Right now, I am at a point in my life where I need to figure out what I want to do for a career. I currently work at Safeway as a food clerk, but I can't work there forever (unless I decided I wanted to be a manager there). One of the things I get from my mother is not knowing what I want to do with my life for a career. She got a job as an 18 year old with a telephone company (Pacific Northwest Bell which became US-West which became Qwest which became Century Link). She worked there for about 30 years. I know I don't wanna be stuck in the same job for 30 years, and I do plan on going back to school, but what for? Here's a look at what I've considered for careers, in (somewhat) chronological order:
- Fireman
As a kid, I never really expressed it to anyone, but I wanted to be a fireman. I heard once my dad almost became a fireman but didn't because of his horrible vision, so I wanted to maybe do what he didn't. However, I was always short for my age and I felt a good firefighter is someone who can lift and carry the average sized man, which I can not. Maybe I"ll get in shape and become a volunteer firefighter someday. That would fulfill this passion. But I don't think I could ever become a full-time fireman.
- Computer Scientist/Technician
In my late high school years and early college years, I wanted to do something with computers. I was fascinated by them. So as my "major" at Bellevue Community College, I chose Computer Science. My first Computer Science class, CS101, was a blast. I did well and I had a great instructor. However, my next Computer Science Class was nowhere near what I was expecting. It involved a lot of programming (including Javascript and C++), something I couldn't get my mind to understand, no matter how hard I tried. The instructor was not helpful and I ended up doing pretty poorly in the class, as well as not enjoying it. After that class, I gave up on computers, because I don't think I'll ever be able to learn programming and coding.
- Math Teacher
Shortly after giving up Computer Science, I thought about teaching Math because I like math so much. And BCC had an Associate's for Mathematical Education. However, after some thinking, I decided not to do it. I do like teaching, but I get easily frustrated when someone doesn't understand, and I'm still not good speaking in front of groups. Plus, teachers have never been paid well (although they should be).
- Professional singer/entertainer/comedian
I never seriously considered these careers, but if I had the talent, I so would. If I worked hard enough I could be a decent enough of a comedian, but not anyone real well-known. I'd love to be a singer, but my vocal range is very limited (thanks puberty) and my lack of confidence can get to me at times.
- Sports marketing
I would love a career that has to do with sports, because sports is one of my passions. So, I looked into it and I found a school (Full Sail) that offers a Sports Marketing Online degree. I applied and even went through all of the enrollment processes and tasks, but I couldn't officially start, because my heart wasn't in it. Why? Because I just couldn't see myself in it. I also realized that I didn't want to ever dislike sports. I felt like if I got a job in sports marketing and I didn't like it for some reason, then I would start to dislike sports. Sports are something that I can enjoy outside of my work and personal life and I want it to stay that way.
- Professional YouTuber/LP'er
One of the things I really think I could do is being a professional YouTuber. Yeah, I know I harped on Google/YouTube in an earlier post, but I think I would certainly enjoy this and be good at it. I've already put out some LP's (Let's Play's--You play through a game in hopes of having your viewers play along with you), but I would like to do other things, such as pranks, vlogs, and comedy/sketch videos. And it is certainly possible to make a living off of YouTube. One YouTuber I'm subscribed to, Jonathan Paula, makes a living solely off the views and subscribers he gets on YouTube. It helps to have a show ("Is it a Good Idea to Microwave This?") that has a total amount of views over 20 million, but you get my point. However, it's hard to get started and make enough money to support yourself. Also, many would not see this as a smart or viable career choice. It's not something that I've completely shut the book on like other career choices. I'm thinking I'll just keep this as a hobby until one day I do an LP that gets me a boatload of subscribers.
- Writer
One of the more recent careers I've considered is writing. Which type? Hard to say. I feel like I could write anything I needed to, whether it be newspaper/magazine articles, screenwriting, or even novelizations. The thing that's kept me from pursuing this career is I read from a former writer that when he started writing for a newspaper that writing lost its interesting and became a chore more than a hobby. You have to meet deadlines and you have to keep readers interested. Much more stressful a career than it seems. I've watched Californication on Showtime and the character of Hank Moody (played by David Duchovny) is a writer and he seems to hate it. I think I can be a decent enough of a writer, but not so talented that it would get me through all the stress and deadlines.
One of my problems is that I've never striven to be extraordinary. A huge part of me just wants to be ordinary. I want an ordinary family, job, house, life, you name it. I want a normal 9-5 job in a cubicle somewhere, if it'll be enough to get me by. I do feel like I'll make a name for myself someday. What I really want to be more than anything is to be an amazing father. I want my kids to call me the best dad in the world. I want to make them into really incredible people. But in order to do that, I have to get a career where I can afford kids, so that is what I will work on. I want to be a father more than anything, but unfortunately that job doesn't pay. But it pays in terms of life fulfillment, which is something money can't buy. I'll just have to wait until that day comes.
Thursday, July 18, 2013
Tuesday, May 14, 2013
Why I Am Optimistic About the Mariners and their Future
Oh, the Mariners. The team I love talking about the most. Even though the Seahawks are currently doing better, it's hard to decide which team I love more. I love the excitement the Seahawks bring, but the Mariners have a spot in my heart, because when I was an adolescent, they were good. I grew up with Griffey, A-Rod, Edgar, Randy, and Ichiro. I remember the 2001 season very clearly, even though it was half my life ago. I love these guys, and that is why I talk about them so much. I love them even when they lose.
So, that brings me to this post. The Mariners currently sit at 18-20, just a game behind the Oakland A's for 2nd place. Not too shabby for this part of the season. We knew the first few months would be tough, with April having almost no days off and May being almost all on the road. Still have half the month of May to work through, but if these guys can hang around .500 until the end of the month, they'll have a shot.
But it's not this season I am particularly excited about. It's the future. I said in a previous blog post that I would honestly and seriously stop caring about this team if they don't contend by 2015 or if they don't have a bright future by then (in other words, a judgment call). I think I will remain a fan of this team, and here's why.
This team is filled with talent. We already know about the Big Three (or Four, if you count Maurer). But there is also some talent in hitting as well. Nick Franklin could end up being the 2nd base answer we've been looking for if Ackley doesn't pan out. Carlos Triunfel looks to finally be ready for the bigs and could be the next Miguel Tejada (without the controversy). I'm excited about Carlos Peguero, who reminds me of a left-handed hitting Sammy Sosa. And of course, there's the #2 overall pick from last year, catcher Mike Zunino. Combine those guys with the guys we have now (who may or may not make it), such as Smoak, Ackley, Saunders, Seager, Montero, etc., and I think we'll be very competitive come 2015 or so.
There of course is the disappointment of Smoak, Ackley, and Montero. Not one of them has performed up to expectations yet. Each was acquired by Jack Zduriencik at great expense, two coming in costly trades where we gave up a very good pitcher, and one coming as the #2 overall pick. Not all prospects pan out, of course. But for every guy that should pan out and don't, there are guys that shouldn't pan out that do. Tom Wilhelmsen came out of nowhere. Kyle Seager wasn't expected to be a complete every day third baseman, yet he is. Michael Saunders was thought to have been mediocre at best, but he keeps getting better.
We also have the makings of the future best bullpen in baseball. Stephen Pryor, Carter Capps, and Yoervis Medina could all someday be All-Star relievers, with one or more of them being a closer at one point.
I'm excited about the future for this team. I'll be even more excited if we make a playoff push this season, or finish close to 2nd in the division. I'm curious as to how our lineup will turn out. Here's what I predict, come 2015 or so:
1. Brad Miller, SS
2. Carlos Triunfel, 3B
3. Kyle Seager, 1B
4. Michael Morse/Jesus Montero/Kendrys Morales, DH
5. Michael Saunders, CF
6. Mike Zunino, C
7. Free Agent Acquisition, LF/RF
8. Julio Morban/Leon Landry, LF/RF
9. Nick Franklin, 2B
And our rotation:
1. Felix Hernandez, RHP
2. Free Agent LHP/Joe Saunders, LHP
3. Brandon Maurer, RHP
4. Danny Paxton, LHP
5. James Paxton/Taijaun Walker, LHP/RHP
Still a lot to take shape over the next couple years. You might've noticed I didn't include Ackley or Smoak, and I only included Montero as a possibility. I just don't see how they can pan out at this point, although if they did, that would certainly be a plus. All I can see is us trading them for other players.
I'm excited, not just to see us succeed hopefully in the next few seasons, but also excited to see how our team takes shape. It was such a wonder to see the current Seahawks team take shape. I think what this team needs most is a hitter that is a leader in the clubhouse. The team already has a leader and pitcher in Felix Hernandez, but what we really need is a leader and a hitter. We had tons of those guys in the late 90's and early 2000's. We might have to get a high profile free agent come 2015 or so, but pair them with the young studs we'll have by then and this team could be very, very good. I can't wait.
So, that brings me to this post. The Mariners currently sit at 18-20, just a game behind the Oakland A's for 2nd place. Not too shabby for this part of the season. We knew the first few months would be tough, with April having almost no days off and May being almost all on the road. Still have half the month of May to work through, but if these guys can hang around .500 until the end of the month, they'll have a shot.
But it's not this season I am particularly excited about. It's the future. I said in a previous blog post that I would honestly and seriously stop caring about this team if they don't contend by 2015 or if they don't have a bright future by then (in other words, a judgment call). I think I will remain a fan of this team, and here's why.
This team is filled with talent. We already know about the Big Three (or Four, if you count Maurer). But there is also some talent in hitting as well. Nick Franklin could end up being the 2nd base answer we've been looking for if Ackley doesn't pan out. Carlos Triunfel looks to finally be ready for the bigs and could be the next Miguel Tejada (without the controversy). I'm excited about Carlos Peguero, who reminds me of a left-handed hitting Sammy Sosa. And of course, there's the #2 overall pick from last year, catcher Mike Zunino. Combine those guys with the guys we have now (who may or may not make it), such as Smoak, Ackley, Saunders, Seager, Montero, etc., and I think we'll be very competitive come 2015 or so.
There of course is the disappointment of Smoak, Ackley, and Montero. Not one of them has performed up to expectations yet. Each was acquired by Jack Zduriencik at great expense, two coming in costly trades where we gave up a very good pitcher, and one coming as the #2 overall pick. Not all prospects pan out, of course. But for every guy that should pan out and don't, there are guys that shouldn't pan out that do. Tom Wilhelmsen came out of nowhere. Kyle Seager wasn't expected to be a complete every day third baseman, yet he is. Michael Saunders was thought to have been mediocre at best, but he keeps getting better.
We also have the makings of the future best bullpen in baseball. Stephen Pryor, Carter Capps, and Yoervis Medina could all someday be All-Star relievers, with one or more of them being a closer at one point.
I'm excited about the future for this team. I'll be even more excited if we make a playoff push this season, or finish close to 2nd in the division. I'm curious as to how our lineup will turn out. Here's what I predict, come 2015 or so:
1. Brad Miller, SS
2. Carlos Triunfel, 3B
3. Kyle Seager, 1B
4. Michael Morse/Jesus Montero/Kendrys Morales, DH
5. Michael Saunders, CF
6. Mike Zunino, C
7. Free Agent Acquisition, LF/RF
8. Julio Morban/Leon Landry, LF/RF
9. Nick Franklin, 2B
And our rotation:
1. Felix Hernandez, RHP
2. Free Agent LHP/Joe Saunders, LHP
3. Brandon Maurer, RHP
4. Danny Paxton, LHP
5. James Paxton/Taijaun Walker, LHP/RHP
Still a lot to take shape over the next couple years. You might've noticed I didn't include Ackley or Smoak, and I only included Montero as a possibility. I just don't see how they can pan out at this point, although if they did, that would certainly be a plus. All I can see is us trading them for other players.
I'm excited, not just to see us succeed hopefully in the next few seasons, but also excited to see how our team takes shape. It was such a wonder to see the current Seahawks team take shape. I think what this team needs most is a hitter that is a leader in the clubhouse. The team already has a leader and pitcher in Felix Hernandez, but what we really need is a leader and a hitter. We had tons of those guys in the late 90's and early 2000's. We might have to get a high profile free agent come 2015 or so, but pair them with the young studs we'll have by then and this team could be very, very good. I can't wait.
Tuesday, April 16, 2013
Current Seattle Mariners Issues, Part 2
Last year, I did a blog on issues and questions surrounding the team (see it at
http://briguy17-briguy17.blogspot.com/2012/06/current-seattle-mariner-issues.html). While it may be a bit premature to do one
this year, I still feel there are already a ton of questions and issues
surrounding this year's team. Here they
are:
Should Wedge be fired?
If the Mariners regress and have fewer wins than last year, then yes. This team has more talent and experience than last year's team, and if they aren't able to improve, it comes down to coaching. The only way these guys will get going is if Wedge is able to light a fire under them and keep them motivated and confident. Wedge seems like a good coach for a team that's already good, but not a good coach for a team trying to improve.
What if guys like Ackley, Smoak, and Montero don't perform this year? What should we do with them?
Each of those three players was highly regarded when we acquired them and we gave up a lot to get each. In Ackley, we used our 2nd overall pick to get him. The last time the Mariners drafted that high they got Alex Rodriguez. In Smoak we traded Cliff Lee, and in Montero we traded Michael Pineda who made the All-Star team in his first year as a starter.
If Ackley struggles (bad enough), I expect him to be sent down to work on his mechanics. The team won't give up on their 2nd overall pick so easily. If he can't improve anywhere by the end of the season, I would expect a trade of some sort in the offseason.
If Smoak struggles, he could be traded before the trade deadline this season. He could also be benched and only given spot duty for the rest of the season (put Morales at first and Montero at DH). If he can't improve, he won't be given a shot next season. He's had his chances.
If Montero struggles, I look for them to move him back to DH so he can focus solely on hitting. Which means if Montero struggles it could mean the end for Smoak. If Montero still struggles at DH the team could demote him or trade him in the offseason.
It would be such a shame to have to do any of those things. It's also such a shame that none of them have panned out yet. Hopefully at least one will.
When should the Mariners call up Mike Zunino?
When he's ready. He has to understand the game of baseball, get some experience. It also depends on how Montero and Smoak do in the bigs. If they struggle and Zunino does really well at Tacoma, we'll have no choice but to promote him. If come May, those things are true, then promote him. Don't wait until August.
Which of the "Big Three" if any, will appear in the majors this year?
Maybe not any. While they were having success for a while, the pitching trio of Paxton, Walker, and Hultzen have sort of struggled recently. There's still plenty of time to improve, but I could see Hultzen making his big-league debut with the September call-ups. Paxton and Walker might take more time.
Is this Jack Zduriencik's last chance?
It just might well be. Of course, if the team shows improvement, he will remain as GM. But if the Mariners regress and possibly (heaven forbid) finish behind the Astros, he's probably gone. If the M's do poorly enough, both he and Wedgie will be shown the door, and the team will start over... AGAIN.
Anyone going to be trade bait this season?
Smoak could be packaged in a deal if he struggles. If the team struggles and decides to sell, then Brendan Ryan could go to a contender looking for a shortstop. Gutierrez could be gone if the team decides they can't put up with his injuries anymore. But the most likely to be traded is Brendan.
Mariners All-Star(s)?
Obviously Felix, if he pitches like his usual self. Morse could be a selection if he continues raking like he has. Stephen Pryor has had a great start and could make it if he is able to continue his dominance into June. Other than that, anyone else would be a bit of a surprise.
Ok, so how will they do this season?
Too soon to tell. As I write this, they are 6-8. Not horrible, because one more win and the team is at .500. The team has suffered early injuries to Guti, Morse, Saunders AND Pryor, so if they can get healthy and stay healthy, we should be in good shape. A tough month of May looms, but if they can stay near .500 throughout May, they have a shot... at improvement. Go Mariners.
Should Wedge be fired?
If the Mariners regress and have fewer wins than last year, then yes. This team has more talent and experience than last year's team, and if they aren't able to improve, it comes down to coaching. The only way these guys will get going is if Wedge is able to light a fire under them and keep them motivated and confident. Wedge seems like a good coach for a team that's already good, but not a good coach for a team trying to improve.
What if guys like Ackley, Smoak, and Montero don't perform this year? What should we do with them?
Each of those three players was highly regarded when we acquired them and we gave up a lot to get each. In Ackley, we used our 2nd overall pick to get him. The last time the Mariners drafted that high they got Alex Rodriguez. In Smoak we traded Cliff Lee, and in Montero we traded Michael Pineda who made the All-Star team in his first year as a starter.
If Ackley struggles (bad enough), I expect him to be sent down to work on his mechanics. The team won't give up on their 2nd overall pick so easily. If he can't improve anywhere by the end of the season, I would expect a trade of some sort in the offseason.
If Smoak struggles, he could be traded before the trade deadline this season. He could also be benched and only given spot duty for the rest of the season (put Morales at first and Montero at DH). If he can't improve, he won't be given a shot next season. He's had his chances.
If Montero struggles, I look for them to move him back to DH so he can focus solely on hitting. Which means if Montero struggles it could mean the end for Smoak. If Montero still struggles at DH the team could demote him or trade him in the offseason.
It would be such a shame to have to do any of those things. It's also such a shame that none of them have panned out yet. Hopefully at least one will.
When should the Mariners call up Mike Zunino?
When he's ready. He has to understand the game of baseball, get some experience. It also depends on how Montero and Smoak do in the bigs. If they struggle and Zunino does really well at Tacoma, we'll have no choice but to promote him. If come May, those things are true, then promote him. Don't wait until August.
Which of the "Big Three" if any, will appear in the majors this year?
Maybe not any. While they were having success for a while, the pitching trio of Paxton, Walker, and Hultzen have sort of struggled recently. There's still plenty of time to improve, but I could see Hultzen making his big-league debut with the September call-ups. Paxton and Walker might take more time.
Is this Jack Zduriencik's last chance?
It just might well be. Of course, if the team shows improvement, he will remain as GM. But if the Mariners regress and possibly (heaven forbid) finish behind the Astros, he's probably gone. If the M's do poorly enough, both he and Wedgie will be shown the door, and the team will start over... AGAIN.
Anyone going to be trade bait this season?
Smoak could be packaged in a deal if he struggles. If the team struggles and decides to sell, then Brendan Ryan could go to a contender looking for a shortstop. Gutierrez could be gone if the team decides they can't put up with his injuries anymore. But the most likely to be traded is Brendan.
Mariners All-Star(s)?
Obviously Felix, if he pitches like his usual self. Morse could be a selection if he continues raking like he has. Stephen Pryor has had a great start and could make it if he is able to continue his dominance into June. Other than that, anyone else would be a bit of a surprise.
Ok, so how will they do this season?
Too soon to tell. As I write this, they are 6-8. Not horrible, because one more win and the team is at .500. The team has suffered early injuries to Guti, Morse, Saunders AND Pryor, so if they can get healthy and stay healthy, we should be in good shape. A tough month of May looms, but if they can stay near .500 throughout May, they have a shot... at improvement. Go Mariners.
Thursday, March 7, 2013
2013 Seattle Mariners Predictions
Edited to include players more likely to make roster, name's are in RED.
With my 2013 MLB Predictions already out, it is time to stick to my favorite team, the Seattle Mariners, and talk about how they will do this year. I have already predicted a record of 79-83, which would be an improvement of 4 games. We'd like to see more improvement than that, but I just don't see it happening until either the Rangers or Angels become mediocre/bad again. I just think 79-83 is a good benchmark for this season. If they do worse than that, then I would not consider it a successful season. If they do better, then I would consider it a successful season. Like I've done previous years, I will go over each potential player for the 25 man roster and at the end I'll pick who will lead the team in certain categories. First, the hitters:
Catchers:
Jesus Montero - .260 avg, 29 home runs, 91 RBI
I expect Montero to have a better season than last. He should start almost every game, most at catcher. He may even see time at 1st base. I'd like to see him at the #5 spot in the order. I feel that's a spot in the order without too much pressure on it.
Kelly Shoppach - .250 avg, 5 home runs, 20 RBI
Shoppach will only see spot duty as the backup catcher this year, and with the youngster Mike Zunino waiting in the wings (and probably promoted this season), Shoppach could be on his way out before the end of the season. I highly doubt he'll be this year's John Jaso.
Infielders:
Dustin Ackley - .300 avg, 15 home runs, 51 RBI
I expect this to be a breakout season for Dustin. He doesn't have to hit too many home runs. He worked on his batting mechanics a lot this offseason, and he is willing to do anything to improve on his dreadful previous season. I may be too optimistic with my .300 batting average prediction, but if anyone on this team is going to hit .300 or better, it's him. He's a guy who could someday earn a batting title--if he gets his act together.
Robert Andino - .240 avg, 2 HR, 12 RBI
I don't expect much from Andino this season. He's virtually the replacement for Munenori Kawasaki and he will put up similar numbers. He'll primarily be used to give guys like Ackley, Seager, and Ryan days off.
Kendrys Morales - .270 avg, 21 HR, 95 RBI
Morales is a much-welcomed addition to this hitting-deprived team. He will be a middle of the order mainstay this season, so I expect 20+ HR and 80+ RBI this season from him. Hopefully he will make the Vargas-Morales trade look like a good move by Jack Zduriencik.
Brendan Ryan - .230 avg, 10 HR, 45 RBI
I don't know why we continue to go with Ryan other than his defense. He is a below average hitter and always is found at the bottom of the lineup card. However, he is a defensive wizard who actually makes guys around him (Seager, Ackley) play better defense too. I definitely feel I am being generous with my offensive prediction for him, but he might surprise us.
Kyle Seager - .260 avg, 18 HR, 60 RBI
I think Kyle has a limited ceiling. What I mean by that is I think he played his best baseball last season. Let's hope not. I want to believe he can hit even better. Maybe with talent around him in the lineup he can get even better. Let's hope he doesn't have to carry the team offensively again.
Justin Smoak - .250 avg, 24 HR, 72 RBI
It's time for the big southern guy to step up. We traded Cliff Lee to get this guy. I would love to be surprised and see him hit .270 with 30+ HR and 100+ RBI, but I feel that is being too optimistic. I think this year is his final time to prove to everyone in the organization he can be an everyday starting 1st baseman.
Outfielders:
Jason Bay - .210 avg, 2 HR, 12 RBI
I don't expect Jason to play much, if at all this season. I may be wrong. But if he does make the opening day roster, he may not last too long. You can't keep washed-up players for too long wasting a roster spot, which is something the Mariners have been notorious for the past decade.
Franklin Gutierrez - .280 avg, 15 HR, 65 RBI
This guy simply cannot catch a break. It's not that he's injury prone (technically he is). It's that he is unlucky. Getting beaned in the head while going back to first on a pickoff attempt. Having stomach problems. He needs to just get a healthy season in. And this year, I believe he will and he will put up some decent numbers.
Raul Ibanez - .260 avg, 12 HR, 32 RBI
Raul is something of a wild card with this team. He could not even make the team. He could make the team and only be used as a bat off the bench. Or he could start at least half of the team's games. No one really knows at this point. I'll go with the middle option, having him as a bat off the bench (and occasional DH).
Michael Morse - .275 avg, 20 HR, 65 RBI
I think Morse's numbers will go down now that he is back in the unfriendly hitters confines of Safeco Field. But even with the above numbers that I predicted, he will still be a good middle of the order bat. There just seems to be a logjam of corner outfielders/1st basemen/DH's.
Michael Saunders - .280 avg, 25 HR, 91 RBI
I think the Canadian Condor will have a breakout season. He will get most of his starts in right field and I think it's his time. The fences have been brought in, and he will utilize every bit of the Safeco Field... field. I also think participating in the World Baseball Classic will give him a little bit more motivation for this season.
Casper Wells - .240 avg, 5 HR, 17 RBI
I don't see Casper having much playing time this year for some reason. He's a decent player and a heck of a 4th outfielder, but he's run out of options. I'm thinking someone else will pick him up this year. Only time will tell.
Starting Pitchers:
Felix Hernandez - 17-12, 3.23 ERA
I see Felix having a very decent, but not oustanding season. He will of course lead the ballclub in many pitching statistics, but it'll be a season just shy of Cy Young consideration.
Joe Saunders - 12-12, 4.20 ERA
Saunders will step in as the #2 on this team and will put up Vargas-like numbers (which is slightly above average).
Hisashi Iwakuma - 13-10, 3.45 ERA
Iwakuma is going to be consistent this year, hopefully. We resigned him for good reason. He's probably a good #4 or 5, but until one of our big three emerge (Hultzen, Walker, Paxton), Iwakuma has to be a #3.
Brandon Maurer - 4-7, 4.69 ERA
I believe Brandon will have an up and down season. He will have really good starts, but he will have really bad starts, too. More of the latter, I am afraid. But him being up in the bigs gives one of the big three time to develop in the minors.
Blake Beavan - 9-12, 4.34 ERA
My same day birthday buddy (Both of us were born January 17, 1989) apparently worked on his mechanics. I'm worried, though, because Beavan is a flyball pitcher who gives up a lot of home runs, and we just moved the fences in at Safeco. Just keep the ball down, Blake.
Previously included: Jon Garland, Erasmo Ramirez
Bullpen (No stats except for the closer):
Charlie Furbush
Furbush did really well in the relief role last season, when he was healthy. I think he'll be continued to be used as a situational lefty and occasional two inning guy. His best spot clearly is the bullpen.
Josh Kinney
Starts the year on the 60 Day DL
Kameron Loe
Many consider him mediocre, but he has pitched in Texas for a lot of his career. I think he'll settle down more in Seattle.
Lucas Luetge
Here's a guy who could be a dominant LOOGY (Lefty One-Out Guy). He is still pretty young so he can only get better.
Stephen Pryor and Carter Capps
I expect big things from both of these guys in the bullpen. They both have great stuff and they're both young. Someday, one of these guys will be our closer. The question is though: Which one?
Oliver Perez
We almost have too many lefties in the pen, but I guess better to have too many than too few. Oliver Perez, a former starter, has shown he is definitely better suited for the bullpen now. Heck, if the rotation suffered a lot of injuries, I'm sure he could step in if need be.
Tom Wilhelmsen, 37 saves, 3.01 ERA
Here's hoping he has just as good 2013 as he did 2012. Wilhelmsen stepped in for League last year at closer and did marvelously. But he's got a couple of young arms in Capps and Pryor waiting in the wings. If Tom struggles, Wedge might be quick to put Pryor or Capps in as closer, especially if one of those two pitch well enough.
Alright, now that you know how each player will do, here's the lineup I expect to be the most-used (or at least the opening day one):
1. Michael Saunders, LF
2. Franklin Gutierrez, CF
3. Kendrys Morales, DH
4. Michael Morse, RF
5. Jesus Montero, C
6. Justin Smoak, 1B
7. Kyle Seager, 3B
8. Dustin Ackley, 2B
9. Brendan Ryan, SS
Bench:
Robert Andino, INF
Raul Ibanez, OF/DH
Kelly Shoppach, C
Casper Wells/Jason Bay, OF
Now, for the statistical leaders, in case you couldn't gather it from above:
HR leader: Jesus Montero
RBI leader: Kendrys Morales
Avg. leader: Dustin Ackley
Stolen Bases leader: Michael Saunders
Pitching wins leader: Felix Hernandez
Strikeouts: Felix Hernandez
Saves: Tom Wilhelmsen
Now, some of my personal awards, just for the fun of it:
John Jaso unsung hero award: Raul Ibanez
Kyle Seager breakout star: Michael Saunders
Carl Everett/Milton Bradley waste of space award: Jason Bay
Brandon League unreliable pitcher award: Kameron Loe
Rookie of the Year: Danny Hultzen
Clutch hitter award: Dustin Ackley
Well, let's hope for a positive 2013. I expect the hitting to be improved with perhaps the pitching taking a step down. If everyone is able to play to their potential, this is a 2012 A's type dark horse team. This team really could surprise people and make a run for the playoffs just like the 2012 Oakland A's did. I'm looking at the lineup, and having Michael Saunders hitting 8th is making it looking like a stacked lineup. Haven't been able to say that for a while. Here's to 2013! GO MARINERS!
Tuesday, March 5, 2013
My 2013 Major League Baseball Predictions
Well, it's already March so that means that spring training is underway in
baseball and it's time for my predictions for the 2013 MLB season. First off will be my predictions for all the
teams, awards, and post-season (including my pick for World Series Champs). I correctly predicted the Giants to win the
World Series last year. We'll see if I
can make it two straight. We'll start
with the NL East and head west, so that I do the AL West last.
NL East
1. Atlanta Braves, 97-65
I think the Braves are going to be scary good this year. They have an outfield full of Uptons (and a Heyward), they have Freddie Freeman who, with a consistent season could even garner NL MVP talk, and they have the best closer in baseball right now in Craig Kimbrel.
2. Washington Nationals, 91-71 (Wild Card)
I see a dropoff year for the Nationals, if ever so slightly. I think Bryce Harper will have a Mike Trout type season and get some MVP consideration. Strasburg should be fresh and ready having sat out last postseason. I think the Braves' talent is more ready to win the division this year, but the Nationals are strong enough to get the Wild Card.
3. New York Mets, 80-82
I think the Mets will have a lot of positives this season, but they still have a ways to go before contending again. This season will definitely be seen as moving in the right direction for them, but signing so many oft-injured has-been in recent years has really set them back.
4. Philadelphia Phillies, 80-82
What happened to the Phillies? Used to be perennial pennant contenders. Now, they are barely a .500 team. I'll tell you what happened: Age caught up with them. They will have to undergo a youth movement which has sort of started, but they have a ways to go.
5. Miami Marlins, 73-89
Boy, what a letdown year last season, which I correctly predicted. You can't have too many egos on one team. The Marlins underwent a massive overhaul this offseason, including their coach. But something tells me they could be slightly better than last year. At least they still have Giancarlo Stanton. They just have to hope he stays healthy. Getting beaned by a ball in spring training is not a good sign for Stanton.
NL Central
1. Cincinnati Reds, 88-74
Despite no longer having the Astros to beat up on, I think the Reds will have fewer wins this year, due to increased competition from other NL teams. I see the NL Central being a tight race all season long. I expect Joey Votto to return to near his usual form.
2. St. Louis Cardinals, 86-76 (tied for Wild card)
Somehow this team CAN survive without Pujols. And they almost made it to the World Series, being up 3 to 1 to the Giants. I don't see a repeat of success this year. But I'll have a major league first this year: Two teams tied for the 2nd wild card spot.
3. Pittsburgh Pirates, 82-80
And, on the final game of the season against the Reds, the Pirates pull off a miracle and secure a winning season for the first time in 21 years. They are definitely a team on the rise, and if there ever is a time to break the streak of losing seasons, now is the time.
4. Milwaukee Brewers, 80-82
I told you this would be a tight race, with the 4th place team only 8 games back at the end of the season. I don't know what it is about the Brewers, but they just don't scream post-season. I don't see any sort of awful season for them, but there is just too much competition in the NL Central.
5. Chicago Cubs, 69-93
And then there are the Cubs. The good ol' Cubbies. Well, someday, they will again contend for the NL Central crown, and it doesn't hurt to have one less team to compete against. But someone has gotta be in last place and every other team in their division just have too much talent.
NL West
1. Los Angeles Dodgers, 95-67
The Dodgers lavish amount of spending will finally pay off in a division title. Sorry, Giants fans, but I think 2013 will be the Dodgers year, at least in the regular season. Matt Kemp, Adrian Gonzalez, Hanley Ramirez, Andre Eithier, and Carl Crawford all in the same lineup? Yes please. Oh and the signing of Zack Grienke should give them an ace to carry them throughout the season.
2. San Francisco Giants, 86-76 (tied for wild card)
The Giants come off their championship run with another solid season, but one that they just manage to squeak in to the post-season. I think the Giants will have trouble with the Dodgers next season, so a 2nd place finish would be the landing place I see them in.
3. Arizona Diamondbacks, 79-83
The Diamondbacks had a letdown season after their great 2011 run, but I just don't see them climbing back up. They just don't have the talent. They traded away Justin Upton, so they have even less talent. I don't see a last place finish for the D-Backs, but a first or even second place finish would be quite a surprise.
4. Colorado Rockies, 77-85
I see the Rockies having a bounceback season from last, when they finished dead last in the NL West. I think CarGo and Tulo will regain their hitting prowess and make the Rockies one of the NL's best hitting teams again. But, like always, they have to work on their pitching.
5. San Diego Padres, 62-100
I don't know what it is about these guys, but I just can't see many wins this year from them. Someone has got to lose a ton of games in the NL, and this year I'm picking the Padres. Worst team in baseball? No. Worst team in the NL? Possibly.
AL East
1. Baltimore Orioles, 89-73
Who would have thought a couple years ago that the Orioles would have any shot of a division crown? They have arguably some of the best young talent in the division. The AL East, in my opinion, is the hardest division to predict for 2013. I'll pick the young O birds to come out in top. A good 12 months for Baltimore sports teams.
2. Tampa Bay Rays, 88-74 (Wild card)
What? No Red Sox OR Yankees in the top 2 in the AL East?! That has to be a first, right? No, but it hasn't happened in 21 years. There is too much young hitting with the O's and too much good young pitching with the Rays. They will barely miss the division, but get a wild card.
3. New York Yankees, 81-81
The Yankees without a winning record. Hasn't happened since 1992. But with injuries (Jeter), age (Rivera, Pettitte), and scandal (A-Rod) surrounding the team, I can see it happening. I know it's probably Mariano Rivera's last season, but I just don't see how he can have his dominant stuff. No storybook ending for him.
4. Toronto Blue Jays, 79-83
While I'd like to give the Blue Jays a better record, I just can't. They had probably the best offseason of any team, getting RA Dickey, Melky Cabrera, and Mark Buehrle. But like I've said earlier, too much talent in this division.
5. Boston Red Sox, 75-87
The turnaround won't happen overnight, even for the BoSox. New manager John Farrell won't do much, and with the BoSox not selling out all their games this year like they usually do, fan support will be down. But they'll come back, obviously. Just not this year.
AL Central
1. Detroit Tigers, 95-67
The reigning AL Champs will have an even better regular season than last, motivated by their loss in the World Series to the Giants. If they stay healthy and motivated, they're one of the best teams in the AL. Verlander will more than likely dominate again.
2. Cleveland Indians, 85-77
The Indians are my surprise pick for 2013, with 17 more wins than last year. They play in a division that isn't too difficult, and they made some great moves in the offseason, the best probably being hiring Terry Francona as manager. The Indians will break out and give the Tigers some competition, not just this year, but for years to come.
3. Chicago White Sox, 81-81
The ChiSox always seem to hover between mediocrity and decent for years and years. This year, I expect mediocrity. With the Indians breaking out, someone has to slide down in the division a bit, and that would be the White Sox.
4. Kansas City Royals, 75-87
The AL equivalent of the Pirates (Former contending team now a laughingstock), the Royals will have another ho-hum season. They made very few moves in the offseason and could have gotten a big haul of prospects for Billy Butler, but I guess the Royals have renounced their ways of letting good players go and just trying to hang with them.
5. Minnesota Twins, 67-95
Wow, an improvement of ONE game! What a turnaround! Joe Mauer for MVP! In all seriousness, however, the Twinkies will need more than a new park to return to prevalence.
AL West
1. Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim, 99-63
2013 will be the year for Los Angeles area baseball teams. The Angels were really mad after being TWO SPOTS behind the low-payroll Oakland A's last year. The same won't happen again. Hamilton, Pujols, Trout, and co. (Wow that's a lot of talent) will muscle their way to a division crown.
2. Texas Rangers, 90-72 (Wild Card)
Losing Hamilton will hurt. His presence, more than anything was felt throughout the clubhouse. Who is the big star of this team now? Elvis Andrus? Yu Darvish? Despite that, they will continue to compete and earn a wild card berth.
3. Oakland Athletics, 83-79
The A's do have a lot of good young players, but even the biggest of A's fans would admit last year had to do a bit with luck. Alas, their luck ran out and they lost to the Tigers in the division series. They will get back to that level some year, but not 2013.
4. Seattle Mariners, 79-83
Finally. Our Seattle Mariners. It just seems we are so slowly inching our way toward prevalence. Who knew the rebuilding process could take so freaking long? Nevertheless, I'll take an improved record any day. We just have to wait until one of our AL West contenders falls on their face, similar to the 2012 Boston Red Sox. But hey, at least we won't be in last place!
5. Houston Astros, 52-110
The Astros are such a laughingstock right now. Only one guy is making a million or more. Quick, name five Houston Astros players! I can only name one: Jose Altuve, only because he was their All-Star last season. It's odd to see a last place team 27 games behind.... the 4th place team, but it could happen. They might not beat the Angels or Rangers once this year.
2013 MLB Post-Season Predictions
Tie-breakers and wild cards:
NL Wild Card tiebreaker: Giants over Cardinals
NL Wild Card: Nationals over Giants
AL Wild Card: Rays over Rangers
Divisional Round:
NL: Nationals over Braves
Dodgers over Reds
AL: Angels over Rays
Tigers over Orioles
NL Championship: Nationals over Dodgers
AL Championship: Angels over Tigers
World Series: Angels over Nationals, 4-1
Award winners:
AL MVP: Mike Trout, Angels
NL MVP: Stephen Strasburg, Nationals
AL Cy Young: David Price, Rays
NL Cy Young: Stephen Strasburg, Nationals
AL Coach: Terry Francona, Indians
NL Coach: Fredi Gonzalez, Braves
AL Rookie: Wil Myers, Rays
NL Rookie: Darin Ruf, Phillies
There you have it. Again I pick a California team to win it all, but hey, I'm slightly west-cost biased. The Nationals advance to the World Series to make the Seattle Mariners the only current team to have never gone to the World Series. Congrats, Angels. Up next: My predictions for the Seattle Mariners.
NL East
1. Atlanta Braves, 97-65
I think the Braves are going to be scary good this year. They have an outfield full of Uptons (and a Heyward), they have Freddie Freeman who, with a consistent season could even garner NL MVP talk, and they have the best closer in baseball right now in Craig Kimbrel.
2. Washington Nationals, 91-71 (Wild Card)
I see a dropoff year for the Nationals, if ever so slightly. I think Bryce Harper will have a Mike Trout type season and get some MVP consideration. Strasburg should be fresh and ready having sat out last postseason. I think the Braves' talent is more ready to win the division this year, but the Nationals are strong enough to get the Wild Card.
3. New York Mets, 80-82
I think the Mets will have a lot of positives this season, but they still have a ways to go before contending again. This season will definitely be seen as moving in the right direction for them, but signing so many oft-injured has-been in recent years has really set them back.
4. Philadelphia Phillies, 80-82
What happened to the Phillies? Used to be perennial pennant contenders. Now, they are barely a .500 team. I'll tell you what happened: Age caught up with them. They will have to undergo a youth movement which has sort of started, but they have a ways to go.
5. Miami Marlins, 73-89
Boy, what a letdown year last season, which I correctly predicted. You can't have too many egos on one team. The Marlins underwent a massive overhaul this offseason, including their coach. But something tells me they could be slightly better than last year. At least they still have Giancarlo Stanton. They just have to hope he stays healthy. Getting beaned by a ball in spring training is not a good sign for Stanton.
NL Central
1. Cincinnati Reds, 88-74
Despite no longer having the Astros to beat up on, I think the Reds will have fewer wins this year, due to increased competition from other NL teams. I see the NL Central being a tight race all season long. I expect Joey Votto to return to near his usual form.
2. St. Louis Cardinals, 86-76 (tied for Wild card)
Somehow this team CAN survive without Pujols. And they almost made it to the World Series, being up 3 to 1 to the Giants. I don't see a repeat of success this year. But I'll have a major league first this year: Two teams tied for the 2nd wild card spot.
3. Pittsburgh Pirates, 82-80
And, on the final game of the season against the Reds, the Pirates pull off a miracle and secure a winning season for the first time in 21 years. They are definitely a team on the rise, and if there ever is a time to break the streak of losing seasons, now is the time.
4. Milwaukee Brewers, 80-82
I told you this would be a tight race, with the 4th place team only 8 games back at the end of the season. I don't know what it is about the Brewers, but they just don't scream post-season. I don't see any sort of awful season for them, but there is just too much competition in the NL Central.
5. Chicago Cubs, 69-93
And then there are the Cubs. The good ol' Cubbies. Well, someday, they will again contend for the NL Central crown, and it doesn't hurt to have one less team to compete against. But someone has gotta be in last place and every other team in their division just have too much talent.
NL West
1. Los Angeles Dodgers, 95-67
The Dodgers lavish amount of spending will finally pay off in a division title. Sorry, Giants fans, but I think 2013 will be the Dodgers year, at least in the regular season. Matt Kemp, Adrian Gonzalez, Hanley Ramirez, Andre Eithier, and Carl Crawford all in the same lineup? Yes please. Oh and the signing of Zack Grienke should give them an ace to carry them throughout the season.
2. San Francisco Giants, 86-76 (tied for wild card)
The Giants come off their championship run with another solid season, but one that they just manage to squeak in to the post-season. I think the Giants will have trouble with the Dodgers next season, so a 2nd place finish would be the landing place I see them in.
3. Arizona Diamondbacks, 79-83
The Diamondbacks had a letdown season after their great 2011 run, but I just don't see them climbing back up. They just don't have the talent. They traded away Justin Upton, so they have even less talent. I don't see a last place finish for the D-Backs, but a first or even second place finish would be quite a surprise.
4. Colorado Rockies, 77-85
I see the Rockies having a bounceback season from last, when they finished dead last in the NL West. I think CarGo and Tulo will regain their hitting prowess and make the Rockies one of the NL's best hitting teams again. But, like always, they have to work on their pitching.
5. San Diego Padres, 62-100
I don't know what it is about these guys, but I just can't see many wins this year from them. Someone has got to lose a ton of games in the NL, and this year I'm picking the Padres. Worst team in baseball? No. Worst team in the NL? Possibly.
AL East
1. Baltimore Orioles, 89-73
Who would have thought a couple years ago that the Orioles would have any shot of a division crown? They have arguably some of the best young talent in the division. The AL East, in my opinion, is the hardest division to predict for 2013. I'll pick the young O birds to come out in top. A good 12 months for Baltimore sports teams.
2. Tampa Bay Rays, 88-74 (Wild card)
What? No Red Sox OR Yankees in the top 2 in the AL East?! That has to be a first, right? No, but it hasn't happened in 21 years. There is too much young hitting with the O's and too much good young pitching with the Rays. They will barely miss the division, but get a wild card.
3. New York Yankees, 81-81
The Yankees without a winning record. Hasn't happened since 1992. But with injuries (Jeter), age (Rivera, Pettitte), and scandal (A-Rod) surrounding the team, I can see it happening. I know it's probably Mariano Rivera's last season, but I just don't see how he can have his dominant stuff. No storybook ending for him.
4. Toronto Blue Jays, 79-83
While I'd like to give the Blue Jays a better record, I just can't. They had probably the best offseason of any team, getting RA Dickey, Melky Cabrera, and Mark Buehrle. But like I've said earlier, too much talent in this division.
5. Boston Red Sox, 75-87
The turnaround won't happen overnight, even for the BoSox. New manager John Farrell won't do much, and with the BoSox not selling out all their games this year like they usually do, fan support will be down. But they'll come back, obviously. Just not this year.
AL Central
1. Detroit Tigers, 95-67
The reigning AL Champs will have an even better regular season than last, motivated by their loss in the World Series to the Giants. If they stay healthy and motivated, they're one of the best teams in the AL. Verlander will more than likely dominate again.
2. Cleveland Indians, 85-77
The Indians are my surprise pick for 2013, with 17 more wins than last year. They play in a division that isn't too difficult, and they made some great moves in the offseason, the best probably being hiring Terry Francona as manager. The Indians will break out and give the Tigers some competition, not just this year, but for years to come.
3. Chicago White Sox, 81-81
The ChiSox always seem to hover between mediocrity and decent for years and years. This year, I expect mediocrity. With the Indians breaking out, someone has to slide down in the division a bit, and that would be the White Sox.
4. Kansas City Royals, 75-87
The AL equivalent of the Pirates (Former contending team now a laughingstock), the Royals will have another ho-hum season. They made very few moves in the offseason and could have gotten a big haul of prospects for Billy Butler, but I guess the Royals have renounced their ways of letting good players go and just trying to hang with them.
5. Minnesota Twins, 67-95
Wow, an improvement of ONE game! What a turnaround! Joe Mauer for MVP! In all seriousness, however, the Twinkies will need more than a new park to return to prevalence.
AL West
1. Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim, 99-63
2013 will be the year for Los Angeles area baseball teams. The Angels were really mad after being TWO SPOTS behind the low-payroll Oakland A's last year. The same won't happen again. Hamilton, Pujols, Trout, and co. (Wow that's a lot of talent) will muscle their way to a division crown.
2. Texas Rangers, 90-72 (Wild Card)
Losing Hamilton will hurt. His presence, more than anything was felt throughout the clubhouse. Who is the big star of this team now? Elvis Andrus? Yu Darvish? Despite that, they will continue to compete and earn a wild card berth.
3. Oakland Athletics, 83-79
The A's do have a lot of good young players, but even the biggest of A's fans would admit last year had to do a bit with luck. Alas, their luck ran out and they lost to the Tigers in the division series. They will get back to that level some year, but not 2013.
4. Seattle Mariners, 79-83
Finally. Our Seattle Mariners. It just seems we are so slowly inching our way toward prevalence. Who knew the rebuilding process could take so freaking long? Nevertheless, I'll take an improved record any day. We just have to wait until one of our AL West contenders falls on their face, similar to the 2012 Boston Red Sox. But hey, at least we won't be in last place!
5. Houston Astros, 52-110
The Astros are such a laughingstock right now. Only one guy is making a million or more. Quick, name five Houston Astros players! I can only name one: Jose Altuve, only because he was their All-Star last season. It's odd to see a last place team 27 games behind.... the 4th place team, but it could happen. They might not beat the Angels or Rangers once this year.
2013 MLB Post-Season Predictions
Tie-breakers and wild cards:
NL Wild Card tiebreaker: Giants over Cardinals
NL Wild Card: Nationals over Giants
AL Wild Card: Rays over Rangers
Divisional Round:
NL: Nationals over Braves
Dodgers over Reds
AL: Angels over Rays
Tigers over Orioles
NL Championship: Nationals over Dodgers
AL Championship: Angels over Tigers
World Series: Angels over Nationals, 4-1
Award winners:
AL MVP: Mike Trout, Angels
NL MVP: Stephen Strasburg, Nationals
AL Cy Young: David Price, Rays
NL Cy Young: Stephen Strasburg, Nationals
AL Coach: Terry Francona, Indians
NL Coach: Fredi Gonzalez, Braves
AL Rookie: Wil Myers, Rays
NL Rookie: Darin Ruf, Phillies
There you have it. Again I pick a California team to win it all, but hey, I'm slightly west-cost biased. The Nationals advance to the World Series to make the Seattle Mariners the only current team to have never gone to the World Series. Congrats, Angels. Up next: My predictions for the Seattle Mariners.
Sunday, March 3, 2013
Things in the Harry Potter series that have made me shake my head
I just finished reading the Harry Potter series for what feels like the 50th
time (probably closer to 15 or 20), and I really praise JK Rowling on one of
the most captivating and best-selling book series of all time. She did such a great job. But if there's one thing (or several) that I
would change, it would be the logic used by some of the characters, but not
just that: the reason for introducing certain plot devices, characters,
etc. Here are my list of things, by
book, that I felt the series could have done without, or needed some
change. Basically, the Harry Potter
things that made me shake my head:
Sorcerer's/Philosopher's Stone
- Dumbledore gives Harry to a family that won't love him
Seriously, why would anyone do that to a baby, other than to maybe toughen him up? Dumbledore easily could have given Harry to a wizarding family and had them change his name to protect his identity. Either that or given the family extra protection, such as the fidelius charm. Sure, the Dursley's just happened to be Harry's only living relatives, but I wouldn't have given a child to a family that wouldn't love him. This was later explained because their house contained magical protection (since Harry's mom died to save him--she and Petunia have the same blood), but I still would not have subjected a kid to such torture. I would've had another family adopt him and give him a different name--then when he's old enough tell him the truth.
- Harry is allowed on Quidditch team despite being a first year
This bugs me more than it does other people. The school rules clearly state Quidditch is open to second years and above. And yet Harry is allowed on. To top it off, he got on the team by disobeying a teacher. Realistically, allowing Potter on the team should have made every first year want to be on a Quidditch team. Just isn't fair to the others.
- The trio manage to get through obstacles designed to stop the smartest of wizards.
This wouldn't have bothered me at all if they were near the end of their schooling and ready to become adult wizards. But they were only FIRST YEARS, having only studied magic for a mere 9 months. So the part of this that really bothers me is that is wasn't terribly difficult for first years (none of them died). If it wasn't terribly difficult for them, then the obstacles certainly weren't difficult enough. There should have been some advanced magic that even competitors in the Triwizard Tournament would have trouble with.
Sorcerer's/Philosopher's Stone
- Dumbledore gives Harry to a family that won't love him
Seriously, why would anyone do that to a baby, other than to maybe toughen him up? Dumbledore easily could have given Harry to a wizarding family and had them change his name to protect his identity. Either that or given the family extra protection, such as the fidelius charm. Sure, the Dursley's just happened to be Harry's only living relatives, but I wouldn't have given a child to a family that wouldn't love him. This was later explained because their house contained magical protection (since Harry's mom died to save him--she and Petunia have the same blood), but I still would not have subjected a kid to such torture. I would've had another family adopt him and give him a different name--then when he's old enough tell him the truth.
- Harry is allowed on Quidditch team despite being a first year
This bugs me more than it does other people. The school rules clearly state Quidditch is open to second years and above. And yet Harry is allowed on. To top it off, he got on the team by disobeying a teacher. Realistically, allowing Potter on the team should have made every first year want to be on a Quidditch team. Just isn't fair to the others.
- The trio manage to get through obstacles designed to stop the smartest of wizards.
This wouldn't have bothered me at all if they were near the end of their schooling and ready to become adult wizards. But they were only FIRST YEARS, having only studied magic for a mere 9 months. So the part of this that really bothers me is that is wasn't terribly difficult for first years (none of them died). If it wasn't terribly difficult for them, then the obstacles certainly weren't difficult enough. There should have been some advanced magic that even competitors in the Triwizard Tournament would have trouble with.
Chamber of Secrets
- Chamber of Secrets never found?
I find it hard to believe that the Chamber of Secrets was never found by someone until Harry and Ron. Professor Binns (McGonagall in the movie) stated that the school had been searched thoroughly many times. Yet somehow, they passed over a mysterious sink in the 2nd floor girl's bathroom which had a snake etched into it. I mean, wouldn't they be looking for a symbol like that, knowing it's SLYTHERIN's chamber they are looking for? This isn't too big of a head scratcher for me, but maybe I overestimate grown wizards.
- Harry survives encounter with basilisk
There were a number of things that bothered me with this. First off, Harry is just 12 here. Just 12. He not only manages to avoid its deadly stare (until Fawkes takes out the basilisk's eyes), but he manages to kill it as well. The basilisk did indeed bite him, and its venom is extremely poisonous, only having one antidote. And guess what? That antidote conveniently happened to appear in the form of Fawkes' tears. Logically speaking, if a 12 year old wizard with a sword and a bird face off against a monstrous basilisk, the basilisk wins every time.
Prisoner of Azkaban
- The Time-Turner
JKR introducing the Time-Turner was probably her biggest mistake as a writer. As soon as she introduced it, Harry Potter (the series, not the character) went from fantasy to a bit science fiction. She strayed away from her book's own genre. Let's not forget the fact that anyone who has a Time-Turner can reverse any bad thing happening. She explains it by having them under strict Ministry of Magic control in the Department of Mysteries. And the fact that they'd trust a 13 year old girl (Honors student or not) with one is astounding.
- Peter Pettigrew is Scabbers... Fred and George didn't see?
So in Book 3 we learned that Ron's pet rat was actually one of Harry's father's old school friends (and the one that betrayed him). That was actually a good plot twist that I did not see coming the first time I read the book. However, also in this book, we learn that Fred and George were in possession of a certain magical map known as the Marauder's Map. This map shows EVERYONE in Hogwarts, whether they are an Animagus like Pettigrew or not. Wouldn't they have seen a "Peter Pettigrew" dot in the boys dormitory, often right next to Ron as he slept? Or how about knowing there is a "Peter Pettigrew" in Gryffindor somewhere but never meeting one with that name? A real head shaker here...
Goblet of Fire
- Harry has to participate in the Triwizard Tournament just because his name came out of the goblet
I find one of the premises in Goblet of Fire to be the most hard to believe. So, someone (Barty Crouch Jr.) put Harry's name into a magical tournament that clearly states you must be 17 to participate. Harry at this time is only 14. His name comes out and all of Europe's brightest wizards conclude he just has to compete. They refer to a "binding magical contract", but where is this contract? And why can't they just reverse it or change it? They know magic, don't they? They have the greatest wizard in Albus Dumbledore presiding over the tournament but not even he can get Harry out of it? So they let a 14 year old (who only was introduced to the magical world three years prior) compete? And they allow one of the three schools to have two competitors? That's like allowing an extra basketball team for the USA in the Olympics. A real head-shaker here.
- Making the Triwizard cup a portkey--why not something easier?
This has been brought up before. Why go through all the hassle of A) Getting Harry into the Triwizard Tournament, B) Making sure he does well enough to win and C) Making a valuable object a portkey and making sure Harry gets to it first, when you could just trick him instead? Seriously. All Moody/Crouch Jr. had to do was get Harry alone on the grounds, give him a portkey disguised as something non-threatening that Harry would grab (A wizard's card, a quaffle?), and boom, Harry gets transported to the graveyard. It just seems weird to go to all that trouble.
Order of the Phoenix
- The Ministry of Magic is mysteriously deserted when Harry and the gang arrive
When Harry and the others (Ron, Hermione, Ginny, Neville and Luna) arrive at the Ministry of Magic to save Sirius, they find it mysteriously deserted. Absolutely no one there. You'd think that in such an important place there'd be at least security guards. This is the equivalent of six American teenagers arriving to the White House and being able to go in and finding absolutely no one inside. I don't think this was ever explained. Obviously, it needed to be empty for the plot to continue as it did, but why was it empty? Why would the Ministry of Magic EVER be empty?
Deathly Hallows
- Voldemort orders Narcissa Malfoy to check if Harry's dead instead of just checking himself
We learned one of two things here. Either Voldemort is the laziest douchebag in the wizarding world or he trusts all his Death Eaters with ANYTHING. Voldemort should remember he's a bad guy with bad guy henchmen, and bad guys tend to betray and lie to one another. Not once did Voldemort check on Harry until Harry finally opened his eyes and began fighting. I find it hard to believe that Voldemort, being a pretty smart guy, would just assume Harry was dead. Or even trust a Death Eater.
- Chamber of Secrets never found?
I find it hard to believe that the Chamber of Secrets was never found by someone until Harry and Ron. Professor Binns (McGonagall in the movie) stated that the school had been searched thoroughly many times. Yet somehow, they passed over a mysterious sink in the 2nd floor girl's bathroom which had a snake etched into it. I mean, wouldn't they be looking for a symbol like that, knowing it's SLYTHERIN's chamber they are looking for? This isn't too big of a head scratcher for me, but maybe I overestimate grown wizards.
- Harry survives encounter with basilisk
There were a number of things that bothered me with this. First off, Harry is just 12 here. Just 12. He not only manages to avoid its deadly stare (until Fawkes takes out the basilisk's eyes), but he manages to kill it as well. The basilisk did indeed bite him, and its venom is extremely poisonous, only having one antidote. And guess what? That antidote conveniently happened to appear in the form of Fawkes' tears. Logically speaking, if a 12 year old wizard with a sword and a bird face off against a monstrous basilisk, the basilisk wins every time.
Prisoner of Azkaban
- The Time-Turner
JKR introducing the Time-Turner was probably her biggest mistake as a writer. As soon as she introduced it, Harry Potter (the series, not the character) went from fantasy to a bit science fiction. She strayed away from her book's own genre. Let's not forget the fact that anyone who has a Time-Turner can reverse any bad thing happening. She explains it by having them under strict Ministry of Magic control in the Department of Mysteries. And the fact that they'd trust a 13 year old girl (Honors student or not) with one is astounding.
- Peter Pettigrew is Scabbers... Fred and George didn't see?
So in Book 3 we learned that Ron's pet rat was actually one of Harry's father's old school friends (and the one that betrayed him). That was actually a good plot twist that I did not see coming the first time I read the book. However, also in this book, we learn that Fred and George were in possession of a certain magical map known as the Marauder's Map. This map shows EVERYONE in Hogwarts, whether they are an Animagus like Pettigrew or not. Wouldn't they have seen a "Peter Pettigrew" dot in the boys dormitory, often right next to Ron as he slept? Or how about knowing there is a "Peter Pettigrew" in Gryffindor somewhere but never meeting one with that name? A real head shaker here...
Goblet of Fire
- Harry has to participate in the Triwizard Tournament just because his name came out of the goblet
I find one of the premises in Goblet of Fire to be the most hard to believe. So, someone (Barty Crouch Jr.) put Harry's name into a magical tournament that clearly states you must be 17 to participate. Harry at this time is only 14. His name comes out and all of Europe's brightest wizards conclude he just has to compete. They refer to a "binding magical contract", but where is this contract? And why can't they just reverse it or change it? They know magic, don't they? They have the greatest wizard in Albus Dumbledore presiding over the tournament but not even he can get Harry out of it? So they let a 14 year old (who only was introduced to the magical world three years prior) compete? And they allow one of the three schools to have two competitors? That's like allowing an extra basketball team for the USA in the Olympics. A real head-shaker here.
- Making the Triwizard cup a portkey--why not something easier?
This has been brought up before. Why go through all the hassle of A) Getting Harry into the Triwizard Tournament, B) Making sure he does well enough to win and C) Making a valuable object a portkey and making sure Harry gets to it first, when you could just trick him instead? Seriously. All Moody/Crouch Jr. had to do was get Harry alone on the grounds, give him a portkey disguised as something non-threatening that Harry would grab (A wizard's card, a quaffle?), and boom, Harry gets transported to the graveyard. It just seems weird to go to all that trouble.
Order of the Phoenix
- The Ministry of Magic is mysteriously deserted when Harry and the gang arrive
When Harry and the others (Ron, Hermione, Ginny, Neville and Luna) arrive at the Ministry of Magic to save Sirius, they find it mysteriously deserted. Absolutely no one there. You'd think that in such an important place there'd be at least security guards. This is the equivalent of six American teenagers arriving to the White House and being able to go in and finding absolutely no one inside. I don't think this was ever explained. Obviously, it needed to be empty for the plot to continue as it did, but why was it empty? Why would the Ministry of Magic EVER be empty?
Deathly Hallows
- Voldemort orders Narcissa Malfoy to check if Harry's dead instead of just checking himself
We learned one of two things here. Either Voldemort is the laziest douchebag in the wizarding world or he trusts all his Death Eaters with ANYTHING. Voldemort should remember he's a bad guy with bad guy henchmen, and bad guys tend to betray and lie to one another. Not once did Voldemort check on Harry until Harry finally opened his eyes and began fighting. I find it hard to believe that Voldemort, being a pretty smart guy, would just assume Harry was dead. Or even trust a Death Eater.
So there you have it. I'd love to be able to ask JK Rowling some of these. Perhaps some of these WERE answered or explained better in the books, but somehow in my 20 readings of them I missed it. If you feel the need to explain anything further, be sure to leave a comment.
Thursday, January 31, 2013
My Extensive Super Bowl Prediction
The big game is just three days away, and I am going to make quite a few predictions when it comes to the game. In fact, I will predict how each quarter goes, who will be the MVP, even what happens at the halftime show. Some of these predictions might be a bit out there, but others will be spot on.
Pregame
Alicia Keys has stated she will not sing the traditional version and instead perform it as it were "a brand new song". This will cause many fans in the Superdome to boo her, mainly those 30 and older. She won't forget the lyrics, but she will be criticized for her runs and her notes she holds way too long.
Coin Toss
The Ravens are the away team and will call Tails, as ravens have tails. It will be tails. Why? Because I voted for Tails at Papajohns.com. If I'm right, I win a free pizza. Who doesn't want free pizza? Oh, and the Ravens will receive the ball to start the game.
First Quarter
The game will get off to a slow start, scoring wise. San Francisco has shown in these playoffs to be a team that takes a while to get warmed up. Neither team will score on its first possession, but Baltimore will get a field goal to make it 3-0.
After 1 Quarter: 3-0 Ravens
Second Quarter
The most exciting play of the first half will happen with an Ed Reed pick six off of Colin Kaepernick, about midway through the 2nd quarter. However, just before the half, the 49ers drive for a last-second field goal that David Akers does not shank, surprisingly.
After 2 Quarters: 10-3 Ravens
Halftime
Beyonce will perform, obviously. Midway through her performance, her husband, rapper Jay-Z, will come on stage and perform. They will kiss on stage, which will cause a bit of backlash after the game from some pretentious mothers who say the kiss scarred their child.
Third Quarter
The 49ers receive the ball and drive down the field, but again have to settle for a field goal. The Ravens score another touchdown after Flacco hooks up with Torrey Smith for a 30-something yard touchdown.
After 3 Quarters: 17-6, Ravens
Fourth Quarter
With the ball and driving, Colin Kaepernick takes off on a run but gets decked by a Raven (possibly Ray Lewis... my vision is a little cloudy). He is helped off the field and has to leave the game. Alex Smith comes into the game, and hooks up with Vernon Davis for a touchdown. After a back-and-forth possession swing, the 49ers get the ball with 3 minutes left and Alex Smith leads them to a game-winning touchdown (although Gore will score it), proving to be the hero. The Ravens do get the ball back with less than a minute left, down by 3, but Justin Tucker's 64 yard field goal attempt to tie falls short.
Final Score: 20-17, 49ers
Super Bowl MVP: Frank Gore, 49ers
Even if Alex Smith takes over, I don't think playing for less than a quarter qualifies for MVP. Frank Gore will have a decent game and take home MVP honors. I'll say 105 yards, 1 touchdown.
Postgame
There are 30+ cameras rolling on the Harbaughs as they shake hands and embrace at midfield. Jim, the 49ers coach, will finally take off his stupid sharpie necklace and toss it aside, poking Ray Lewis in the eye as he is giving a tearful interview.
So there you have it. 20-17 49ers is my prediction. Ray Lewis does not get to retire on a high note, and the 49ers remain perfect in the Super Bowls, getting their 6th ring in their famed history.
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