I'm still in shock from the trade that was announced earlier today: Russell Wilson to the Denver Broncos. It seems like today's a dream that I need to wake up from. I thought of all the ways I could have put my thoughts into words, and I decided the best way would be to ask myself (and answer) questions regarding this trade and the impact it will have on the future.
Hey there, future Brian here (Nov. 2023). I thought I'd comment on my takes about this trade now that we've seen 1.5 seasons out of Russ and seen the Seahawks without him.
Who do you think will win this trade in the long run?
Honestly, the Broncos. Usually, the team that acquires the star player wins the trade. The times that they don't win the trade are because the star player completely flops on his new team or has off the field issues. That will not happen with Russell Wilson.
And given the Seahawks track record for drafting, it's unlikely they'll draft anyone in the next few years that has near the impact that Russ had in Seattle. And it's unlikely any of the players the Seahawks acquired (Lock, Fant, Harris) will improve their game enough to give the Seahawks an edge.
Yikes! Well Russ for the most part has "flopped". And the Seahawks drafting has gotten a lot better in the last couple of years. We got Charles Cross, Boye Mafe, and Devon Witherspoon out of the draft from those draft picks, among others. I think the Hawks win this trade now.
How well do you think Russell will do in Denver?
It's hard to say. I've only ever seen Russell in Seattle. I don't think he's going to have a crazy amount of success, especially given the division and conference he will play in. I see him having one, maybe two seasons where he and the Broncos make a legitimate run at a Super Bowl. But seeing as he will likely command a new contract in a year or two, I don't see the Broncos being able to keep a bunch of talent around him (the problem the Seahawks would have ended up facing).
First off, Russ re-signed with the Broncos before even playing a snap. Anyway, it's getting harder to see a Super Bowl run from him and the Broncos, especially considering their stiff competition in the AFC.
What will the Seahawks do at quarterback?
The Seahawks did acquire Drew Lock from the Broncos, but he has been lackluster so far. He will be given a shot in training camp, but the Hawks will very likely bring another (or two) quarterback in to compete with him. The Hawks do now have the 9th overall pick, and they could take Kenny Pickett with that selection, or they could wait until next year's draft, when the QB class is supposed to be even better.
I think the Hawks will acquire a veteran free agent to compete with Lock and try to rely upon the running game in 2022.
I'm laughing at the idea of the Hawks taking Kenny Pickett with the 9th overall pick last year. So glad we didn't. I didn't even mention Geno Smith, who I assumed was leaving and had not re-signed at that point yet. YIKES again.
Are the players the Seahawks got any good?
Kind of. As I mentioned, Drew Lock has been lackluster, but was a first round pick who could benefit from a change of scenery. He's a solid backup at the very least.
Noah Fant is an above average tight end who does a bit of everything pretty well. He is still young and could develop into one of the better tight ends in the NFC.
Shelby Harris isn't young for an NFL player (30), but he's a borderline pro-bowl defensive lineman who will instantly become a starter and could start for a few seasons.
They've been solid. Lock hasn't really had much opportunity, but Fant has done well with limited targets. I wish we'd target him more. Harris only played one year for us.
Why did the Hawks trade Wilson?
Was Russ unhappy? Not really. But he wasn't the happiest he could be. Slowly over the past 7-8 years, the Hawks have regressed, particularly on defense and the offensive line. Russ knew if he had more talent around him, he'd have multiple Super Bowls instead of just the one. The Hawks front office failed to surround him with even an average offensive line in the last 5-7 seasons and the defense has regressed every year in the past five.
But the reason the Hawks traded Wilson largely comes down to money. He had two more years left on his contract, and the rate for a top-flight quarterback was getting extremely steep. We saw Aaron Rodgers just re-sign with the Packers for $50 million a year. Russell would have commanded just as much if not more. I'm not sure if the Hawks currently have the room for that, but they certainly don't have room to keep all of their stars AND Russ.
Unfortunately, the NFL is a business. The Hawks, realizing that they were sinking millions into Wilson and not getting championships, decided to cut their losses. Wilson, essentially, was a sunk cost. He was a part of a business that was requiring too much money, and the Seahawks decided to trade or "sell" their asset and start over. I understand the move from a business perspective, but the problem I also see is that Wilson is more than an "asset". 12s everywhere had emotional ties to him, and trading him is more than selling an asset.
I also want to say that I bet Pete, John, Shane, and the rest probably saw the start of Russ regressing. I think they figured he would not be able to retain his level of play into his mid to late 30's. They really traded him at the perfect time, because I bet his 2022 season in Seattle, had he not been traded, would not have gone well.
Do the Hawks even have a chance of winning in the near future?
I mean, any team theoretically does. But the Hawks chances did get slimmer. The offseason is still very young, and we will have to wait and see what Pete and John do the rest of this offseason, particularly at the quarterback spot. If they can get a quick fix at the quarterback position, there's hope.
I'm leaning towards the Hawks not trying too hard to win in 2022 (also known as "tanking") and try to get a high draft pick in 2023 to use on a quarterback. If Schneider wheels and deals effectively enough, the Hawks could go through a re-build in just a couple years. They have a lot of trade-able assets that they could get even more draft capital from.
YIKES again. Actually, our chances got better in 2022 and we made the playoffs. We might make it again in 2023. I keep thinking the Hawks are going to draft a quarterback, when they really don't need to. Even if Geno gets hurt or struggles, we have Lock, who is at least capable.
What will happen to Pete Carroll? Is he going to stick it out much longer?
Hard to say as I can't read his mind, but given that he's the oldest coach in the league, he has to be thinking of retirement as a possibility after every season. He does have the most youthful energy of any coach in their 60s or older, to say the least.
Pete had to have been in on the discussions with Schneider on the trade of Wilson. And he's likely already thought of how trading Wilson affects his future.
Don't forget that 2021 was the hardest of Carroll's Seahawks career, and it might depend on how 2022 goes to see if he will even coach one more season after that.
Pete obviously knew he had a good chunk of years left. He's found the fountain of youth, at least concerning his energy. I think he'll coach until he feels he can't summon the energy anymore, which could be into his mid-70s if not late 70s.
How can John Schneider save his reputation now? Is there any way his tenure with the Hawks has a happy ending?
If Schneider is in this for the long run, there's definitely a chance. And if he's in it for the long run, he will likely be tasked with finding Carroll's successor and using this draft capital he just acquired effectively.
If he can never recover and build the Seahawks into a perennial playoff team like they were with Wilson, he will not have a happy ending. He would then likely leave the team with many Hawks fans holding resentment towards him stemming back to this trade.
We can't also forget the Jimmy Graham and Jamal Adams trades, two trades he made that at this point we can safely call failures. He risked draft capital for star players, and it hurt the Hawks.
Now he's done the opposite, trading a star player for draft capital. If he can use that draft capital successfully, that will help the Hawks immensely in the coming years and he could save face and leave with his head held high. It's all on him.
I think I can say the Wilson trade makes up for the lackluster trades of the past like Harvin, Graham, and Adams. Schneider's reputation is fine, and whenever he leaves, he'll likely leave having been the most successful front office executive in team history.
What about the rest of the players on the Hawks? One, are they at risk of being traded, and two, are their morales hurt after this trade?
To answer the first question, it depends on if the Hawks are fully rebuilding or not. If they are, then one could argue any of them are at risk of being traded. If Russ can be traded, anyone can.
To answer the second question, they likely will feel a sting from this, but if Schneider brings in a respectable leader at the quarterback position, morale may not take too big of a hit. But the ones that have been with Russ the longest (Bobby, Tyler) will certainly not feel the same anymore.
Turns out, Geno's leadership abilities are more than enough. No one else was really at risk of being traded since they weren't tanking.
How will we look back on this trade?
It will depend on the outcome for the two teams in the coming years. I'll go through all four scenarios:
If the Broncos and Hawks both find success in the coming years, it'll be a win-win. Schneider and the Broncos will both be heralded for the trade, as it will have seemed that Russell Wilson just needed a fresh start, and the Hawks were handicapped by his immense salary.
If the Broncos have success but the Hawks do not, the Broncos will be heavily lauded for the move, and Schneider and the Hawks will be ridiculed. Everyone will realize that trading star quarterbacks is almost never a wise move, and the Hawks were foolish to do so, even if it saved them money. Schneider will go down in Seahawks infamy.
If the Seahawks have success but the Broncos do not, Schneider will be considered a genius. He would have gotten out of an even larger contract with Wilson and would have managed to rebuild the Hawks once again. Meanwhile, Russ will be looked at the guy that won a Super Bowl while having the Legion of Boom, but couldn't at any point after, definitely lowering his legend status.
If neither team finds success, the trade will be looked it as a push. The Broncos will be thought of poorly for mortgaging their future for a QB that couldn't even get back to the NFC championship game after 2014-15, and the Hawks will look bad as well for having traded their star quarterback for a bunch of okay players and draft capital.
Ultimately, this trade is going to take time. Time to figure out who won the trade, but first off, time to digest and comprehend what has really happened: that Russell Wilson is no longer a Seahawk.
I think right now the option of the Seahawks having success but the Broncos not is the option we have in reality. Russ is starting to maybe look like a QB that won a Super Bowl with a legendary defense, but that's it. Brad Johnson and Trent Dilfer also did that.
Showing posts with label Russell. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Russell. Show all posts
Tuesday, March 8, 2022
Organized Thoughts about the Russell Wilson Trade
Monday, January 3, 2022
Ten Things that went wrong for the Hawks in 2021
The 2021 season was not an ideal one for the Seattle Seahawks. After 17 weeks and just one game left, they sit with a record of 6-10 and no shot at the playoffs. This is the first losing season of Russell Wilson's career and only the second time the Hawks have missed the playoffs since he became the starting quarterback. So, what went wrong? I have compiled a list of ten things that went wrong and, for good measure, I gave them a rating of 1-5 on how worried we should be that this may affect the Hawks going into next year, with 1 being not at all worried and 5 being extremely worried.
1. Russell Wilson's finger injury
Worry scale: 2
It's safe to say that if not for Russ's finger injury, the season would be a lot different. Russ came back and his finger was clearly still trying to heal, as we saw in his first two or three games back, causing the offense to be downright anemic. Before this season, Russ had not missed a single start, so there's not much concern here, although there will be more if he gets hurt again next season (provided he stays in Seattle, of course).
2. Having historically bad time of possession
Worry scale: 5
The Hawks had a nagging problem throughout 2021 that, for too long, they were unable to fix. That is the time of possession battle. You generally want to hold onto the ball on offense more than your opponent, and the Hawks were historically bad at doing this. This stems from the combination of the offense not being able to put together long, sustained drives, and the defense being unable to get off the field when they needed to. This led to the defense wearing out at the end of the game and, in some games, the offense still showing signs of rust going into the 4th quarter. This is definitely concerning, as this issue concerns both sides of the ball and the fundamentals regarding them.
3. Adjusting to a first-year offensive coordinator
Worry scale: 2
Shane Waldron was hired in the offseason, and for a team that wants to win now, he may not have been the wisest hire. He had never been an offensive coordinator before, and that certainly showed at times this season. The last two OC hires, Darrell Bevell and Brian Schottenheimer, had previously been OC's before coming to Seattle. Hopefully, Shane has learned a bit from this season and will improve as an OC going into 2022.
4. Injuries to too many notable players
Worry scale: 1
Injuries are a part of NFL football and always will be. But sometimes you suffer an irregularly high amount of injuries, which hurts your season. The Hawks not only lost Russ to injury for a few games, but stars and leaders Chris Carson and Jamal Adams suffered season-ending injuries, and the Hawks also had to deal with a number of players missing games due to COVID. But this shouldn't be any cause for concern for the future as teams generally don't suffer through two consecutive injury-plagued seasons in a row.
5. Jason Myers' off year
Worry scale: 3
Myers made every field goal in 2020, so expectations were high for 2021. However, he missed a few too many crucial field goals and several PAT's. He was bound for at least a slightly down year, but his regression to the mean was far too severe. Hopefully, he'll bounce back next season and look more like 2020 Myers, and hopefully, 2021 wasn't a sign of things to come for him.
6. Ken Norton Jr's schemes aren't working
Worry scale: 3
Sad to say, I think I would need more than two hands to count the number of times the Seahawks put a defensive tackle into coverage this season. Ken Norton Jr, the Seahawks defensive coordinator, may take pride in the fact his team didn't give up a ton of points, but as of the time of this post, the Hawks had the 2nd worst pass defense in the NFL. They consistently allow receivers to get open, afraid of possibly allowing the big plays. As a defense, you need to tighten up and risk allowing big plays, because otherwise teams go up and down the field on you. Ken Norton Jr. has not realized this, and we can only hope Pete Carroll will swallow his pride and decide to move on from KNJ. The worry scale is at a 3 because he may or may not get fired, and I worry slightly that we won't move on from him.
7. No clutch factor this season
Worry scale: 2
The Hawks have been one of the luckier teams of the past 5-10 years, largely because their offense and defense were known for making big plays when the game was on the line. That was not the case this season. On multiple occasions, the offense was unable to come up with a game-winning drive, and the defense was unable to stop the opposition when it mattered. This is highly unusual for the Hawks, who in years past thrived in close games. Yet the Hawks are 0-5 in games decided by 6 points or less. Just changing two of those five outcomes gives the Hawks a record of 8-8 going into the final week. Also, two of those five close games were started by Geno Smith, and who knows if Russ would've been able to lead us to victories in those games, but our odds certainly would have been better with him.
8. No established running back until late
Worry scale: 2
The Seahawks are definitely better when they have an established back take the bulk of the carries and stay healthy for at least most of the season. That was not the case this season. Chris Carson started the season as the starter, but then a neck injury derailed his season. Alex Collins took over, but he too got injured after several games. Fortunately, Rashaad Penny emerged, but it was too little too late. The Hawks likely won't have a running back even get 700 yards this season. Although to be fair, the Hawks did not have a running back get 700 yards last year, either.
9. Poor offseason additions
Worry scale: 2
Gerald Everett was easily the best addition the Hawks made in the past offseason. Gabe Jackson was solid, if unspectacular. The 2021 draft class, meanwhile, leaves a lot to be desired. Of course, there were only three draft picks, but Eskridge was hurt and under-utilized, Tre Brown showed signs of promise but got hurt, and Stone Forsythe barely saw the field. There was not enough added in the past offseason. The Hawks could have used another cornerback and edge rusher for sure.
10. Pete Carroll
Worry scale: 3
This reason is simply Pete Carroll. Is his "rah rah" style of coaching wearing thin? Possibly. It certainly isn't the best coaching style for a team that is struggling. He's the oldest coach in the league, and his schemes and philosophies seem to be a bit dated by now. I think he could still do well as an NFL executive, but it's time for him to retire from coaching duties. This was certainly a trying year for him, and one could argue his worst coaching performance in Seattle.
2021 was definitely a trying year for the Hawks. I am in the boat that the Hawks do not need to rebuild this coming offseason. Going into Week 18, they have a +21 point differential despite their 6-10 record. They are a few close games from quite a different story this season. If they can focus on the lines, draft smartly, and keep Russ (but maybe make a change at head coach or DC), they can quickly go back to being perennial contenders again in 2022.
Tuesday, February 4, 2020
Top 10 Greatest Seattle Sports Athletes I Have Seen Play
Just recently, I did a post on the Top 10 Athletes I Have Ever Seen Play. Noticeably absent were all Seattle athletes. I just felt like I had to do a separate post for them. These ten athletes below are the greatest I have seen play for a Seattle team. The more they played for a Seattle team, the better. And the more I saw them play, the better. Unfortunately, that means guys like Steve Largent, Alvin Davis, and Gus Williams won't be on here. I'm not going to label what teams they played for, because we know if they played for the Mariners, Seahawks, or Sonics.
First, some honorable mentions:
Sonics: Rashard Lewis, Brent Barry
Seahawks: Marshawn Lynch, Doug Baldwin, Richard Sherman, Kam Chancellor
Mariners: Alex Rodriguez, Randy Johnson, Kyle Seager, Jamie Moyer
10. Ken Griffey, Jr.
It feels weird putting him this low on the list. But I only saw the tail end of his career with the Mariners and then the 2009 and 2010 seasons. But I've been able to watch highlights, mainly of the 1995 season. I think he's the most talented baseball player to ever play for the Mariners. It's such a shame he not only got traded but had an injury-plagued career from that point on.
9. Gary Payton
Again, he would be higher had I seen him play more. He was definitely the best defensive point guard I ever watched. There's a reason they called him "The Glove". It was quite a shock to me when the trade was announced that he had been included in a trade that netted us Ray Allen.
8. Earl Thomas
I couldn't include the entire Legion of Boom, so I went with who I considered their best player and the one I had most fun watching. Earl has been such a great safety in the NFL, the ability to range from deep center field to come up and make a tackle on a quick pass or run. Earl's quickness and smarts allowed Pete Carroll and his defensive coaching staff to play him deep, which meant no big throws were ever really completed against the Hawks defense. The Hawks certainly would not have had the success they did on defense without Earl.
7. Felix Hernandez
There has not been a better pitcher with the Mariners in the last 15 years. Felix not only was dominant, but proved his loyalty all the way until he was no longer productive for us. It breaks my heart that he never got to experience the postseason with us. No other player has inspired something like a "King's Court", something I made certain to be a part of a few times. His perfect game in 2012 is definitely one of the best moments in Mariners history, and might be the best moment of that decade.
6. Ray Allen
Ray has to be the best shooter of the basketball I have ever seen, especially from three point range. He hit a ton of clutch shots with the Sonics and easily became my favorite player on the team in the mid-2000's. He and Rashard Lewis formed quite the scoring duo, even guiding the Sonics to the playoffs a couple times. And Ray was one of the very few high scorers in the NBA that didn't talk too much. He let his play and his scoring speak for itself.
5. Bobby Wagner
At the end of his career, he may end up as the greatest defensive player in Seahawks history. Right now, that's probably Cortez Kennedy, but Bobby may pass Tez in longevity and overall production. Bobby hasn't won a defensive player of the year like Tez did, but I think he should have. There's just been too many other great players in the league. But to me, Bobby is the best tackler and linebacker in Seahawks history, and I'm fortunate to have seen him play.
4. Ichiro Suzuki
The greatest contact hitter in Mariners history for sure. He set the all-time record for hits in a season in 2004. He won MVP in his first season in Major League Baseball. It's a huge shame we could never get back to the postseason with Ichiro, but the guy is a bona fide legend. The way he would make contact with the worst of pitches and get hits out of them just blew my mind.
3. Walter Jones
An offensive lineman in the Top 3? Why not? Big Walt is one of the best tackles in NFL history. In fact, he was voted to the NFL 100 club in the NFL's 100th season, meaning he is one of the 100 greatest players in NFL history. I think he had fewer holding calls than seasons played, and he hardly ever got beat. Walt was devoted to his craft and it showed.
2. Russell Wilson
My favorite current athlete winds up at #2 on this list. Russell is a born leader. What I love most about him is his faith in his team and his belief that they will win, despite sometimes near insurmountable odds. The most notable example of that would be the 2015 NFC Championship Game, where the Hawks fell behind 16-0, yet Russell kept believing. It paid off. Besides that, Russ is going to end up with every team passing record, he is our winningest quarterback of all time and guided us to our only ever championship, and he has sometimes done this with very little help.
1. Edgar Martinez
EdddddGAARRRRRR....EdddddGARRRR... I can still hear the chants of his name ring throughout the Kingdome and Safeco Field. Edgar was pure class, pure all-around hitter, and a clutch one at that. Edgar is often known as one of the greatest Mariners, even though he has been passed in a lot of hitting categories by Ichiro or Griffey. There's a reason he's so loved, has a street named after him, and had his number retired before even entering the Hall of Fame. That clutch double he hit in the 1995 ALDS has a lot to do with it. Edgar Martinez is my greatest Seattle sports athlete I have ever seen play.
First, some honorable mentions:
Sonics: Rashard Lewis, Brent Barry
Seahawks: Marshawn Lynch, Doug Baldwin, Richard Sherman, Kam Chancellor
Mariners: Alex Rodriguez, Randy Johnson, Kyle Seager, Jamie Moyer
10. Ken Griffey, Jr.
It feels weird putting him this low on the list. But I only saw the tail end of his career with the Mariners and then the 2009 and 2010 seasons. But I've been able to watch highlights, mainly of the 1995 season. I think he's the most talented baseball player to ever play for the Mariners. It's such a shame he not only got traded but had an injury-plagued career from that point on.
9. Gary Payton
Again, he would be higher had I seen him play more. He was definitely the best defensive point guard I ever watched. There's a reason they called him "The Glove". It was quite a shock to me when the trade was announced that he had been included in a trade that netted us Ray Allen.
8. Earl Thomas
I couldn't include the entire Legion of Boom, so I went with who I considered their best player and the one I had most fun watching. Earl has been such a great safety in the NFL, the ability to range from deep center field to come up and make a tackle on a quick pass or run. Earl's quickness and smarts allowed Pete Carroll and his defensive coaching staff to play him deep, which meant no big throws were ever really completed against the Hawks defense. The Hawks certainly would not have had the success they did on defense without Earl.
7. Felix Hernandez
There has not been a better pitcher with the Mariners in the last 15 years. Felix not only was dominant, but proved his loyalty all the way until he was no longer productive for us. It breaks my heart that he never got to experience the postseason with us. No other player has inspired something like a "King's Court", something I made certain to be a part of a few times. His perfect game in 2012 is definitely one of the best moments in Mariners history, and might be the best moment of that decade.
6. Ray Allen
Ray has to be the best shooter of the basketball I have ever seen, especially from three point range. He hit a ton of clutch shots with the Sonics and easily became my favorite player on the team in the mid-2000's. He and Rashard Lewis formed quite the scoring duo, even guiding the Sonics to the playoffs a couple times. And Ray was one of the very few high scorers in the NBA that didn't talk too much. He let his play and his scoring speak for itself.
5. Bobby Wagner
At the end of his career, he may end up as the greatest defensive player in Seahawks history. Right now, that's probably Cortez Kennedy, but Bobby may pass Tez in longevity and overall production. Bobby hasn't won a defensive player of the year like Tez did, but I think he should have. There's just been too many other great players in the league. But to me, Bobby is the best tackler and linebacker in Seahawks history, and I'm fortunate to have seen him play.
4. Ichiro Suzuki
The greatest contact hitter in Mariners history for sure. He set the all-time record for hits in a season in 2004. He won MVP in his first season in Major League Baseball. It's a huge shame we could never get back to the postseason with Ichiro, but the guy is a bona fide legend. The way he would make contact with the worst of pitches and get hits out of them just blew my mind.
3. Walter Jones
An offensive lineman in the Top 3? Why not? Big Walt is one of the best tackles in NFL history. In fact, he was voted to the NFL 100 club in the NFL's 100th season, meaning he is one of the 100 greatest players in NFL history. I think he had fewer holding calls than seasons played, and he hardly ever got beat. Walt was devoted to his craft and it showed.
2. Russell Wilson
My favorite current athlete winds up at #2 on this list. Russell is a born leader. What I love most about him is his faith in his team and his belief that they will win, despite sometimes near insurmountable odds. The most notable example of that would be the 2015 NFC Championship Game, where the Hawks fell behind 16-0, yet Russell kept believing. It paid off. Besides that, Russ is going to end up with every team passing record, he is our winningest quarterback of all time and guided us to our only ever championship, and he has sometimes done this with very little help.
1. Edgar Martinez
EdddddGAARRRRRR....EdddddGARRRR... I can still hear the chants of his name ring throughout the Kingdome and Safeco Field. Edgar was pure class, pure all-around hitter, and a clutch one at that. Edgar is often known as one of the greatest Mariners, even though he has been passed in a lot of hitting categories by Ichiro or Griffey. There's a reason he's so loved, has a street named after him, and had his number retired before even entering the Hall of Fame. That clutch double he hit in the 1995 ALDS has a lot to do with it. Edgar Martinez is my greatest Seattle sports athlete I have ever seen play.
Wednesday, August 7, 2019
2019 Seahawks Predictions!
The 2019 NFL season is almost underway, and as I do every year, I talk about my Seahawks. The Seahawks go into 2019 after coming off a season in which they made the playoffs but failed to win a playoff game. That's the first time in the Russell Wilson era that after making the playoffs the Hawks failed to win a playoff game. I will go game by game predicting the outcome as I always do. This time, however, I am going to do something new. At the end, I'm going to go position by position and compare 2019's starters to 2018's. This will show how much the team has improved or regressed from last year, and should hold up to my comparison for the Hawks Win/Loss record. Here we go!
Week 1 vs. Cincinnati Bengals: Win 24-13 (1-0)
First off, if there is any game that you can pencil in as a victory on the Hawk's schedule, it is this one. The Bengals are expected to be one of the worst teams in the AFC and will be without their star wide receiver (and perhaps best player) in A.J. Green. Now the reason this isn't more of a blowout is because the Seahawks usually get off to a slow start offensively when the season begins. But the defense should shine.
Week 2 at Pittsburgh Steelers: Loss, 28-20 (1-1)
The Hawks have never scored a single point at Heinz Field... ever. Since the stadium opened in 2001, the Hawks have played two games there and were shut out both times. I think it's a safe bet to say the Hawks score in this one. However, I still think the Hawks remain winless there and fall in a fairly close one. The Hawks almost always lose to an AFC team every year, and this will be the one AFC loss this year.
Week 3 vs. New Orleans Saints: Win, 31-21 (2-1)
The Hawks have always played the Saints well at Century Link Field, and it remains that way. I also expect a bit of a down season from the Saints so that should help the Hawks' chances. I think it'll be a close game til late when Chris Carson pulls off Beastquake 2.0 (or 3.0?) and gives the Hawks a two-score lead for good.
Week 4 at Arizona Cardinals: Loss, 24-23 (2-2)
I hate playing in Arizona. That field has given our players so many injuries. Arizona, even though they haven't been that great in recent years, has always been a thorn in our side and will continue to be. The Hawks barely lose to a Cardinals team they probably should've beaten, and Kyler Murray gets his first signature win in the NFL.
Week 5 vs. Los Angeles Rams: Win, 35-31 (3-2)
We need to beat the Rams at home and by golly we will. Having the short week can be both a positive and negative but it works in the Hawks favor this time, as well as having the 12th Man for a prime time game. Russ goes off and the Hawks avoid having a losing record five weeks in.
Week 6 at Cleveland Browns: Win, 27-16 (4-2)
It almost isn't fair this week. The Hawks come off 10 days rest having last played two Thursdays ago. Meanwhile, the Browns come off of only 6 days rest thanks to playing on Monday Night Football the previous week. The Hawks use that to their advantage and beat the Brownies. We see OBJ yell at someone on the sidelines (probably Mayfield). Could this be the start of the Browns demise? If it's at the hands of the Seahawks, I wouldn't mind that at all.
Week 7 vs. Baltimore Ravens: Win, 22-17 (5-2)
In the Earl Thomas revenge game, the Hawks do indeed get revenge. Earl doesn't even factor into the game much and the Hawks take care of the Ravens. Lamar Jackson struggles throwing the ball and has to resort to screens and running the ball himself. And in a game where both teams are known for running more than passing, that's exactly what we get. We don't see a ton of punts or possessions thanks to all the running causing the clock to keep going.
Week 8 at Atlanta Falcons: Loss, 30-26 (5-3)
Alas, the Hawks three game winning streak comes to an end. The Hawks hang with the Falcons for most of the game, but the Falcons get the ball down 26-23, and while a FG does tie it, they go for the win and get a go ahead score, and the Hawks are unable to match it. I predict the Falcons to be a better team in 2019, so if that is the case, this will be a very tough game to win. Doable, but tough.
Week 9 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Win, 28-19 (6-3)
In a game that'll probably feature a Gay (TB) and a Dickson (SEA), we see a mostly uneventful game. The Hawks offense does just enough and Tampa Bay makes too many mistakes. Perhaps this is the game Jameis gets benched during. Or perhaps he's already been benched.
Week 10 at San Francisco 49ers: Loss, 30-28 (6-4)
Even more than losing to the Cardinals, I hate losing to the 49ers. Last year the 49ers won a game the Hawks definitely should've won, and we see the same thing again this year. The 49ers win thanks to a controversial official ruling that leaves Hawks fans steaming.
Week 11 BYE
Week 12 at Philadelphia Eagles: Loss, 34-24 (6-5)
The Eagles hand the Hawks their most lopsided loss of 2019. The Hawks compete and are in it in the 4th quarter down just 27-24, but a late pick-six thrown by Russ seals the game for the Eagles. The Hawks go into Week 13 worrying about their playoff hopes.
Week 13 vs. Minnesota Vikings: Win, 17-14 (7-5)
In a tough, defensive battle, the Hawks come out on top barely. This is the lone Monday night game, and I feel like we usually have one of our primetime games being a low-scoring tight game. This will be it in 2019. Jason Myers kicks a game winning field goal to put the Hawks at 7-5.
Week 14 at Los Angeles Rams: Loss, 29-20 (7-6)
In the final game the Hawks ever play at the Coliseum, the Hawks still cannot win there (again). In a game needed by both teams the Rams come out on top and pretty much clinch the NFC West with this victory.
Week 15 at Carolina Panthers: Win, 23-16 (8-6)
The Hawks have done well at Bank of America stadium, excluding that one playoff game... grr... This time is no different as the Hawks win a semi-low scoring game. The Panthers leave wondering what they have to do to beat the Hawks at home in the regular season.
Week 16 vs. Arizona Cardinals: Win, 34-14 (9-6)
In what may end up being the most pivotal game for the Hawks this season, they easily take care of the Cardinals to better their playoff chances. Russ goes off for close to 400 yards and the defense stymies Murray for the most part.
Week 17 vs. San Francisco 49ers: Win, 28-21 (10-6)
I'm not gonna lie, this game could determine which of these teams makes the playoffs. If my NFL predictions end up being what they are, that means going into this game the Hawks would be 9-6 and the 49ers 8-7. A victory for the 49ers would give them the tiebreaker over the Hawks because they would've beaten them twice. But the Hawks take care of business and secure a playoff spot for the seventh time in eight years.
Well, you know how the Hawks do if you read the other post. If not, I'll spoil it here. The Hawks win in the wild card round at Philly and get revenge for that week 12 loss, but then lose in the divisional round to the Rams. I know, I hate it. But I'm going for accuracy, not what I want. But the Hawks can again use this season to build off of to try to improve for 2020.
And now, to compare the position groups from last year to this year. If most of the players remain the same, I give it an even or a "push". I also will use small improvements and small regressions vs. big improvements and big regressions. Big results have an effect of 2 points, and small 1.
QB: Push
The only difference being the backup. We go from Hundley to either Smith or Lynch. Either way, they're not expected to see any significant time. Easy push.
RB: Push
We lost Mike Davis, so why the push? Rashaad Penny is going into his second year and I think he'll be even better than last year. Plus, Davis was not a featured back. Whoever our 3rd guy is shouldn't be much of a drop off, if at all.
WR: Small regression (-1, Score: -1)
Losing a leader in Baldwin hurts. I'll admit that. But we drafted three different wide receivers, one of whom in D.K. Metcalf could be a star. Because of the lack of experience I say a small regression.
TE: Push
Yet another push. We get Dissly back from injury so if he can stay healthy that'll be a bonus. Also added Jacob Hollister. But it's not a significant enough of an improvement.
OL: Small improvement (+1, Score: 0)
It's not that I didn't like Sweezy, but he just struggled at times last year, especially for a veteran. I like Mike Iupati, and for the first time in a while I can say our line should be very solid from left to right. Ifedi hopefully will keep making strides. The main key, as with any offensive line, is staying healthy. If they can stay healthy, they'll be a top 10 line for sure.
DL: Big regression (-2, Score: -2)
Frank Clark is not easily replaced. I hate that we had to trade him, but it made sense. His "replacement" in L.J. Collier just got hurt and might get off to a slow start thanks to missing training camp/preseason. On top of that, we lost our best nose tackle Jarran Reed six games to suspension. We're relying on guys like Green and Martin and Ford, and hopefully at least one can step up.
LB: Small improvement (+1, Score: -1)
We have a 99 overall player according to Madden in our linebacking crew. That's awesome. K.J. and Kendricks should solidify the outsides. But the reason for improvement is the depth added by drafting Cody Barton and Ben Burr-Kirven. I think Barton at least is a stud. I don't recall having such great depth like this at the linebacking position ever.
DB: Small improvement (+1, Score: 0)
Shaquill Griffin is determined to rebound from a mediocre at best 2018 performance. He was constantly rated towards the bottom of cornerbacks by Pro Football Focus. But that's not the reason for improvement. Drafting Blair and Abadi should add depth we need. I think we'll see improvements from both Flowers and Thompson, and let's not forget perhaps the most underrated safety in the NFL in Bradley McDougald. These guys should benefit from another year together.
Special Teams: Large improvement (+2, Score: 2)
Replacing Janikowski with Myers is reason for +1 points alone. If only we had just gone with Myers last year in training camp. Oh well, hindsight is 20/20. We also drafted a bunch of guys who will probably excel on special teams coverage like the aforementioned linebackers and Travis Homer. I really expect special teams to be one of the Hawks strengths in 2019.
So overall, I have the Hawks better by 2 points. I have them improved at 4 positions and worse at only 2. Yet I predicted the same record they had last year. In other words, I expect the Seahawks to go at least 10-6. Anything less for me would be a disappointment. Some say the Hawks have a difficult schedule. I think it's doable. I am not only hoping but predicting the two divisions (outside of their own) the Seahawks have to play (The NFC South and AFC North) aren't that strong. I am actually predicting a total of three winning teams between the two divisions.
Oh, and before I forget, I might as well predict who I think will lead the Seahawks in categories that aren't a given (Passing TD's for example is a given: Russ)
Rushing Yards: Carson
Rushing TD's: Penny
Receiving TD's: Dissly
Receiving Yards: Lockett
Receptions: Lockett
Tackles: Wagner
Sacks: Ansah
Interceptions: Griffin
Gum chewed: Pete Carroll
Pep Talks given to teammates: Wilson
Here's to a successful 2019 season and as always, GO HAWKS!!!
Week 1 vs. Cincinnati Bengals: Win 24-13 (1-0)
First off, if there is any game that you can pencil in as a victory on the Hawk's schedule, it is this one. The Bengals are expected to be one of the worst teams in the AFC and will be without their star wide receiver (and perhaps best player) in A.J. Green. Now the reason this isn't more of a blowout is because the Seahawks usually get off to a slow start offensively when the season begins. But the defense should shine.
Week 2 at Pittsburgh Steelers: Loss, 28-20 (1-1)
The Hawks have never scored a single point at Heinz Field... ever. Since the stadium opened in 2001, the Hawks have played two games there and were shut out both times. I think it's a safe bet to say the Hawks score in this one. However, I still think the Hawks remain winless there and fall in a fairly close one. The Hawks almost always lose to an AFC team every year, and this will be the one AFC loss this year.
Week 3 vs. New Orleans Saints: Win, 31-21 (2-1)
The Hawks have always played the Saints well at Century Link Field, and it remains that way. I also expect a bit of a down season from the Saints so that should help the Hawks' chances. I think it'll be a close game til late when Chris Carson pulls off Beastquake 2.0 (or 3.0?) and gives the Hawks a two-score lead for good.
Week 4 at Arizona Cardinals: Loss, 24-23 (2-2)
I hate playing in Arizona. That field has given our players so many injuries. Arizona, even though they haven't been that great in recent years, has always been a thorn in our side and will continue to be. The Hawks barely lose to a Cardinals team they probably should've beaten, and Kyler Murray gets his first signature win in the NFL.
Week 5 vs. Los Angeles Rams: Win, 35-31 (3-2)
We need to beat the Rams at home and by golly we will. Having the short week can be both a positive and negative but it works in the Hawks favor this time, as well as having the 12th Man for a prime time game. Russ goes off and the Hawks avoid having a losing record five weeks in.
Week 6 at Cleveland Browns: Win, 27-16 (4-2)
It almost isn't fair this week. The Hawks come off 10 days rest having last played two Thursdays ago. Meanwhile, the Browns come off of only 6 days rest thanks to playing on Monday Night Football the previous week. The Hawks use that to their advantage and beat the Brownies. We see OBJ yell at someone on the sidelines (probably Mayfield). Could this be the start of the Browns demise? If it's at the hands of the Seahawks, I wouldn't mind that at all.
Week 7 vs. Baltimore Ravens: Win, 22-17 (5-2)
In the Earl Thomas revenge game, the Hawks do indeed get revenge. Earl doesn't even factor into the game much and the Hawks take care of the Ravens. Lamar Jackson struggles throwing the ball and has to resort to screens and running the ball himself. And in a game where both teams are known for running more than passing, that's exactly what we get. We don't see a ton of punts or possessions thanks to all the running causing the clock to keep going.
Week 8 at Atlanta Falcons: Loss, 30-26 (5-3)
Alas, the Hawks three game winning streak comes to an end. The Hawks hang with the Falcons for most of the game, but the Falcons get the ball down 26-23, and while a FG does tie it, they go for the win and get a go ahead score, and the Hawks are unable to match it. I predict the Falcons to be a better team in 2019, so if that is the case, this will be a very tough game to win. Doable, but tough.
Week 9 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Win, 28-19 (6-3)
In a game that'll probably feature a Gay (TB) and a Dickson (SEA), we see a mostly uneventful game. The Hawks offense does just enough and Tampa Bay makes too many mistakes. Perhaps this is the game Jameis gets benched during. Or perhaps he's already been benched.
Week 10 at San Francisco 49ers: Loss, 30-28 (6-4)
Even more than losing to the Cardinals, I hate losing to the 49ers. Last year the 49ers won a game the Hawks definitely should've won, and we see the same thing again this year. The 49ers win thanks to a controversial official ruling that leaves Hawks fans steaming.
Week 11 BYE
Week 12 at Philadelphia Eagles: Loss, 34-24 (6-5)
The Eagles hand the Hawks their most lopsided loss of 2019. The Hawks compete and are in it in the 4th quarter down just 27-24, but a late pick-six thrown by Russ seals the game for the Eagles. The Hawks go into Week 13 worrying about their playoff hopes.
Week 13 vs. Minnesota Vikings: Win, 17-14 (7-5)
In a tough, defensive battle, the Hawks come out on top barely. This is the lone Monday night game, and I feel like we usually have one of our primetime games being a low-scoring tight game. This will be it in 2019. Jason Myers kicks a game winning field goal to put the Hawks at 7-5.
Week 14 at Los Angeles Rams: Loss, 29-20 (7-6)
In the final game the Hawks ever play at the Coliseum, the Hawks still cannot win there (again). In a game needed by both teams the Rams come out on top and pretty much clinch the NFC West with this victory.
Week 15 at Carolina Panthers: Win, 23-16 (8-6)
The Hawks have done well at Bank of America stadium, excluding that one playoff game... grr... This time is no different as the Hawks win a semi-low scoring game. The Panthers leave wondering what they have to do to beat the Hawks at home in the regular season.
Week 16 vs. Arizona Cardinals: Win, 34-14 (9-6)
In what may end up being the most pivotal game for the Hawks this season, they easily take care of the Cardinals to better their playoff chances. Russ goes off for close to 400 yards and the defense stymies Murray for the most part.
Week 17 vs. San Francisco 49ers: Win, 28-21 (10-6)
I'm not gonna lie, this game could determine which of these teams makes the playoffs. If my NFL predictions end up being what they are, that means going into this game the Hawks would be 9-6 and the 49ers 8-7. A victory for the 49ers would give them the tiebreaker over the Hawks because they would've beaten them twice. But the Hawks take care of business and secure a playoff spot for the seventh time in eight years.
Well, you know how the Hawks do if you read the other post. If not, I'll spoil it here. The Hawks win in the wild card round at Philly and get revenge for that week 12 loss, but then lose in the divisional round to the Rams. I know, I hate it. But I'm going for accuracy, not what I want. But the Hawks can again use this season to build off of to try to improve for 2020.
And now, to compare the position groups from last year to this year. If most of the players remain the same, I give it an even or a "push". I also will use small improvements and small regressions vs. big improvements and big regressions. Big results have an effect of 2 points, and small 1.
QB: Push
The only difference being the backup. We go from Hundley to either Smith or Lynch. Either way, they're not expected to see any significant time. Easy push.
RB: Push
We lost Mike Davis, so why the push? Rashaad Penny is going into his second year and I think he'll be even better than last year. Plus, Davis was not a featured back. Whoever our 3rd guy is shouldn't be much of a drop off, if at all.
WR: Small regression (-1, Score: -1)
Losing a leader in Baldwin hurts. I'll admit that. But we drafted three different wide receivers, one of whom in D.K. Metcalf could be a star. Because of the lack of experience I say a small regression.
TE: Push
Yet another push. We get Dissly back from injury so if he can stay healthy that'll be a bonus. Also added Jacob Hollister. But it's not a significant enough of an improvement.
OL: Small improvement (+1, Score: 0)
It's not that I didn't like Sweezy, but he just struggled at times last year, especially for a veteran. I like Mike Iupati, and for the first time in a while I can say our line should be very solid from left to right. Ifedi hopefully will keep making strides. The main key, as with any offensive line, is staying healthy. If they can stay healthy, they'll be a top 10 line for sure.
DL: Big regression (-2, Score: -2)
Frank Clark is not easily replaced. I hate that we had to trade him, but it made sense. His "replacement" in L.J. Collier just got hurt and might get off to a slow start thanks to missing training camp/preseason. On top of that, we lost our best nose tackle Jarran Reed six games to suspension. We're relying on guys like Green and Martin and Ford, and hopefully at least one can step up.
LB: Small improvement (+1, Score: -1)
We have a 99 overall player according to Madden in our linebacking crew. That's awesome. K.J. and Kendricks should solidify the outsides. But the reason for improvement is the depth added by drafting Cody Barton and Ben Burr-Kirven. I think Barton at least is a stud. I don't recall having such great depth like this at the linebacking position ever.
DB: Small improvement (+1, Score: 0)
Shaquill Griffin is determined to rebound from a mediocre at best 2018 performance. He was constantly rated towards the bottom of cornerbacks by Pro Football Focus. But that's not the reason for improvement. Drafting Blair and Abadi should add depth we need. I think we'll see improvements from both Flowers and Thompson, and let's not forget perhaps the most underrated safety in the NFL in Bradley McDougald. These guys should benefit from another year together.
Special Teams: Large improvement (+2, Score: 2)
Replacing Janikowski with Myers is reason for +1 points alone. If only we had just gone with Myers last year in training camp. Oh well, hindsight is 20/20. We also drafted a bunch of guys who will probably excel on special teams coverage like the aforementioned linebackers and Travis Homer. I really expect special teams to be one of the Hawks strengths in 2019.
So overall, I have the Hawks better by 2 points. I have them improved at 4 positions and worse at only 2. Yet I predicted the same record they had last year. In other words, I expect the Seahawks to go at least 10-6. Anything less for me would be a disappointment. Some say the Hawks have a difficult schedule. I think it's doable. I am not only hoping but predicting the two divisions (outside of their own) the Seahawks have to play (The NFC South and AFC North) aren't that strong. I am actually predicting a total of three winning teams between the two divisions.
Oh, and before I forget, I might as well predict who I think will lead the Seahawks in categories that aren't a given (Passing TD's for example is a given: Russ)
Rushing Yards: Carson
Rushing TD's: Penny
Receiving TD's: Dissly
Receiving Yards: Lockett
Receptions: Lockett
Tackles: Wagner
Sacks: Ansah
Interceptions: Griffin
Gum chewed: Pete Carroll
Pep Talks given to teammates: Wilson
Here's to a successful 2019 season and as always, GO HAWKS!!!
Saturday, June 8, 2019
Why the Seahawks are poised for a Magical 2019 Season
It's still only June, but for me, it's never too early to talk about the upcoming NFL season. I'm particularly excited for this season. Russ is locked up for 5 years, and the team is looking to build on their 2018 season in which they made the playoffs but lost their only playoff game. I think they will build off that playoff game, and then some. I have five reasons why I believe that to be the case:
1) Easy-ish schedule
Looking at the Seahawks schedule, it doesn't appear to be that bad. They play the AFC North, and that division doesn't appear to be too good for 2019. The Steelers lost their world class playmakers in Brown and Bell. The Ravens lost the heart of their defense and I think Lamar Jackson has a bit of a sophomore slump. The Browns are clearly overhyped and overrated. The Bengals... well they're the Bengals. They also play the NFC South, which shouldn't be its usual great self, either. The Saints are due for a letdown season after two heartbreaking playoff losses. Colin Cowherd is calling it and so am I. The Falcons and Panthers will be fairly competitive, but the Hawks usually don't have much of a problem with them. The Bucs... well we'll see about them. The Hawks also play Philly and Minnesota, two teams with high aspirations but I could easily see us splitting those two games. Then finally, I can see us going 4-2 or even 5-1 in division. Which leads me to...
2) The NFC West won't be that good
The NFC West COULD be a really good division. But it hasn't really been since the 49ers were good. The Rams, like the Saints, are due for a letdown season. Most teams coming off a lackluster Super Bowl performance have an ordinary at best season, which in that case is a disappointment. The 49ers are due for a breakout season, but we said that last year, too. I just don't fully buy into the hype surrounding Jimmy Garoppolo. And the Cardinals will take a year to get there, at least. I have full confidence in saying the Seahawks will AT LEAST compete for the division crown and be in it until the end.
3) Media is counting them out... AGAIN
Last year many were expecting a down season for the Hawks after a large amount of roster turnover. Many predicted 4-12 or 5-11 records. Instead, they won 10 games and got a wild card spot. I think they exceed expectations again. Many are predicting a win total of around 9 games, but I think that's a tad low. I remember back in 2013 before our Super Bowl season, most media "experts" were picking the 49ers to win the NFC West and potentially get back to the Super Bowl. They predicted 9 wins or so, just like for this year. Colin Cowherd said the Hawks will probably compete with the Cardinals for third place. These guys thrive off low expectations, and that's exactly what they got.
4) Offense got better
Our defense should be just as good (didn't get worse... we didn't have Earl for most of 2018 anyway) as last year, but our offense made significant strides. Russ being signed to a long term extension motivates him even more. Penny is poised for a breakout season and should form a tantalizing duo with Carson in the backfield. Dissly returns from injury and if healthy, should provide a decent TE duo with Vannett. We lost Baldwin, but he wasn't his usual self last year anyway. We have a tremendous amount of WR depth after drafting three of them. Either Metcalf, Jennings, or Ursua will break out, and we still have Darboh, Moore, and Brown. Lastly, the line actually improved by replacing Sweezy with Mike Iupati, who is just a beast. Germain Ifedi has another year under his belt and the penalties are slowly going away. I expect our offense to keep us in every game.
5) It's a pivotal and critical season for Schneider and Carroll
Obviously, JS and PC want to win as much as possible. But whenever a season is truly pivotal, it provides that much extra motivation. This year is critical. These next few years will probably be the last of Carroll's as a coach, as the Hawks gear up for another Super Bowl run with Russ. If the Hawks do worse this year, it could mean a bit more of roster turnover and taking longer to get back to true contention, something Pete may not have time for. However, if they get better as I predict (and expect), a Super Bowl birth and title could very well be in the near future.
The Hawks have lost many pieces in the last two years or so: The entire Legion of Boom, Baldwin, Graham, Bennett, Avril. But they've got a ton of young players eager to prove themselves. Kinda sounds like 2012/13, doesn't it? I wouldn't say put all your eggs in the basket for this upcoming season for the Seahawks, but don't be surprised when they get close to the Super Bowl and make a deep run in the playoffs.
1) Easy-ish schedule
Looking at the Seahawks schedule, it doesn't appear to be that bad. They play the AFC North, and that division doesn't appear to be too good for 2019. The Steelers lost their world class playmakers in Brown and Bell. The Ravens lost the heart of their defense and I think Lamar Jackson has a bit of a sophomore slump. The Browns are clearly overhyped and overrated. The Bengals... well they're the Bengals. They also play the NFC South, which shouldn't be its usual great self, either. The Saints are due for a letdown season after two heartbreaking playoff losses. Colin Cowherd is calling it and so am I. The Falcons and Panthers will be fairly competitive, but the Hawks usually don't have much of a problem with them. The Bucs... well we'll see about them. The Hawks also play Philly and Minnesota, two teams with high aspirations but I could easily see us splitting those two games. Then finally, I can see us going 4-2 or even 5-1 in division. Which leads me to...
2) The NFC West won't be that good
The NFC West COULD be a really good division. But it hasn't really been since the 49ers were good. The Rams, like the Saints, are due for a letdown season. Most teams coming off a lackluster Super Bowl performance have an ordinary at best season, which in that case is a disappointment. The 49ers are due for a breakout season, but we said that last year, too. I just don't fully buy into the hype surrounding Jimmy Garoppolo. And the Cardinals will take a year to get there, at least. I have full confidence in saying the Seahawks will AT LEAST compete for the division crown and be in it until the end.
3) Media is counting them out... AGAIN
Last year many were expecting a down season for the Hawks after a large amount of roster turnover. Many predicted 4-12 or 5-11 records. Instead, they won 10 games and got a wild card spot. I think they exceed expectations again. Many are predicting a win total of around 9 games, but I think that's a tad low. I remember back in 2013 before our Super Bowl season, most media "experts" were picking the 49ers to win the NFC West and potentially get back to the Super Bowl. They predicted 9 wins or so, just like for this year. Colin Cowherd said the Hawks will probably compete with the Cardinals for third place. These guys thrive off low expectations, and that's exactly what they got.
4) Offense got better
Our defense should be just as good (didn't get worse... we didn't have Earl for most of 2018 anyway) as last year, but our offense made significant strides. Russ being signed to a long term extension motivates him even more. Penny is poised for a breakout season and should form a tantalizing duo with Carson in the backfield. Dissly returns from injury and if healthy, should provide a decent TE duo with Vannett. We lost Baldwin, but he wasn't his usual self last year anyway. We have a tremendous amount of WR depth after drafting three of them. Either Metcalf, Jennings, or Ursua will break out, and we still have Darboh, Moore, and Brown. Lastly, the line actually improved by replacing Sweezy with Mike Iupati, who is just a beast. Germain Ifedi has another year under his belt and the penalties are slowly going away. I expect our offense to keep us in every game.
5) It's a pivotal and critical season for Schneider and Carroll
Obviously, JS and PC want to win as much as possible. But whenever a season is truly pivotal, it provides that much extra motivation. This year is critical. These next few years will probably be the last of Carroll's as a coach, as the Hawks gear up for another Super Bowl run with Russ. If the Hawks do worse this year, it could mean a bit more of roster turnover and taking longer to get back to true contention, something Pete may not have time for. However, if they get better as I predict (and expect), a Super Bowl birth and title could very well be in the near future.
The Hawks have lost many pieces in the last two years or so: The entire Legion of Boom, Baldwin, Graham, Bennett, Avril. But they've got a ton of young players eager to prove themselves. Kinda sounds like 2012/13, doesn't it? I wouldn't say put all your eggs in the basket for this upcoming season for the Seahawks, but don't be surprised when they get close to the Super Bowl and make a deep run in the playoffs.
Sunday, April 21, 2019
My Belated Thoughts on Russell Wilson's Contract Extension
It's a little late, but better late than never. The night of April 15, 2019, Russell and his agent signed a contract extension with the Seahawks, a total of 4 years and $140 million. This makes Russ, for the time being, the NFL's highest paid player. Does he deserve it? Should the Hawks have given in? Will it be worth it? My answer to all of those: Yes.
First off, he does indeed deserve it. He has produced a winning season in every year of his career, made it to the playoffs in all but one, and won a playoff game in all but two. I'd argue if he was given full control and we didn't force the running game in the playoff game against Dallas that we would've won that, as close as it was. So that would've meant winning a playoff game in all but one season. Most quarterbacks don't even have multiple seasons of winning a playoff game period, let alone at the start of their careers. And Russ has done this despite a massive amount of roster turnover, despite an offensive line, that while in transition, was continually graded as one of the worst in the league. He lost a Pro Bowl running back in Marshawn Lynch, yet still puts up Pro Bowl numbers himself. His rushing yards may be down, but he continues to be one of the most efficient quarterbacks in NFL history. He's done nothing but succeed since he entered the league.
The Hawks had to give in. Russell is already on his way to being the greatest quarterback in team history (and some would argue he already is since he's the only one to win a Super Bowl and has the numbers to back it up). He's the kind of talent and presence that is not easily replaced. By re-signing Russell, the Hawks put their fans at ease. We could've worried year after year if Russ was going to leave or get traded, but the organization gets the security of knowing they have a Top 10 (borderline Top 5) quarterback for the next five years at least. After Brady, Big Ben, and Brees retire Russ could very well be Top 5. These kinds of quarterbacks stay with their teams for years and years because they are so hard to replace. Once you get a quarterback of this caliber, you do what it takes to hold on to him. And with Russ still in his very productive years, the Hawks had to dig deep in their wallet to hold on to their man.
Many fans think his contract will handicap and hurt the team. I disagree. I think in the long run it will be worth it. The Hawks had most of their success between 2013-2015, when a majority of their players were on rookie contracts. Having a core group of young players succeed on rookie contracts is essential for a team's success in today's NFL. That hasn't changed. The Hawks have been a borderline playoff team the last 3 or 4 years because they have not drafted as well as they used to. Remember when we drafted Malik McDowell? He'll go down with Aaron Curry as one of the largest busts in Hawks history. The Hawks still need to draft well in order to have Super Bowl-type success. Nothing's changed there. I'll take a borderline playoff team and a potential Super Bowl team if we draft well, rather than losing Russ and being faced with uncertainty and up and down seasons.
The run the Seahawks had from 2012 to 2015 was the best 3 or 4 year run in franchise history. The last few years haven't been quite as successful, but at least they've been interesting and winning seasons. I am confident that the Hawks will have another run like 2012-2015 sometime in the future before Russell Wilson's career is up. We have to hold on to him though. And the Hawks will have to find a few diamonds in the rough in the draft. With Russ signed through 2023, the Hawks just increased their odds of making a Super Bowl run in that same time frame.
First off, he does indeed deserve it. He has produced a winning season in every year of his career, made it to the playoffs in all but one, and won a playoff game in all but two. I'd argue if he was given full control and we didn't force the running game in the playoff game against Dallas that we would've won that, as close as it was. So that would've meant winning a playoff game in all but one season. Most quarterbacks don't even have multiple seasons of winning a playoff game period, let alone at the start of their careers. And Russ has done this despite a massive amount of roster turnover, despite an offensive line, that while in transition, was continually graded as one of the worst in the league. He lost a Pro Bowl running back in Marshawn Lynch, yet still puts up Pro Bowl numbers himself. His rushing yards may be down, but he continues to be one of the most efficient quarterbacks in NFL history. He's done nothing but succeed since he entered the league.
The Hawks had to give in. Russell is already on his way to being the greatest quarterback in team history (and some would argue he already is since he's the only one to win a Super Bowl and has the numbers to back it up). He's the kind of talent and presence that is not easily replaced. By re-signing Russell, the Hawks put their fans at ease. We could've worried year after year if Russ was going to leave or get traded, but the organization gets the security of knowing they have a Top 10 (borderline Top 5) quarterback for the next five years at least. After Brady, Big Ben, and Brees retire Russ could very well be Top 5. These kinds of quarterbacks stay with their teams for years and years because they are so hard to replace. Once you get a quarterback of this caliber, you do what it takes to hold on to him. And with Russ still in his very productive years, the Hawks had to dig deep in their wallet to hold on to their man.
Many fans think his contract will handicap and hurt the team. I disagree. I think in the long run it will be worth it. The Hawks had most of their success between 2013-2015, when a majority of their players were on rookie contracts. Having a core group of young players succeed on rookie contracts is essential for a team's success in today's NFL. That hasn't changed. The Hawks have been a borderline playoff team the last 3 or 4 years because they have not drafted as well as they used to. Remember when we drafted Malik McDowell? He'll go down with Aaron Curry as one of the largest busts in Hawks history. The Hawks still need to draft well in order to have Super Bowl-type success. Nothing's changed there. I'll take a borderline playoff team and a potential Super Bowl team if we draft well, rather than losing Russ and being faced with uncertainty and up and down seasons.
The run the Seahawks had from 2012 to 2015 was the best 3 or 4 year run in franchise history. The last few years haven't been quite as successful, but at least they've been interesting and winning seasons. I am confident that the Hawks will have another run like 2012-2015 sometime in the future before Russell Wilson's career is up. We have to hold on to him though. And the Hawks will have to find a few diamonds in the rough in the draft. With Russ signed through 2023, the Hawks just increased their odds of making a Super Bowl run in that same time frame.
Monday, September 19, 2016
What's wrong with the Seahawks Offense? A lot of things
The Seahawks have started the season not quite as well as we would have hoped, starting 1-1 and scoring just a combined 15 points through two games. The defense has only allowed 21 total points in two games, but that was only good enough for one win. So clearly, the problems with this team lie on the offensive side of the ball. Here's what's causing it:
- The offensive line
This might be the biggest reason. I'd say the Seahawks have perhaps two average quality starters on their line (Britt at center, Gilliam at right tackle). The rest are way below average, maybe the worst in their league at their positions. Bradley Sowell may be the worst of the bunch, drawing penalties in both games so far, allowing sacks, and not dominating ANY defensive end on a play. He was a free agent for a reason: he sucks. Glowinski, while filling in for Germain Ifedi, hasn't done that well, especially in run-blocking. Webb has gotten beat by both Dolphins and Rams nose tackles multiple times. Getting Ifedi back from injury will help, but only slightly. The Seahawks have believed the last few seasons that they can rely on offensive line coach Tom Cable to "coach them up", but if you have high school level offensive linemen in the NFL, there is only so much a single coach can do. For too long they have neglected the offensive line, leaving it devoid of talent, and it's costing them.
- The play-calling
Not a huge reason, but some of the runs and designs of the plays so far look insanely amateurish. The plays they've run look like they were designed by a first year high school coach. Bevell, the offensive coordinator, for too long has been like an anchor on the cruise ship of the offense, holding them back instead of letting them go. He was decent when the offense was focused on running the ball and had a decent offensive line that included Okung, Unger, Giacomini, and Carpenter. But with a bad offensive line, we have to adjust the offense to have more quick passes and outside runs, but Bevell has absolutely FAILED to do that. He is still running the offense and calling plays as if we still had a decent O-line and Marshawn Lynch. You give Wilson a coordinator that can utilize him effectively (I personally think Chip Kelly would be perfect), and he would put up MVP numbers.
- The lack of discipline
As my father often points out to me, the offense will almost on a routine basis put themselves in a hole to start or kill a drive by committing penalties. The biggest bugaboos have been holding and false starts. Whatever Cable is teaching our line isn't working 100% because they are still committing multiple penalties a game. In the Rams game, however, it was offensive pass interference that got them. Regardless, this team in the Pete Carroll era has consistently been undisciplined and always been towards the top of the league in penalties per game. Quite a difference from the Mike Holmgren years.
- The defense
Sometimes an offense's best source of offense is its defense. It was definitely a huge part of their scoring in 2013, the year the Hawks won the Super Bowl. So far this year the defense hasn't done their offense any favors. Sure, they're holding opponents to no more than 12 points, but they are not giving their offense good field position, whether it be with 3-and-outs or turnovers. The offense is routinely forced to drive over 80 yards to score, which would be tough to do for any offense in the NFL. The most common scenario is the defense will allow the opposition to get a few first downs, usually not enough for a touchdown, but enough to get the Hawks offense backed up in their own end of the field.
- Wilson's ankle injury
Russ's ankle injury definitely hampered him in Week 2, because the Rams obviously knew he wasn't a huge threat to run anymore. That's basically like losing a starting running back to injury. However, if you go back to before he got injured in Week 1, the offense was still having trouble, so this issue is not that big of a reason for the offense's struggles.
So the question is, how do we fix these issues? Like I said, Ifedi returning should help, but this team needs some outside help on the offensive line somehow, at least at left tackle. Bevell needs to open up the passing game and focus on screens, slants, and heck, even deep passes to get the offense going. The lack of discipline I feel will always be a problem, but the Hawks usually tone down their penalties a bit towards the second half of the season. Knowing this defense the turnovers will start coming which will immensely help the Hawks put up more points. And Russ is bound to be healthy by mid-October at the latest, meaning he should be 100% healthy for games against New England, Green Bay, and Carolina.
One last good thing: There's only one way for this offense to go and that's up. They can't possibly get any worse so long as Wilson is under center. I have confidence this offense will turn things around, and it will certainly help to not have to face a front seven as talented as Miami's or St. Louis's. But keep in mind San Francisco shut out St. Louis and the Jets front seven is definitely top 10. The offense will come around, but maybe not as fast as we'd like.
- The offensive line
This might be the biggest reason. I'd say the Seahawks have perhaps two average quality starters on their line (Britt at center, Gilliam at right tackle). The rest are way below average, maybe the worst in their league at their positions. Bradley Sowell may be the worst of the bunch, drawing penalties in both games so far, allowing sacks, and not dominating ANY defensive end on a play. He was a free agent for a reason: he sucks. Glowinski, while filling in for Germain Ifedi, hasn't done that well, especially in run-blocking. Webb has gotten beat by both Dolphins and Rams nose tackles multiple times. Getting Ifedi back from injury will help, but only slightly. The Seahawks have believed the last few seasons that they can rely on offensive line coach Tom Cable to "coach them up", but if you have high school level offensive linemen in the NFL, there is only so much a single coach can do. For too long they have neglected the offensive line, leaving it devoid of talent, and it's costing them.
- The play-calling
Not a huge reason, but some of the runs and designs of the plays so far look insanely amateurish. The plays they've run look like they were designed by a first year high school coach. Bevell, the offensive coordinator, for too long has been like an anchor on the cruise ship of the offense, holding them back instead of letting them go. He was decent when the offense was focused on running the ball and had a decent offensive line that included Okung, Unger, Giacomini, and Carpenter. But with a bad offensive line, we have to adjust the offense to have more quick passes and outside runs, but Bevell has absolutely FAILED to do that. He is still running the offense and calling plays as if we still had a decent O-line and Marshawn Lynch. You give Wilson a coordinator that can utilize him effectively (I personally think Chip Kelly would be perfect), and he would put up MVP numbers.
- The lack of discipline
As my father often points out to me, the offense will almost on a routine basis put themselves in a hole to start or kill a drive by committing penalties. The biggest bugaboos have been holding and false starts. Whatever Cable is teaching our line isn't working 100% because they are still committing multiple penalties a game. In the Rams game, however, it was offensive pass interference that got them. Regardless, this team in the Pete Carroll era has consistently been undisciplined and always been towards the top of the league in penalties per game. Quite a difference from the Mike Holmgren years.
- The defense
Sometimes an offense's best source of offense is its defense. It was definitely a huge part of their scoring in 2013, the year the Hawks won the Super Bowl. So far this year the defense hasn't done their offense any favors. Sure, they're holding opponents to no more than 12 points, but they are not giving their offense good field position, whether it be with 3-and-outs or turnovers. The offense is routinely forced to drive over 80 yards to score, which would be tough to do for any offense in the NFL. The most common scenario is the defense will allow the opposition to get a few first downs, usually not enough for a touchdown, but enough to get the Hawks offense backed up in their own end of the field.
- Wilson's ankle injury
Russ's ankle injury definitely hampered him in Week 2, because the Rams obviously knew he wasn't a huge threat to run anymore. That's basically like losing a starting running back to injury. However, if you go back to before he got injured in Week 1, the offense was still having trouble, so this issue is not that big of a reason for the offense's struggles.
So the question is, how do we fix these issues? Like I said, Ifedi returning should help, but this team needs some outside help on the offensive line somehow, at least at left tackle. Bevell needs to open up the passing game and focus on screens, slants, and heck, even deep passes to get the offense going. The lack of discipline I feel will always be a problem, but the Hawks usually tone down their penalties a bit towards the second half of the season. Knowing this defense the turnovers will start coming which will immensely help the Hawks put up more points. And Russ is bound to be healthy by mid-October at the latest, meaning he should be 100% healthy for games against New England, Green Bay, and Carolina.
One last good thing: There's only one way for this offense to go and that's up. They can't possibly get any worse so long as Wilson is under center. I have confidence this offense will turn things around, and it will certainly help to not have to face a front seven as talented as Miami's or St. Louis's. But keep in mind San Francisco shut out St. Louis and the Jets front seven is definitely top 10. The offense will come around, but maybe not as fast as we'd like.
Saturday, August 13, 2016
2016 NFL and Seahawks Predictions!
Well, the 2016 season is almost upon us, which means my annual NFL and Seahawk
predictions. I will start with the
Seahawks this time, going game by game, picking leaders for categories that
aren't a given.
Week 1, vs. Miami Dolphins: Win 27-16 (1-0)
The offense gets off to a slow start but comes alive late. Hopefully the Hawks won't need a last minute pick 6 like the last time the Dolphins visited Seattle, all the way back in 2004. I was at that game. Michael Boulware (remember him?) had the INT.
Week 2, at Los Angeles Rams: Win 24-21 (2-0)
Feels weird saying "Los Angeles Rams". But with the Rams moving I don't think their road struggles against the Rams continue. Might be close, but I see the Hawks coming out on top.
Week 3, vs. San Francisco 49ers: Win 34-10 (3-0)
The 49ers are a complete shell of the team they used to be. All of their stars are gone or have faded (Kaepernick). This is a must win.
Week 4, at New York Jets: Win 19-16 (4-0)
Never been impressed with any Jets team in recent memory. I see too much turmoil and lack of team chemistry with them. That being said, they'll put up a fight but lose.
Week 6, vs. Atlanta Falcons: Win 30-14 (5-0)
Dan Quinn's return to Seattle will not go as planned. I have the Falcons having a down season (see more below) so this should be a fairly easy victory.
Week 7, at Arizona Cardinals: Win 35-31 (6-0)
The Hawks have had success in Arizona recently and I think that continues. Should be a bit of a shootout at worst. Will be an entertaining game either way.
Week 8, at New Orleans Saints: Loss 34-26 (6-1)
I thought about the Hawks starting 8-0 or so, but I have a feeling they might look past this game a bit. They will be really focused on the Cardinals and then the next week they'll be looking forward to getting home.
Week 9, vs. Buffalo Bills: Win 28-17 (7-1)
The Hawks defense practices against Wilson constantly, and playing against Taylor should be fairly easy. Rex Ryan will complain several times and complain about the noise after the game.
Week 10, at New England Patriots: Loss 24-23 (7-2)
I can see this game actually being a defensive struggle. But playing in New England in November is no easy task for ANY team. Also, would continue the tradition of losing to an AFC team every year.
Week 11, vs. Philadelphia Eagles: Win 27-9 (8-2)
The Eagles could be very bad this year. With this game sandwiched between to east coast trips, a win is mandatory.
Week 12, at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Win 12-10 (9-2)
I'll guess that this game will have very few offensive fireworks. I think our D can shut Winston down but I worry about the long trip affecting our offense. But it will be just enough.
Week 13, vs. Carolina Panthers: Win 19-14 (10-2)
The Seahawks want revenge for losing to the Panthers TWICE last year. The Hawks offense will be in a stretch where people start to wonder what is going on, but the defense steps up.
Week 14, at Green Bay Packers: Win 13-10 (11-2)
The Hawks want revenge here as well, and in a December game at Lambeau points may be at a premium. The Hawks are also due for a win at Lambeau.
Week 15, vs. Los Angeles Rams: Win 20-10 (12-2)
Again, revenge for last year. It will be another dirty, hard-fought game, but this time the ball bounces the Hawks way (literally).
Week 16, vs. Arizona Cardinals: Win 30-20 (13-2)
Did I mention revenge yet as a motivating factor? Hawks have a stretch of four games in a row where they lost to that opponent last year at the same sight the game is being played at. I'd be happy with 3 wins in this stretch, but I'll be optimistic and say they get all four.
Week 17, at San Francisco 49ers: Win 20-7 (14-2)
Meaningless game, possibly? Either way I think our 2nd stringers beat their best.
More on the Hawks in the playoffs later. Now, the predictions for team leaders!
Rushing Yards: Thomas Rawls
Rushing TD's: Christine Michael
Receiving Yards: Doug Baldwin
Receiving TD's: Jimmy Graham
Sacks: Michael Bennett
Interceptions: Earl Thomas
Tackles: KJ Wright
Hawks Rookie of the Year: Jarran Reed
Hawks MVP: Russell Wilson
Hawks comeback player: Paul Richardson
Hawks unsung hero: Justin Britt
Now, onto my predictions for EACH TEAM!
AFC East
1. Patriots (12-4)
Losing Brady for the first four games hurts (Oh well, you cheaters), but I think Garoppolo will hold down the fort, go 2-2 or 3-1.
2. Bills (9-7, WC)
I think their playoff drought (longest in the NFL, only one longer in big 3 sports longer than the Mariners) will end, and they'll get a wild card. Rex will work his magic. And the Mariners will have the longest playoff drought in all of sports. HA HA.
3. Jets (8-8)
So they recently resigned Fitzpatrick to a one year contract, which he'll need to prove to them he's worthy of a long-term deal, so expect him to do well. But I just don't see the ground attack being enough to complement him.
4. Dolphins (6-10)
They won't be horrible, but they're not going to overpower anyone. Ryan Tannehill is the most run of the mill QB I think I've ever seen. He's good enough to hold down the starting job, never good enough to get playoffs or a Pro Bowl nod.
AFC North
1. Cincinnati Bengals (11-5)
Spurred on by the heartbreaking loss in the playoffs the Bengals roar back and have a good season, start to finish. One of the best all around rosters in the AFC still.
2. Pittsburgh Steelers (8-8)
Big Ben, the douchebag he is, will get hurt or struggle, I predict. Their defense is still a work in progress.
3. Baltimore Ravens (6-10)
Ever since Ray Ray left they've been terrible. That will continue, for the most part. Who's their running back? And their defense is awfully pedestrian now.
4. Cleveland Browns (4-12)
Cleveland will be Cleveland. Every time I pick the Browns to have a surprisingly good year, they suck. So, I'm picking them to suck.
AFC South
1. Jacksonville Jaguars (9-7)
You heard it here first, folks. This team is on the rise, and it's not exactly one of the best divisions. Bortles will take a big step forward, and Robinson/Hurns will emerge as perhaps the best 1-2 WR combo.
2. Indianapolis Colts (8-8)
I don't get all the Andrew Luck Hype. Well, if he was in Seattle he might have similar success to Russell Wilson, but in Indy I don't see him having much more success. Too bad for him he signed that contract extension.
3. Tennessee Titans (8-8)
Mariota will make strides as will the rest of his team, but Mariota, IMO, is only the 3rd best QB in his division. No one is picking the Titans higher than 4th, except maybe Titans fans.
4. Houston Texans (5-11)
Not every year, but every once in a while we see a fairly large contract given to a QB who had BRIEF moments of excellence, and they completely bomb and end up ruining their team's chances. I'm predicting that for Houston and Brock Osweiler. Brock had the talent around him in Denver and won't have as much in Houston.
AFC West
1. Denver Broncos (9-7)
Colin Cowherd picked the Broncos to finish 3rd with a 6-10 record. REALLY? The only things they really lost were QB's. Granted, I'm not too assured with Sanchez/Lynch, but this defense was one of the best ever last year. They're still there. They will carry the team if they have to. And Denver should have a running game.
2. Oakland Raiders (9-7, WC)
Possibly a wild card spot, we'll see. I like their chances and they've been built better than they have for many years.
3. Kansas City Chiefs (8-8)
Alex Smith is so pedestrian. He is the very definition of a game manager. He won't beat you with his arm. Granted, he won't let too many mistakes happen, but in a fairly tough division you need a gunslinger at QB, and Smith is not it.
4. San Diego Chargers (6-10)
Any chance Rivers will want out? The Chargers, unless there's some sort of minor miracle, aren't going anywhere. They're not horrible, but escaping from last may be tough.
NFC East
1. New York Giants (10-6)
What the heck. This division is the hardest to pick IMO, mostly because injuries to QB's in this division have a bigger effect than in other divisions. Here's to Eli having a good season, being the only Manning in the league now.
2. Dallas Cowboys (9-7, WC)
I can't see THAT much of a bounce back season for the 'Boys. They won't be God awful like they were last year, but Ezekiel Elliot will only be so-so.
3. Washington Redskins (7-9)
You know what, Kirk Cousins? I do like that. I like that you're staying in Washington for a while, never leading them past the first round in the playoffs. You're the Andy Dalton of the NFC. And you have nowhere near the talent around him he does.
4. Philadelphia Eagles (5-11)
Doug Pederson sure has his plate full. The odds of two straight drafts were the Top 2 QB's taken all have good careers is very unlikely. Mariota/Winston seem to be decent. Goff I think will be good. That leaves Wentz as the odd man out. But we'll see.
NFC North
1. Minnesota Vikings (10-6)
I'm not a huge fan of Teddy Bridgewater, but excluding the QB position, I'll take the Vikings over the Packers any day. If Teddy can play just well enough he can get them the division title.
2. Green Bay Packers (9-7, WC)
I don't know what will happen. Maybe their defense will suck. Maybe their O-Line will. Something will, and it will hurt them. Not enough to miss the playoffs, but enough to probably cost them the division.
3. Detroit Lions (8-8)
Sure, they lost Megatron to retirement but that may help them in a way. Stafford is a very good QB even without him. We've seen QB's have success without a true #1, they just need protection and a running game. The running game is the big question.
4. Chicago Bears (4-12)
What to say about Da Bears? They seem to be like a car stuck in the mud. They just need that push to get them unstuck. That won't happen this year, I don't think.
NFC South
1. Carolina Panthers (13-3)
No one can argue that as long as they stay (relatively) healthy that they're not the best all around team in their division. They're built to be competitive, but to win a title? That we'll have to see.
2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-7)
They'll take a big leap forward. I used to think Jameis Winston would be a bust but now I'm thinking he'll be like Cam Newton, maybe a hair or two below. I like his desire to win.
3. New Orleans Saints (8-8)
Their defense will be improved, and Brandin Cooks will emerge as one of the best weapons in the game.
4. Atlanta Falcons (5-11)
I don't know what it'll be, but I'm just not liking the way this team is being put together. Dan Quinn will be on the hot seat.
NFC West
1. Seattle Seahawks (14-2)
Yes, I'm biased, but the last time the Seahawks lost in the divisional round, they won their division and the Super Bowl the following year. It won't be easy with the Cards still competitive, though.
2. Arizona Cardinals (9-7)
Carson Palmer is aging. I doubt he'll age as gracefully as guys like Brett Favre and Kurt Warner. Larry Fitzgerald is aging too.
3. San Francisco 49ers (8-8)
I know, but it's the Chip Kelley effect. He'll win more games than expected which will instill false hope in the Niner fanbase. He did it in Philadelphia. Heck, if the Cardinals really struggle or deal with injuries, they could reach 2nd place!
4. Los Angeles Rams (6-10)
I don't know what it'll be, but I don't see much leadership on this team. They cut a lot of defensive leaders. We'll see.
And now onto playoff predictions!
AFC Playoffs
1. Patriots
2. Bengals
3. Broncos
4. Jaguars
5. Bills
6. Raiders
NFC Playoffs
1. Seahawks
2. Panthers
3. Giants
4. Vikings
5. Packers
6. Cowboys
AFC WC
Raiders at Broncos: Broncos
Bills at Jaguars: Jaguars
NFC WC
Cowboys at Giants: Giants
Packers at Vikings: Packers
AFC Div
Jaguars at Patriots: Patriots
Broncos at Bengals: Broncos
NFC Div
Packers at Seahawks: Seahawks
Giants at Panthers: Panthers
Championship Games
Broncos at Patriots: Patriots
Panthers at Seahawks: Seahawks
Super Bowl LI: Seahawks over Patriots :D
Week 1, vs. Miami Dolphins: Win 27-16 (1-0)
The offense gets off to a slow start but comes alive late. Hopefully the Hawks won't need a last minute pick 6 like the last time the Dolphins visited Seattle, all the way back in 2004. I was at that game. Michael Boulware (remember him?) had the INT.
Week 2, at Los Angeles Rams: Win 24-21 (2-0)
Feels weird saying "Los Angeles Rams". But with the Rams moving I don't think their road struggles against the Rams continue. Might be close, but I see the Hawks coming out on top.
Week 3, vs. San Francisco 49ers: Win 34-10 (3-0)
The 49ers are a complete shell of the team they used to be. All of their stars are gone or have faded (Kaepernick). This is a must win.
Week 4, at New York Jets: Win 19-16 (4-0)
Never been impressed with any Jets team in recent memory. I see too much turmoil and lack of team chemistry with them. That being said, they'll put up a fight but lose.
Week 6, vs. Atlanta Falcons: Win 30-14 (5-0)
Dan Quinn's return to Seattle will not go as planned. I have the Falcons having a down season (see more below) so this should be a fairly easy victory.
Week 7, at Arizona Cardinals: Win 35-31 (6-0)
The Hawks have had success in Arizona recently and I think that continues. Should be a bit of a shootout at worst. Will be an entertaining game either way.
Week 8, at New Orleans Saints: Loss 34-26 (6-1)
I thought about the Hawks starting 8-0 or so, but I have a feeling they might look past this game a bit. They will be really focused on the Cardinals and then the next week they'll be looking forward to getting home.
Week 9, vs. Buffalo Bills: Win 28-17 (7-1)
The Hawks defense practices against Wilson constantly, and playing against Taylor should be fairly easy. Rex Ryan will complain several times and complain about the noise after the game.
Week 10, at New England Patriots: Loss 24-23 (7-2)
I can see this game actually being a defensive struggle. But playing in New England in November is no easy task for ANY team. Also, would continue the tradition of losing to an AFC team every year.
Week 11, vs. Philadelphia Eagles: Win 27-9 (8-2)
The Eagles could be very bad this year. With this game sandwiched between to east coast trips, a win is mandatory.
Week 12, at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Win 12-10 (9-2)
I'll guess that this game will have very few offensive fireworks. I think our D can shut Winston down but I worry about the long trip affecting our offense. But it will be just enough.
Week 13, vs. Carolina Panthers: Win 19-14 (10-2)
The Seahawks want revenge for losing to the Panthers TWICE last year. The Hawks offense will be in a stretch where people start to wonder what is going on, but the defense steps up.
Week 14, at Green Bay Packers: Win 13-10 (11-2)
The Hawks want revenge here as well, and in a December game at Lambeau points may be at a premium. The Hawks are also due for a win at Lambeau.
Week 15, vs. Los Angeles Rams: Win 20-10 (12-2)
Again, revenge for last year. It will be another dirty, hard-fought game, but this time the ball bounces the Hawks way (literally).
Week 16, vs. Arizona Cardinals: Win 30-20 (13-2)
Did I mention revenge yet as a motivating factor? Hawks have a stretch of four games in a row where they lost to that opponent last year at the same sight the game is being played at. I'd be happy with 3 wins in this stretch, but I'll be optimistic and say they get all four.
Week 17, at San Francisco 49ers: Win 20-7 (14-2)
Meaningless game, possibly? Either way I think our 2nd stringers beat their best.
More on the Hawks in the playoffs later. Now, the predictions for team leaders!
Rushing Yards: Thomas Rawls
Rushing TD's: Christine Michael
Receiving Yards: Doug Baldwin
Receiving TD's: Jimmy Graham
Sacks: Michael Bennett
Interceptions: Earl Thomas
Tackles: KJ Wright
Hawks Rookie of the Year: Jarran Reed
Hawks MVP: Russell Wilson
Hawks comeback player: Paul Richardson
Hawks unsung hero: Justin Britt
Now, onto my predictions for EACH TEAM!
AFC East
1. Patriots (12-4)
Losing Brady for the first four games hurts (Oh well, you cheaters), but I think Garoppolo will hold down the fort, go 2-2 or 3-1.
2. Bills (9-7, WC)
I think their playoff drought (longest in the NFL, only one longer in big 3 sports longer than the Mariners) will end, and they'll get a wild card. Rex will work his magic. And the Mariners will have the longest playoff drought in all of sports. HA HA.
3. Jets (8-8)
So they recently resigned Fitzpatrick to a one year contract, which he'll need to prove to them he's worthy of a long-term deal, so expect him to do well. But I just don't see the ground attack being enough to complement him.
4. Dolphins (6-10)
They won't be horrible, but they're not going to overpower anyone. Ryan Tannehill is the most run of the mill QB I think I've ever seen. He's good enough to hold down the starting job, never good enough to get playoffs or a Pro Bowl nod.
AFC North
1. Cincinnati Bengals (11-5)
Spurred on by the heartbreaking loss in the playoffs the Bengals roar back and have a good season, start to finish. One of the best all around rosters in the AFC still.
2. Pittsburgh Steelers (8-8)
Big Ben, the douchebag he is, will get hurt or struggle, I predict. Their defense is still a work in progress.
3. Baltimore Ravens (6-10)
Ever since Ray Ray left they've been terrible. That will continue, for the most part. Who's their running back? And their defense is awfully pedestrian now.
4. Cleveland Browns (4-12)
Cleveland will be Cleveland. Every time I pick the Browns to have a surprisingly good year, they suck. So, I'm picking them to suck.
AFC South
1. Jacksonville Jaguars (9-7)
You heard it here first, folks. This team is on the rise, and it's not exactly one of the best divisions. Bortles will take a big step forward, and Robinson/Hurns will emerge as perhaps the best 1-2 WR combo.
2. Indianapolis Colts (8-8)
I don't get all the Andrew Luck Hype. Well, if he was in Seattle he might have similar success to Russell Wilson, but in Indy I don't see him having much more success. Too bad for him he signed that contract extension.
3. Tennessee Titans (8-8)
Mariota will make strides as will the rest of his team, but Mariota, IMO, is only the 3rd best QB in his division. No one is picking the Titans higher than 4th, except maybe Titans fans.
4. Houston Texans (5-11)
Not every year, but every once in a while we see a fairly large contract given to a QB who had BRIEF moments of excellence, and they completely bomb and end up ruining their team's chances. I'm predicting that for Houston and Brock Osweiler. Brock had the talent around him in Denver and won't have as much in Houston.
AFC West
1. Denver Broncos (9-7)
Colin Cowherd picked the Broncos to finish 3rd with a 6-10 record. REALLY? The only things they really lost were QB's. Granted, I'm not too assured with Sanchez/Lynch, but this defense was one of the best ever last year. They're still there. They will carry the team if they have to. And Denver should have a running game.
2. Oakland Raiders (9-7, WC)
Possibly a wild card spot, we'll see. I like their chances and they've been built better than they have for many years.
3. Kansas City Chiefs (8-8)
Alex Smith is so pedestrian. He is the very definition of a game manager. He won't beat you with his arm. Granted, he won't let too many mistakes happen, but in a fairly tough division you need a gunslinger at QB, and Smith is not it.
4. San Diego Chargers (6-10)
Any chance Rivers will want out? The Chargers, unless there's some sort of minor miracle, aren't going anywhere. They're not horrible, but escaping from last may be tough.
NFC East
1. New York Giants (10-6)
What the heck. This division is the hardest to pick IMO, mostly because injuries to QB's in this division have a bigger effect than in other divisions. Here's to Eli having a good season, being the only Manning in the league now.
2. Dallas Cowboys (9-7, WC)
I can't see THAT much of a bounce back season for the 'Boys. They won't be God awful like they were last year, but Ezekiel Elliot will only be so-so.
3. Washington Redskins (7-9)
You know what, Kirk Cousins? I do like that. I like that you're staying in Washington for a while, never leading them past the first round in the playoffs. You're the Andy Dalton of the NFC. And you have nowhere near the talent around him he does.
4. Philadelphia Eagles (5-11)
Doug Pederson sure has his plate full. The odds of two straight drafts were the Top 2 QB's taken all have good careers is very unlikely. Mariota/Winston seem to be decent. Goff I think will be good. That leaves Wentz as the odd man out. But we'll see.
NFC North
1. Minnesota Vikings (10-6)
I'm not a huge fan of Teddy Bridgewater, but excluding the QB position, I'll take the Vikings over the Packers any day. If Teddy can play just well enough he can get them the division title.
2. Green Bay Packers (9-7, WC)
I don't know what will happen. Maybe their defense will suck. Maybe their O-Line will. Something will, and it will hurt them. Not enough to miss the playoffs, but enough to probably cost them the division.
3. Detroit Lions (8-8)
Sure, they lost Megatron to retirement but that may help them in a way. Stafford is a very good QB even without him. We've seen QB's have success without a true #1, they just need protection and a running game. The running game is the big question.
4. Chicago Bears (4-12)
What to say about Da Bears? They seem to be like a car stuck in the mud. They just need that push to get them unstuck. That won't happen this year, I don't think.
NFC South
1. Carolina Panthers (13-3)
No one can argue that as long as they stay (relatively) healthy that they're not the best all around team in their division. They're built to be competitive, but to win a title? That we'll have to see.
2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-7)
They'll take a big leap forward. I used to think Jameis Winston would be a bust but now I'm thinking he'll be like Cam Newton, maybe a hair or two below. I like his desire to win.
3. New Orleans Saints (8-8)
Their defense will be improved, and Brandin Cooks will emerge as one of the best weapons in the game.
4. Atlanta Falcons (5-11)
I don't know what it'll be, but I'm just not liking the way this team is being put together. Dan Quinn will be on the hot seat.
NFC West
1. Seattle Seahawks (14-2)
Yes, I'm biased, but the last time the Seahawks lost in the divisional round, they won their division and the Super Bowl the following year. It won't be easy with the Cards still competitive, though.
2. Arizona Cardinals (9-7)
Carson Palmer is aging. I doubt he'll age as gracefully as guys like Brett Favre and Kurt Warner. Larry Fitzgerald is aging too.
3. San Francisco 49ers (8-8)
I know, but it's the Chip Kelley effect. He'll win more games than expected which will instill false hope in the Niner fanbase. He did it in Philadelphia. Heck, if the Cardinals really struggle or deal with injuries, they could reach 2nd place!
4. Los Angeles Rams (6-10)
I don't know what it'll be, but I don't see much leadership on this team. They cut a lot of defensive leaders. We'll see.
And now onto playoff predictions!
AFC Playoffs
1. Patriots
2. Bengals
3. Broncos
4. Jaguars
5. Bills
6. Raiders
NFC Playoffs
1. Seahawks
2. Panthers
3. Giants
4. Vikings
5. Packers
6. Cowboys
AFC WC
Raiders at Broncos: Broncos
Bills at Jaguars: Jaguars
NFC WC
Cowboys at Giants: Giants
Packers at Vikings: Packers
AFC Div
Jaguars at Patriots: Patriots
Broncos at Bengals: Broncos
NFC Div
Packers at Seahawks: Seahawks
Giants at Panthers: Panthers
Championship Games
Broncos at Patriots: Patriots
Panthers at Seahawks: Seahawks
Super Bowl LI: Seahawks over Patriots :D
There you have it. The Hawks get their revenge on the Patriots. That would be a perfect way for the 2016 season to go. But we'll see. Should be an extremely exciting season, even without Beast Mode. GO HAWKS!
Monday, February 8, 2016
Cam Newton, Grow Up!
The Denver Broncos defeated the Carolina Panthers 24-10 in Super Bowl 50, and
in doing so Cam Newton was unable to be MVP and Super Bowl champ in the same
season. Cam Newton in his post-game
interviews gave childish responses such as "What do you want me to
say?" He also stormed off in the most immature way possible. Cam Newton is a
man-child. He's a kid in a man's
body. And for some NFL players, that's
not a bad thing. Many wide receivers and
running backs embrace their immaturity.
But as the face of his team and now, one of the faces of the NFL, Cam
Newton needs to grow the hell up.
One of the best pieces of advice a coach can give a player, really in any sport, is to not get too high when you win or too down when you lose. When Cam wins, he gloats. There's a difference between celebrating and gloating. Cam gloats. He rips down signs and flags from opposing teams and throws them to the ground. He runs around his stadium like he's on cloud 9, just to make sure the opposing team can see him. He gets too high when he wins. So, when he loses, he gets too down and becomes sulky and to be frank, rude. These are the characteristics of a child. Children are given participation trophies nowadays so they don't get too down for losses... seems like Cam Newton needs one too.
Cam, as an NFL MVP, you are now one of the faces of the entire sport. Kids will look up to you and try to emulate you (that means to copy, man-child). Sure, having a unique celebration like the Dab or the Superman pose is fun for children, but when you are immature off the field as well you send the message to your fellow youngsters that it's ok to whine and pout when you lose, and to gloat in the other team's face when you win.
Cam, just take a look at your good friend and fellow black quarterback, Russell Wilson. He's not even a year older than you, yet he acts four times the age that you act. He's humble in victory and gracious in defeat. You know how the media are constantly getting at you, Cam? You know how you might think they're trying to make you out to be a bad guy? It's not because you're black. It's because you're an immature quarterback. You're right, you are one of a kind. Name me a quarterback you're more mature than. Kinda hard, huh? Be more of a good guy like Russell. Otherwise not even the Carolina faithful will support your childish antics.
One of the best pieces of advice a coach can give a player, really in any sport, is to not get too high when you win or too down when you lose. When Cam wins, he gloats. There's a difference between celebrating and gloating. Cam gloats. He rips down signs and flags from opposing teams and throws them to the ground. He runs around his stadium like he's on cloud 9, just to make sure the opposing team can see him. He gets too high when he wins. So, when he loses, he gets too down and becomes sulky and to be frank, rude. These are the characteristics of a child. Children are given participation trophies nowadays so they don't get too down for losses... seems like Cam Newton needs one too.
Cam, as an NFL MVP, you are now one of the faces of the entire sport. Kids will look up to you and try to emulate you (that means to copy, man-child). Sure, having a unique celebration like the Dab or the Superman pose is fun for children, but when you are immature off the field as well you send the message to your fellow youngsters that it's ok to whine and pout when you lose, and to gloat in the other team's face when you win.
Cam, just take a look at your good friend and fellow black quarterback, Russell Wilson. He's not even a year older than you, yet he acts four times the age that you act. He's humble in victory and gracious in defeat. You know how the media are constantly getting at you, Cam? You know how you might think they're trying to make you out to be a bad guy? It's not because you're black. It's because you're an immature quarterback. You're right, you are one of a kind. Name me a quarterback you're more mature than. Kinda hard, huh? Be more of a good guy like Russell. Otherwise not even the Carolina faithful will support your childish antics.
Thursday, January 29, 2015
I Love Russell Wilson
I love Russell Carrington
Wilson. Not in the sense that I wanna
marry him, but I love him as an athlete, a person, and a role model. He's an inspiration to kids everywhere that
want to succeed at a sport but play at a disadvantage, such as being too
short. He is a man who other men should
strive to be like, because Russell Wilson is THE man.
Russell Wilson spends every Tuesday at Seattle Children's Hospital because he is such a great human being. He is a strong advocate against cancer (Strong Against Cancer). I start to wonder if this guy ever devotes any time to himself, with all the practice, watching film, and charitable work he does.
Russell Wilson's true character came out in the 2015 NFC Championship against the Green Bay Packers. Despite throwing four interceptions and being down by two scores, this man did not give up. He rallied his teammates because technically, they were still in it. Most quarterbacks would have given up at that point, giving a half-hearted effort to get their team down the field knowing in the back of their mind they probably don't have a shot. That idea never crossed the front or back of Russell's mind. Despite facing the utmost of adversity, Russell never gave up. Not for one second.
I wanted (and received for my birthday) Russell's jersey, not just because of the great player he is on the field but because of the great person he is off the field. He is almost for sure going to sign a new contract here with the Hawks (because why would he want to play anywhere else?) and he'll be worth every penny.
Russell sure has his critics (49ers fans mainly, but also even some Seahawks fans). I've been one at times, I will admit. He doesn't put up the best passing numbers in the league (his 2012 draft partner, Andrew Luck, has put up better passing numbers each year). But Russell wins games. I'd love to see what other quarterbacks would do with our offensive line and receiving units. Sure, those units step up when it matters, but for the most part, they could be considered below average at times. But Russell wins despite not having a huge weapon to go to on offense or without the best protection. Here he is, perhaps winning his 2nd Super Bowl in just his third season.
It is my dream to one day meet Russell Wilson. He'd even be in my top 5 people I'd most like to meet/shake hands with/get the autograph of. He's only 1 month and 18 days older than me. I have a feeling I will be a huge fan of this player, this person, for a long time...
Russell Wilson spends every Tuesday at Seattle Children's Hospital because he is such a great human being. He is a strong advocate against cancer (Strong Against Cancer). I start to wonder if this guy ever devotes any time to himself, with all the practice, watching film, and charitable work he does.
Russell Wilson's true character came out in the 2015 NFC Championship against the Green Bay Packers. Despite throwing four interceptions and being down by two scores, this man did not give up. He rallied his teammates because technically, they were still in it. Most quarterbacks would have given up at that point, giving a half-hearted effort to get their team down the field knowing in the back of their mind they probably don't have a shot. That idea never crossed the front or back of Russell's mind. Despite facing the utmost of adversity, Russell never gave up. Not for one second.
I wanted (and received for my birthday) Russell's jersey, not just because of the great player he is on the field but because of the great person he is off the field. He is almost for sure going to sign a new contract here with the Hawks (because why would he want to play anywhere else?) and he'll be worth every penny.
Russell sure has his critics (49ers fans mainly, but also even some Seahawks fans). I've been one at times, I will admit. He doesn't put up the best passing numbers in the league (his 2012 draft partner, Andrew Luck, has put up better passing numbers each year). But Russell wins games. I'd love to see what other quarterbacks would do with our offensive line and receiving units. Sure, those units step up when it matters, but for the most part, they could be considered below average at times. But Russell wins despite not having a huge weapon to go to on offense or without the best protection. Here he is, perhaps winning his 2nd Super Bowl in just his third season.
It is my dream to one day meet Russell Wilson. He'd even be in my top 5 people I'd most like to meet/shake hands with/get the autograph of. He's only 1 month and 18 days older than me. I have a feeling I will be a huge fan of this player, this person, for a long time...
Friday, January 24, 2014
My Seahawks Journey and Extensive Super Bowl Prediction
Hey guys, I first want to start out by apologizing for the long delay in
between blog posts. I've been busy and
really haven't felt the need or want to write about something. Anyway, here we are in 2014 and the Seahawks
have made it to their second ever Super Bowl.
What a great season they have had, and hopefully it ends on a high
note. I'm going to talk about my life as
a Seahawk fan for a bit, how I became a Seahawks fan and certain notable games
I remember, and then it will all lead up to my predictions for the Super Bowl,
which will include an interesting analogy.
The first Seahawks season that I can remember was 1999, the last season in the Kingdome. The Seahawks went 9-7 that year, winning the AFC West Division Championship and earning their first playoff trip since 1988. I got into the Seahawks around that time because I had just gotten into watching sports (including the Mariners and Sonics), but also because of my dad. Before I was born, my dad would record every Seahawks game on VHS, but had to stop once me and my sister were born. I remember watching one of the games he recorded. He eventually gave the tapes of the games to Seahawks and Seattle sports super fan, Lorin Sandretzky, also known as "Big Lo".
I even went to a few games in Husky Stadium while Seahawks Stadium (which eventually became Qwest Field which became CenturyLink Field) was being built. I saw the Seahawks lose to the Broncos, but I also saw the Hawks cream the Raiders on Sunday Night Football, in which Shaun Alexander got a team record 266 yards rushing. I feel after that game I really fell in love with the Seahawks.
After 1999, the Seahawks still remained in mediocrity until 2003, when they made the playoffs again. I remember watching that playoff game against the Packers in the freezing cold, when the game went into overtime. Matt Hasselbeck infamously declared, "We want the ball, we're gonna score". He then proceeded to throw a pick six to Al Harris to seal the win for the Packers. The Seahawks made the playoffs the following year, but lost to the Rams at home in the playoffs, which also happens to be the last time the Seahawks lost a home playoff game.
The following year, of course, was the Seahawks Super Bowl season. I was so hung up on every game that every loss left me devastated and depressed for the next week. After the Super Bowl loss to the Steelers, I was so upset that I smashed every one of my Steelers miniature helmets I had at the time.
The remaining Seahawks players made the playoffs a few more times, but never mustered any real playoff run. Then the Seahawks had a few bad seasons, which eventually led to them hiring Pete Carroll. Pete and John Schneider, the GM, have put together arguably the best roster in Seahawks history. Now they are one win away from the team's first ever Super Bowl title.
I haven't let myself get hung up on games this year like in years past. Just last season, when the Seahawks playoff run ended in a loss to the Falcons, I remember feeling so hopeless for the team, thinking that was our only shot. But now, the following season, the Seahawks have gotten to the final game. But for this game, I'm not going to let it affect me as much as others if we lose. It helps to have a team and quarterback as opposition that I'm both a fan of. I can never hate the Broncos or Peyton Manning, because they're both a big reason why I became a bigger fan of football than anything else. If the Seahawks lose, it's not the end of the world, nor is it the end of their run.
Now, for predictions. At the start of the football season, way back in August, I predicted a Super Bowl matchup between the Broncos and Seahawks, and look how right I was. Sure, I missed on a few playoff teams (Oops on Texans, Ravens, Falcons, Giants, and Rams), but I got the end result correct. Now, I predicted a final score of 27-24 Broncos. But that was when I thought our defense would have a bit of a down year with a new defensive coordinator. So, let's go over what I think will really happen:
First quarter:
Seahawks win toss--defer to second half
-Manning and Broncos slowed by weather, punt on first possession.
-Wilson and Seahawks go 3 and out, which is something we've grown used to seeing over the past couple months.
-Broncos get decent field position thanks to a good punt return by Decker, but settle for a field goal.
- Seahawks get ball and are driving as quarter ends.
After one quarter: DEN-3, SEA-0
Second quarter:
- Seahawks drive to red zone, but a fumbled exchange between Lynch and Wilson gives the ball to the Broncos.
- Peyton Manning finds Demaryius Thomas for a long bomb, scoring the game's first TD.
- Seahawks drive again, thanks to some good runs by Lynch, but have to settle for a field goal.
- Broncos get stopped on some pass deflections by the Legion of Boom.
- Seahawks get ball back, but have to settle for a sizeable field goal try, which Hauschka misses to end the half.
After two quarters: DEN-10, SEA-3
Third quarter:
- Seahawks go 3 and out to start the half.
- Broncos drive to the red zone, but Manning is stripped by Cliff Avril and the Seahawks recover.
- Wilson finds Golden Tate on a 40 yard strike, which eventually sets up a Lynch touchdown to tie the game.
- On Manning's first pass of the next drive, Byron Maxwell steps in front of a pass and returns it for a TD.
After three quarters: DEN-10, SEA-17
Fourth quarter:
- Manning and the Broncos go on a methodical drive, getting chunks of short passes and eventually get a Julius Thomas TD.
- Seahawks get to 40 yard line, go for it on 4th down, but can't convert.
- Broncos drive and get to a 4th and 1, but with the conditions and without a strong running game they have to kick a field goal, which Matt Prater does.
- Seahawks get the ball back, but are stopped on 3rd down near midfield. Carroll decides to punt and Jon Ryan is able to pin the Broncos at the 10, with about 3 minutes to go.
- Manning and the offense is stuffed, but they take the time down to 2 minutes. They punt it away to Tate, who muffs it at first but then recovers and gets a few yards.
- Seahawks get a clutch pass to Doug Baldwin, which is a tiptoe sideline catch on third down, which many people will then say is one of the best Super Bowl catches ever. The Seahawks run out of downs, however, and settle for a game tying field goal. Broncos take their remaining timeouts to keep time on the clock, but once they get the ball decide to just kneel.
After four quarters: DEN-20, SEA-20
That's right, the first ever Super Bowl to go into overtime!
Overtime:
- Seahawks lose the toss, which is fine with them because of their D.
- Broncos get the ball, and a pass is tipped and intercepted by Earl Thomas, who returns it to the Broncos 40!
- Seahawks get a first down with a few Lynch runs, and set up a game winning field goal try from the 22. Hauschka makes it, and the Seahawks win one of the most dramatic Super Bowls in history.
FINAL SCORE: DEN-20, SEA-23
MVP: Marshawn Lynch, 21-105, 1 TD
I think if the above were to happen many Seahawks fans would die of heart failure. Anything's possible, though. Before I wrap up, an analogy like I promised:
Their once was a team with a great defense. Maybe even better than great. They had talent at every level on the defense. Their offense was above average and usually good enough to get them enough points to win. Sound familiar? No, this isn't the Seahawks. This team I'm talking about had a good running game as well, and some receivers that weren't All-Pro but made the big catches when it mattered. Their quarterback wasn't even a Pro Bowler, but he was good enough.
This team made it all the way to the Super Bowl as a representative for the NFC. They had the best defense in the league, and maybe, one of the best defenses ever, with two already having gone to the Hall of Fame. In the Super Bowl, they faced the team with the #1 offense and the League MVP at Quarterback. But in the Super Bowl, they stopped this #1 offense by getting FIVE interceptions, two of which were returned for touchdowns. This team? The 2002-2003 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. They beat the #1 offense of the Raiders and MVP Rich Gannon in Super Bowl XXXVII by a score of 48-21. All I'm saying is that if the Buccaneers can do it, so can the Seahawks. Sure, Peyton Manning might be a step or two above Rich Gannon, but now is the time to shine as a defense, just like the Buccaneers did. This was also the last time the #1 offense and #1 defense met in the Super Bowl.
So, let's hope the Seahawks can repeat what the Buccaneers did. Let's hope for the first major sports championship in this city in 35 years. Let's hope for a Seahawks Super Bowl Title! GO HAWKS!!!
The first Seahawks season that I can remember was 1999, the last season in the Kingdome. The Seahawks went 9-7 that year, winning the AFC West Division Championship and earning their first playoff trip since 1988. I got into the Seahawks around that time because I had just gotten into watching sports (including the Mariners and Sonics), but also because of my dad. Before I was born, my dad would record every Seahawks game on VHS, but had to stop once me and my sister were born. I remember watching one of the games he recorded. He eventually gave the tapes of the games to Seahawks and Seattle sports super fan, Lorin Sandretzky, also known as "Big Lo".
I even went to a few games in Husky Stadium while Seahawks Stadium (which eventually became Qwest Field which became CenturyLink Field) was being built. I saw the Seahawks lose to the Broncos, but I also saw the Hawks cream the Raiders on Sunday Night Football, in which Shaun Alexander got a team record 266 yards rushing. I feel after that game I really fell in love with the Seahawks.
After 1999, the Seahawks still remained in mediocrity until 2003, when they made the playoffs again. I remember watching that playoff game against the Packers in the freezing cold, when the game went into overtime. Matt Hasselbeck infamously declared, "We want the ball, we're gonna score". He then proceeded to throw a pick six to Al Harris to seal the win for the Packers. The Seahawks made the playoffs the following year, but lost to the Rams at home in the playoffs, which also happens to be the last time the Seahawks lost a home playoff game.
The following year, of course, was the Seahawks Super Bowl season. I was so hung up on every game that every loss left me devastated and depressed for the next week. After the Super Bowl loss to the Steelers, I was so upset that I smashed every one of my Steelers miniature helmets I had at the time.
The remaining Seahawks players made the playoffs a few more times, but never mustered any real playoff run. Then the Seahawks had a few bad seasons, which eventually led to them hiring Pete Carroll. Pete and John Schneider, the GM, have put together arguably the best roster in Seahawks history. Now they are one win away from the team's first ever Super Bowl title.
I haven't let myself get hung up on games this year like in years past. Just last season, when the Seahawks playoff run ended in a loss to the Falcons, I remember feeling so hopeless for the team, thinking that was our only shot. But now, the following season, the Seahawks have gotten to the final game. But for this game, I'm not going to let it affect me as much as others if we lose. It helps to have a team and quarterback as opposition that I'm both a fan of. I can never hate the Broncos or Peyton Manning, because they're both a big reason why I became a bigger fan of football than anything else. If the Seahawks lose, it's not the end of the world, nor is it the end of their run.
Now, for predictions. At the start of the football season, way back in August, I predicted a Super Bowl matchup between the Broncos and Seahawks, and look how right I was. Sure, I missed on a few playoff teams (Oops on Texans, Ravens, Falcons, Giants, and Rams), but I got the end result correct. Now, I predicted a final score of 27-24 Broncos. But that was when I thought our defense would have a bit of a down year with a new defensive coordinator. So, let's go over what I think will really happen:
First quarter:
Seahawks win toss--defer to second half
-Manning and Broncos slowed by weather, punt on first possession.
-Wilson and Seahawks go 3 and out, which is something we've grown used to seeing over the past couple months.
-Broncos get decent field position thanks to a good punt return by Decker, but settle for a field goal.
- Seahawks get ball and are driving as quarter ends.
After one quarter: DEN-3, SEA-0
Second quarter:
- Seahawks drive to red zone, but a fumbled exchange between Lynch and Wilson gives the ball to the Broncos.
- Peyton Manning finds Demaryius Thomas for a long bomb, scoring the game's first TD.
- Seahawks drive again, thanks to some good runs by Lynch, but have to settle for a field goal.
- Broncos get stopped on some pass deflections by the Legion of Boom.
- Seahawks get ball back, but have to settle for a sizeable field goal try, which Hauschka misses to end the half.
After two quarters: DEN-10, SEA-3
Third quarter:
- Seahawks go 3 and out to start the half.
- Broncos drive to the red zone, but Manning is stripped by Cliff Avril and the Seahawks recover.
- Wilson finds Golden Tate on a 40 yard strike, which eventually sets up a Lynch touchdown to tie the game.
- On Manning's first pass of the next drive, Byron Maxwell steps in front of a pass and returns it for a TD.
After three quarters: DEN-10, SEA-17
Fourth quarter:
- Manning and the Broncos go on a methodical drive, getting chunks of short passes and eventually get a Julius Thomas TD.
- Seahawks get to 40 yard line, go for it on 4th down, but can't convert.
- Broncos drive and get to a 4th and 1, but with the conditions and without a strong running game they have to kick a field goal, which Matt Prater does.
- Seahawks get the ball back, but are stopped on 3rd down near midfield. Carroll decides to punt and Jon Ryan is able to pin the Broncos at the 10, with about 3 minutes to go.
- Manning and the offense is stuffed, but they take the time down to 2 minutes. They punt it away to Tate, who muffs it at first but then recovers and gets a few yards.
- Seahawks get a clutch pass to Doug Baldwin, which is a tiptoe sideline catch on third down, which many people will then say is one of the best Super Bowl catches ever. The Seahawks run out of downs, however, and settle for a game tying field goal. Broncos take their remaining timeouts to keep time on the clock, but once they get the ball decide to just kneel.
After four quarters: DEN-20, SEA-20
That's right, the first ever Super Bowl to go into overtime!
Overtime:
- Seahawks lose the toss, which is fine with them because of their D.
- Broncos get the ball, and a pass is tipped and intercepted by Earl Thomas, who returns it to the Broncos 40!
- Seahawks get a first down with a few Lynch runs, and set up a game winning field goal try from the 22. Hauschka makes it, and the Seahawks win one of the most dramatic Super Bowls in history.
FINAL SCORE: DEN-20, SEA-23
MVP: Marshawn Lynch, 21-105, 1 TD
I think if the above were to happen many Seahawks fans would die of heart failure. Anything's possible, though. Before I wrap up, an analogy like I promised:
Their once was a team with a great defense. Maybe even better than great. They had talent at every level on the defense. Their offense was above average and usually good enough to get them enough points to win. Sound familiar? No, this isn't the Seahawks. This team I'm talking about had a good running game as well, and some receivers that weren't All-Pro but made the big catches when it mattered. Their quarterback wasn't even a Pro Bowler, but he was good enough.
This team made it all the way to the Super Bowl as a representative for the NFC. They had the best defense in the league, and maybe, one of the best defenses ever, with two already having gone to the Hall of Fame. In the Super Bowl, they faced the team with the #1 offense and the League MVP at Quarterback. But in the Super Bowl, they stopped this #1 offense by getting FIVE interceptions, two of which were returned for touchdowns. This team? The 2002-2003 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. They beat the #1 offense of the Raiders and MVP Rich Gannon in Super Bowl XXXVII by a score of 48-21. All I'm saying is that if the Buccaneers can do it, so can the Seahawks. Sure, Peyton Manning might be a step or two above Rich Gannon, but now is the time to shine as a defense, just like the Buccaneers did. This was also the last time the #1 offense and #1 defense met in the Super Bowl.
So, let's hope the Seahawks can repeat what the Buccaneers did. Let's hope for the first major sports championship in this city in 35 years. Let's hope for a Seahawks Super Bowl Title! GO HAWKS!!!
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