charm. It'd be like if The Big Bang Theory had lost Jim Parsons. Anyway, I loved Charlie and Allan's brotherly dynamic, and I'd like to think if I had a brother I'd have a similar relationship. I just don't know if I'd be the Allan or the Charlie. Probably Allan, lol.
8. The Drew Carey Show
I first got into Whose Line Is It Anyway, which is my favorite Improv show of all time. But then, when I realized Drew and Ryan were on there, I had to watch. And I'm glad I did. There are some slow points and the show does get a little over the top at times, but it's still one of the most underrated sitcoms of all time in my opinion. I'm actually currently in the middle of rewatching it since it finally got to a streaming service of some kind.
7. Brooklyn Nine-Nine
I finished watching this for the first time a month or two ago, and boy I'm glad I gave it a shot. The ensemble cast kills it. Who'd have thought a police detective department would be this funny? I never thought I could tolerate a sitcom with Andy Samberg as the lead, since I find him slightly annoying. His role on Parks and Rec drove me nuts. But he kills it here. Especially in the sentimental moments. It's a little hard to believe he could snag a chick like Amy, but she has her flaws, too.
6. The Big Bang Theory*
I might have to move this up or do a new list someday since I am currently in the middle of watching it for the first time to completion. But I am finally doing that and I'm really enjoying it. The humor in this show is so smart, and the writers clearly do a ton of research to get all the physics stuff in it. And of course, Sheldon carries the show. His character is certainly a top 10 sitcom character of all time.
5. Parks and Rec
It's like the Office, but in some ways, better. But I do prefer the Office. Both Parks and Rec and The Office have their lesser quality seasons. The Office's was at the end, and Parks and Rec's was at the beginning. But once you hit Season 3, man this show picks up. The additions of Ben and Chris were the best thing that could've happened to this show. Adam Scott and Rob Lowe kill it as Ben Wyatt and Chris Traeger. I have only watched this show all the way through once (with bits and pieces seen as well), but I certainly want to watch it again.
4. Boy Meets World
I'm a little surprised it's this high, too. But this was my coming-of-age show. It was a little ahead of where I was in my life, but it taught me lessons I learned for the future. I related so much to Cory Matthews growing up, and I so badly wanted my own Topanga and Shawn. I'm currently listening to the rewatch podcast "Pod Meets World" done by Danielle (Topanga), Rider (Shawn) and Will (Eric), and I'm reliving all those memories of watching the show again.
3. The Office
I have only watched The Office all the way through once. I've seen chunks of episodes other times, and I've watched more scenes on YouTube than I can count. Anyway, it's such a good show. There's a reason a lot of people in my generation and Gen Z have seen this show many times, sometimes watching the series back to back. The main cast is terrific and the side characters shine when given an opportunity. It makes everyone watching want to work in a similar office environment, only to realize when we do we'll never work with a Michael Scott, Jim Halpert, Dwight Schrute, or Pam Beesly.
2. How I Met Your Mother
Such a well-written show. There's never been a comedy that has jumped in time as much. They basically had it planned from the start, and the continuity in this show is insanely good. Like when they jump in time but manage to match up Lily's hairstyle to what it was at the time. And the running gags, especially the ones by Barney, are... legen... wait for it...DARY! This show holds up well and I imagine it will for a long time. A lot of people criticize the ending, and it does disappoint me that they killed off the mother, but we, as fans, have to realize the show was about Ted's love for Robin all along.
1. FRIENDS
This is the pinnacle for me. Nothing will top it. I've worn out my DVD's watching this show (not literally, but I've watched it a LOT). I got into it in high school after catching an episode on TV. It was in one of the later seasons at the time, but I started from the beginning, and boy was I instantly hooked. It's hard to describe why I and so many others love this show so much. Personally, I think it's the well-written characters and how they're performed by the six brilliant actors.
Now for my Top 10 Animated Shows or Cartoons. Thought I'd save the dramas for last. A few of these I haven't seen all the way through, but I plan to (at least watch more of them if I haven't caught up). I love animated shows. I don't watch them enough. Some of these are from my childhood, and some are from my adulthood. It'll probably be easy to tell which is which.
10. Invincible*
I still need to watch the second season, which somehow, I haven't. But Invincible was such a good gory, vulgar, superhero show. Great voice acting by Steven Rhee, J.K. Simmons, and Sandra Oh. It's good for any adult superhero fan who has always wanted a bit of adult themes in their superhero cartoons.
9. Star Wars: Rebels
I was initially put off by the idea of this show because it aired on "Disney XD" and seemed to be aimed towards kids. But boy was I mistaken, for the most part. Yes, it's aimed towards kids, but there are some adult themes from time to time, especially in the later seasons. Every member of the Ghost crew is lovable, from the main Ezra to Kanan, Sabine, Hera, Zeb, and of course, Chopper. I've now seen this show twice after introducing it to my girlfriend, and I enjoyed it even more the second time.
8. Rick and Morty*
Such an intelligent, animated show. I got into the show during its peak and I was hooked. Once they released new episodes, I never got around to watching them. Maybe someday. I was put off by the allegations against Justin Roiland, the actor behind the two mains. But when I was watching this I got very into it, getting a lot of Rick and Morty merch.
7. Pokemon: The Animated Series*
The show that accompanied the game. I absolutely loved the first couple of seasons. I never really got past the Johto region, but the early episodes just hit hard. I may give them a shot someday. I remember re-watching a bit of them when I saw them on Netflix a few years ago, but I may have to get myself back into Pokemon, complete with playing the games as well.
6. Doug (Nickelodeon)
I'm only considering the episodes of Doug that aired on Nickelodeon, which I'm sure I've seen all of. I absolutely loved this show as a kid, relating to Doug quite well. There's just an aesthetic to the show when it was on Nickelodeon that's just incredibly pleasing. It's hard to explain. This is on my shortlist of animated shows to rewatch someday.
5. Archer*
How'd it get into my Top 5? I'm currently in the middle of watching this series. I had initially watched the first 5 or so seasons years ago, not too long after they'd been released. And now I'm finally getting through the entire series. I just love the characters: Archer, Lana, Cyril, Pam, Mallory, and yes, even Carol/Cheryl. It's a bit over the top what Archer (and others) can survive, but that's kinda what makes it fun.
4. Star Wars: The Clone Wars
Yep, somehow this got here, too. There's no real cohesive prevalent storyline, but you know these are all short stories (or segments of short stories) that take place during the Clone Wars of Star Wars, between Episodes II and III. I've only seen most of the episodes once, but someday my girlfriend agreed to give this show a shot, so we'll watch it. Someday.
3. Family Guy*
I can say for fairly certain that Family Guy has made me laugh more than any other animated show. Perhaps any show period. I discovered Family Guy threw some short clips I watched online many years ago, and I got hooked. As a Star Wars fan, I especially love their Star Wars specials, and I kinda wish they did the prequel series, too. Oh well. I just love the characters, the Griffin family, Peter's friends, and the entire city of Quahog that Seth McFarlane created. I even played a mobile game for the longest time that was based on this show (Family Guy: Quest for Stuff).
2. Hey Arnold
I learned so many life lessons from this show. Arnold, perhaps more than any adult in my life growing up, taught me to be good and always try to do the right thing. This is definitely a show I want to fully rewatch someday, and introduce to my kids if I have some. It's just so good.
1. Rugrats*
Who'd have thought a show about babies would be entertaining for basically all ages? Rugrats still holds up well to this day. I especially love the earlier episodes and their animation style. I related a lot to Tommy, of course, and I related his family to my own. I learned a lot of life lessons from this show as well. I can't say for certain I've seen ALL of the episodes of Rugrats, especially when it comes to later seasons (or the remake, All Grown Up, etc.) since they didn't seem to have the same charm as the earlier seasons, but it's still enough to make Rugrats my favorite animated show/cartoon of all time.
Now, the best for last (IMO). The Top 10 Dramas/Action TV shows of all time. These are scripted shows, typically 40+ minutes in length, that range from the natural to the supernatural. Some have comedic elements, but none are known as straight up comedies or sitcoms. Here they are:
10. Californication
I don't even recall why I gave this show a shot, but boy, I'm glad I did. It's witty, entertaining, and despite Hank Moody (played by David Duchovny) being such a dick, you care for him. You realize he does have a heart...deep, deep down. But man he sure thinks with his penis most of the time. I've thought about giving this show a rewatch soon. It's also got a very underrated soundtrack. And, I have to say, at times, this show made me laugh harder than maybe any sitcom on this list. There were some moments I had to pause for several minutes because I could not stop laughing.
9. Suits
It's not that high because I only semi-recently finished it, but it deserves to be here. It's incredibly witty, and we as the audience get to learn about the world of corporate law along with Mike. I've heard it's not very realistic for corporate law, but if you put that aside, it's so good. There was a season after Rachel (Megan Markle) and Mike left and the show isn't quite as good, but the mains of Harvey, Louis, and Donna carry the show despite Mike and Rachel's absence.
8. Smallville
I've only seen it once, because I got into a Superman phase (watched all the live action movies), and so I gave Smallville a shot and I'm glad I did. It certainly delves away from the a lot of Superman lore, but not so much that it's impossible to believe. The worst of this was definitely when Lana and Lex got together. Ugh. But once Lois (Erica Durance) came onto the show, it really took off. And Tom Welling did such a great job as Clark.
7. Shameless
Another show I've only watched once, but it was so good at its peak. You want a dysfunctional family where the kids are basically forced to raise themselves? This is it. It's extremely vulgar, but it feels realistic for a family of this nature, where the parental figures are largely absent. The show definitely fell off a bit after Fiona (Emmy Rossum) left, but the next oldest kids Lip, Ian, and Debbie picked up the slack. And who could forget about their neighbors Kev and V? They are perhaps the best characters in the show. I definitely want to watch this again someday.
6. The Mandalorian
This is the best Star Wars live action show. I know, Andor is well-made, but I connect more with The Mandalorian, plus this show has three seasons to Andor's one. The Mandalorian has heart, great action, and adds well to the Star Wars lore. Each episode could almost be a small mini-Star Wars movie. I still have only season most episodes once, but I definitely plan on rewatching this someday. Season 3 wasn't quite as gripping as the first two, but let's hope they get back to form in Season 4. There's also a movie coming out, which I am looking forward to.
5. Game of Thrones
I'd be hard-pressed to think of a show with a higher peak than Game of Thrones. Its first four seasons may be the best four seasons to start any show ever. It's so well-written, made, and acted. I have seen most episodes twice and there's so much to pick up on in its lore and world. Also, there has still yet to be a show (IMO) that killed off its main characters as unexpectedly and viciously like Game of Thrones did. Unfortunately, as we all know, the show did not end on a good note, but at least the first 4-6 seasons were quality TV.
4. The Walking Dead
The show that started it all. Like Game of Thrones, it started strong and was doing incredibly well its first 4+ seasons. But also like Game of Thrones, it tapered off in quality the longer it went. I have fond memories of The Walking Dead: watching it with my friends, and talking about it with them and my family. Good times. The show seemed to peak at the Season 6 Finale/Season 7 premiere, when Negan killed both Abraham and Glenn. That caused massive outrage from fans for two reasons: One, they hated the cliffhanger in not knowing who Negan killed, and two, how they killed off two main characters, mainly Glenn, the way they did. Because of this outrage, the showrunners and writers really didn't kill off any more main characters for the rest of the show's run, ruining the rest of the show's run. But I've remained a fan of the universe for a while. In addition to this original series, I've seen the Dead City, The Ones Who Live, and the Darryl Dixon spin-offs. I've seen some of "Fear" but not all of it. I'll need to give that another shot someday.
3. LOST
This was the first drama I really got hooked on. And boy, did I. I didn't even watch the first season live. I remember choosing "North Shore" over LOST, and boy, was that a mistake. But I got into LOST between the break of Seasons One and Two, and from that point on, I was hooked. I remember recording each episode on my computer (I had a TV cable and app I could do this with) and watching them first thing in the morning. I didn't watch them live for some reason. Anyway, I own all the seasons, I've seen each episode around five times, and it's a show I'll never tire of. So much mystery and intrigue surrounding the island. Yes, not every question gets answered, but you know what? That's life. And a lot of people think the show didn't finish that well, but I do. I love it from start to finish.
2. Dexter
I'm gonna make a declaration here. There is not a single character in television history that was more suited to their actor than Dexter was to Michael C. Hall. Dude was born to play Dexter. You could make an argument for the main character in the TV show below, I will say. Anyway, each season has its own interesting arc, and while the later seasons aren't quite as thrilling as the earlier ones, I still find it massively entertaining. It's hard to write a character that kills like Dexter and make us root for them, but the Dexter writers succeeded. I could watch Michael C. Hall as Dexter spending a normal day without any of the killing or drama, and I'd still be incredibly entertained. The New Blood spin-off was decent, and I'm really looking forward to Original Sin and Resurrection.
1. Breaking Bad
I had to. Breaking Bad is the perfect TV show, as I know a lot of people would agree. It is gripping and well-made from start to finish. Bryan Cranston absolutely kills it as Walter White. Who knew the silly dad from Malcolm in the Middle could act like this? I've seen BB I think three times now, and I know I'll keep rewatching it to the end of my days. The Better Call Saul spinoff was almost as good, although I didn't want to put a spin-off on this list. Anyway, Breaking Bad is the perfect TV drama, and it ended at just the right time. Find a major fault with this show, I dare you. You can't. It's virtually flawless.
Thursday, September 19, 2024
SURVIVOR 47 FOUR WORD GAME
Survivor 47 has had its premiere, and wow, what a shocking first boot (More on that later). Like past seasons, I'm going to give each player remaining in the game (and the booted player) four words to describe the current state of their game, what they need to do, what I noticed, and anything that might stand out about them to me. I'll then elaborate a tiny bit on that, especially early on considering I have a lot of players to get through.
As always, I'll be starting with my lowest-ranked player, then going sequentially to my highest ranked player. This first week is based off of my pre-season rankings from my other Survivor 47 post. Let's go!
EPISODE 1 FOUR WORD GAME
Rachel: Smartly kept her distance
Andy tried to really bring in her in, and honestly, I don't know the full extent of what Andy was trying, especially that one time he seemingly woke her up to talk to her. Is he interested in her romantically? I doubt it, since she's married. But Rachel smartly kept her distance from him, and they have an easy target should they go to tribal again.
Sue: Best positioned player--somehow
At least on her tribe. She made bonds with Gabe and Caroline, and she seems to be in the mix. She's the only other person to know about Gabe's idol other than Gabe himself. I was quite surprised Sue wasn't instantly on the outs.
Anika: Leadership prowess a curse
Sometimes people are good at directing others, and Anika couldn't help but allow that part of her in the game. Well, it got her a vote. And she might be next to go after Andy, or hey, maybe even before. She tried deflecting this at tribal, but it was a feeble attempt, in my opinion.
Sol: Wanted to see more
Didn't get a whole lot of Sol. He wasn't the only one with only one confessional, but he felt like the most invisible player. I was worried he might be on the bottom, but that appears to be Rome. But I still think he's on the bottom of the alliance he's in.
Kishan: No strategic ability seen
At least not yet. He just seems like a guy that's happy to be there and happy to contribute. I need to see more.
Rome: Too hard too fast
My dude is digging, and not just for the idol. He's digging himself an early hole. He better hope his tribe doesn't go to tribal before he can repair what he's done. I don't think we saw him fully get to the idol yet, so hopefully next episode.
Caroline: Not very memorable, unfortunately
She made a bond with Sue, and that's about it. They seemed to bond over their mother-daughter relationships in their regular lives, which was nice. But I need to see more.
Sierra: Well-insulated, terrible tribe
Sierra's pretty well-insulated on her tribe. I think she would stay before Andy and possibly Anika or Rachel. She and Sam are the most well-insulated. I guess it was the right move to get rid of Jon, presuming Andy can help them in challenges.
Genevieve: Connection could doom her
We saw Genevieve make a connection with Rome, who is now on the outs. We saw Jon go over Andy because Jon wasn't as good in challenges, apparently. Well, Genevieve probably isn't as good as Rome. I bet her name will come up if they lose, so she has to distance herself from Rome.
Teeny: Likable, smart, going far
Teeny was smart to want to keep Aysha in the mix despite Aysha being gone on the "journey". Teeny also seems to be in with Kishan and Sol. I think Teeny's the best-positioned on the Lavo tribe.
Sam: Glue guy: Smart play
I like Sam wanting to be the "glue guy". That's exactly what you want to be on your pre-merge tribe. He smartly decided not to work with Andy and Jon, although he'll have to make sure if it's just the girls and him left that it's not him. It shouldn't be.
TK: Won some favor over
By getting the supplies on his own. They may have edited it weirdly, but it sure seemed like TK came from behind to find the final key. He seems to be a good challenge competitor.
Gabe: His idol a curse
I bet it'll be a curse. I wonder if others will know about its power? Even if not, he'll have a target on his back once he plays it once. He almost for sure will go home without using it fully. I like his play to get it, but now he's gotta work on the social game.
Andy: Almost worst first episode
What an almost terrible start for Andy. I feel like 9/10 tribes vote him out after what he did. Fortunately for him, he was on the one tribe that didn't. But he's going to have to win them some immunities if he wants to make the merge.
Tiyana: Our next worm queen!
So if I'm not mistaken, that's Jaime Lynn, Kendra, and now Tiyana that have eaten worms. Hey, this is all I could really remember!
Kyle: Needs more air time
Didn't see much. Kyle seemed to make bonds and work well in camp, but that's all I remember. He mentioned his small town with four traffic signals, but that's really about it.
Aysha: Volunteering almost bad call
If I heard correctly, it seems Aysha volunteered to try to win her tribe supplies. Rome was right, not very smart to miss out on those first few bonding hours. Fortunately for her, I don't think that'll hurt her in the long run.
And to our departed player...
Jon: Most surprising first boot
To me, perhaps. Jeff hyped him up as a great storyteller, Andy was clearly set up all episode to be the guy going, and yet the rest decided on Jon. Sigh. He would've been a good narrator for the season. Someone else will have to step up. Fortunately, we have four other people who speak into a microphone for a living in Aysha, Gabe, Sam, and Rome.
As Jeff Probst says, "All right!" Time for my new power rankings. I factor in a lot of things, like who I think has a chance of winning, who I think might be next to go, who is in a bad spot, etc. And I share how far off they were from my previous ranking, which in this case would be my pre-season ranking, so definitely a few I moved a lot. And without further ado, here they are!
17. Andy (-12)
16. Rome (-3)
15. Anika (+1)
14. Genevieve (-4)
13. Caroline (-1)
12. Gabe (-6)
11. Sol (+4)
10. Rachel (+8)
9. Kishan (+5)
8. Aysha (-7)
7. Sierra (+4)
6. Sam (+2)
5. TK (+2)
4. Tiyana (-1)
3. Teeny (+6)
2. Kyle (0)
1. Sue (+17!)
Biggest rise: Sue (+17!)
Biggest fall: Andy (-12)
I was way off on Sue, or so I think. I thought she'd come off as more abrasive, but she's actually been sweet and welcoming to others. Yes, she'd likely be a huge target mid-merge, but it's still very early. Andy fell off with his disastrous episode, and he's clearly on the outs of a possible disaster tribe. There's always a lot of movement early on, so expect a lot of movement next week as well. See you then!
EPISODE 2 FOUR WORD GAME
Andy: Recovery was okay, considering
Andy could've spiraled further, but I think he recovered okay. Sure, he could've kept the idol to himself, but he didn't have too many people on his side to help him. Fortunately for him, there seem to be some cracks within Gata.
Rome: Too much for some
I can see why Survivor cast him. But Rome is too much to handle at times. Also, with him losing trust in Teeny for her showing Kishan his idol (box), does he have any close allies? Is Genevieve even there?
Anika: Impending paranoia extremely likely
Anika was shown accusing Sam and Sierra of being a couple (WTF) and she seems like someone that's going to maybe be the next on Gata to go paranoid. I don't have a great feeling about her chances with Sam wanting to protect Andy. At least Sam included her on his idol find.
Genevieve: Invisible lady, not good
Genevieve was the only one not to get a confessional in Ep. 2. Not good for her chances. She seems like a forgettable boot, at best early merge. We need more!
Caroline: Solid alliance, but underling
I believe Caroline will be perceived as Sue's sidekick rather than the other way around. So it's good Caroline has a tight bond with someone, and she should definitely stick with Sue for a long time, but if she wants to win she'll have to betray Sue before FTC.
Gabe: Right call it seems
Gabe didn't have much of a choice, but he could've aligned with TK, Kyle, and Tiyana and taken out Sue. But he would've easily been the #4 there. Now, he's one of the two men who will be counted on for challenge strength. He lost a shield, but he has people to work with. And I think it was smart to play the idol in case of a tie. He wasn't sure where Tiyana was going. And, it gets the target off his back and he can always find another (Hopefully more stealthily).
Sol: Sifu of this season
Sure, Sifu really only had character moments, but we never really saw any strategy from him and he was the mergatory boot. I think the same might happen to Sol. We just aren't getting much.
Rachel: Puzzle gooddess--watch out
Not sure if anyone noticed, but Rachel killed it in the puzzle in the premiere episode in the very first challenge. Then she kills it in the maze puzzle with the peg. I think Rachel could be one of the best puzzle players the show has ever seen--up there with Spencer and Rob.
Kishan: Being included, that's good
Kishan's lone "highlight" was Teeny showing him Rome's idol box. It seems people want to include him since he's likable. He'll just have to use that and start being a little more aggressive when the time comes.
Aysha: Quiet episode, slight worry
My winner pick had a quiet episode, but the red Lavo tribe basically all had a quiet episode, outside of Rome. I do worry about her chances, but a lot of winners have had quiet episodes. Erika, Gabler, and Maryanne all did.
Sierra: Will get targeted eventually
For being Sam's #2. It may not be until post-merge, but I think she goes before Sam to weaken him. Their bond will no doubt be seen by others, and I think Sierra will be a casualty of Sam's game. Her choice on whether to turn on the girls when the time comes will be interesting to see.
Sam: Sloppy but effective game
Sam's playing a decent but sloppy game, pretty common among those below 27 years of age or so. It'll be hard for him to win a FTC vote, and it'll be harder for him to get there. For the most part, I like how's he handling his game, and yes, it's smart to keep Andy because otherwise he's the lone guy and clearly the #4 in the tribe.
Tiyana: Played with emotions, possibly
Tiyana said she wanted to play a game where she could separate her emotions from the game. But she didn't, as she voted for someone in TK who she didn't like. But it could also have been strategic. Had she voted with them, it would've forced a tie, and if she backtracks after that, it only looks worse. Likely smart move, but I worry this may be a sign of things to come for her.
Teeny: Trustworthiness the biggest key
Teeny lost some trust with Rome after showing Kishan Rome's idol. It'll be hard for Teeny to win back that trust, but Teeny seems to have it with Aysha, Kishan, and Sol (it seems, at least). Hard to say where Genevieve stands. But I like where Teeny stands and I don't see Teeny going anytime soon.
Kyle: Huge blow to game
Losing your closest ally in your first vote is a huge blow to Kyle's game. I can't remember any winners that has happened to, at least not in the new era. He's got a long way to go to recover. And with an episode where they went to tribal and Kyle still didn't have too much to say, I'm not feeling so hot about his chances.
Sue: Gabler type game coming?
I could see it. Sue, like Gabler, survived the first vote despite their name being out there (Gabler threw his own name out there, but that's beside the point). She has Caroline and Gabe like Gabler had Sami and Owen. She'll have to lay low come the merge and strike when the time is right. I could see it... but I worry about this tribe's strength without TK.
And to our departed player...
TK: Overconfidence a death knell
One thing that cost TK his game was his overconfidence. He felt he had both Tiyana and Gabe (along with Kyle), when he had neither. He also didn't vibe too well with his tribe outside of Kyle and him talking on the beach when Tiyana and Sue were trying to rest certainly didn't help. Doesn't matter if you're the best athlete on your tribe--you have to have a good head on your shoulders.
New power rankings! Clearly, there's going to be a lot of changes. I have to consider screen time and which tribe may be going to tribal next (I don't think Red/Lavo is going next week, either). It's going to be crazy. Here it is:
16. Anika (-1)
15. Rome (+1)
14. Andy (+3)
13. Genevieve (+1)
12. Sol (-1)
11. Kishan (-2)
10. Kyle (-8)
9. Caroline (+4)
8. Rachel (+2)
7. Aysha (+1)
6. Sierra (+1)
5. Gabe (+7)
4. Tiyana (0)
3. Sue (-2)
2. Teeny (+1)
1. Sam (+5)
Biggest rise: Gabe (+7)
Biggest fall: Kyle (-8)
This is basically broken up into sections. #16-14 are the ones I'm most worried about leaving. #13-10 are the invisible bunch. #9-6 are the sidekicks or people that aren't invisible but we need to see more of. Gabe and Tiyana are outside winner contenders (would need to do a lot more) with #3-1 being my winner contenders at the moment. Sam grabs the top spot after a 16 confessional episode (Wow!). I know he had the idol, but my goodness. It'll be interesting to see if anyone can hold the top spot for more than one week. My thoughts are it'll be tough--I'm feeling like changing that spot nearly every week. We'll see!
EPISODE 3 FOUR WORD GAME
Anika: Clearly her or guys
Anika went on a journey and lied to the tribe about being able to refuse to play and saving her vote, then confided in just the girls the actual truth. Now, she said she's against Andy, but we can tell she's also against Sam, although they're connected through Sierra. It'll be interesting to see how it shakes out if they go to tribal again.
Rome: Power saving him--temporarily
Rome's idol and now steal a vote are saving him for the moment. But you know his tribe would turn on him, even Teeny and Kishan if they had full opportunity to. He's really becoming a villain, something we haven't had much of in the New Era. I'm looking forward to his downfall. I just hope it's not at FTC and he's a zero vote finalist. That's not satisfying enough.
Andy: Maybe create chaos yourself
Sure, there's some underlying tension in the tribe, mainly between Anika and Sam. But what Andy could do is create even more tension between them himself. The most common thing people have done is telling one person what the other said about them. Andy could really put himself in the driver's seat of the tribe if he did that.
Genevieve: At tribal, still nothing
I feel like I don't know Genevieve at all. She now has the fewest confessionals of the season, and three episodes in, she still has fewer than Jon got in his one episode. Make it make sense! Her tribe goes to tribal and she's barely a part of the talks. We got affirmation of a core four, with two pairs (Teeny and Kishan, Rome and her), so we know she's still tight with Rome. But that's it. We saw her on the sit out bench looking for an idol/advantage, but I really can't recall much else.
Sol: Becoming quiet fan favorite
Killing it in challenges. Providing a voice for the people at home. Dude is quietly becoming a fan favorite. I was really worried for him at the last tribal. Now there's going to be a clash between him and Rome. Will they even go to tribal again before mergatory? I don't think they will. But perhaps that rift will still be there at that time.
Kishan: Most level-headed member
If there was one person on Lavo I was not worried about in the vote, it was Kishan. Dude has zero enemies, and even though he struggled a bit (along with Teeny), there was no talk of him name being written down. He's level-headed and he's got a majority alliance. He should at least make the jury.
Kyle: Longshot in current tribe
I hate to say it, but after what we saw in Episode 3, I worry about Kyle. He tried to win Sue back over, but she didn't seem to want to budge at all. She is going to hold a grudge against him for voting for her until one of them's out of the game, it seems. And we know Caroline will stick with her. So, he's going to have to get Gabe and Tiyana on his side, somehow. Or just hope the four of them turn on each other.
Caroline: Still the number two
Don't know what else to say about her. Caroline and Sue's bond seems pretty strong. I believe it was Gabe saying if you have them you have two votes, but he really should be looking at it like they're two that won't turn on each other, so they need to be broken up.
Rachel: Again, carrying her tribe
It's largely gone unnoticed since no one has verbally spoken it on the show, but Rachel is literally carrying Gata in the challenges. If not for her, they may have gone to three straight tribals. This last episode, Tuku was ahead in the puzzle, but then Gata got to it and passed them at the puzzle stage, clearly thanks to Rachel. They cannot vote her out. Period.
Sierra: Fire clue in intro
I'm not gonna talk too much about the game for Sierra, but instead the intro/theme. In it, I noticed a machete striking flint right after her name was shown. Does she maybe go out in fire at Final 4? I'm going to try to remember that for the future. I think she could get that far, especially if she sticks with Sam.
Gabe: Needs a number one
Sue and Caroline are each other's number one, it seems. Who is Gabe's? Tiyana? It's not Kyle. I think he needs a number one, because even if he sticks with Sue and Caroline, they'll turn on him before turning on each other.
Tiyana: Positive comment, purpled episode
Two things. One, Tiyana was the only one to not get a confessional in Episode 3. Not good. Two, her comment to Kyle for carrying them was awesome to see, and basically the only notable thing she did this episode.
Sue: Stubbornness could be downfall
It just seems like Sue is one of those stubborn... middle-aged ladies who once they believe something they refuse to go another way. That's not particularly good in the game of Survivor. I really hope she can get past Kyle voting for her and move on. We'll see. By the way, that was not Sue's "blood" in the preview for next week. It was too bright and vivid to be blood; more like paint.
Teeny: Strategic leader of tribe
Teeny seems to be the one we hear most of regarding strategy and voting on their tribe. That's good news. Teeny is well-insulated and even though they struggled in the challenge, the other members in the tribe decided not to punish Teeny for it. I still like Teeny's chances.
Sam: Bond will cause target
Way to go, Anika. She let slip that Sierra and Sam are close, so their bond may be targeted at the mergatory or soon after the merge. That's not good for Sam. He'll have a lot of work to do to downplay his threat level. Also, dude needs to try more foods, lol.
And to our departed player...
Aysha: Journey sunk her game
I honestly think her going on the journey sunk her game. A foursome formed while she was gone and she could never fully recover. It sucks. And this is my second winner pick to not even make the merge. ARGH! Coincidentally, both have been African-American women. I got too hyped up into thinking I was picking the next Maryanne. Oh well.
New power rankings! It's crazy how all three boots have been unexpected, from a narrative perspective. We may eventually get a string of invisible players booted, but we're sure getting our money's worth for the players being voted out. I might have to change things up. Here's the list:
15. Genevieve (-2)
14. Kyle (-4)
13. Sol (-1)
12. Rome (+3)
11. Anika (+5)
10. Andy (+4)
9. Caroline (0)
8. Tiyana (-4)
7. Sierra (-1)
6. Gabe (-1)
5. Kishan (+6)
4. Sue (-1)
3. Sam (-2)
2. Rachel (+6)
1. Teeny (+1)
Biggest rise: Kishan and Rachel (+6), Also Anika (+5) and Andy (+4)
Biggest fall: Kyle and Tiyana (-4)
Yet another new #1! Again, I have my rankings in groups. 15-13 are too invisible (Yes, even Kyle). 12-10 are chaotic and could go in the next vote or last until the end of the game. Hard to say. For 9-5, I don't really see a winning game for them, but it's not impossible. 4-1 are my winner contenders. Yes, Rachel has entered my winner contenders. She's very smart, and I think she could win over a jury. If she gets a group and gets to the end, watch out. Can't make her #1 yet, but perhaps if she has a good episode.
AFTER EPISODE 4 FOUR WORD GAME
Genevieve: Out of literally nowhere
I'm sure most fans of Survivor were thinking, "Who is this chick?" as Genevieve seemed to come out of nowhere to make a move. Good on her. She wasn't happy with Kishawn throwing her name out, and she acted on it. She'll certainly be jumping up a bit for me.
Kyle: The next one skunked
The term "skunked" I take from Once Upon an Island and their podcast, and it means when a player gets 0 confessionals in an episode. No one got skunked episode 1. But Genevieve was in episode 2, Tiyana in episode 3, and now Kyle in this past episode. That's never a good sign. But maybe they're changing things and hiding the true contenders from us early.
Sol: Patience of a saint
Seriously. How he didn't lash out at Rome, perhaps even physically, is beyond me. I wouldn't have been able to restrain myself. I know... physically lashing out at someone is a one-way ticket to getting ejected from the game, but Sol showed true patience and composure. He even voted the correct way, realizing where the votes were headed.
Rome: Most villainous recent player
Rome went from annoying to straight-up villainous. We haven't had a villain like this in a long time. If there's a Heroes vs. Villains 2, he has to be on there. His ultimatum/threat to Sol severed any chance they had of working together and he better hope Sol doesn't get an army come the merge. I can't see Rome surviving long past the merge unless he gets completely nerfed and ends up being an afterthought goat.
Anika: "Breadwinners" not particularly smart
I believe(?) it was Anika who came up with the name for their alliance. You don't really want to do that unless you're in control or the person who you share it with you trust 100%. It just looks like you're flaunting your alliance. You want to downplay it always. Not a very smart thing to do.
Andy: Finale goat best case
Andy's becoming that lovable klutz that isn't threatening, which isn't completely bad for him. But the down side to it is that no one will think he deserves to win if he gets to the end. Think Owen 2.0, if you will. I can see Andy losing at the end. Also, smart of him to not back down with the amulet. And this version of the amulet means he or Caroline or Teeny will be targeted come the merge. Watch out.
Caroline: Amulet play surprisingly smart
Caroline didn't need her vote as much as the other two, yet she stood her ground. If I had time to think after the scenario for the amulet was revealed, I would've thought Caroline would've caved, not Teeny. But now she has a small target on her back. But she did the best she could given the circumstances.
Tiyana: Lacking content since vote
First she was skunked and now she's forgettable. It's not a good look for Tiyana. Fortunately, Genevieve came out of nowhere to make a move, and Tiyana can too. All I can remember is the Sue idol situation. Good for her to question Sue and not really trust what she was saying. But she and Kyle alone won't be enough to take on the other 3.
Sierra: Tension in the middle
Sierra is trying to play both sides, and she's starting to get a little heat or tension for it. She and Sam had a bit of a spat over her telling Andy about her girl's alliance and not him. Sometimes playing the middle ends up blowing up in people's faces (Sarah in Cagayan, most notably), so she has to be careful.
Gabe: Screen time down consistently
Gabe has gone from 11 confessionals to 7 to 3 to 1, dropping each week. Not good. But hey, at least he hasn't been skunked. Also, I question his apparent blind loyalty to Sue. I'm not sure I would be that loyal to her.
Sue: Crazy side coming out
I think as the days go on, the lack of food and sleep is making Sue crazier and crazier. Yes, she got an idol, but her covering it up was too funny. Also, her telling Kyle(?) that she's 45 is hilarious. I wouldn't buy that for a second. I worry about her being taken seriously later in the game. She may be a finale goat. She's becoming like an older Carolyn.
Sam: Shouldn't have accosted quickly
When Andy told Sam about the "Breadwinners" alliance, Sam shouldn't have accosted Sierra so quickly. He should've kept it in his back pocket. Maybe pull it out when he decides to turn on the girls. He could've used that against her later in the game. Oh well.
Rachel: Puzzle queen reigns supreme!
Yet again. I don't recall if they got to the puzzle third or second, but Rachel again got Gata in first with her puzzle prowess. If puzzles were as common in individual challenges, I'd have Rachel pegged as a potential immunity challenge threat, but they are not. One thing I just realized, the four words for this game have the initials PQRS, which is tough to do, get four in a row in the alphabet.
Teeny: Down, but not out
Wow. Not a good episode for Teeny. First they cave quickly and lose their vote. Then, Teeny is completely on the outs when Kishawn is voted out and Teeny loses their closest ally. Yikes. It's definitely something Teeny can recover from, especially if they rope in Sol and go against Rome and Genevieve.
And to our departed player...
Kishawn: One tiny fatal mistake
You never want to casually throw someone's name out there, even as a fake target. You don't know what they're capable of and how they might react when it inevitably gets back to them. You almost have to play the game as if everyone can hear what you're saying, because no one keeps their mouth shut in Survivor.
And now our new power rankings! Crazy how the players who have been voted out I had ranked 4th, 5th, 7th, and 5th, the episode before they left. Just crazy. I have no idea who to put at #1... we'll just see how it goes.
14. Sol (-1)
13. Anika (-2)
12. Kyle (+2)
11. Tiyana (-3)
10. Rachel (-8)
9. Rome (+3)
8. Caroline (+1)
7. Andy (+3)
6. Sue (-2)
5. Gabe (+1)
4. Genevieve (+11)
3. Sierra (+4)
2. Teeny (-1)
1. Sam (+2)
Biggest rise: Genevieve (+11!)
Biggest fall: Rachel (-8)
Sam is back to the top spot, somehow. I don't feel particularly comfortable with that, but it is what it is. Rome jumps up slightly, but I'm still worried about the ginormous target he's painted on his back. Genevieve makes a HUGE jump and she's become a dark horse contender for me. And by the way, the rankings are grouped as such: 14-11: Longshots, potential upcoming targets. 10-5: Not the best winner's chance, but not an upcoming target, either (Or so I think). 4-1: Winner contenders. Seems weird having Sierra there, but if she turns on Sam at the right time, I could see it.
AFTER EPISODE 5 FOUR WORD GAME
Sol: Absolutely no winning equity
All of our winners in the new era (minus Gabler) have had winning equity up to the mergatory. Not Sol. He's done well in terms of being affable and patient, but hasn't made any moves. I think he'll either be a mergatory casualty or an easy boot for the majority once they've gotten rid of the legit threats. I hope the latter for Sol, but fear the former.
Kyle: Targeted for challenge strength?
We still haven't seen much of Kyle's social or strategic game since the TK vote, and that doesn't bode too well for him. The same thing happened to Hunter last season, who was eventually targeted and voted out at final 9. I think a similar thing will happen to Kyle.
Tiyana: Keep your mouth shut!
Tiyana only hurt herself by spilling the beans about Gabe, and then lying to him about it later, saying she revealed less than she actually had. Ugh. Did she not think Gabe would fact-check with Sue, a known ally of his? I once thought of Tiyana as a Dee-type player... certainly not anymore.
Rachel: Cross tribal connections vital
After losing Anika, Rachel's connections she made at the reward will be extremely important for her survival in the game. She made connections with Teeny and Caroline, and they'll have to band together. If the Tuku tribe comes together and brings in Rachel and Teeny, that would be enough for majority. Of course, stupid mergatory always has to split them up.
Rome: More human side showing
Wow, he's not complete evil! (Lol JK). Rome showed emotion after winning immunity, which was a bit surprising to see from him. Also, I think he handled the chaos after tribal fairly well. He's still not trusting of Teeny, which is fine. But he'll have to bond with players on other tribes to get far.
Caroline: Becoming more vocal presence
I think? Caroline being on the winning reward team helped her build cross-tribal connections, and I'd argue she did the best of almost anyone there. She has Sue, and Gabe through Sue, plus connections now to Teeny and Rachel. Not bad.
Andy: Brilliant play, underestimated completely
Andy setting up the "Breadwinners" to feed him a fake plan was brilliant. Typically, players won't expect to be fed a fake plan, but he was. He then acted perfectly up until the vote, not acting too desperate, but desperate enough to fool Anika and Rachel. And in the days leading up to the vote, he proved to Sierra and Sam his loyalty and just did it brilliantly. How far he's come.
Sue: Not winning, but important
I don't think Sue can win anymore. I just don't see it. However, I do think she will play a very important role in determining the winner. How? I'm not sure yet. Maybe her idol will be a part of it. She handled the Gabe/Tiyana situation fairly well, and I can't see her being a threat for a bit. Plus, she has numbers.
Gabe: Damage control to do
Gabe will likely be a threat come the mergatory, so he'll have some damage control to do. He smartly didn't confront Tiyana right away, at least about her lying to him. I'm sure he'll seek (and likely get) his revenge on her.
Genevieve: Needs control, can't fade
Genevieve's game is at a crossroads, as all players' games are at the merge. She'll need a move, to control a vote, to make a play, something. If she just fades into the background and goes with the majority, she has no chance of winning. This last episode wasn't bad for her, but it wasn't good enough for me to think she's winning... yet.
Sierra: Repairing relationship hugely important
Can Sierra repair her relationship with Rachel? She took out Rachel's closest ally and turned on their Breadwinners alliance. Rachel may say they're good, but will they actually be? Will Sierra be able to see through it? All questions that will likely get answered. If it's just her, Sam, and Andy, I don't like their chances.
Teeny: Winner or final boss
I'm still on the fence about what kind of season 47 is. I keep thinking it might be a 43-type season where we have an unexpected winner and all the threats go out before Final Tribal Council. Either way, I keep seeing narrative hints that Teeny will play a huge role. Sure, she's not in the best position, but a lot of winners weren't come the merge, like Yam-Yam, Maryanne, and even Kenzie.
Sam: A smart move regardless
It was smart to take out Anika, and Sam got his way. Surely Anika would've turned on him come the merge. But it's good Sam got his way and not Sierra. But like I said for Sierra, they'll need more than just the three of them. I don't recall Sam making a big connection, but I could see him maybe picking up Kyle and Tiyana, for starters.
And to our departed player...
Anika: Don't underestimate anyone ever
And that's what she did with Andy. She assumed he wasn't that smart and would go along with their plan they made up. Even if people have an outburst, it could be for show. You never know. People don't just get on Survivor for being incompetent crazy cooks (well, usually). Her underestimating Andy and not solidifying herself with both Sierra and Sam cost her.
And now, our pre-merge power rankings. How are things shaping up right before they come together, only to get split apart again, because... reasons? Here are my pre-mergatory rankings.
13. Tiyana (-2)
12. Kyle (0)
11. Sol (+3)
10. Sue (-4)
9. Rachel (+1)
8. Rome (+1)
7. Gabe (-2)
6. Genevieve (-2)
5. Sierra (-2)
4. Caroline (+4)
3. Andy (+4)
2. Sam (-1)
1. Teeny (+1)
Biggest rise: Caroline and Andy (+4)
Biggest fall: Sue (-4)
Tiyana takes my bottom spot due to her opening her big mouth. And yes, I have 3 of the bottom 4 being Tuku members. I believe their tribe is about to be demolished come the merge due to lack of cohesion. Sue falls for me simply because I just thought I had her ranked too high, and honestly everyone in front her stands a better chance of winning in front of a jury. Remember, she's like an older Carolyn (44). Caroline and Andy rise; I think they're both in a good spot now. Caroline didn't make a big move, but she was the center point of the trio that talked outside of the cornhole game. Teeny and Sam flip flop again. I might just keep that up for a while.
AFTER EPISODE 6 FOUR WORD GAME
Tiyana: Laying low then striking
I'm guessing that's her strategy, at least. Her name was brought up by Rome (technically Kyle, but Rome made it worse). I think she'll lay low and try not to have a target, then perhaps make a move when the time is right. Also, what will she do with that information about Sue? It's pretty clear Sue has the idol from Tiyana's perspective.
Kyle: Calling it, challenge beast
I think Kyle's going to be a challenge beast. We saw a few hints of it in the pre-merge, such as when Tiyana praised him. I think that could be his downfall, because once he loses he might be "on the chopping block".
Sol: Won war, now what?
It'll be interesting to see where Sol's mind is now and who he next wants out. Likely a non-Lavo this time. Rome did throw his name out, but not one person voted for him. So it seems like he might be safe for a while.
Sue: Truth can't come out
It really will make or break Sue's game, whether or not the truth about her idol and the red paint comes out. So far, Caroline knows and Tiyana seems to know as well. It might behoove Sue to tie up that loose end with Tiyana.
Rachel: Another number... anything more?
Rachel seems to be part of what I'm guessing will be a Lavo/Gata majority, perhaps with a few Tuku members. She'll likely be in the majority for a while, but what else? She'll need to do something to make an impact post-merge.
Gabe: Keep target level low
Gabe had a surprisingly quiet mergatory episode. Guess his name might come up next episode. If his close ties to Sue go undetected, watch out. I do worry about Tuku falling apart, but we'll see.
Genevieve: Always check odd things
Survivor has taught us to always check things that are odd, or sticking out, or unusual. Genevieve did that and it earned her an advantage and food and a chance at immunity. I wonder if those smarts she showed there will cause someone to think she's a threat. We'll see.
Sierra: Holding Gata together crucial
There might be the start of some cracks on Gata considering Andy got some votes as the backup target. He's shown in the preview to be upset about this, possibly turning on Sam and Sierra, which wouldn't be good for them. I think if anyone is to reel Andy in, it's Sierra, not Sam. She seems to have the better temperament for it.
Caroline: Smartly kept idol secret
Caroline figured out Sue's idol secret, and she smartly confided in her and (so far) has kept it to herself. I like the way Caroline's playing, but I also must say it doesn't seem like a winning game... yet.
Andy: Doesn't have winning temperament
I mean, we knew that after episode 1, frankly. But Andy possibly going after Sam or Sierra would just be foolish and an emotional decision that will cost him the game. Sure, it's a move to pad his resumé, but who is he going to rely upon to continue to vote with him?
Sam: Next episode most crucial
For Sam's winning chances. He's already been talked about as a threat to win. Everyone knows it. Now Andy is going to be mad at him for not sticking up for him more, which frankly, Sam could have. The next episode will sink Sam's chances or he'll remain a legit threat to win.
Teeny: Obvious winner is obvious
I'm sorry, but Teeny almost seems to obvious as a winner at this point. She's clearly not going to be targeted for a while, if ever. She clearly has winner clues and is being framed narratively in a positive light. I might keep her #1 until she does something dumb or the show paints her in a bad light.
And to our departed player...
Rome: Most entertaining early boot
By far. Dude was meant for TV. I don't think he'd be perfect for hosting Survivor, more like a Survivor aftershow or reunion. If they ever bring back the live reunions, have Rome host them. Anyway, Rome stirred the pot WAY too much post-merge, and he should've realized people would fact-check. He treated everyone like they were kids that would instantly believe anything he says. Good personality, bad Survivor player.
All right, new power rankings! A shake-up, possibly? Oh yeah. There's a few people moving quite a bit!
12. Tiyana (+1)
11. Andy (-8)
10. Sam (-8)
9. Kyle (+3)
8. Rachel (+1)
7. Sue (+3)
6. Sol (+5)
5. Genevieve (+1)
4. Sierra (+1)
3. Gabe (+4)
2. Caroline (+2)
1. Teeny (0)
Biggest rise: Sol (+5)
Biggest fall: Andy and Sam (-8)
Yep, I did that. I worry about Andy and Sam. Andy's volatile, and Sam is a huge threat. This season has had blindside after blindside. I'm calling either Andy or Sam going next week, or one of them going at a split tribal (whether that be at 12 next episode or 10). Tiyana is still in a terrible spot so she remains at the bottom. The rest is a bunch of fluff and I'm just waiting for someone to emerge. Caroline at #2 is not a typo. I like her chances. She is slowly emerging as a very smart player, like Erika did in 41. Teeny will remain at #1.
AFTER EPISODE 7 FOUR WORD GAME
Andy: No fact checking, dude?
We didn't even see Andy go to Sam or Sierra to fact-check what Sol told him. What Sol said was basically a lie. Sam didn't throw his name out there. But he also didn't defend him, either. Andy does seem to be getting more focus but it's unbridled focus, if that makes sense. Like his game is going to blow up at some point. But we're getting so much focus on him that it makes me think he may be in the show for a while.
Sam: Connections with others key
Sam seems to have built some connections with Teeny, but we're unsure if he has Rachel and Andy seems to have jumped ship. He'll need more if he's going to survive the next few votes.
Kyle: Target once he loses
It's pretty clear that once Kyle doesn't win immunity, he's going to be a target. He's shown himself to be a challenge threat, and I'm sure everyone finds him likable. I'll be surprised if he survives multiple votes without the necklace, to be honest.
Rachel: Almost completely screwed over
Thank goodness she wasn't. She had no chance to save herself, so I wonder if she would've played her SITD. Maybe she'll answer that in a post-game interview. Anyway, it seems the Sol-Rachel bridge may form a bond between the old Gata and Lavo tribes to team up on Tuku. We shall see.
Sue: Becoming just another number
Sometimes there are players that go along with the majority and scoot along each vote without ever being in danger. That seems to be Sue. I think she'll last until near the finale, but I don't see much winner equity at this point. She's clearly in a good spot. Of four people that could be voted for, she was the only one whose name did not come up. But she also didn't get any confessionals this last episode, which is not good.
Sol: Becoming fan favorite mastermind
We love a person making moves behind the scenes, putting on a good show and getting us to root for them. That's Sol for us this season. Like Genevieve (see below), he may become too likable for his own good, but it'll be fun to root for him until it's his time to go.
Genevieve: She likes chaotic men
Apparently! First Rome now Andy. If she successfully dumps Andy, and maybe uses Gabe to her advantage as well, watch out. She could build a good jury case for herself. But I'm thinking other players might see this before it's too late.
Sierra: Too invisible post merge
This is what I was worried about for Sierra, that she'd become too invisible post-merge. However, that is largely due to the focus not being on a vote surrounding her or someone she's targeting, so it's not the worst thing. We're just not really getting anything from her.
Gabe: Likely an upcoming target
Gabe knows it. We might see an idol hunt from him. With Tuku not even able to show they're not that strong of a fivesome, they still had to turn on each other. And I'm not the most confident that Sue and Caroline will have his back.
Caroline: Her seat warming up
Caroline's Tukus are going to start to get targeted and her name came up this episode... by Gabe! Someone who she is kind of in an alliance with. I had her so high because I was so sure she'd be lasting a long time in this game. Now I'm not so sure.
Teeny: Still in zero danger
It's funny, almost. We may have a winner whose name never comes up as a threat nor as a target. Unlikely, but so far that's the case for Teeny. Can't remember if that's ever happened in Survivor history.
And to our departed player...
Tiyana: Unlucky, but bad positioning
Yes, Tiyana got unlucky with the tribe configurations. It seemed like only the Tukus would turn on her. She also got unlucky Rachel was saved. But she was on the bottom of Tuku since the TK vote essentially, and we saw hints of it way back. Not entirely luck-based, but it didn't help, either.
New power rankings! Again, I'm gonna shake things up. I Gata. Get it? Haha.
11. Kyle (-2)
10. Gabe (-7)
9. Caroline (-7)
8. Sam (+2)
7. Sierra (-3)
6. Sue (+1)
5. Rachel (+3)
4. Genevieve (0)
3. Sol (+3)
2. Andy (+9)
1. Teeny (0)
Biggest rise: Andy (+9)
Biggest fall: Gabe and Caroline (-7)
This has been the hardest season for me to pinpoint the next tier of players after my winner pick (Teeny). I somehow have Andy and Sol top 3. I think the Tukus are in big trouble, which is why 3 of them make the bottom 3 and Sue isn't too high. I think Rachel's scare will make her safe for a while, so I'm not too worried about her anymore. Sam and/or Sierra, though, I feel could get targeted in one of the next few votes.
AFTER EPISODE 8 FOUR WORD GAME
Kyle: Realization is there, fortunately
Kyle knows he's a challenge threat. Not everyone does or says they do. But we got that from Kyle. It doesn't mean I think he's going far, but it's better than him being unaware of it.
Gabe: Still an outside target
Gabe and his Tuku's may have won the initial battle over Gata, but he's still someone I could see the Lavo's flipping on. Well, either him or Kyle.
Caroline: Sneaky players in danger
I think it's pretty clear from what we heard that the Lavo's want to get out the sneaky players in the game (i.e. strong women). Caroline could be in danger then. I also wanted to throw out I didn't love how they rushed through her part of the auction when she got the fish eyes. They spent a lot more time with Austin when he got those in 45.
Sam: Safe, but not forgotten
Sam may be safe for now, but he still has to be near the top of most people's lists. Also, I hope they show his and Andy's conversation after this, and if Sam is smart, he'll be the one groveling to Andy and apologize for underestimating him. But he still shouldn't trust him.
Sue: Fading into the background
Sue has had no personal content the last few weeks and a total of one confessional the last two weeks. It's not great. To me, this could be the start of a finale goat arc. I think the younger players are going to forget about her, but I don't think she can win. And I know, she won immunity this week, but I know many viewers were like, "Oh yeah, Sue's in this game".
Rachel: Tremendous episode, played perfectly
I keep seeing nothing but praise online for Rachel's play this last episode. Could it be the best single episode for a player since Tony's extortion episode in WaW? Possibly. Rachel was perfectly sneaking in not only getting the idol clue but the idol itself, not an easy task. She has distanced herself from the rest of the Gatas. And, she played her Shot in the Dark, not to save herself, but to see people's reaction to her being safe or not. It also lowers her threat level of having an idol. Just an awesome episode. However, I still worry about her being a target since the Gatas took a hit.
Genevieve: Gameplay but not content
If Genevieve had more focus or personal content, I'd have her near the top for sure. But she's more a background character this season. She's playing one of the better games out there, but she's not being framed as a potential winner. I do like her current spot, though.
Sol: Dark horse winner pick
Sol is playing one of the most underrated games out there. I loved how he told us he wants people to think of him as goofy but in reality he's a bit of a strategic mastermind. ALSO... he got his way this episode. Each of the remaining Lavo's wanted a different Gata out. Teeny wanted Sam. Genevieve wanted Rachel. But only Sol wanted Sierra, and he got his way. That's huge. I wonder how he did it. They couldn't have shown it, since that would've given the result away, but perhaps will have some talk about it next episode. Also, his name was thrown out in the preview next episode so I'm a bit worried, but that's likely a red herring.
Andy: Has everything except seriousness
Andy has the gameplay now after taking out Sierra, which he could argue was his move. He has the personal content with the "He's All That" bit this episode. But my worry for him is if the jury would take him seriously enough in a final tribal council. I'm not sure they would. He's still got work to do to repair his reputation.
Teeny: Too comfortable a spot?
Teeny is still the best-positioned player, we've still yet to hear Teeny's name as target. So, that generally means the most likely to win. But in this new era, the players are smart and can sense when someone is too comfortable and in too good a spot and the game can flip around in a moment. I still see no reason to move Teeny down, but I want to see more personal content or a move she can take credit for.
And to our departed player...
Sierra: Alliance doomed her game
I doubt Sierra goes home here if she was never connected to Sam or if she did a better job of distancing herself from him. They should have convinced others that they weren't working together and perhaps even been on separate sides of a vote one time. That might've fooled some. It's unfortunate for Sierra as it cost her her game.
All right, new power rankings. Not sure if there'll be much of a shake-up, but I gotta move some players around. Here it is:
10. Caroline (-1)
9. Kyle (+2)
8. Sam (0)
7. Gabe (+3)
6. Sue (0)
5. Genevieve (-1)
4. Andy (-2)
3. Sol (0)
2. Rachel (+3)
1. Teeny (0)
Biggest rise: Rachel (+3)
Biggest fall: Andy (-2)
Weird how Andy was the only one to fall multiple spots, but I think I had him too high last week and I think Sol and Rachel deserve to be above him. The Tuku's make up 4 of the bottom 5 spots, as I still think we're gonna have a run on Tuku's being voted out. I wouldn't be surprised if none of them make the final tribal council. I'm not sure if Caroline is the next boot, but I'm not loving how the show has framed her in recent weeks. We shall see.
AFTER EPISODE 9 FOUR WORD GAME
Caroline: Lost vote, easily safe
Somehow doesn't make a ton of sense. Caroline lost her vote at the summit or journey or whatever (stupid twist, btw), so she would've been an easy target, or at least a former member of Tuku would've been. Yet, they weren't. They're running the show, it seems.
Kyle: No immunity, no problem
Another thing that didn't make sense was Kyle not being the target when he finally didn't win immunity. His name did come up, but he survives to see another few days. He doesn't have many close friends (like Sol didn't), so he's not long for the game, though.
Sam: Valiant effort, too late
Sam sure scrambled last minute after hearing the plan was Sol. I give him credit for all the scrambling he did, but he could not get the vote on Sue. That doesn't bode particularly well for Sam, but Sue seems to have it out for Kyle, not Sam, based on next week's preview.
Gabe: Immunity not a factor
If it was, Kyle would've gone. Yes, Gabe's name came up, but are the remaining non-Tuku's going to target him? They'd all have to work together. The Tuku 4 or 3 (if you don't count Kyle) could be the new Tika 3 or Reba 4, and Gabe would be the ringleader.
Sue: Well insulated, but vulnerable
Sam pointed out the reason he wanted Sue gone is because she's the most well-insulated player in the game. Little does he know how right he is, since she also has an idol. Still, I could see the vote shifting to her and her maybe not playing her idol. Will be interesting.
Genevieve: Another vote she decided
First the Kishan vote now Sol. She's getting out her former tribemates and not looking back. Keep in mind, she's a corporate lawyer, so she is extremely comfortable persuading the toughest people in the world to persuade. Will the target ever shift to her? If the Tuku's get control, possibly.
Andy: People cautious of him
Still. Both Sam and Rachel seem reluctant to trust him anymore, and for good reason. I still think Andy has losing FTC finalist written all over him.
Rachel: Now becoming forgotten, perhaps?
Rachel was a target, then she was sort of a target and played her SitD, now she's not a target. Perhaps she'll float along? I do like how she has inroads with a lot of people and she's a good speaker. She should use Genevieve as a shield, if she can.
Teeny: Always forced to turn
First Kishan, then Sierra, now Sol. Anyone she gets close to gets voted out. This was not good for Teeny at all. Yes, they can get far, but their win equity took a hit. I'm starting to see Teeny more as a losing finalist, if they can even get that far.
And to our departed player...
Sol: Too nice for Survivor
Perhaps. He was a bit too chill and not ruthless enough. But he was extremely likable for us viewers at home. I think Sol will join a growing list of entertaining one-time players, which for me includes Shane Powers, Judd Sergeant, Marty Piombo, and Joonas Otsuji. And I think Sol only plays once due to his age.
New power rankings, and I gotta say. There's a shake-up. I had Tuku pegged as the next ones to go, but they might last a while. There's definitely some surprises here.
9. Kyle (0)
8. Sam (0)
7. Teeny (-6)
6. Andy (-2)
5. Sue (+1)
4. Caroline (+6)
3. Rachel (-1)
2. Genevieve (+3)
1. Gabe (+6)
Biggest rise: Caroline and Gabe (+6)
Biggest fall: Teeny (-6)
Had to do it. This might be just for one week, but I have a new #1 in Gabe. He has a "winner quote", when he said he wants to be on Survivor's New Era Mount Rushmore. That's something. He doesn't fall into my "Winners always have great smiles" theory, but that's why I have Genevieve right below him. If Genevieve gets more focus next week, I might have to consider her as my new #1. And as for Teeny, well it was bound to happen at some point. Teeny just isn't doing enough post-merge to win over a jury. And, if you want to believe the "Mat Chat" theory, well, Gabe had a mat chat. Teeny did as well, but Gabe's game is looking better to me at this point.
AFTER EPISODE 10 FOUR WORD GAME
Kyle: Shield gone, immunity mandatory
As Kyle mentioned, Gabe was like a shield for Kyle, so he was hesitant to vote Gabe out. Now, immunity is almost mandatory for Kyle. But as I'm seeing it, best case scenario is FTC goat for Kyle. He may have the best story, but there's no way he'll have the best gae.
Sam: In community, staying there?
Sam mentioned how he wanted to be a part of the community again. The question is: Is he there for good now? It'll be interesting to see if the men continue to get targeted or if a sly female gets targeted next. I like how Sam is willing to turn on anyone in the game.
Teeny: Fire lit, time's now
Huge comeback episode for Teeny, and they needed it. Even got the emotional backstory, which winners very often have. I still worry that Teeny may not get enough jury support to win, so I want to see something Teeny can put on their resumé.
Andy: Sneakiness may bite him
Andy talking to basically everyone and making deals left and right may end up hurting him in the long run. He's sort of part of the majority, but he's certainly not a leader of it. We already know Sam is willing to get him out, so I feel Sam and Andy may have a face-off at some point soon.
Sue: Left out, basically forgotten
Sue has gotten SIX, count 'em, SIX confessionals since the "merge". That's easily the fewest of anyone in still in the game. Sierra got that many in her two merge episodes. The next lowest is Kyle with 12, then Caroline with 13. Everyone else has at least two, three or even FOUR times as many. No one with that low of an amount post-merge can win. It's eerily similar to Heather in 41. Also, she was left out of the Gabe vote, so she really has no agency in the game. She may get a group together to take out Kyle, but that'd be it.
Caroline: Repairing relationship fairly crucial
Surely, Sue will be a bit upset that Caroline didn't vote with her and turned on Gabe. But at least Caroline didn't write Sue's name down. How Caroline handles Sue will be important. She could still use Sue as a number if Sue is willing to forgive her.
Rachel: An eerily similar game
I think Rachel's game is eerily similar to another player from last season--Kenzie. In the majority, slight danger at one point, likable, and well-spoken. Good at the mental side of challenges (puzzle) but not physical so she's not intimidating in the least, at least not physically. I could see Rachel pulling it off just like Kenzie did. It'll come down to if she can sit next to the right people on the jury.
Genevieve: Not safe just yet
She may have survived this past vote, but she will still be front and center in people's minds. We know Rachel really wants her out. They even mentioned getting her out after Gabe. Perhaps Genevieve will luck out and find an advantage or win an immunity, but she is certainly in danger.
And to our departed player...
Gabe: Got way too comfortable
Gabe even said he had never felt better in the game. Oops! That seems to be what does people in in the New Era. You can never get comfortable. But surely Gabe realizes with Kyle and Caroline voting for him that even if he had survived to 8, his game was not made. He was too much of a schemer and he thought others wouldn't notice.
Power rankings time! There's a bit of a shake-up again. I don't know what I was thinking last week.
8. Genevieve (-6)
7. Kyle (+2)
6. Sue (-1)
5. Sam (+3)
4. Caroline (0)
3. Andy (+3)
2. Teeny (+5)
1. Rachel (+2)
Biggest rise: Teeny (+5)
Biggest fall: Genevieve (-6)
This feels better than last week's. Genevieve was an alternate target and is clearly in people's minds as the potential next target. Everyone is aware she is well-spoken and can control a vote, so she's certainly in danger. Kyle rises above since he keeps winning immunity or they forget about him. Teeny rockets back up due to being a large focus and having an emotional backstory. Rachel is my new #1--I feel like the show is showcasing her as the dark horse winner pick. I see a similar arc between Rachel and Kenzie. So, we shall see!
AFTER EPISODE 11 FOUR WORD GAME
Genevieve: Needs a small coalition
Gen is on the bottom and needs to get a few players with her somehow to vote with her. It won't be easy, but she's a corporate lawyer, so it's time to put those skills to good use. If she doesn't get a small group with her, she's not long for this game.
Sue: Finally got her way
I swear, if she gets to final tribal she'll be bragging about how she got Kyle out. Big whoop. She still has no game agency and no win equity at this point.
Sam: Has nothing, show others
What I mean is Sam needs to show other players that he's not this big threat. He needs to lower his threat level while raising the threat level of someone else. He has nothing going for him in the game and he needs to show the others this.
Caroline: Needs a defining moment
I wouldn't say she has zero agency or win equity, but she needs a defining winners moment. I kind of see her game similar to Maryanne's in 42. She needs to take out her own Omar, who I guess would be... Genevieve? She just needs a moment like that and get to the end, of course.
Andy: Set up for fall
Whether it be shortly before Final Tribal Council, or AT Final Tribal Council, Andy is being set up for a fall. His cockiness has shown the last few weeks, and they typically don't do that for winners.
Teeny: Game agency still needed
Teeny has all the winners hints in the world (Mat Chat, name high in into, always getting her perspective), but just doesn't have the game agency. But this could be a situation where Teeny sits next to two people not very deserving of a win (Sue, Andy?) and Teeny basically wins by default.
Rachel: Biggest threat nobody sees
At least not yet. Rachel is starting to build quite the resumé and no one is talking about of, that we see, at least. She is being set up for either the final boss or as the winner. At this point, I cannot see her losing if she is able to get to Final Tribal Council.
And to our departed player...
Kyle: Another likable player gone
It's a shame. First Sol, now Kyle. I see why they were under edited, but both of their likability still shown through and it's tough to now see Kyle be voted out. Let this be a lesson to future players--don't establish yourself as a challenge threat. Well, not if you're as likable as Kyle is.
New power rankings! Final 7. A bit of a shakeup? A tad. Some places remain basically the same.
7. Sam (-2)
6. Sue (0)
5. Genevieve (+3)
4. Andy (-1)
3. Caroline (+1)
2. Teeny (0)
1. Rachel (0)
Biggest rise: Genevieve (+3)
Biggest fall: Sam (-2)
Everyone else moved one spot or not at all. Genevieve rises because while she is on the bottom, if anyone can claw her way out of it, it's her. She has win equity as well. Sam falls because he's now the perceived #1 target. Caroline and Andy swap because I feel Caroline not only has more staying power but a better chance of winning.
AFTER EPISODE 12 FOUR WORD GAME
Sam: Reward choices not dumb
Boy Teeny sure thought Sam made some terrible choices regarding his picks to go on reward with him. I don't think they were dumb. If he had taken Teeny and Caroline, they wouldn't have been swayed by Sam, he would've broken his word to Andy, and not solidified his bond with him and Genevieve. Operation Italy doesn't happen without those exact two choices.
Sue: Deer in headlights game
That's how I see Sue's game. She's watching it pass by. Sure she's saying what she wants and agreeing with people, but is ever actually doing anything? Her biggest opportunity came to play her idol on Caroline, which she even mentioned, but failed to do so. I doubt she's being set up for a Gabler-style win, but it wouldn't absolutely shock me.
Genevieve: Victory not yet clear
She's only been given personal content when mandatory (such as the letters from home), and she still has a ways to go. Not sure if the jury fully respects her. I think she did great in working with Sam and Andy. Her showing the idol to Teeny was a bit questionable, as Teeny should have thought "Why is she showing me her idol if it's real?" The next episode will be hugely telling for everyone's chances, but I think mostly Genevieve.
Andy: Epic move, not respected
Still! I think it was Gabe who made a comment that Andy flip-flopped again. Jury's don't tend to reward flip-floppers. They want to see some loyalty in a player's game. But Operation Italy was a success, and if Andy gets to the end, I definitely could see him getting a vote or two. Winning? That's another story.
Teeny: From narrator to villain
Crazy how in one episode Teeny went from the main character/narrator to villain. Does this mean she doesn't even reach the end? I thought once Rachel won immunity the target might shift to Teeny, but instead, they chose Caroline. I was just seeing a lot of displeasure for Teeny from Survivor fans online. I can't see her winning.
Rachel: Winning chances take hit
Caroline was a supporting number for Rachel, so her winning chances took a hit, albeit a small one. I think it will come down to how Rachel uses her idol. If she uses it in a good way and gets to the end, the game is hers. Winning immunity proved to be huge since it very easily could've been Rachel with the three votes.
And to our departed player...
Caroline: Should've seen it coming
Not Caroline, but us. Caroline was largely invisible in the show's edit, so we should've known she'd be the victim of a great move (see J.Maya in 45). I had a feeling that Operation Italy was going to work once they narrowed on Caroline, since the show never framed her in the best light (like we should be rooting for her).
Second to last power rankings of the season! I will do another after Part 1 of the Finale, but here are my rankings of the Final 6:
6. Sue (0)
5. Sam (+2)
4. Teeny (-2)
3. Andy (+1)
2. Genevieve (+3)
1. Rachel (0)
Biggest rise: Genevieve (+3)
Biggest fall: Teeny (-2)
I haven't had Teeny outside the Top 3 only once all season, but she drops outside again. She has not had a signature move and now she's being framed in a negative light. Genevieve and Rachel are the two I think with the best win equity. The question will be who gets there, because clearly, as the show set up in next week's preview, only one of them can make it. I predict one will get to the end against two of the three of Sue, Teeny, and Andy, and take most of the votes. So, that's why they're #1 and #2.
AFTER EPISODE 13 (FINALE PT. 1) FOUR WORD GAME
Sue: Idol play an afterthought
It's so blatantly obvious the other players don't respect her enough as a player to win. There is the slightest chance that she can pull off a Gabler-style win, but she'd have to beat Rachel in fire and have a great FTC. And we know she's not the best speaker in the world. Her odds are slim to none. Her idol play was a nice touch, but some argue she should've just held onto it and revealed it at FTC.
Sam: Had to do it
He had to turn on Genevieve and reveal it's lack of authenticity. It's a shame, I liked them as a duo. They seemed like a better power couple in the game than him and Sierra. Anyway, Sam really should've convinced everyone more, because he was one vote away from leaving. Oddly, the one person we saw him telling was the one who voted for him (Teeny).
Teeny: Completely lost, possibly returnee?
Teeny's arc has been interesting. It's not too often we see a player have a really solid pre-merge and then to come unraveled post-merge and be on the wrong side of the votes so many times. I think Teeny could benefit from more life experience, and if she were to ever return a few years from now, I would have her as my winner pick. I think she'll reflect on her game and learn from it.
Rachel: Obvious winner or shock
We're either going to have an obvious winner or a shock at firemaking/final tribal. Rachel dominated this last episode, idoling out Andy, winning immunity, and is just virtually a firemaking challenge away from winning. It's gonna take something crazy for her to lose.
And to our two departed players...
Andy: His ego doomed him
I fully believe Rachel was going to Idol out Sam before Andy went and told her he was voting for her and was trying to jury manage her. We saw so many hints of his ego post-merge. Once the Anika blindside happened, this dude was not destined for a happy ending because he wasn't grounded enough. Operation Italy only further inflated his ego, which cost him.
Genevieve: Authenticity of idol inconsequential
At least, once Sam revealed it. She had no reason to keep saying it was real, because then it can just further make her look bad. She did invent a nice backstory for it, finding a clue under a slice of pizza. I think Gen played a great game and there were times I thought she could've run away with it. I think if she had gotten Rachel instead of Sierra or Sol early merge, she's possibly still in the game. Who knows.
Final power rankings! Just the final 4! There are a couple ways I could do this. I could do it the way I think they'll finish, or order them on their chances of winning. I'm going to do something inbetween. I'll explain below.
4. Teeny (0)
3. Sue (+3)
2. Sam (+3)
1. Rachel (0)
Not going to do biggest rise/fall since that's obvious. I think the likeliest order is Sam 4th, Teeny 3rd, Sue 2nd, and Rachel 1st. I think their odds of winning, from least to most, is Teeny, Sue, Sam, Rachel. But this order above is one I could see happening, if Rachel or Sam wins immunity, does not put themselves in fire, and Teeny loses at fire. So I'll stick with that.
Now like I do before each final episode, I'm going to rank the final 4 based on how much I think the each of the jurors like them, from most to least. I could be completely wrong on some of these, but here they are:
Sierra: Sam, Rachel, Sue, Teeny
Sol: Rachel, Teeny, Sam, Sue
Gabe: Sue, Rachel, Sam, Teeny
Kyle: Sam, Rachel, Teeny, Sue
Caroline: Sue, Rachel, Teeny, Sam
Andy: Rachel, Sam, Sue, Teeny
Genevieve: Rachel, Teeny, Sam, Sue
Now I'm going to tally up the marks for the final four. If someone was ranked first they get 4 points, second gets 3 points, third gets 2 points, and last gets 1 point.
Teeny: 13
Sue: 15
Sam: 18
Rachel: 24
Not as large of a runaway for Rachel as I thought it'd be. But now let's have the Final 4 rank the other 3 still in the game, since one more person is joining the jury.
Teeny: Rachel, Sue, Sam
Sue: Rachel, Teeny, Sam
Sam: Rachel, Teeny, Sue
Rachel: Sue, Sam, Teeny
Now let's add those points to the previous totals, considering a first above is 3 points, second is 2 points, and third is 1 point.
Teeny: 18
Sue: 21
Sam: 22
Rachel: 33
Little bit more of a runaway for Rachel, while Sue narrows the gap between her and Sam.
Finally, I'm going to give my top 3 scenarios as to what I think will happen. Hopefully one of these will be spot on.
1. Rachel wins F4 immunity, takes Sue, Sam beats Teeny in fire, Rachel wins over Sam (runner-up) and Sue.
2. Sam wins F4 immunity, takes Teeny, Rachel beats Sue in fire, Rachel wins over Sam (runner-up) and Teeny.
And my third one is crazy...
3. Sam wins F4 immunity, takes on Rachel in fire, Sam loses fire, Rachel wins over Sue (runner-up) and Teeny.
I think one of those three happens. Regardless, I have Rachel winning. We shall see next week!
AFTER FINALE PT. 2 FOUR WORD GAME
Teeny: The wind has spoken
Jeff totally should've said that when snuffing her torch. If the elements/wind were not a factor, surely Teeny's fire burns through the rope. I think that's a first for their fire-making challenges. I know they had to have Devens and Chris go to a separate area because it was so windy--perhaps they should've done the same for Teeny? Regardless, Teeny likely gets shut out, just as Sue did. At least with Sam making it to the end, Rachel didn't completely sweep the votes.
Sue: Loyal, proud, head high
Good for Sue for playing the game she did. It's not a game that can ever win in the New Era, but good for her. Surely if you're an older woman (40+), you know you can't play a loyal game and not backstab/make a move and expect to win. Well, that's true for most anyone. Again, good for Sue. Also, not too many people were surprised at her age reveal, although I think Sam's reaction was genuine. Why hype up your competitor's reveal? Anyway, good game, Sue. One of the best ones a woman 50+ has ever played.
Sam: Needed better FTC performance
Sam had to kill it at Final Tribal Council, and he didn't. He didn't do badly, but there's two things he should've done differently. One, he should've emphasized that Rachel got by on luck. He kind of did, but needed to more. I don't think he pointed out that Rachel was saved by Sol. But two, he should've lauded his own game more, saying that he was the true Survivor who got by on grit, social game, and social awareness. Could he even have swayed enough people? Well, we saw Sierra and Gabe were torn on their decisions. I think he could've maybe swayed one more person. But Sue likely votes Rachel in a 4-4 tie. Perhaps Sam didn't have a chance at all.
Rachel: Another iconic female winner
The new era is now filled with iconic female winners, from Erika, to Maryanne, to Dee, to Kenzie to now Rachel. Each won with a different game. Erika was the ultimate underdog--lamb to lion. Maryanne was the late bloomer and killed it at FTC. Dee was the dominator--did well in every facet, mostly strategically. Kenzie was the social butterfly who won over her competitor's closest ally. And now Rachel, who mostly dominated the physical and "outplay" portion of the game, but also built close bonds to establish herself in the game. To me, Rachel played the 2nd best game of the New Era, behind only Dee.
Well, that does it for Season 47. I gotta say, it was a fun season. Definitely one of the better ones of the New Era. Enjoyable, solid, respectable winner, good cast. Here's hoping 48, starting in February, is just as good.