Sunday, February 21, 2016

2016 MLB Predictions!

The football season is over, and while baseball season is still over a month away from officially starting, it's never too early to get started on predictions.  I will rank each division from 1-5, with a short summary of how I think the division will go, plus some award and playoff predictions!  Fun, right?  Let's start in the NL East and move west, saving the AL West (And the Mariners) for last.

* = Wild Card

NL East
1. New York Mets
2. Washington Nationals
3. Miami Marlins
4. Philadelphia Phillies
5. Atlanta Braves
Summary: The NL East has turned into one of the worst divisions in baseball, but if the Nats and Marlins have good seasons it'll help the division overall.  The Mets emerged last season and if they hit well enough there won't be much stopping them.

NL Central
1. St. Louis Cardinals
2. Chicago Cubs*
3. Pittsburgh Pirates
4. Milwaukee Brewers
5. Cincinnati Reds
Summary: Everyone is jumping on the Cubs bandwagon, which means they'll probably underperform.  With the Cardinals in it every year, you can't go wrong picking them to win the division.  The Pirates will have a good season but there will be too much competition for them.

NL West
1. San Francisco Giants
2. Los Angeles Dodgers*
3. Arizona Diamondbacks
4. San Diego Padres
5. Colorado Rockies
Summary: I think the Giants improved the most of any team this offseason.  Their pitching should be dominant.  The Dodgers will be good again but losing Grienke and not finding an adequate replacement will hurt.  The Diamondbacks could surprise and be the Houston Astros of this year, but we'll see. 

AL East
1. Boston Red Sox
2. Toronto Blue Jays*
3. New York Yankees
4. Tampa Bay Rays
5. Baltimore Orioles
Summary: This division is so hard to predict now with every team being competitive.  Gut feeling: I think it will be a good year for the BoSox.  Yanks and Jays will be in it until the end.  The Orioles are due for a disappointing season, and really did nothing this offseason to improve their team.

AL Central
1. Kansas City Royals
2. Cleveland Indians*
3. Minnesota Twins
4. Detroit Tigers
5. Chicago White Sox
Summary: The Royals are a good team.  We know that for sure now.  The Indians will surprise and play good ball.  The Twins will also be a surprise and just miss out on a playoff spot.  The Tigers and White Sox have disappointing seasons.

AL West
1. Texas Rangers
2. Seattle Mariners
3. Houston Astros
4. Los Angeles Angels
5. Oakland Athletics
Summary: What's this?  The Mariners in 2nd place?  But... they miss the playoffs for the 15th straight season.  Astros will lose some of their magic from last year, and the A's and Angels will be mediocre at best.  The Rangers win the division with improved pitching and one of the best lineups in baseball.

Award Predictions!
AL MVP: Mike Trout (Who else?)
NL MVP: Buster Posey
AL Cy Young: Felix Hernandez
NL Cy Young: Matt Harvey
AL Rookie of the Year: Joey Gallo
NL Rookie of the Year: Corey Seager

Playoff Predictions:
NL Wild Card: Cubs over Dodgers
AL Wild Card: Indians over Blue Jays

NL Divisional: Cubs over Mets, Giants over Cardinals
AL Divisional: Royals over Indians, Rangers over Red Sox

NL Championship: Giants over Cubs
AL Championship: Rangers over Royals

World Series: Giants over Rangers

Well, there you have it.  My 2016 MLB Predictions.  It's an even year, so why not predict the Giants to win it? 

Monday, February 8, 2016

Cam Newton, Grow Up!

The Denver Broncos defeated the Carolina Panthers 24-10 in Super Bowl 50, and in doing so Cam Newton was unable to be MVP and Super Bowl champ in the same season.  Cam Newton in his post-game interviews gave childish responses such as "What do you want me to say?"  He also stormed off in the most immature way possible.  Cam Newton is a man-child.  He's a kid in a man's body.  And for some NFL players, that's not a bad thing.  Many wide receivers and running backs embrace their immaturity.  But as the face of his team and now, one of the faces of the NFL, Cam Newton needs to grow the hell up.

One of the best pieces of advice a coach can give a player, really in any sport, is to not get too high when you win or too down when you lose.  When Cam wins, he gloats.  There's a difference between celebrating and gloating.  Cam gloats.  He rips down signs and flags from opposing teams and throws them to the ground.  He runs around his stadium like he's on cloud 9, just to make sure the opposing team can see him.  He gets too high when he wins.  So, when he loses, he gets too down and becomes sulky and to be frank, rude.  These are the characteristics of a child.  Children are given participation trophies nowadays so they don't get too down for losses... seems like Cam Newton needs one too. 

Cam, as an NFL MVP, you are now one of the faces of the entire sport.  Kids will look up to you and try to emulate you (that means to copy, man-child).  Sure, having a unique celebration like the Dab or the Superman pose is fun for children, but when you are immature off the field as well you send the message to your fellow youngsters that it's ok to whine and pout when you lose, and to gloat in the other team's face when you win. 

Cam, just take a look at your good friend and fellow black quarterback, Russell Wilson.  He's not even a year older than you, yet he acts four times the age that you act.  He's humble in victory and gracious in defeat.  You know how the media are constantly getting at you, Cam?  You know how you might think they're trying to make you out to be a bad guy?  It's not because you're black.  It's because you're an immature quarterback.  You're right, you are one of a kind.  Name me a quarterback you're more mature than.  Kinda hard, huh?  Be more of a good guy like Russell.  Otherwise not even the Carolina faithful will support your childish antics.  

Thursday, December 17, 2015

My Expectations and Excitement for Star Wars: The Force Awakens

(Spoiler-Free!)

In about 5 hours as I am typing this, I will be seeing the new Star Wars film, Star Wars: The Force Awakens (also known as Episode VII).  I am bristling with excitement in anticipation of seeing this film, as many are.  There are expectations for this film held by fans that it will at least be as good as the prequel trilogy, and it more than likely will be.  As for myself, I expect this to be the best combination of visuals and storytelling.

This is the first Star Wars film without any George Lucas involvement.  If his name appears in the credits it will only be to thank him for the characters (Han, Leia, Luke, etc.).  So I expect it to have at least a slightly different feel to it.  The cinematography and editing will be different, but the score by John L. Williams remains so that should bring some familiarity. 

All I want is for the characters to be deeper than the prequel trilogy characters.  Give the main trio (Finn, Rey, Poe) back stories and give them motivation to achieve their goals.  Also, the character I'm most curious about is Kylo Ren.  What drives him?  What made him the way he is?  Those questions might not get answered until a later film, but I'm still very eager to know.  As for Finn and Rey... are they descendants of any characters?  Do they have any connections at all?  Hopefully we find out. 

This is also the 2nd film in the Star Wars franchise to be given a PG-13 rating.  There will be some darker stuff included which leads me to believe a death is forthcoming.  Is it Han?  Luke?  Or will a character be introduced only to be killed off?  In the original trilogy, Grand Moff Tarkin was killed off in the first Star Wars film.  In the prequel trilogy, Darth Maul was killed off in the first film set chronologically.  Someone has to die in this one, more than likely a character who we as an audience would consider to be bad or evil.  Will it be Kylo Ren so soon? (I hope not).  Will it be General Hux (Dohmnall Gleeson)?  Will it be Captain Phasma (Gwendoline Christie)?  There's also a Supreme Leader Snoke played by Andy Serkis, who might be but isn't for sure evil. 

All I know is that it'll be very hard to disappoint us after a 10 year layoff from live action Star Wars films.  As long as Luke didn't go bad the movie should be pretty well-received.  I simply cannot wait.  See you guys then!  And may the Force be with us all.

Monday, August 24, 2015

My All Inclusive NFL Predictions!!!

In years past, I've often split my NFL predictions up, but this year I decided to combine it all into one giant post.  First off will be NFL predictions, then Seahawks.  Cannot believe the Seahawks play their first regular season game in less than 3 weeks.  It will be here before we know it.  First, my predictions (W/L) for each team and short thoughts on each team:
* = Wild Card
RED = Post-season recap

AFC EAST
1. New England Patriots: 10-6
Even though they're the defending Super Bowl champs, they have a chip on their shoulder.  One, they want to prove they can win it all fair and square, and two, they will have to without Tom Brady for four games who some feel was punished too harshly. 
This was before the Brady suspension was overturned.  Had it not been... who knows

2. Miami Dolphins: 9-7
Their defense will be Top 10 and Tannehill will be in the Top half of starting QB's, but will it be enough?  They'll make the AFC East as interesting as it's been in recent years.  I just don't think they have enough to get a playoff spot.  They're so close, though.
Their defense was not Top 10 (oops)... just a complete letdown from the Fins

3. New York Jets: 6-10
Todd Bowles will help the defense, but how will they score?  Fitzpatrick and Geno Smith aren't going to light up scoreboards.  Another year of disappointment for Jets fans.
I underestimated their offense, Fitzpatrick certainly is adequate.  Just a little short of the playoffs, though.

4. Buffalo Bills: 5-11
I believe that when mediocre teams (at best) get hype like the Bills have been getting, they fall flat on their faces.  And that's exactly what I believe the Bills will do.  They might get 7 or even 8 wins, but they've got no shot at the playoffs (Now watch them win 10+ games).  They just don't have a capable quarterback.  That will have to be their focus next offseason. 
They did win 8 games like I said they might.  Taylor made the pro bowl, but only as a replacement.  He's above average, but only slightly.  They need a better one to take them to the next level.


AFC NORTH
1. Pittsburgh Steelers: 11-5
The offense may not put up as good of numbers this season, but they'll do almost as good, which is definitely good enough.  Their defense has lost Polamalu, but they've got a lot of young talent (plus a new Def. Coordinator) that will surprise. 
Just one game worse, despite losing Bell and Big Ben for a few games.  But they did not win the AFC North like I thought they would.

2. Cincinnati Bengals: 9-7
Andy Dalton is a serviceable quarterback, but I think Cincy may soon give up on him and he'll be a career backup from that point on.  I just don't think the Bengals did enough this offseason to improve. 
Dalton is more than serviceable, but his injury killed their chances of any playoff run.  They need to solidify his spot and maybe get rid of some knuckleheads.

3. Baltimore Ravens: 8-8
I predict a slightly down year for the birds in black.  They'll look good some games but bad in others.  Joe Flacco, already on the decline?  That's not an impossibility. 
Did I say slightly down year?  I meant a BIG down year.  They just lost a lot of close games and had some tough injuries.

4. Cleveland Browns: 6-10
Another year, another losing record.  The Browns MAY surprise this year, but whenever I predict a year to be the Browns' surprise season, they let me down and suck.  So prove me wrong again, Browns!
I wasn't really thinking they'd do even worse, but the Browns always find new levels of suckitude.

AFC SOUTH
1. Indianapolis Colts: 12-4
Is there any team you can easily pencil in as the division champs already?  If there is one, it's the Colts.  Every other team in their division is trying to just improve, but it's slow for each of them.  One could surprise and make it tough on the Colts, but I don't see it being that close. 
Whoops.  Oh well.  Who saw this coming, though?

2. Houston Texans: 8-8
Brian Hoyer--while I like his name, I just don't think he's a quality starter in the NFL.  The Texans will compete with their defense and running game but if they fall behind it'll be tough for them to come back.
Just one game better... but not having a legit QB hurt them like I knew it would.

3. Tennessee Titans: 7-9
Marcus Mariota will have his ups and downs, but I think for the most part he'll look like a future star.  He won't be a star quite yet this year but he'll show signs of promise. 
I overestimated Mariota's teammates.  The Titans suck. 

4. Jacksonville Jaguars: 5-11
I hate to say it (As the Jaguars are my favorite AFC Team), but the Jaguars still won't be able to turn it around.  Gus Bradley might get canned.  I like Blake Bortles, but the defense is still a bit of a question mark as is their O-Line and running game. 
They finished with the record I predicted, Yay....!  Their defense was more than a question mark... they just weren't there.

AFC WEST
1. Denver Broncos: 13-3
If the Denver young O-Line can hold it together for Peyton and the running game, Denver will be VERY tough to beat.  Their defense will be their best in YEARS.  They're going to focus on the run and it should work.  I might be overestimating this team, but I'd be shocked if they didn't make the playoffs.
Only one game worse and they won their division again.  I was so right about their defense.

2. San Diego Chargers: 10-6*
San Diego always seems to be sneaky good--and they'll be that again this year.  Phillip Rivers--it's about time he accomplished something.  (Read below for more info)
Oops again.  Six games off... yikes.  

3. Kansas City Chiefs: 10-6*
Kansas City's defense will be one of the AFC's best, and their offense should be good enough.  I don't think Alex Smith is good enough to get them to the promised land, though.  But yes, three teams from the AFC West in the playoffs.
Nope, only two AFC West teams but one of them was the Chiefs like I predicted.  But after their bad start I was ready to say I was wrong. 

4. Oakland Raiders: 7-9
They just can't break through, can they?  This year it'll be because of too much competition in their division.  You'll see: They'll do MUCH better outside their division than in it.  Derek Carr I think is the real deal but they gotta wait until there's a team in the AFC West (Chiefs, Chargers) willing to take their spot in the basement of the AFC West.
Exact record I predicted.  KC and Denver are too tough... maybe with Peyton probably retiring Oakland can surge?

NFC EAST
1. New York Giants: 9-7
This division gets a lot of attention, but this season they'll suck.  The Giants are a decent team and Eli and Co. will secure a division win.  Barely.
They were half-way decent but not good enough to win a bad division, which I knew this would be.

2. Dallas Cowboys: 8-8
Back to going 8-8, haha!  Jason Garrett gets fired and Romo has to contemplate retirement.  Losing DeMarco Murray will hurt them more than they thought it would. 
Romo's injury set them way back.  While most others predicted playoffs for the Cowboys (Dummies), I knew they wouldn't.  They don't have good back to back seasons.  

3. Philadelphia Eagles: 6-10
They sure made a lot of moves/noise in the offseason and it's going to BACKFIRE.  Tebow will start a game, I predict (Bradford and/or Sanchez hurt/struggling).  Chip Kelley will be another coach on the hot seat.
It did backfire, but Tebow did not start, haha.  Kelley was on the hot seat, as he was fired.  Pretty solid call here.

4. Washington Redskins: 4-12
You ever going to stop sucking, Redskins?  Not this year, I predict.  RGIII thinks he's one of the best but he'll be lucky to be all in one piece at season's end with their shaky O-Line.  Jay Gruden, goodbye.
Oops.  Well, someone had to be halfway decent.  RGIII wasn't their focus, Cousins was.  

NFC NORTH
1. Green Bay Packers: 12-4
Losing Jordy Nelson certainly doesn't help, but they'll make do without him.  I think with Aaron Rodgers as your QB a lot of receivers can have success.  They'll be a team on a mission, hungry to make their first Super Bowl in five years.
They did make do without him, but their o-line struggled with injuries.  

2. Minnesota Vikings: 10-6*
They should have some entertaining games with the Pack and getting Peterson back will definitely help.  I am really liking their improving D, which I think will surprise a lot of people.  Teddy Bridgewater, meanwhile, will continue to improve.
Pretty much right about everything.  They did just one game better than I thought they would.

3. Detroit Lions: 7-9
What happened?  Hard to say.  Detroit's not really an organization that's been known for sustaining success, so I see a decline here.  Losing Ndamukong Suh will hurt, and their defense will struggle.
Yep, yep yep.  7 and 9 record, yep.  Couldn't have been more right. 

4. Chicago Bears: 5-11
Good luck John Fox.  Bears fans hate Jay Cutler, the defense needs a rebuild (for the most part) and they are a complete shell of a team that made the playoffs a few seasons ago. 
Just one game better than I thought.  They're getting better, but slowly.

NFC SOUTH
1. New Orleans Saints: 10-6
The Saints will benefit from beating their division (6-0 or 5-1 div. record, probably).  I'm not completely enamored with them (They did lose Jimmy Graham, after all), but they still have a capable Drew Brees and a running game that's above average. 
Oops.  Their defense really struggled, something I didn't even think about happening.  

2. Carolina Panthers: 8-8
Losing Kelvin Benjamin hurts for sure.  Funny, this year they'll have a better regular season record but no playoffs.  Who is there to help Cam and the defense?  Not a whole lot.
My bad.  Apparently they have a decent o-line, decent receivers without Benjamin, and of course, Greg Olsen.  

3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 7-9
I think they'll be a fun team to watch with Jameis Winston and a healthy Doug Martin.  They are going to upset a few teams that won't think too much of the Bucos. 
Overestimated both rookie QB's teams, but the Bucs came close to 7-9.  

4. Atlanta Falcons: 5-11
Another former Seahawks defensive coordinator goes to a team that's been struggling and won't be able to lead the team out of the basement.  We all wish you luck, Dan Quinn, but outside of a good QB and star receivers your team is lacking talent. 
They had a great start but finished with a dud.  They just benefited from an extremely easy schedule.

NFC WEST
1. Seattle Seahawks (?-?)
Ha!  You're going to have to continue reading to see my Seahawks predicted record!  But I do have them repeating, yet again, as NFC West division champs.  More below on my thoughts on the team. 

2. St. Louis Rams* (9-7)
WHAAAT?  No Cardinals here?  Nope.  The Rams are sneaky good, and Jeff Fisher will find ways to win.  I think I've picked them to surprise with a winning record a few times and each time I do they fail, so I'm doing it yet again. 
And AGAIN the Rams fail to live up to my prediction for them.  They just need a quality QB.  And it wasn't Nick Foles.

3. Arizona Cardinals (8-8)
Carson Palmer is fragile and aging.  Their defense is good, but they just lost their defensive coordinator.  The Cardinals still do not scare me. 
My bad.  Palmer still has some in the tank.  Losing your D coordinator shouldn't hurt that much, I should know, looking at the Hawks losing two of them. 

4. San Francisco 49ers (6-10)
They're not going to just roll over, but it's hard to see this team winning 8 or more games.  Morale must have taken a hit this offseason. 
Pretty much hit the nail on the head with this one.  

Before I get to the playoffs predictions, here is are Seahawk predictions, game by game (and team leaders!)

Week 1, @ Rams: Win, 23-21 (1-0)
Time for some payback.  The Hawks need a good start, and losing this game going into Green Bay would not be good.  Hawks may fall behind at some point but I could see a last minute Hauschka field goal to win it.
Dang Hawks.... but if Chancellor had played who knows?

Week 2, @ Packers: Loss, 31-23 (1-1)
I think the Hawks will more than likely start 1-1, especially with their first two games on the road.  Most fans would be ok with that, so long as they can generate a winning streak later.  This is a tough matchup and while a win wouldn't shock me, a loss is very possible.
Knew this game would be tough.  

Week 3, vs. Bears: Win, 34-13 (2-1)
Every year it seems the Hawks have a fun, easy win against an inferior opponent, and this year it'll be the Bears.  Can't wait to see the D feast on Jay Cutler and the Bears offense.
Also they played against Jimmy Clausen.  

Week 4, vs. Lions: Win, 33-17 (3-1)
This one won't be too close either.  One, the Hawks are virtually unbeatable in home primetime games.  Two, I predict the Lions to have a drop off this season so they're not exactly the Packers. 
Actually, it was about as close as it gets.  Early offensive struggles caused that.

Week 5, @ Bengals: Loss, 23-16 (3-2)
Ever since the Hawks joined the NFC in 2002, they have lost at least one game to an AFC opponent EVERY SINGLE YEAR.  Even in their 13-3 Super Bowl seasons.  Usually that game's on the road and often it's the first AFC game.  So, it's not about the Hawks not being good enough, it's about following tradition!
Yep... always lose to an AFC team.  Knew it.  Prove me wrong one year, Hawks!

Week 6, vs. Panthers: Win, 20-12 (4-2)
Three kitty mascots in a row, and the Hawks should win a tough "dog" fight here.  The Panthers will be seeking revenge for last year's playoff loss but won't get it. 
They were seeking revenge and they got it... twice.  Ugh. 

Week 7, @ 49ers: Win, 28-17 (5-2)
We might make this closer than it should be or not be able to pull away until late, but I think the Hawks end up on top.  Can't just assume the Niners will roll over.  They remember last year's Thanksgiving scha-lacking we gave them. 
Pretty much what I said.  

Week 8, @ Cowboys: Loss, 28-27 (5-3)
I can't remember the last time the Hawks won in Big D.  It might happen this year, but I can't say it will in my prediction here.  Should be a close and fun game to watch, though.  A lot of our Hawks will remember the loss at home we suffered to the Cowboys last season.
We played a much worse Cowboys team than I thought we would, and BARELY beat them.  But yay, a win in Big D!

Week 9, BYE

Week 10, vs. Cardinals: Win, 16-13 (6-3)
Won't be pretty, but the Hawks should get the job done.  Coming off a bye the Hawks should be rested and ready for possibly their biggest test to get the division crown. 
More of an offensive game than I thought it'd be.... gave up 39 points rather than 13... ouch.

Week 11, vs. 49ers: Win, 30-10 (7-3)
The few 49ers fans that show up at this game, well I tip my cap to them because they've got guts.  These two home games against division foes after a bye are almost both must-wins, regardless of the Hawks record at the time. 
Again, 49ers were what I expected. 

Week 12, vs. Steelers: Win, 31-24 (8-3)
The Steelers offense with the three B's (Ben, Brown, Bell) will probably give the LOB some fits, but I think the Hawks win this.  Hawks haven't beaten the Steelers since 2003, when Russell Wilson was 14!  Three home games in a row should mean three wins, but none of the three are pushovers. 
Offensive game, yep, win by about a touchdown, yep.  

Week 13, @ Vikings: Loss, 27-17 (8-4)
If the Vikings surprise like I predicted, this will be a tough game to win.  I think Peterson could run over us.  Don't see many good things out of this game. 
Haha I love it when the Hawks win when I predict losses, but I love it even more when they blow them out!

Week 14, @ Ravens: Win, 24-16 (9-4)
I think the Hawks will again split the road trip (like Weeks 1 and 2) and you could flip flop which is a win and which is a loss, but I'm gonna say the Hawks beat the Ravens. 
They didn't split the road trip, they actually won both.

Week 15, vs. Browns: Win, 42-10 (10-4)
Ok, it probably won't be that lopsided, but I can dream, can't I?  It might be that lopsided if the Browns have given up on the season and put Johnny Football in at QB.  This game is a must-win, because the Browns should be beatable at CenturyLink.
No, it wasn't that lopsided... Browns put up a fight. 

Week 16, vs. Rams: Win, 23-19 (11-4)
Again, can't look past the Rams, and I wouldn't be shocked if the Hawks lost the game looking ahead to Week 17.  I'll predict they almost let the game get away, but don't.
They did lose... but not because they were looking ahead.  Because the lines (Both D and O) got manhandled. 

Week 17, @ Cardinals: Win, 14-10 (12-4)
I think the Hawks will have the division locked up at this point so their offense won't need to be in fourth gear.  The Cardinals, meanwhile... who knows.  Also, if the Hawks lost this game I'd have them at 3-5 on the road... yikes.
Won in much easier fashion because the Cardinals really had nothing to play for. 

We know who will lead the passing and rushing statistics, but what about receiving and defense?
Receptions: Baldwin YEP
Receiving Yards: Lockett Nope it was Baldwin again, but Lockett was almost 2nd, right behind Kearse
Receiving TD's: Graham Maybe if he hadn't gotten injured... he did get injured right as Russell was finding his groove
Sacks: Bennett YEP
Tackles: Wagner Actually was KJ Wright, but Wagner was just FOUR behind him
Interceptions: Sherman Actually was Thomas, but Sherm was tied for 2nd
Offensive unsung hero: Tyler Lockett Well it was either him or Rawls... good call
Defensive unsung hero: DeShawn Shead He did have a good seeason... but I'd give that award to Lane coming back from injury

So 12-4 is what I predict the record to be!  And based on my predicted records, here are the playoff seedings!
Oh well.  Could've won either St. Louis game, or Carolina/Cincy games.  Coulda shoulda woulda.

afc
1. broncos, 13-3
2. Colts, 12-4
3. Steelers, 11-5
4. Patriots, 10-6
5. Chargers, 10-6
6. Chiefs, 10-6

NFC
1. Packers, 12-4
2. Seahawks, 12-4
3. Saints, 10-6
4. Giants, 9-7
5. Vikings, 10-6
6. Rams, 9-7

And of course you want me to do it!  Playoff predictions!

AFC Wild Card:
(6) Chiefs at (3) Steelers: Steelers win
The Chiefs STILL cannot win a playoff game.  Poor Chiefs.
The Chiefs DID win a playoff game... over the 9-7 Texans.  Steelers won their first game, though.

(5) Chargers at (4) Patriots: Chargers win
UPSET ALERT!   Also... karma's a bitch
Haha my bad.

NFC Wild Card:
(6) Rams at (3) Saints: Rams win
I feel like the better I predict the Rams to do, the worse they'll ACTUALLY do.  I see the Rams as a tougher and more physical team and for that reason I give them the edge.
Two teams who were eliminated from the playoffs in November.  Again, my bad. 

(5) Vikings at (4) Giants: Giants win
The last time I recall the Vikings and Giants playing a playoff game at the Giant's home stadium, it was the 2000 NFC Championship Game and the Giants CRUSHED the Vikings, 41-0.  It'll be the same result, but not as lopsided.
Vikings lost their only playoff game like I predicted.  The NFC East winner did not win a playoff game.  I should've known. 

AFC Divisional:
(5) Chargers at (1) Broncos: Chargers win
UPSET ALERT AGAIN!  WHAAAAAAT?  Peyton Manning contemplates retirement after this game.  Chargers all the way.
My bad, ok?!

(3) Steelers at (2) Colts: Colts win
Tough pick here, but I give the edge to the Colts in what would probably be a shootout. 
Sigh

NFC Divisional:
(6) Rams at (1) Packers: Packers win
Yeah, this is a no-brainer.  I don't see the Packers losing their first playoff game.
Packers did win a playoff game

(4) Giants at (2) Seahawks: Seahawks win
Giants will make it interesting... at first.  Eli Manning has a history of winning road playoff games so the Hawks would have to be careful. 
As did the Seahawks...

AFC Championship Game:
(5) Chargers at (2) Colts: Colts win
Phillip Rivers and the Chargers dream run ends. 
Man way to let me down Chargers and Colts

NFC Championship Game:
(2) Seahawks at (1) Packers: Packers win
I hate to say it.  I really do.  But the Packers will want this game more, I think.  Aaron Rodgers won't lose on his home turf.  Hawks will put up a fight but come up short.  :'(
Seahawks lose on the road... yep.  Lost to a team starting with the letters PA who they beat last year in the playoffs... yep.  Haha.

Super Bowl 50:
Packers over Colts, 31-28

This would be a dream matchup for the NFL.  Two of the faces of the NFL, Rodgers and Luck, facing off in a fun, exciting game.  Packers won the first Super Bowl and they'll win the 50th. 
My bad.  

So there you have it, folks.  I know, I really wanted to pick the Hawks to win the Super Bowl but it was too hard for me to do.  I was trying to be right more than hoping I would be right.  Before I go, lastly is my picks for NFL Awards:

NFL MVP: Aaron Rodgers, Packers Nope, Newton
NFL Offensive POY: Andrew Luck, Colts Newton again
NFL Defensive POY: Luke Kuechly, Panthers How could I forget about JJ Watt?
NFL Offensive ROY: Tyler Lockett, Seahawks He was in the running...
NFL Defensive ROY: Trae Waynes, Vikings I knew it'd be a D-back... good job to Peters
NFL Pepsi ROY: Todd Gurley, Rams He actually got the other ROY award... this one went to Winston

That is all for now, but before I go, two last words:

GO HAWKS!!! 

Saturday, August 22, 2015

How to make sure you never go broke at the slots!

Something I thought of recently is how I play the slots when I go to the casino.  My three favorites are Snoqualmie, Tulalip, and Quil Ceda.  On my 21st birthday, I went to the casino and won over $200!!!  But that was sheer dumb luck, as I accidentally bet four dollars on a single spin and I got a bonus round on a game (Jackpot Party).  I went back to the casino once every few months or so after that, but more often than not I would leave with nothing.  If I brought 60, 80, or even 100 dollars often I would leave with nothing.  I would just keep betting and betting until my money ran out.  But I have recently started using a plan that virtually guarantees I will leave with something, and often I come out ahead.  How, you might ask?  I'll fill you in.

First off, it starts with how much you bring.  I used to bring (and bet) around 60 and lose it all.  Instead, you should bring 100-140.  Bring somewhere around five to eight 20's.

Now if you haven't been to a casino ever or not in years, what they do is if you decide to cash out, they will print you a ticket you can cash at a kiosk or you can put in any machine.  Before, I used to just put a ticket back into a machine regardless of if I had just won a lot or not.  My strategy is this:

- If you're betting and get above $30, cash out.  If you get to around $34 or a few bucks over you can keep pressing your luck, but do not go back under $30.  Get as high as you can, using your judgment based on the machine and your string of luck.

- If you're betting and get to $12, cash out as well.  You can go a hair below, but don't go below $10.  Try to stay at least a buck or two above ten dollars.

- If you cash out at any point, DO NOT reinsert that ticket into a machine.  Instead, hold onto it until it's time to leave and cash out.

So basically, you're converting all of your 20's into tickets.  If you plan to stay awhile, bring a lot of 20's.  Because you don't reinsert any tickets, you need to bring at least five 20's.  I have found this method to be a very safe way to play.  So far I've employed this method my last three trips to a casino, and all three times I came home with about how much I brought (maybe a few bucks under) or I came out ahead.  On average, I'm doing a TON better.  Before, I would just bet and bet and bet until I ran out of money.

Let's do an example.  Say you bring six 20's or $120.  And the most likely scenario is that three are winners and three are losers.  That would mean three tickets of $30 and three tickets of $12.  That would mean you leave with $126, six more dollars than what you came in with.  I know, it's more likely to get to $12 on a slot machine than $30, but even if you have four losing tickets ($12) and only two winners ($30), another likely scenario, you only lose $12.

I know that with this method it's actually kinda hard to win much, but if you go to a casino like me to have fun and enjoy the slots, this is the method for you.  No one likes losing, and while this doesn't increase your odds on average, it does make sure you don't leave with nothing.  Hey, $60 is better than 0 any day!

I know what you're thinking.  This logic doesn't work.  If you have a bad day in my previous method, you lose $60.  And if you have a bad day in this new method (five loser tickets of $12 each) you still lose $60.  But, the odds of having five loser tickets are pretty low.  I've yet to have it.

But the best advice I can give you is know when to quit.  I'm not saying quit every time you get over $30.  Know which machines are best for your betting style.  You don't have to switch machines if you get to one of my suggested amounts, just take the ticket out and put a new one in.  The machine will "think" you're a different person.  I don't know if that actually has any effect, but it doesn't hurt.

So do your best, folks.  That's about all I have.  Oh and don't forget to cash out your tickets before you leave.  That's kinda important.

Sunday, July 19, 2015

As A Mariner Fan, I'm Pretty Much Done

                The Mariners entered this 2015 season with such high expectations.  Some dreamed of a World Series berth, even.  Most predicted us to make the playoffs.  But the Mariners sit at 42-50, and most Mariners fans would admit this season is probably over.  Is it mathematically and logically possible the Mariners could make a run at a playoff spot?  Sure.  But this team has been fiddled and farted with so much, there is absolutely NOTHING to give us any reason to expect a turnaround.  I for one am very disappointed in this team, and it's an all too familiar feeling I get with this ball club. 
                Four years ago, I said that if the Mariners didn't make the playoffs or LOOK like they'd make the playoffs by 2015, I'd give up on them.  Well, it's 2015 and the playoffs seem like a pipe dream.  I said I'd stop following them and stop buying merchandise and stop going to games and that's exactly what I'm going to do.  I'm slowly going to stop watching their games on TV, and from this point on I will not buy any Mariner merchandise or go to any games.  I refuse to support such a poorly run organization.  It's funny--all they have to do is look across the street to the Seahawks (and Sounders) to see how to run a successful sports franchise. 
                The Mariners are a joke.  Literally.  They've been made fun of on the TV show "How I Met Your Mother", they are constantly lauded and joked about by casual sports fans in Seattle.  You ask a person, any person who knows who the Mariners are and what they think of them, and (unless they've been under a rock the past 15 years) they'll say that they suck (or some variation).  This team has such a bad image problem I'm surprised they managed to lure high-priced free agents in Robinson Cano and Nelson Cruz.  Oh that's right, they just threw enough money at them, anything to get someone to be a bobblehead on Bobblehead Night. 
                The amount of things wrong with this team and the reasons they lose more often than they win are too numerous for me to name.  Lloyd and Jack need to go.  In fact, ownership needs to go (but you can't "fire" ownership, sadly).  A lot of the players (while most of them not their fault) have under-performed and need to go.  This team is such a mess not even a GM with OCD would want to take this team on.  This organization had its "fifteen minutes of fame" from 1995-2001, but outside those years this baseball franchise is a complete and udder joke, failure, abomination, and travesty.  Those words may sound harsh, but it's the truth.  In the 32 years outside of 1995-2001, the Mariners have had just 7 WINNING SEASONS, eclipsing 90 wins just TWICE. 
                So I bid my farewell to the Mariners.  I hope your ticket and merchandise sales plummet.  If you're as fed up as I am, please join me in staying away from Safeco and refusing to buy merchandise.  You do one of those two things and all you're doing is encouraging them to continue to do what they're doing and that's building a LOSER.  There is something wrong with this organization, and it's not just the players.  In fact, it's BARELY them.  It's ownership and management.  Unless ownership changes or they take the necessary steps to "reboot" this franchise, I will not be following the Mariners.  I will be more than willing to come back and support this franchise once changes are made.  But until then, Mariners, I bid thee farewell.  

Wednesday, May 6, 2015

EARLY Predictions for Seahawks 53 Man Roster

Well, with the draft completed the Seahawks roster for the 2015 season is coming into clearer focus and I think now would be a good time to predict the Seahawks 53 man roster.  Obviously, there are going to be injuries and probably more signings, but let's see how close I can get. 

QB (2): Russell Wilson, B.J. Daniels
With T-Jack probably gone, Daniels gets promoted to backup and might even be used on special teams a bit.  With that in mind, the Hawks might have a young QB on the practice squad.

RB/FB (5): Marshawn Lynch, Christine Michael, Demitris Bronson, Derrick Coleman, Will Tukuafu
No Robert Turbin?  Well, I just think the Hawks might just decide he's not going to blossom into a full-time RB in this league, so they might have to cut ties with him.  Or maybe he gets hurt, who knows.  Coleman will earn his starting FB job back and Tukuafu makes the team because of his versatility. 

WR (5): Doug Baldwin, Jermaine Kearse, Paul Richardson, Tyler Lockett, Ricardo Lockette
No Kevin Norwood or Chris Matthews, I know... I just don't see much production coming from either of them.  Maybe Norwood can be on the practice squad.  Ricardo Lockette is too good of a special teamer to leave off the team.

TE (3): Jimmy Graham, Luke Willson, Cooper Helfet
A lot are expecting Anthony McCoy to make a comeback, but I don't.  He's too injury-prone. 

Offensive Line (9): Russell Okung, Alvin Bailey, Kristjan Sokoli, J.R. Sweezy, Justin Britt, Lemuel Jeanpierre, Mark Glowinski, Terry Poole, Garry Gilliam
In the first five, you have my predicted starters on the OL from left tackle to right tackle.  Sokoli will start at center, I'm predicting.  Patrick Lewis might make it over Jeanpierre... it's a close call.  Also I wouldn't be surprised to see any of the OL draft picks (Sokoli, Poole, Glowinski) be put on the practice squad.

Defensive Tackles (4): Brandon Mebane, Jordan Hill, Ahtyba Rubin, Tony McDaniel
I only see four here because the Hawks have Defensive Ends (Bennett, Scruggs) that can play interior as well as Tukuafu.  I wouldn't be shocked to see McDaniel cut due to his age, but we'll see.

Defensive Ends (5): Michael Bennett, Cliff Avril, Cassius Marsh, Frank Clark, Greg Scruggs
Scruggs is a long shot but I like him for his versatility.  Marsh should be a force if he can stay healthy.  Clark, despite his legal problems, should have a good rookie season.  Bennett should just stop whining about his contract situation and play.  I have Obum Gwacham on the practice squad.

Linebackers (7): K.J. Wright, Bobby Wagner, Kevin Pierre-Louis, Brock Coyle, Mike Morgan, Mister Alexander, Alex Singleton
What? No Bruce Irvin?  He's just too much of a problem now.  I think KPL is good enough to start.  I love the name of Mister Alexander, haha. 

Cornerbacks (5): Richard Sherman, Cary Williams, Marcus Burley, Will Blackmon, Tye Smith
Simon and Lane will start out on the PUP or injured list, I'm assuming.  I think the Hawks can get away with 5 CB's especially if they keep an extra safety that can move back and forth, like I'm predicting. 

Safeties (5): Earl Thomas, Kam Chancellor, Deshaun Shead, Keenan Lambert, Ryan Murphy
Shead can play safety and corner, plus he has experience so he has a good shot.  Lambert is the half-brother (I think) of Kam Chancellor so that certainly helps.  Murphy might only make the practice squad, but we'll see.

Special Teams (3): Steven Hauschka (K), Jon Ryan (P), Nate Boyer (LS)
I'm pulling for the former Green Beret.  Sorry, Clint Gresham. 

Well, that's 53 players.  I'm sure I'm totally wrong on some but we'll see how close I get.