Showing posts with label Broncos. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Broncos. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 8, 2022

Organized Thoughts about the Russell Wilson Trade

I'm still in shock from the trade that was announced earlier today: Russell Wilson to the Denver Broncos.  It seems like today's a dream that I need to wake up from.  I thought of all the ways I could have put my thoughts into words, and I decided the best way would be to ask myself (and answer) questions regarding this trade and the impact it will have on the future.

Hey there, future Brian here (Nov. 2023).  I thought I'd comment on my takes about this trade now that we've seen 1.5 seasons out of Russ and seen the Seahawks without him.

Who do you think will win this trade in the long run?

Honestly, the Broncos.  Usually, the team that acquires the star player wins the trade.  The times that they don't win the trade are because the star player completely flops on his new team or has off the field issues.  That will not happen with Russell Wilson.  

And given the Seahawks track record for drafting, it's unlikely they'll draft anyone in the next few years that has near the impact that Russ had in Seattle.  And it's unlikely any of the players the Seahawks acquired (Lock, Fant, Harris) will improve their game enough to give the Seahawks an edge.

Yikes!  Well Russ for the most part has "flopped".  And the Seahawks drafting has gotten a lot better in the last couple of years.  We got Charles Cross, Boye Mafe, and Devon Witherspoon out of the draft from those draft picks, among others.  I think the Hawks win this trade now.

How well do you think Russell will do in Denver?

It's hard to say.  I've only ever seen Russell in Seattle.  I don't think he's going to have a crazy amount of success, especially given the division and conference he will play in.  I see him having one, maybe two seasons where he and the Broncos make a legitimate run at a Super Bowl.  But seeing as he will likely command a new contract in a year or two, I don't see the Broncos being able to keep a bunch of talent around him (the problem the Seahawks would have ended up facing).

First off, Russ re-signed with the Broncos before even playing a snap.  Anyway, it's getting harder to see a Super Bowl run from him and the Broncos, especially considering their stiff competition in the AFC.  

What will the Seahawks do at quarterback?

The Seahawks did acquire Drew Lock from the Broncos, but he has been lackluster so far.  He will be given a shot in training camp, but the Hawks will very likely bring another (or two) quarterback in to compete with him.  The Hawks do now have the 9th overall pick, and they could take Kenny Pickett with that selection, or they could wait until next year's draft, when the QB class is supposed to be even better.  

I think the Hawks will acquire a veteran free agent to compete with Lock and try to rely upon the running game in 2022.  

I'm laughing at the idea of the Hawks taking Kenny Pickett with the 9th overall pick last year.  So glad we didn't.  I didn't even mention Geno Smith, who I assumed was leaving and had not re-signed at that point yet.  YIKES again.

Are the players the Seahawks got any good?

Kind of.  As I mentioned, Drew Lock has been lackluster, but was a first round pick who could benefit from a change of scenery.  He's a solid backup at the very least.

Noah Fant is an above average tight end who does a bit of everything pretty well.  He is still young and could develop into one of the better tight ends in the NFC.

Shelby Harris isn't young for an NFL player (30), but he's a borderline pro-bowl defensive lineman who will instantly become a starter and could start for a few seasons.

They've been solid.  Lock hasn't really had much opportunity, but Fant has done well with limited targets.  I wish we'd target him more.  Harris only played one year for us.  

Why did the Hawks trade Wilson?

Was Russ unhappy?  Not really.  But he wasn't the happiest he could be.  Slowly over the past 7-8 years, the Hawks have regressed, particularly on defense and the offensive line.  Russ knew if he had more talent around him, he'd have multiple Super Bowls instead of just the one.  The Hawks front office failed to surround him with even an average offensive line in the last 5-7 seasons and the defense has regressed every year in the past five.  

But the reason the Hawks traded Wilson largely comes down to money.  He had two more years left on his contract, and the rate for a top-flight quarterback was getting extremely steep.  We saw Aaron Rodgers just re-sign with the Packers for $50 million a year.  Russell would have commanded just as much if not more.  I'm not sure if the Hawks currently have the room for that, but they certainly don't have room to keep all of their stars AND Russ.  

Unfortunately, the NFL is a business.  The Hawks, realizing that they were sinking millions into Wilson and not getting championships, decided to cut their losses.  Wilson, essentially, was a sunk cost.  He was a part of a business that was requiring too much money, and the Seahawks decided to trade or "sell" their asset and start over.  I understand the move from a business perspective, but the problem I also see is that Wilson is more than an "asset".  12s everywhere had emotional ties to him, and trading him is more than selling an asset.

I also want to say that I bet Pete, John, Shane, and the rest probably saw the start of Russ regressing.  I think they figured he would not be able to retain his level of play into his mid to late 30's.  They really traded him at the perfect time, because I bet his 2022 season in Seattle, had he not been traded, would not have gone well.

Do the Hawks even have a chance of winning in the near future?

I mean, any team theoretically does.  But the Hawks chances did get slimmer.  The offseason is still very young, and we will have to wait and see what Pete and John do the rest of this offseason, particularly at the quarterback spot.  If they can get a quick fix at the quarterback position, there's hope.  

I'm leaning towards the Hawks not trying too hard to win in 2022 (also known as "tanking") and try to get a high draft pick in 2023 to use on a quarterback.  If Schneider wheels and deals effectively enough, the Hawks could go through a re-build in just a couple years.  They have a lot of trade-able assets that they could get even more draft capital from.  

YIKES again.  Actually, our chances got better in 2022 and we made the playoffs.  We might make it again in 2023.  I keep thinking the Hawks are going to draft a quarterback, when they really don't need to.  Even if Geno gets hurt or struggles, we have Lock, who is at least capable.

What will happen to Pete Carroll?  Is he going to stick it out much longer?

Hard to say as I can't read his mind, but given that he's the oldest coach in the league, he has to be thinking of retirement as a possibility after every season.  He does have the most youthful energy of any coach in their 60s or older, to say the least.

Pete had to have been in on the discussions with Schneider on the trade of Wilson.  And he's likely already thought of how trading Wilson affects his future.  

Don't forget that 2021 was the hardest of Carroll's Seahawks career, and it might depend on how 2022 goes to see if he will even coach one more season after that.  

Pete obviously knew he had a good chunk of years left.  He's found the fountain of youth, at least concerning his energy.  I think he'll coach until he feels he can't summon the energy anymore, which could be into his mid-70s if not late 70s.  

How can John Schneider save his reputation now?  Is there any way his tenure with the Hawks has a happy ending?

If Schneider is in this for the long run, there's definitely a chance.  And if he's in it for the long run, he will likely be tasked with finding Carroll's successor and using this draft capital he just acquired effectively.  

If he can never recover and build the Seahawks into a perennial playoff team like they were with Wilson, he will not have a happy ending.  He would then likely leave the team with many Hawks fans holding resentment towards him stemming back to this trade.  

We can't also forget the Jimmy Graham and Jamal Adams trades, two trades he made that at this point we can safely call failures.  He risked draft capital for star players, and it hurt the Hawks. 

Now he's done the opposite, trading a star player for draft capital.  If he can use that draft capital successfully, that will help the Hawks immensely in the coming years and he could save face and leave with his head held high.  It's all on him.

I think I can say the Wilson trade makes up for the lackluster trades of the past like Harvin, Graham, and Adams.  Schneider's reputation is fine, and whenever he leaves, he'll likely leave having been the most successful front office executive in team history.

What about the rest of the players on the Hawks?  One, are they at risk of being traded, and two, are their morales hurt after this trade?

To answer the first question, it depends on if the Hawks are fully rebuilding or not.  If they are, then one could argue any of them are at risk of being traded.  If Russ can be traded, anyone can.  

To answer the second question, they likely will feel a sting from this, but if Schneider brings in a respectable leader at the quarterback position, morale may not take too big of a hit.  But the ones that have been with Russ the longest (Bobby, Tyler) will certainly not feel the same anymore.

Turns out, Geno's leadership abilities are more than enough.  No one else was really at risk of being traded since they weren't tanking.  

How will we look back on this trade?

It will depend on the outcome for the two teams in the coming years.  I'll go through all four scenarios:

If the Broncos and Hawks both find success in the coming years, it'll be a win-win.  Schneider and the Broncos will both be heralded for the trade, as it will have seemed that Russell Wilson just needed a fresh start, and the Hawks were handicapped by his immense salary.

If the Broncos have success but the Hawks do not, the Broncos will be heavily lauded for the move, and Schneider and the Hawks will be ridiculed.  Everyone will realize that trading star quarterbacks is almost never a wise move, and the Hawks were foolish to do so, even if it saved them money.  Schneider will go down in Seahawks infamy.

If the Seahawks have success but the Broncos do not, Schneider will be considered a genius.  He would have gotten out of an even larger contract with Wilson and would have managed to rebuild the Hawks once again.  Meanwhile, Russ will be looked at the guy that won a Super Bowl while having the Legion of Boom, but couldn't at any point after, definitely lowering his legend status.  

If neither team finds success, the trade will be looked it as a push.  The Broncos will be thought of poorly for mortgaging their future for a QB that couldn't even get back to the NFC championship game after 2014-15, and the Hawks will look bad as well for having traded their star quarterback for a bunch of okay players and draft capital.  

Ultimately, this trade is going to take time.  Time to figure out who won the trade, but first off, time to digest and comprehend what has really happened: that Russell Wilson is no longer a Seahawk.

I think right now the option of the Seahawks having success but the Broncos not is the option we have in reality.  Russ is starting to maybe look like a QB that won a Super Bowl with a legendary defense, but that's it.  Brad Johnson and Trent Dilfer also did that.  

Monday, December 29, 2014

All Possible Super Bowl Matchups, Their Storylines and Likelihood

(6) Baltimore Ravens vs. (6) Detroit Lions
Highly... highly doubtful this would happen.  There has never been a Super Bowl with two #6 seeds, although there has been a Super Bowl with two wild card teams.  Not many storylines in this one... it would certainly be a hard-fought, defensive struggle with perhaps some aerial attacks from the gunslinger QB's. 

(6) Baltimore Ravens vs. (5) Arizona Cardinals
Again highly unlikely as these two teams basically limped into the playoffs.  But they are two well-coached teams and it would be the second time John Harbaugh has faced an NFC West team in the Super Bowl.

(5) Cincinnati Bengals vs. (6) Detroit Lions
Two historically unfortunate franchises facing off (One would get their first Super Bowl win).  Also it would be the battle of the kitties.  Would be another hard-fought game, but this wouldn't be a Super Bowl that intriguing.  Not very likely, either.

(6) Baltimore Ravens vs. (4) Carolina Panthers
How many times would we hear Steve Smith Sr.'s name mentioned in the talk before the game?  Answer: A LOT.  He would probably want this Super Bowl, but not many people do.  Would be another defensive game.

(5) Cincinnati Bengals vs. (5) Arizona Cardinals
Another matchup where a team would get their first Super Bowl win.  Highly unlikely matchup with the two QB's (Dalton, winless in playoff games, and Lindley, who is a practice squad guy on most teams).

(4) Indianapolis Colts vs. (6) Detroit Lions
Jim Caldwell, the current coach of the Lions and former coach of the Colts, would be the main storyline here.  Also, two Texas-raised QB's (Luck and Stafford) would be facing off.  Not too likely, but not impossible for this matchup.  If a matchup is going to happen where the seeds of the two teams add up to at least ten, this would be the matchup that would happen.

(6) Baltimore Ravens vs. (3) Dallas Cowboys
Defense vs. Offense?  Hard to say what the storylines would be for this game.  Dallas would be heavily favored, for sure. 

(5) Cincinnati Bengals vs. (4) Carolina Panthers
Another battle of the kitties which you certainly shouldn't bet on.  These two teams tied in the regular season... might we see overtime in the Super Bowl for the first time if this were to happen?  Also, two minority coaches facing off (First since Lovie Smith's Bears against Tony Dungy's Colts).  Wouldn't be a Super Bowl that NBC is clamoring for, that's for sure.

(4) Indianapolis Colts vs. (5) Arizona Cardinals
How many times would Bruce Arians' name be mentioned?  A LOT.  This would be a fantastic Super Bowl to watch with the Bruce Arians storyline (provided Arizona got Stanton back and he was playing decently).  Could Arizona's D contain Andrew Luck?

(3) Pittsburgh Steelers vs. (6) Detroit Lions
These two teams are pretty close geographically.  Also, the Steelers 2nd to most recent Super Bowl victory came in the Lions stadium.  Other than that, not too many storylines. 

(6) Baltimore Ravens vs. (2) Green Bay Packers
Would be a very good matchup, but not many storylines.  Almost all of America would be rooting for the Packers, more than likely.  And the Ravens would be huge underdogs.

(5) Cincinnati Bengals vs. (3) Dallas Cowboys
Not many storylines here, either.  Dallas would be heavily favored, having taken out Green Bay (and probably Seattle, both on the road) to get to this point. 

(4) Indianapolis Colts vs. (4) Carolina Panthers
Two number one pick QB's (Luck and Newton) face off in a chance to reward their team for picking them number 1 overall with a Super Bowl title.  And two soft-spoken coaches who get a lot of respect from their players would face off.

(3) Pittsburgh Steelers vs. (5) Arizona Cardinals
This would be a rematch of Super Bowl XLIII, EXACTLY six years later (Feb. 1, 2009 to Feb. 1, 2015).  A few of the same players remain, namely Big Ben for the Steelers and Larry Fitzgerald for the Cardinals.  And with the Steelers trying to take a Super Bowl from the Cardinals on the Cardinals' turf, this would be a very good matchup. 

(2) Denver Broncos vs. (6) Detroit Lions
Would likely be a high-scoring game.  What prevails, a horse or lion?  Could Matthew Stafford be the third rising QB to beat Manning in a Super Bowl?  (The first two being Brees and Wilson)  Also, Golden Tate would be facing the Broncos in the Super Bowl for the 2nd straight year.

(6) Baltimore Ravens vs. (1) Seattle Seahawks
Not too many storylines here, other than Pete Carroll vs. the other Harbaugh brother.  Justin Forsett would be facing his former team.  Both running backs would be from the University of California.  Would be a hard-fought, low-scoring game. 

(5) Cincinnati Bengals vs. (2) Green Bay Packers
Titletown vs. No Titles in this town.  Basically.  Green Bay would be heavily favored and heavily rooted for.  There was a regular season game in 2013 between these two teams which was back and forth and high scoring, which I'd expect this game to be as well.

(4) Indianapolis Colts vs. (3) Dallas Cowboys
These two teams just recently played and Dallas smoked them.  Indy would be seeking revenge.  This would be a good matchup for NBC, with two gunslingers airing it out.  It would be up to the defenses to make a big play or two. 

(3) Pittsburgh Steelers vs. (4) Carolina Panthers
Don't see this matchup happening (at all) but it would be a fun game to watch.  Two big QB's against two tough defenses.  Two minority coaches facing off in this game as well.

(2) Denver Broncos vs. (5) Arizona Cardinals
Peyton Manning taking on another NFC West team with a tough defense.  Depending on Arizona's offense, Denver could be heavily favored.  Not likely with Arizona limping in to the playoffs.

(1) New England Patriots vs. (6) Detroit Lions
Not too many storylines.  It would be Tom Brady in University of Phoenix Stadium against a wild card team from the NFC... again.  Could Stafford pull an Eli Manning and beat Tom Brady?

(5) Cincinnati Bengals vs. (1) Seattle Seahawks
Very few storylines in this matchup that NBC would probably want to stay away from.  The Hawks would be heavily favored, more than likely.  It would be the 2nd time the Hawks (as a #1 seed) face an AFC North Team (that is a wild card) in the Super Bowl. 

(4) Indianapolis Colts vs. (2) Green Bay Packers
The story would be the quarterbacks, of course.  Two quarterbacks with potent offenses with defenses that usually do just enough to get wins.  Would most likely be a high-scoring and entertaining game.

(3) Pittsburgh Steelers vs. (3) Dallas Cowboys
OH MAN.  This rivalry would be renewed with a Super Bowl matchup.  This would be a dream matchup for NBC.  Many are dreaming of this potential matchup.  The history behind these two franchises would be the main storyline.

(2) Denver Broncos vs. (4) Carolina Panthers
This would be the John Fox Bowl, the Denver coach having previously coached Carolina.  However, I don't see this matchup with Denver happening, either, but anything's possible.  Peyton Manning would be facing another athletic African American quarterback who comes with a strong running game and a solid defense.  Would Manning lose again?

(1) New England Patriots vs. (5) Arizona Cardinals
Tom Brady would need to shake his Arizona demons... against Arizona.  Arizona would probably be underdogs in their own stadium.  Bruce Arians would be a coaching god if he won this matchup.

(4) Indianapolis Colts vs. (1) Seattle Seahawks
I predicted this matchup at the start of the season, and I'm sticking to it (sort of).  It's a real possibility.  It would be the matchup of the QB's from the 2012 draft class, Luck vs. Wilson (1st overall vs. 75th overall).  Would be a good matchup and the Seahawks SHOULD be favored.

(3) Pittsburgh Steelers vs. (2) Green Bay Packers
This is another dream matchup for NBC, a rematch of Super Bowl XLV.  Many of the same players remain from those teams, including the starting quarterbacks.  The first time they faced off was in an environmentally-controlled arena, and this time would be the same thing. 

(2) Denver Broncos vs. (3) Dallas Cowboys
This is another matchup that NBC would like.  This is a "rematch" of Super Bowl XII, 37 years later.  This game would be very high-scoring (41-38?) and more than likely be close.  Their regular season game in 2013 would be one many would hope this game would be similar to.

(1) New England Patriots vs. (4) Carolina Panthers
This would be a rematch of Super Bowl XXXVIII, with basically only Tom Brady remaining from either of those two teams.  The Patriots would be heavily favored, but the Panthers would give them a fight. 

(3) Pittsburgh Steelers vs. (1) Seattle Seahawks
Oh boy.  Rematch of Super Bowl XL.  This is a game I would definitely want to see, just so the Hawks could get revenge.  The Hawks are scheduled to host the Steelers next season, so a Super Bowl re-rematch would take place the following season.  Let's just hope for this game Bill Leavy would not be officiating. 

(2) Denver Broncos vs. (2) Green Bay Packers
Rematch of Super Bowl XXXII.  I have dreamed of this Super Bowl matchup again for a long time, because Super Bowl XXXII was the first Super Bowl I ever watched.  These two teams playing against each other look so visually appealing, with red and orange vs. yellow and green.  Another dream matchup for NBC.  If the Hawks can't be in the Super Bowl, THIS is the matchup I would want.

(1) New England Patriots vs. (3) Dallas Cowboys
Another game for the ages.  Dallas would have a TON of supporters, being much geographically closer to Arizona than New England.  Hard to say who would be favored.  This would be an exciting and close game, for sure.

(2) Denver Broncos vs. (1) Seattle Seahawks
Rematch of Super Bowl XLVIII, less than a year later.  Obviously, the Broncos would be seeking revenge.  A Super Bowl rematch hasn't happened the following season since Dallas and Buffalo in 1993 and 1994.  Dallas won both of those games (the first easily, the second sort of easily) and I think the same would happen here.

(1) New England Patriots vs. (2) Green Bay Packers
Another dream matchup.  They played in the regular season in Green Bay, with the Packers coming out victorious.  New England would be seeking revenge and without Lambeau to protect the Packers, New England would have a real shot (and probably be favored).  Rematch of Super Bowl XXXI.

(1) New England Patriots vs. (1) Seattle Seahawks
This is the matchup many Hawks fans think will happen, are rooting for, or both.  It would be the 2nd straight year the two #1 seeds face each other.  This isn't technically a dream matchup for NBC, but it would be a classic.  I do think the Patriots would put up more of a fight than the Broncos last season, but I see the Hawks coming out on top. 


So there's all the possible Super Bowl matchups.  Which will happen?  We'll find out by the end of January 18, when the conference championship games conclude.  Should be fun to watch.  

Friday, January 24, 2014

My Seahawks Journey and Extensive Super Bowl Prediction

Hey guys, I first want to start out by apologizing for the long delay in between blog posts.  I've been busy and really haven't felt the need or want to write about something.  Anyway, here we are in 2014 and the Seahawks have made it to their second ever Super Bowl.  What a great season they have had, and hopefully it ends on a high note.  I'm going to talk about my life as a Seahawk fan for a bit, how I became a Seahawks fan and certain notable games I remember, and then it will all lead up to my predictions for the Super Bowl, which will include an interesting analogy. 

The first Seahawks season that I can remember was 1999, the last season in the Kingdome.  The Seahawks went 9-7 that year, winning the AFC West Division Championship and earning their first playoff trip since 1988.  I got into the Seahawks around that time because I had just gotten into watching sports (including the Mariners and Sonics), but also because of my dad.  Before I was born, my dad would record every Seahawks game on VHS, but had to stop once me and my sister were born.  I remember watching one of the games he recorded.  He eventually gave the tapes of the games to Seahawks and Seattle sports super fan, Lorin Sandretzky, also known as "Big Lo". 

I even went to a few games in Husky Stadium while Seahawks Stadium (which eventually became Qwest Field which became CenturyLink Field) was being built.  I saw the Seahawks lose to the Broncos, but I also saw the Hawks cream the Raiders on Sunday Night Football, in which Shaun Alexander got a team record 266 yards rushing.  I feel after that game I really fell in love with the Seahawks. 

After 1999, the Seahawks still remained in mediocrity until 2003, when they made the playoffs again.  I remember watching that playoff game against the Packers in the freezing cold, when the game went into overtime.  Matt Hasselbeck infamously declared, "We want the ball, we're gonna score".  He then proceeded to throw a pick six to Al Harris to seal the win for the Packers.  The Seahawks made the playoffs the following year, but lost to the Rams at home in the playoffs, which also happens to be the last time the Seahawks lost a home playoff game. 

The following year, of course, was the Seahawks Super Bowl season.  I was so hung up on every game that every loss left me devastated and depressed for the next week.  After the Super Bowl loss to the Steelers, I was so upset that I smashed every one of my Steelers miniature helmets I had at the time.

The remaining Seahawks players made the playoffs a few more times, but never mustered any real playoff run.  Then the Seahawks had a few bad seasons, which eventually led to them hiring Pete Carroll.  Pete and John Schneider, the GM, have put together arguably the best roster in Seahawks history.  Now they are one win away from the team's first ever Super Bowl title. 

I haven't let myself get hung up on games this year like in years past.  Just last season, when the Seahawks playoff run ended in a loss to the Falcons, I remember feeling so hopeless for the team, thinking that was our only shot.  But now, the following season, the Seahawks have gotten to the final game.  But for this game, I'm not going to let it affect me as much as others if we lose.  It helps to have a team and quarterback as opposition that I'm both a fan of.  I can never hate the Broncos or Peyton Manning, because they're both a big reason why I became a bigger fan of football than anything else.  If the Seahawks lose, it's not the end of the world, nor is it the end of their run. 

Now, for predictions.  At the start of the football season, way back in August, I predicted a Super Bowl matchup between the Broncos and Seahawks, and look how right I was.  Sure, I missed on a few playoff teams (Oops on Texans, Ravens, Falcons, Giants, and Rams), but I got the end result correct.  Now, I predicted a final score of 27-24 Broncos.  But that was when I thought our defense would have a bit of a down year with a new defensive coordinator.  So, let's go over what I think will really happen:

First quarter:
Seahawks win toss--defer to second half
-Manning and Broncos slowed by weather, punt on first possession.
-Wilson and Seahawks go 3 and out, which is something we've grown used to seeing over the past couple months.
-Broncos get decent field position thanks to a good punt return by Decker, but settle for a field goal.
- Seahawks get ball and are driving as quarter ends.
After one quarter: DEN-3, SEA-0

Second quarter:
- Seahawks drive to red zone, but a fumbled exchange between Lynch and Wilson gives the ball to the Broncos.
- Peyton Manning finds Demaryius Thomas for a long bomb, scoring the game's first TD.
- Seahawks drive again, thanks to some good runs by Lynch, but have to settle for a field goal.
- Broncos get stopped on some pass deflections by the Legion of Boom.
- Seahawks get ball back, but have to settle for a sizeable field goal try, which Hauschka misses to end the half.
After two quarters: DEN-10, SEA-3

Third quarter:
- Seahawks go 3 and out to start the half.
- Broncos drive to the red zone, but Manning is stripped by Cliff Avril and the Seahawks recover.
- Wilson finds Golden Tate on a 40 yard strike, which eventually sets up a Lynch touchdown to tie the game.
- On Manning's first pass of the next drive, Byron Maxwell steps in front of a pass and returns it for a TD.
After three quarters: DEN-10, SEA-17

Fourth quarter:
- Manning and the Broncos go on a methodical drive, getting chunks of short passes and eventually get a Julius Thomas TD.
- Seahawks get to 40 yard line, go for it on 4th down, but can't convert. 
- Broncos drive and get to a 4th and 1, but with the conditions and without a strong running game they have to kick a field goal, which Matt Prater does.
- Seahawks get the ball back, but are stopped on 3rd down near midfield.  Carroll decides to punt and Jon Ryan is able to pin the Broncos at the 10, with about 3 minutes to go.
- Manning and the offense is stuffed, but they take the time down to 2 minutes.  They punt it away to Tate, who muffs it at first but then recovers and gets a few yards. 
- Seahawks get a clutch pass to Doug Baldwin, which is a tiptoe sideline catch on third down, which many people will then say is one of the best Super Bowl catches ever.  The Seahawks run out of downs, however, and settle for a game tying field goal.  Broncos take their remaining timeouts to keep time on the clock, but once they get the ball decide to just kneel.
After four quarters: DEN-20, SEA-20

That's right, the first ever Super Bowl to go into overtime!
Overtime:
- Seahawks lose the toss, which is fine with them because of their D.
- Broncos get the ball, and a pass is tipped and intercepted by Earl Thomas, who returns it to the Broncos 40!
- Seahawks get a first down with a few Lynch runs, and set up a game winning field goal try from the 22.  Hauschka makes it, and the Seahawks win one of the most dramatic Super Bowls in history.
FINAL SCORE: DEN-20, SEA-23
MVP: Marshawn Lynch, 21-105, 1 TD

I think if the above were to happen many Seahawks fans would die of heart failure.  Anything's possible, though.  Before I wrap up, an analogy like I promised:

Their once was a team with a great defense. Maybe even better than great.  They had talent at every level on the defense.  Their offense was above average and usually good enough to get them enough points to win.  Sound familiar?  No, this isn't the Seahawks.  This team I'm talking about had a good running game as well, and some receivers that weren't All-Pro but made the big catches when it mattered.  Their quarterback wasn't even a Pro Bowler, but he was good enough. 

This team made it all the way to the Super Bowl as a representative for the NFC.  They had the best defense in the league, and maybe, one of the best defenses ever, with two already having gone to the Hall of Fame.  In the Super Bowl, they faced the team with the #1 offense and the League MVP at Quarterback.  But in the Super Bowl, they stopped this #1 offense by getting FIVE interceptions, two of which were returned for touchdowns.  This team?  The 2002-2003 Tampa Bay Buccaneers.  They beat the #1 offense of the Raiders and MVP Rich Gannon in Super Bowl XXXVII by a score of 48-21.  All I'm saying is that if the Buccaneers can do it, so can the Seahawks.  Sure, Peyton Manning might be a step or two above Rich Gannon, but now is the time to shine as a defense, just like the Buccaneers did.  This was also the last time the #1 offense and #1 defense met in the Super Bowl.

So, let's hope the Seahawks can repeat what the Buccaneers did.  Let's hope for the first major sports championship in this city in 35 years.  Let's hope for a Seahawks Super Bowl Title!  GO HAWKS!!!

Thursday, August 15, 2013

My extensive 2013 NFL and Seahawks Predictions!

Hey everyone!  Football season for the 2013 season is about to start, so it's time to predict some things for the upcoming season.  Usually, I do two separate blog posts for the Seahawks predictions and the NFL Predictions, but this time, I'm combining it into one big MEGA post!  First up will be Seahawks predictions.  I will predict a score for each game, as well as some backstory to it.

Week 1: @ Carolina Panthers
Loss, 21-16
Record: 0-1
We scored 16 points last year against the Panthers, and I predict we do the same, but we give up more points.  Cam Newton will be hungry for revenge, and I don't think he'll let his team lose to us twice in a row on their own field.  Should be close throughout, but I see the Seahawks getting off to another slow start.

Week 2: vs. San Francisco 49ers
Win, 31-30
Record: 1-1
Has there ever been a more hyped regular season game in Seattle sports history?  We're going to try to break a world record for crowd noise.  I don't think this game will disappoint.  The 49ers will more than likely put up more of a fight this time, but they'll come up just short.  Should be an exciting game.

Week 3: vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Win, 38-10
Record: 2-1
If there is a game on the Seahawk's schedule you can pencil in as a win right now, it's this one.  The Jaguars are still in rebuilding mode, not having much of a team or fan base at the moment.  This is a must-win, especially if the Seahawks lose either or both of the first two games.

Week 4: @ Houston Texans
Loss, 17-14
Record: 2-2
I expect this to be a low-scoring defensive battle with two of the NFL's best defenses going against each other.  But I see the Texans coming out on top given the 10am start time that we have forever struggled with.

Week 5: @ Indianapolis Colts
Loss, 30-28
Record: 2-3
The Seahawks drop to 2-3 and fans start to panic.  In this game, I see perhaps the Seahawks taking a lead, but Andrew Luck leading a last-second scoring drive to win the game.  Our defense still hasn't proven it can stop an above average QB in the last minutes of a game.

Week 6: vs. Tennessee Titans
Win, 34-6
Record: 3-3
I expect our defense to absolutely spoil Jake Locker's homecoming.  This is the game I expect our D to really shine.  This is another game like the Jaguars game that is a no-brainer must-win, especially if we start out 2-3 like I predict.

Week 7: @ Arizona Cardinals
Win, 24-17
Record: 4-3
This isn't a game I expect us to play our cleanest in, but I expect a win nonetheless.  We can't lose in Arizona two years in a row.  We need this divisional win.  The Cardinals should be better with Carson Palmer, but he's no Peyton Manning. 

Week 8: @ St. Louis Rams
Loss, 21-20
Record: 4-4
With the 11 days of rest after the Thursday night game, I could see a letdown performance from the Hawks.  Should be a close game, but to win two divisional road games in a row is tough.  This game is a tossup, but I feel the Rams will be a dark horse in the NFL next season.

Week 9: vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Win, 27-16
Record: 5-4
Again, making a Florida team fly all the way up here.  Shouldn't be too tough of a win.  We just have to contain Doug Martin and the Bucs' running game. 

Week 10: @ Atlanta Falcons
Win, 28-21
Record: 6-4
This will be like the Bears game last season.  The game that turns the season around.  The Hawks will be so hungry for revenge from last year's playoff loss.  This is the one upset I pick for the Hawks.  And this starts the run.

Week 11: vs. Minnesota Vikings
Win, 24-17
Record: 7-4
The key to this game: Stopping Adrian Peterson.  I think the Hawks will need to win this game to secure a good position in the playoffs.  Might have a tiebreaker with the Vikes.  Shouldn't be too big of a blowout, but a lot could change before then.

Week 13: vs. New Orleans Saints
Loss, 28-24
Record: 7-5
I hate to do this, but I do believe the Seahawks will lose a home game next season.  The Saints are going to be a much improved team next season, getting Sean Payton back as head coach.  I could see us underestimating the Saints and possibly making a few mental mistakes.  I'm just worried about what Brees could do against us, even against our league best secondary.

Week 14: @ San Francisco 49ers
Win, 20-16
Record: 8-5
This is probably the game that will decide the division winner.  I can't remember the last time we won in San Francisco.  I think by this point something will have happened to the 49ers that will really hurt their chances.  I'm going with the Hawks.

Week 15: @ New York Giants
Win, 30-24
Record: 9-5
We beat the New York Giants in New York when we had T-Jack and Whitehurst as quarterbacks.  Russell Wilson should be able to get the job done as well.  If the Seahawks are 7-6 heading into this game, they'll be hungry for W.

Week 16: vs. Arizona Cardinals
Win, 31-13
Record: 10-5
I don't think we'll score 58 points like last time, but it should still be an easy win.  This is a must-win game if the Hawks don't have the division locked up at this point.

Week 17: vs. St. Louis Rams
Win, 24-23
Record: 11-5
The Rams never make it easy on us, nor the 49ers for that matter.  But again, another must-win if the Hawks aren't into 12 or 13 win territory by the start of this game. 

FINAL RECORD: 11-5

Let's get some predictions in for team leaders.  I'm going to assume the passing leader for every category will be Russell Wilson and the rushing leader for every category will be Marshawn Lynch.  So here's who I think will lead other categories:

Receptions leader: Doug Baldwin
Receiving yards: Golden Tate
Receiving touchdowns: Golden Tate
Tackles: Bobby Wagner
Sacks: Cliff Avril
Interceptions: Earl Thomas

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Now, onto the NFL.  Will the Seahawks win the division?  How will the rest of the NFL do?  Look below to find out:

*= Wild card berth

AFC West:
Denver Broncos: 12-4
Kansas City Chiefs: 8-8
San Diego Chargers: 7-9
Oakland Raiders: 6-10

AFC North:
Cincinnati Bengals: 11-5
Baltimore Ravens: 10-6*
Pittsburgh Steelers: 9-7
Cleveland Browns: 5-11

AFC South:
Houston Texans: 12-4
Indianapolis Colts: 10-6*
Tennessee Titans: 7-9
Jacksonville Jaguars: 3-13

AFC East:
New England Patriots: 10-6
Miami Dolphins: 9-7
Buffalo Bills: 8-8
New York Jets: 5-11

NFC West:
Seattle Seahawks: 11-5
St. Louis Rams: 10-6*
San Francisco 49ers: 8-8 (The 49ers, with their season full of promise, lose Colin Kaepernick to injury and are forced to go with Colt McCoy for the rest of the season.)
Arizona Cardinals: 6-10

NFC North:
Green Bay Packers: 11-5
Minnesota Vikings: 9-7
Detroit Lions: 9-7
Chicago Bears: 7-9

NFC South:
New Orleans Saints: 12-4
Atlanta Falcons: 10-6*
Carolina Panthers: 9-7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 7-9

NFC East:
New York Giants: 9-7 (Win tiebreaker)
Washington Redskins: 9-7
Dallas Cowboys: 8-8
Philadelphia Eagles: 7-9

Awards:
MVP: Peyton Manning, Broncos
Offensive Player of the Year: Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints
Defensive Player of the Year: Earl Thomas, Seattle Seahawks
Offensive Rookie of the Year: Montee Ball, Denver Broncos
Defensive Rookie of the Year: Kenny Vaccaro, New Orleans Saints
Coach of the Year: Sean Payton, New Orleans Saints
Comeback Player of the Year: Darren McFadden, Oakland Raiders

Playoff Seadings
AFC:
1. Houston Texans
2. Denver Broncos
3. Cincinnati Bengals
4. New England Patriots
5. Indianapolis Colts
6. Baltimore Ravens

NFC:
1. New Orleans Saints
2. Seattle Seahawks
3. Green Bay Packers
4. New York Giants
5. Atlanta Falcons
6. St. Louis Rams

Wild Card Playoffs
AFC:
(6) Ravens at (3) Bengals: Ravens win
(5) Colts at (4) Patriots: Patriots win
NFC:
(6) Rams at (3) Packers: Packers win
(5) Falcons at (4) Giants: Falcons win

Divisional Round Playoffs
AFC:
(6) Ravens at (1) Texans: Ravens win
(4) Patriots at (2) Broncos: Broncos win

NFC:
(5) Falcons at (1) Saints: Saints win
(3) Packers at (2) Seahawks: Seahawks win

Conference Championship Games:
(6) Ravens at (2) Broncos: Broncos win
(2) Seahawks at (1) Saints: Seahawks win

Super Bowl XLVIII in New York:
Broncos 27, Seahawks 24
MVP: Peyton Manning, Broncos

Well, there you have it folks.  The season ending in complete heartbreak.  I just see the experience of Peyton Manning overcoming the youthfulness of Russell Wilson.  But, with the Seahawks still young it just gives them more motivation for next year.  I'd love to see the Seahawks in next year's Super Bowl, regardless of the outcome.  So, here's to 2013, and a successful Seahawks season.  Go Hawks!