Showing posts with label Wild. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Wild. Show all posts

Monday, January 27, 2020

2020 MLB Predictions

Is it baseball season already?  Well no, not really.  It's coming up soon, though!  Yes, it's early to be making predictions, but I just couldn't wait any longer.  I'm going to rank the teams in each division based on how I think they'll finish (Sorry, no win-loss records this year).  And then, postseason predictions.  I have done surprisingly well in postseason predictions in the past, although last year's prediction of Dodgers/Yankees fell flat.  I'm more interested in the American League so I will go more in depth there.

* = Wild Card

NL East
1. Braves
2. Nationals*
3. Phillies
4. Marlins
5. Mets
Comment: The Braves have a young nucleus that just gets even better.  The defending champs Nats do well, but can only muster a wild card.  The Phillies have an up and down season.  The Marlins surprise a lot of people (again), and the Mets stink it up thanks to Beltran getting axed before he could even manage a game.

NL Central
1. Brewers
2. Cubs
3. Cardinals
4. Reds
5. Pirates
Comment: The Brew Crew do well again and claim the division.  David Ross does fairly well in his first year, but not enough for a playoff spot.  The Cards and Reds do all right, not awful.  The Pirates struggle after trading Marte. 

NL West
1. Dodgers
2. Diamondbacks*
3. Padres
4. Giants
5. Rockies
Comment: I think this is the best all-around division.  The Dodgers repeat as division champs--again.  The D-Backs fight them all the way to the end for the division crown but fall just short.  The Padres are in it most of the year but fade away late.  The Giants are rebuilding, and with a new manager, tread water for this year.  The Rockies aren't awful, but they can't pass any of their division rivals.

AL East
1. Yankees
2. Rays*
3. Blue Jays
4. Red Sox
5. Orioles
Comment: The Yankees surge again, this time hoping for a healthier regular season and more success in the playoffs.  The Rays do surprisingly well and claim a wild card spot.  The Blue Jays ride their youth movement, but are still a year away from really contending.  The Sox struggle after losing their manager.  The Orioles are.... the Orioles. 

AL Central
1. White Sox
2. Twins
3. Indians
4. Tigers
5. Royals
Comment: Surprised, are you?  The White Sox are my dark horse and surprise team of 2020.  The Twins remain competitive but are unable to claim a playoff spot.  The Indians are decent but not great.  The Tigers make progress, and the Royals are just there.

AL West
1. Angels
2. Astros*
3. Athletics
4. Rangers
5. Mariners
Comment: Joe Maddon goes into LA and leads them to a division title in his first year.  The Astros have a bit of a let-down season following their scandal, but still manage to claim a wild card spot.  They're just too talented.  The A's are in it to the end but fall short.  The Rangers chug along and aren't bad.  The Mariners surprise some teams and make progress, but the rest of the division is too tough.

Some surprises there, I'm sure.  How will the playoffs unfold?

Wild Cards:
NL: Nationals vs. Diamondbacks - Diamondbacks win
AL: Rays vs. Astros - Astros win

Divisional Round
NL: Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks - Dodgers win
Braves vs. Brewers - Braves win

AL: Yankees vs. Astros - Yankees win
White Sox vs. Angels - White Sox win

Championship Series
NL: Dodgers vs. Braves - Braves win
AL: Yankees vs. White Sox - Yankees win

World Series
Braves vs. Yankees: Yankees win in 5

Yet again I pick the Yankees to win the World Series.  Will they come through this time?  Time will tell.  I'll be content with any winner except for the Astros.  I'd prefer them to not make the playoffs, but they just have too much talent.  Coming up soon I'll talk about the Mariners, what I expect from each player going into 2020.

Monday, January 6, 2020

Jadeveon Clowney's hit on Wentz was not dirty

In the 2020 NFC Wild Card Playoff Game between the Eagles and Seahawks, about halfway through the first quarter, Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz scrambled for some yards.  He dove forward, in the process of being tackled by Seahawks safety Bradley McDougald.  He then absorbed a helmet-to-helmet hit from Clowney on his way down.  The result of the hit caused his head to hit the ground hard, resulting in a concussion, and Wentz was unable to return to the game.  This hit by Clowney was reckless and borderline unnecessary, but it was not dirty.  Clowney was not intending to hurt Wentz on that play, but unfortunately he did.

The reason I am saying this is because I have seen on social media NFL and Eagles fans calling Jadeveon's hit dirty, saying he should be banned from the league, suspended, charged with assault, etc.  I have seen many comments saying "F*** Jadeveon Clowney" that get hundreds if not thousands of upvotes.  He does not deserve all of this ridicule.  I will admit I believe he deserves to be fined for being reckless and laying a borderline unnecessary hit on Wentz.  The hit was only borderline unnecessary because Wentz was lunging forward, and Clowney was trying to prevent him from gaining additional yardage.  In the NFL, every inch matters.  But Wentz was on his way down and close to the ground when he got hit.  Clowney definitely could have given him more of a glancing blow and not such a direct hit to the head/neck area.

When we watched this real time, it did not look so bad.  The commentators did not comment on the hit, and the first instance we saw of Wentz possibly being hurt was when he headed to the locker room.  Then, they showed the hit in slow-motion, and we saw how bad it looked in slow-mo.  But live and in real time, it didn't look that bad.  I've seen those kinds of hits on quarterbacks called for unnecessary roughness but also not called at all, and when a quarterback isn't giving himself up (sliding), they often don't get called.  When a quarterback acts like a runner (like any running back, wide receiver, etc.), they lose some of their protection from the referees.  I do think a penalty should have been called because it was helmet-to-helmet contact (and he was on his way down), but I have seen just as bad of hits not called.

I think the main reason for the anger on the part of Eagles and NFL fans is that Carson Wentz' playoff debut was cut short.  I mean, I'm upset too.  I wish the Hawks could have beaten the Eagles with Wentz playing all game.  He is still one of the best young talents in the NFL at the quarterback position, but due to injuries, he did not make his postseason debut until this game.  And not even all the way through the first quarter, and he suffers another injury, one that was caused by another player's reckless action.  I understand their anger, their need to blame someone, but I would not be cursing out another player if that happened to Russell Wilson.  I would not be saying he deserves to be banned or arrested.  I know a part of me would've wished Wilson had protected himself better and perhaps slid instead of diving head first.  NFL Football is a very rough and violent sport, and players put their bodies on the line each and every week.  NFL defensive players are commended for big hits and stopping players short of the goal line or line to gain, so in essence they are paid to deliver big hits.

Call me naive, but I believe a player when they say they weren't trying to hurt another player.  As I said, the NFL is a violent sport, and these guys are technically paid to hurt each other.  But I believe Clowney when he said he wasn't trying to injure anybody.  He said it was a bang-bang play, which it was.  You see a guy going for yards, and as a defensive player, your instinct is to get him stopped as quickly as possible.  Let's not forget that when these guys are interpreted as trying to hurt another player maliciously, they get fined tons of money and suspended many games, costing them game checks.  Why would a player taint his career to try to give his team an advantage by hurting another player?  It just isn't worth it. 

I also hate to hear how fans are wishing for us to get clobbered in the next game or our players to get hurt (including Wilson).  One player's split-second decision to be a little reckless should not make people feel this way.  And we live in a sad world where his split-second decision has resulted in him expecting death threats.  It's a game, people.  He was trying to make a play.  Don't hold malicious feelings toward someone that wasn't malicious to begin with.  Clowney will get a nice fine from the NFL, and it will go to a good cause, but he does not deserve a suspension or anything worse.